A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New calibration measure SSCE ensures truthful prediction, unlike existing measures.
A new perfectly truthful calibration measure improves prediction reliability.
New truthful calibration errors improve model ranking in multiclass prediction.
A new score measures data reliability without ground truth.
Autonomy and adaptation of machines requires that they be able to measure their own errors. We consider the advantages and limitations of such an approach when a machine has to measure the error in a regression task. How can a machine measure the error of regression sub-components when it does not have the ground truth…
The accurate measurement of security metrics is a critical research problem because an improper or inaccurate measurement process can ruin the usefulness of the metrics, no matter how well they are defined. This is a highly challenging problem particularly when the ground truth is unknown or noisy. In contrast to the w…
New method improves efficiency of non-convex matrix reconstruction.
The paper validates a method for recovering over-parameterized matrices and images from noisy measurements.
A method for inferring ground-truth signals from degraded sensor data.
VB-Score evaluates AI systems without ground truth, revealing robustness.
Self-supervised methods learn from noisy data alone, useful for imaging problems.
Recent work has demonstrated the effectiveness of gradient descent for directly recovering the factors of low-rank matrices from random linear measurements in a globally convergent manner when initialized properly. However, the performance of existing algorithms is highly sensitive in the presence of outliers that may …
We show that the classification performance of graph convolutional networks (GCNs) is related to the alignment between features, graph, and ground truth, which we quantify using a subspace alignment measure (SAM) corresponding to the Frobenius norm of the matrix of pairwise chordal distances between three subspaces ass…
The paper analyzes conditions for solving low-rank matrix recovery problems with noisy measurements.
Study validates metrics for offline MBO using diffusion models.
This paper refines human labeling as a measurement process, revealing four sources of variation.
Physics-informed denoising improves sensor data accuracy without needing clean data.
This paper establishes the consistency of spectral approaches to data clustering. We consider clustering of point clouds obtained as samples of a ground-truth measure. A graph representing the point cloud is obtained by assigning weights to edges based on the distance between the points they connect. We investigate the…
This paper establishes the consistency of a family of graph-cut-based algorithms for clustering of data clouds. We consider point clouds obtained as samples of a ground-truth measure. We investigate approaches to clustering based on minimizing objective functionals defined on proximity graphs of the given sample. Our f…
Reanalysis datasets combining numerical physics models and limited observations to generate a synthesised estimate of variables in an Earth system, are prone to biases against ground truth. Biases identified with the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) aerosol optic…
A new measure normalizes clustering accuracy to evaluate algorithms better.
Polymarket-v1 Database tracks 1.2B trades across 1.3M markets with 100% ground-truth direction.
A new mechanism reduces expert belief regret in online forecasting.
Hierarchical clustering has been shown to be valuable in many scenarios. Despite its usefulness to many situations, there is no agreed methodology on how to properly evaluate the hierarchies produced from different techniques, particularly in the case where ground-truth labels are unavailable. This motivates us to prop…
We propose an iterative scheme for feature-based positioning using a new weighted dissimilarity measure with the goal of reducing the impact of large errors among the measured or modeled features. The weights are computed from the location-dependent standard deviations of the features and stored as part of the referenc…
New metric improves latent dynamics inference from neural data.
Novel framework monitors cardiac image segmentation models in real-time.
Annotating automotive radar data is a difficult task. This article presents an automated way of acquiring data labels which uses a highly accurate and portable global navigation satellite system (GNSS). The proposed system is discussed besides a revision of other label acquisitions techniques and a problem description …
It is generally believed that ensemble approaches, which combine multiple algorithms or models, can outperform any single algorithm at machine learning tasks, such as prediction. In this paper, we propose Bayesian convex and linear aggregation approaches motivated by regression applications. We show that the proposed a…
A group of transition probability functions form a Shannon's channel whereas a group of truth functions form a semantic channel. By the third kind of Bayes' theorem, we can directly convert a Shannon's channel into an optimized semantic channel. When a sample is not big enough, we can use a truth function with paramete…
ALONE uses neural networks to accelerate cine MRI without needing ground truth.
PPI uses proxy data to improve inference from limited labels across related tasks.
Eye Movement analysis with Hidden Markov Models (EMHMM) is a method for modeling eye fixation sequences using hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this report, we run a simulation study to investigate the estimation error for learning HMMs with variational Bayesian inference, with respect to the number of sequences and the …
We present a method that "meta" classifies whether seg-ments predicted by a semantic segmentation neural networkintersect with the ground truth. For this purpose, we employ measures of dispersion for predicted pixel-wise class probability distributions, like classification entropy, that yield heat maps of the input sce…
While traditional methods for instruction-following typically assume prior linguistic and perceptual knowledge, many recent works in reinforcement learning (RL) have proposed learning policies end-to-end, typically by training neural networks to map joint representations of observations and instructions directly to act…
Deep learning solves imaging inverse problems without ground truth.
Supervised learning is the workhorse for regression and classification tasks, but the standard approach presumes ground truth for every measurement. In real world applications, limitations due to expense or general in-feasibility due to the specific application are common. In the context of agriculture applications, yi…
Universally valid ground truth is almost impossible to obtain or would come at a very high cost. For supervised learning without universally valid ground truth, a recommended approach is applying crowdsourcing: Gathering a large data set annotated by multiple individuals of varying possibly expertise levels and inferri…
Paper proposes a method to recover accurate labels from partially valid data in multi-label learning.
This paper analyzes the difficulty of unsupervised domain adaptation using information theory.
Tests for classifier independence without ground truth labels.
New method evaluates language model forecasters by checking consistency of predictions.
Much work has been done in understanding human creativity and defining measures to evaluate creativity. This is necessary mainly for the reason of having an objective and automatic way of quantifying creative artifacts. In this work, we propose a regression-based learning framework which takes into account quantitative…
New measure EC assesses node contributions in nonlinear, time-varying systems.
Enhances clustering quality evaluation in noisy data.
Guaranteed convergence for tensor factorization using Riemannian gradient descent.
New method learns signals from binary measurements, surpassing existing techniques.
There is a rapidly increasing interest in crowdsourcing for data labeling. By crowdsourcing, a large number of labels can be often quickly gathered at low cost. However, the labels provided by the crowdsourcing workers are usually not of high quality. In this paper, we propose a minimax conditional entropy principle to…