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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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8172533 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unbiased

Randomized trials, also known as A/B tests, are used to select between two policies: a control and a treatment. Given a corresponding set of features, we can ideally learn an optimized policy P that maps the A/B test data features to action space and optimizes reward. However, although A/B testing provides an unbiased …

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes unbiased estimators for training mixture of experts models.

problem Efficiently training large-scale mixture of experts models on modern hardware.
method Two unbiased estimators based on principled stochastic assignment procedures.
result Both estimators are more effective and robust than biased alternatives.

SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.

problem Biased estimates of log marginal likelihood in latent variable models.
method Randomized truncation of infinite series for unbiased estimation.
result Models trained with SUMO give better test-set likelihoods than standard methods.

New unbiased gradient estimators for complex optimization problems.

problem Unbiased and variance-limited gradient estimation for conditional stochastic optimization.
method Developed multilevel Monte Carlo gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.
result Unbiased and finite variance gradient estimators for conditional stochastic optimization problems.

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to multi-level Monte Carlo and provides a simple mechanism for constructing a finite variance…

2012-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Developed unbiased estimators for Heston model with stochastic interest rates.

problem Estimating the Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
method Combined unbiased estimators with the Heston model and developed a semi-exact log-Euler scheme.
result Convergence rate of O(h)O(h) in the L2L^2 norm for a wide range of models.

Computing partition functions, the normalizing constants of probability distributions, is often hard. Variants of importance sampling give unbiased estimates of a normalizer Z, however, unbiased estimates of the reciprocal 1/Z are harder to obtain. Unbiased estimates of 1/Z allow Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling of "d…

2016-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal Gaussian noise mechanisms achieve nearly optimal error in unbiased mean estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating the mean of high-dimensional data while preserving privacy.
method Differential privacy mechanisms with Gaussian noise, focusing on optimal covariance.
result Gaussian noise mechanisms achieve nearly optimal error among all private unbiased mean estimation mechanisms.

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. These methods provide consistent but biased estimators when run fo…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes unbiased learning for recommendation causal effects.

problem Estimating the causal effect of recommendation when the ground truth is unobservable.
method Inverse propensity scoring technique to construct unbiased estimators, followed by empirical risk minimization with propensity capping.
result The proposed method outperforms other biased learning methods in various settings.

This paper tackles unbiased loss functions for multilabel classification with missing labels.

problem Missing labels in multilabel classification tasks, especially in extreme multi-label classification (XMC).
method Derives unbiased estimators for multilabel reductions, including non-decomposable ones, and addresses increased variance with convex upper-bounds.
result Switching to unbiased estimators can alter the bias-variance trade-off and may require stronger regularization.

Stochastic bridges are commonly used to impute missing data with a lower sampling rate to generate data with a higher sampling rate, while preserving key properties of the dynamics involved in an unbiased way. While the generation of Brownian bridges and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges is well understood, unbiased generatio…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory of sensitivity for unbiased estimators using Wasserstein geometry.

problem Estimating the instability of estimators under small perturbations.
method Developed a new theory based on Wasserstein geometry, analogous to classical Cramér-Rao theory.
result Wasserstein-Cramér-Rao lower bound for sensitivity of unbiased estimators.

New method reduces deep learning training costs by approximating vector-jacobian products.

problem Efficiently training deep neural networks with reduced computational and memory costs.
method Randomized, unbiased approximations of vector-jacobian products during backpropagation.
result Validated potential for reducing deep learning training costs through unbiased estimates.

Recent neural network and language models rely on softmax distributions with an extremely large number of categories. Since calculating the softmax normalizing constant in this context is prohibitively expensive, there is a growing literature of efficiently computable but biased estimates of the softmax. In this paper …

2018-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops unbiased gradient estimator for continuous-time models.

problem Estimating unbiased gradient of log-likelihood for continuous-time models.
method Doubly randomized scheme with coupled conditional particle filter (CCPF).
result Unbiased gradient estimate facilitates gradient-based algorithms.

The recently proposed Unbiased Online Recurrent Optimization algorithm (UORO, arXiv:1702.05043) uses an unbiased approximation of RTRL to achieve fully online gradient-based learning in RNNs. In this work we analyze the variance of the gradient estimate computed by UORO, and propose several possible changes to the meth…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Unbiased method for Bayesian posterior means using kinetic Langevin dynamics.

problem Estimating Bayesian posterior means efficiently and accurately.
method Combines advanced splitting methods with enhanced gradient approximations in a multilevel Monte Carlo approach.
result The method achieves unbiased estimates with finite variance and central limit theorem properties.

Develops unbiased estimation method using underdamped Langevin dynamics.

problem Estimating expectations of non-negative Lebesgue density probability measures.
method Underdamped Langevin dynamics, time-discretized versions, doubly randomized estimation.
result Proves finite variance and expected/finite cost of the proposed estimator.

Unbiased gradient estimation improves VAE performance.

problem Training VAEs via maximum likelihood is difficult due to intractable integrals.
method Introduced unbiased estimators of the log-likelihood gradient using coupled Markov chains.
result Unbiased estimators lead to better predictive performance in VAEs.

Paper proposes an unbiased optimization method for Bayesian experimental design.

problem Maximizing expected information gain in Bayesian experimental design.
method Randomized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method combined with stochastic gradient descent.
result An unbiased estimator for the gradient of expected information gain.

Enhanced framework selects features for unbiased causal inference.

problem Unbiased estimation of causal quantities in causal inference.
method Three-stage computational framework balancing treatment and non-treatment variables.
result Significantly reduces bias and variance in estimating causal quantities.

In earlier studies, the estimation of the volatility of a stock using information on the daily opening, closing, high and low prices has been developed; the additional information in the high and low prices can be incorporated to produce unbiased (or near-unbiased) estimators with substantially lower variance than the …

2008-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves texture segmentation by automatically tuning hyperparameters for Total-Variation.

problem The challenge is to automatically select hyperparameters for Total-Variation texture segmentation.
method The approach involves extending Stein's unbiased gradient estimator to handle correlated Gaussian noise, leading to an automatic tuning method.
result The method provides an automatic way to select hyperparameters for Total-Variation texture segmentation.

A new method speeds up sampling of Boltzmann distribution in high-dimensional systems.

problem High computational cost of obtaining Jacobian of flow-based models in high dimensions.
method Flow perturbation method that incorporates stochastic perturbations and reweighting.
result Achieves unbiased sampling of Boltzmann distribution with orders of magnitude speedup.

A new method improves communication efficiency in distributed learning.

problem Reducing communication overhead in distributed machine learning.
method Transforming contractive compressors into induced unbiased compressors.
result Significant improvements in memory requirements and communication complexity.

Improved UIVI method shows better performance than state-of-the-art SIVI methods.

problem Estimating the likelihood of samples from complex distributions in high dimensions.
method Replaced the inner MCMC loop of UIVI with importance sampling and learned the optimal proposal distribution.
result The refined UIVI approach demonstrates superior performance or parity with state-of-the-art methods.

The Barankin bound is generalized to the vector case in the mean square error sense. Necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained to achieve the lower bound. To obtain the result, a simple finite dimensional real vector valued generalization of the Riesz representation theorem for Hilbert spaces is given. The bound…

2017-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A multi-layer deep Gaussian process (DGP) model is a hierarchical composition of GP models with a greater expressive power. Exact DGP inference is intractable, which has motivated the recent development of deterministic and stochastic approximation methods. Unfortunately, the deterministic approximation methods yield a…

2019-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new sampling method combining Consistency Models with importance sampling.

problem Inherent errors in samples and high NFEs for high-quality samples in Boltzmann distributions.
method Combines Consistency Models with importance sampling to produce unbiased samples with minimal NFEs.
result Produces unbiased samples using only 6-25 NFEs, comparable to 100 NFEs for DDPMs.