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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for undesired outcomes

The paper introduces a framework for prescriptive process monitoring that generates alarms to prevent or mitigate undesired outcomes.

problem Existing predictive process monitoring techniques do not prescribe when and how to intervene to decrease undesired outcomes.
method The paper proposes a framework that extends predictive monitoring with the ability to generate alarms, incorporating a cost model to assess the trade-off between generating alarms and the cost of undesired outcomes.
result The net cost of undesired outcomes can be minimized by optimizing the generation of alarms based on the progress of the process instance and introducing delays for triggering alarms.

New framework for predicting decisions that influence their own outcomes.

problem Predictions that affect the outcomes they predict, leading to undesirable distribution shift.
method Risk minimization framework combining statistics, game theory, and causality.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for retraining to converge to a performatively stable point of minimal loss.

SNPL learns safe policies for multi-objective interventions with high confidence.

problem Designing effective digital interventions balancing multiple objectives with noisy data.
method Leverages algorithmic stability to learn policies with high-confidence guarantees.
result Offers dramatic improvements in safety and policy gains with smaller sample sizes.

MOCA uses modular attention to estimate causal effects from complex data.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with complex, non-linear, and high-dimensional treatment and outcome mechanisms.
method MOCA is a transformer-based framework that separates treatment and outcome modeling through modular design and one-way attention mechanism, with cutting-feedback to prevent outcome influence on treatment representations.
result MOCA outperforms classical estimators and machine learning approaches across various simulated and real-world scenarios.

RePULSe improves language model alignment by reducing undesired outputs without sacrificing overall performance.

problem Aligning language models with human preferences while minimizing undesired outputs.
method Integrates probabilistic inference into RL training to reduce undesired outputs.
result RePULSe achieves a better balance between expected reward and undesired output probability.

New model improves community detection in networks with strong assortativity.

problem Classic SBMs fail to recover assortative communities in networks with reduced information.
method Introduced a constrained SBM with strong assortativity constraints and efficient algorithms.
result Significant boost in community recovery capabilities, especially close to information-theoretic threshold.

In the artificial intelligence field, learning often corresponds to changing the parameters of a parameterized function. A learning rule is an algorithm or mathematical expression that specifies precisely how the parameters should be changed. When creating an artificial intelligence system, we must make two decisions: …

2017-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new policy for optimal treatment allocation based on quantile treatment effects.

problem Optimal treatment allocation policies that target distributional welfare, especially when individuals are heterogeneous.
method The approach involves allocating treatments based on the conditional quantile of individual treatment effects (QoTE), considering both prudent and negligent policymakers.
result The proposed minimax policies are robust to model uncertainty and can be generalized to various settings.

We consider the classic Kelly gambling problem with general distribution of outcomes, and an additional risk constraint that limits the probability of a drawdown of wealth to a given undesirable level. We develop a bound on the drawdown probability; using this bound instead of the original risk constraint yields a conv…

2016-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Given data with noisy labels, over-parameterized deep networks can gradually memorize the data, and fit everything in the end. Although equipped with corrections for noisy labels, many learning methods in this area still suffer overfitting due to undesired memorization. In this paper, to relieve this issue, we propose …

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Causality violations are typically seen as unrealistic and undesirable features of a physical model. The following points out three reasons why causality violations, which Bonnor and Steadman identified even in solutions to the Einstein equation referring to ordinary laboratory situations, are not necessarily undesirab…

2006-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Previously, we proposed a physically-inspired method to construct data points into an effective in-tree (IT) structure, in which the underlying cluster structure in the dataset is well revealed. Although there are some edges in the IT structure requiring to be removed, such undesired edges are generally distinguishable…

2015-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Automates fairness and accuracy optimization in deep learning models for tabular data.

problem Improving fairness and accuracy in neural models for tabular data.
method Employed multi-objective Neural Architecture Search (NAS) and Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) to find new models.
result Jointly optimized architectures that consistently outperform single-objective fairness mitigation methods.

Quantum Earth Mover's distance improves stability and efficiency in quantum learning.

problem Quantum learning's loss landscapes often lead to poor local minima and gradients.
method Introduced the quantum Earth Mover's (EM) distance and proposed a quantum Wasserstein generative adversarial network (qWGAN).
result The quantum EM distance makes quantum learning more stable and efficient.

Gradient-based optimization methods are the most popular choice for finding local optima for classical minimization and saddle point problems. Here, we highlight a systemic issue of gradient dynamics that arise for saddle point problems, namely the presence of undesired stable stationary points that are no local optima…

2018-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes methods to use observational data for reinforcement learning, addressing confounding issues.

problem Using observational data for reinforcement learning can lead to misleading outcomes due to unobserved confounders.
method The paper introduces two deconfounding methods in deep reinforcement learning to adjust for confounders.
result The proposed deconfounding methods improve the accuracy of reinforcement learning models using observational data.

Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.

problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.

Develops methods to adjust prediction set coverage based on post-selection analysis.

problem Adjusting prediction set coverage after initial analysis to better fit specific needs.
method Post-selection conformal inference to adjust miscoverage levels.
result Allows for trade-off between coverage and prediction set quality.

Infinitely deep neural networks can be modeled as diffusion processes to avoid undesirable properties.

problem Desirable properties are lost as neural networks increase in depth.
method Parameter distributions shrink as depth increases, leading to well-behaved stochastic processes.
result Limiting processes do not suffer from vanishing dependency and restrictive function families issues.

Deep learning methods have recently achieved great empirical success on machine translation, dialogue response generation, summarization, and other text generation tasks. At a high level, the technique has been to train end-to-end neural network models consisting of an encoder model to produce a hidden representation o…

2017-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

NPO method improves LLM unlearning without catastrophic collapse.

problem Efficiently unlearning undesirable data from LLMs without losing model utility.
method Negative Preference Optimization (NPO) method based on alignment.
result NPO-based methods achieve better unlearning results and maintain model utility.

RAFT fine-tunes models using high-quality samples to align them with human preferences.

problem Aligning generative models with human ethics and preferences.
method RAFT selects high-quality samples, discards undesired behavior, and fine-tunes the model on filtered samples.
result RAFT improves model performance in reward learning and automated metrics.

Consequential decisions are increasingly informed by sophisticated data-driven predictive models. However, to consistently learn accurate predictive models, one needs access to ground truth labels. Unfortunately, in practice, labels may only exist conditional on certain decisions---if a loan is denied, there is not eve…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for removing unwanted information from machine learning models.

problem Removing undesirable features or data points from machine learning models while preserving utility.
method Information-theoretic regularization approach for data point and feature unlearning.
result Unified mathematical framework with provable guarantees for both data point and feature unlearning.

Study data biases to predict algorithmic discrimination, developing a Data Bias Profile.

problem Data biases contribute to algorithmic discrimination, but their impact is understudied.
method Analyzed three common data biases across various datasets and models, developing a Data Bias Profile.
result Combination of proxies and label bias can lead to more significant discrimination than underrepresentation alone.

Distillation affects some classes more than others, impacting fairness and bias.

problem Distillation affects some classes more than others, impacting fairness and bias.
method Examined class-wise accuracy and fairness metrics (DPD, EOD) on models trained with different datasets.
result Increasing the distillation temperature improves the distilled student model's fairness and individual fairness.

How can we design safe reinforcement learning agents that avoid unnecessary disruptions to their environment? We show that current approaches to penalizing side effects can introduce bad incentives, e.g. to prevent any irreversible changes in the environment, including the actions of other agents. To isolate the source…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Reward collapse occurs when ranking-based reward models yield uniform rewards for different prompts.

problem Reward collapse in aligning large language models with human preferences.
method Introduced a prompt-aware optimization scheme to derive closed-form expressions for reward distributions.
result Our prompt-aware utility functions significantly alleviate reward collapse during training.

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal via the use of the Poisson and binomial probability distributions. We evaluate …

2017-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes data markets with multiple data aggregators, showing non-uniqueness of equilibria and social inefficiency.

problem Non-uniqueness of equilibria and social inefficiency in data markets with multiple data aggregators.
method Characterization of generalized Nash equilibria and analysis of necessary and sufficient conditions for social inefficiency.
result There are either infinitely many or no generalized Nash equilibria, leading to social inefficiency.