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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4897145193 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for unbiased mechanisms

Optimal Gaussian noise mechanisms achieve nearly optimal error in unbiased mean estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating the mean of high-dimensional data while preserving privacy.
method Differential privacy mechanisms with Gaussian noise, focusing on optimal covariance.
result Gaussian noise mechanisms achieve nearly optimal error among all private unbiased mean estimation mechanisms.

Develops new instance-optimality concepts in differential privacy.

problem Improving privacy guarantees in statistical estimation.
method Introduces local minimax risk and unbiased mechanisms, and develops inverse sensitivity mechanisms.
result Inverse sensitivity mechanisms are nearly instance optimal for a wide range of functions.

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to multi-level Monte Carlo and provides a simple mechanism for constructing a finite variance…

2012-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Human decision-makers often receive assistance from data-driven algorithmic systems that provide a score for evaluating objects, including individuals. The scores are generated by a function (mechanism) that takes a set of features as input and generates a score.The scoring functions are either machine-learned or human…

2019-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs detect market patterns through causal reasoning, not just temporal association.

problem Detecting structural market patterns in financial data.
method Obfuscation testing using the WHO-WHOM-WHAT framework.
result LLMs achieve 71.5% detection rate of market patterns without temporal context.

New Performer model tackles long-sequence protein modeling.

problem Challenges of training complex Transformer models for long sequences.
method Linearly scalable long-context Transformer architecture, Performer.
result Performer provides strong theoretical guarantees and is effective for protein sequence modeling.

Transformers with linear space and time complexity for accurate attention estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating attention in large-scale tasks without relying on priors.
method Performers use Fast Attention Via positive Orthogonal Random features (FAVOR+) for linear approximation of softmax attention.
result Performers achieve competitive results on various tasks, demonstrating the effectiveness of their attention-learning approach.

Randomized trials, also known as A/B tests, are used to select between two policies: a control and a treatment. Given a corresponding set of features, we can ideally learn an optimized policy P that maps the A/B test data features to action space and optimizes reward. However, although A/B testing provides an unbiased …

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Authentication is a task aiming to confirm the truth between data instances and personal identities. Typical authentication applications include face recognition, person re-identification, authentication based on mobile devices and so on. The recently-emerging data-driven authentication process may encounter undesired …

2019-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes mechanism learning to reverse causal inference in ML.

problem Machine learning models learn associational, not causal, relationships.
method Causally weighted Gaussian mixture models (CW-GMMs).
result CW-GMMs can deconfound observational data for reverse causal inference.

Proposes unbiased estimators for training mixture of experts models.

problem Efficiently training large-scale mixture of experts models on modern hardware.
method Two unbiased estimators based on principled stochastic assignment procedures.
result Both estimators are more effective and robust than biased alternatives.

SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.

problem Biased estimates of log marginal likelihood in latent variable models.
method Randomized truncation of infinite series for unbiased estimation.
result Models trained with SUMO give better test-set likelihoods than standard methods.

New RFs reduce kernel approximation variance and improve Transformer performance.

problem Efficient approximation of Gaussian and softmax kernels for kernel methods and Transformers.
method Parameterized, positive, non-trigonometric RFs optimized for variance reduction.
result Significant variance reduction in practice, outperforming previous methods.

Estimates network causal effects considering contagion and latent confounding.

problem Determining if correlations in network studies are due to contagion or latent confounding.
method Segregated graph representation, likelihood ratio tests, network causal effect estimation strategies.
result Proposes methods to estimate network causal effects under full interference scenarios.

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

Developed unbiased estimators for Heston model with stochastic interest rates.

problem Estimating the Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
method Combined unbiased estimators with the Heston model and developed a semi-exact log-Euler scheme.
result Convergence rate of O(h)O(h) in the L2L^2 norm for a wide range of models.

Computing partition functions, the normalizing constants of probability distributions, is often hard. Variants of importance sampling give unbiased estimates of a normalizer Z, however, unbiased estimates of the reciprocal 1/Z are harder to obtain. Unbiased estimates of 1/Z allow Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling of "d…

2016-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. These methods provide consistent but biased estimators when run fo…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes unbiased learning for recommendation causal effects.

problem Estimating the causal effect of recommendation when the ground truth is unobservable.
method Inverse propensity scoring technique to construct unbiased estimators, followed by empirical risk minimization with propensity capping.
result The proposed method outperforms other biased learning methods in various settings.

This paper tackles unbiased loss functions for multilabel classification with missing labels.

problem Missing labels in multilabel classification tasks, especially in extreme multi-label classification (XMC).
method Derives unbiased estimators for multilabel reductions, including non-decomposable ones, and addresses increased variance with convex upper-bounds.
result Switching to unbiased estimators can alter the bias-variance trade-off and may require stronger regularization.

Stochastic bridges are commonly used to impute missing data with a lower sampling rate to generate data with a higher sampling rate, while preserving key properties of the dynamics involved in an unbiased way. While the generation of Brownian bridges and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges is well understood, unbiased generatio…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory of sensitivity for unbiased estimators using Wasserstein geometry.

problem Estimating the instability of estimators under small perturbations.
method Developed a new theory based on Wasserstein geometry, analogous to classical Cramér-Rao theory.
result Wasserstein-Cramér-Rao lower bound for sensitivity of unbiased estimators.

New method reduces deep learning training costs by approximating vector-jacobian products.

problem Efficiently training deep neural networks with reduced computational and memory costs.
method Randomized, unbiased approximations of vector-jacobian products during backpropagation.
result Validated potential for reducing deep learning training costs through unbiased estimates.

A new model shows fairness mechanisms can improve selection utility even without implicit bias.

problem Improving selection fairness without introducing a utility trade-off.
method A model with latent quality and group-dependent variance, comparing fairness mechanisms to group-oblivious selection.
result Demographic parity always increases selection utility, while γγ-rules weakly increase it.

To backpropagate the gradients through stochastic binary layers, we propose the augment-REINFORCE-merge (ARM) estimator that is unbiased, exhibits low variance, and has low computational complexity. Exploiting variable augmentation, REINFORCE, and reparameterization, the ARM estimator achieves adaptive variance reducti…

2018-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent neural network and language models rely on softmax distributions with an extremely large number of categories. Since calculating the softmax normalizing constant in this context is prohibitively expensive, there is a growing literature of efficiently computable but biased estimates of the softmax. In this paper …

2018-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops unbiased gradient estimator for continuous-time models.

problem Estimating unbiased gradient of log-likelihood for continuous-time models.
method Doubly randomized scheme with coupled conditional particle filter (CCPF).
result Unbiased gradient estimate facilitates gradient-based algorithms.