Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

18355370 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for tree-model explanation

TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.

Unified view of improving tree model interpretability and debiasing feature importance.

problem Improving interpretability and debiasing feature importance in tree-based models.
method Demonstrates a common thread among bias correction methods and local explanations for trees.
result Points out a bias in explainable AI for trees algorithms due to inbag data inclusion.

The paper uses SHAP for interpreting machine learning models in hospital data.

problem Interpreting machine learning models in healthcare.
method SHAP for feature importance and feature packing techniques.
result SHAP provides better interpretability of machine learning models in healthcare.

Despite outstanding contribution to the significant progress of Artificial Intelligence (AI), deep learning models remain mostly black boxes, which are extremely weak in explainability of the reasoning process and prediction results. Explainability is not only a gateway between AI and society but also a powerful tool t…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent tree models are graphical models defined on trees, in which only a subset of variables is observed. They were first discussed by Judea Pearl as tree-decomposable distributions to generalise star-decomposable distributions such as the latent class model. Latent tree models, or their submodels, are widely used in:…

2017-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Collaborative Trees model analyzes feature interactions and additive effects.

problem Analyzing complex statistical associations between features and response variables.
method Proposes a novel tree model and its bagging version to decompose mean decrease in impurity and visualize feature contributions.
result Demonstrates the superior capability of the tree model in estimating additive effects and interaction effects.

New findings on diffusion rates in wind-tree model with rational parameters.

problem Understanding diffusion rates in the wind-tree model with rational parameters.
method Analyzing real numbers in [0,1) as diffusion rates and providing a criterion for Lyapunov spectrum.
result Exhibit an infinite family of wind-tree billiards with the interior of the Lyapunov spectrum being the full square (0,1)^2.

We propose a tree regularization framework, which enables many tree models to perform feature selection efficiently. The key idea of the regularization framework is to penalize selecting a new feature for splitting when its gain (e.g. information gain) is similar to the features used in previous splits. The regularizat…

2012-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The task of translating between programming languages differs from the challenge of translating natural languages in that programming languages are designed with a far more rigid set of structural and grammatical rules. Previous work has used a tree-to-tree encoder/decoder model to take advantage of the inherent tree s…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework estimates staged tree models using hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex.

problem Estimating staged tree models with context-specific dependencies.
method Hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex, using simplex-based divergences and linkage methods.
result Total Variation divergence with Ward.D2 linkage produces staged trees with better model fit, structure recovery, and computational efficiency.

We study periodic wind-tree models, billiards in the plane endowed with Z2\mathbb{Z}^2-periodically located identical connected symmetric right-angled obstacles. We show asymptotic formulas for the number of (isotopy classes of) closed billiard trajectories (up to Z2\mathbb{Z}^2-translations) on the wind-tree billiard.…

2016-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree models according to their posterior probabilities. The critical component of such an …

2019-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Hollow-tree Super resolves feature importance in large datasets.

problem Lack of effective scaling for large feature numbers in boosted tree models.
method Hollow-tree Super (HOTS) methodology for feature importance visualization.
result HOTS effectively resolves feature importance and directionality in high-dimensional neuroscientific data.

We iterate Manolescu's unoriented skein exact triangle in knot Floer homology with coefficients in the field of rational functions over Z/2Z\mathbb{Z}/2\mathbb{Z}. The result is a spectral sequence which converges to a stabilized version of delta-graded knot Floer homology. The (E2,d2)(E_2,d_2) page of this spectral sequence …

2011-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently learns Gaussian tree models with near-optimal sample complexity.

problem Learning tree-structured Gaussian distributions efficiently.
method Conditional mutual information tester for Gaussian variables, near-optimal sample complexity.
result Near-optimal sample complexity for structure learning of Gaussian tree models.

A new tree method for tensor data improves regression accuracy.

problem Efficiently modeling tensor data for regression problems.
method Scalar-output regression tree models for scalar-on-tensor problems, and tensor-on-tensor problems using additive tree ensemble approaches.
result The tensor-input tree (TT) method outperforms tensor-input GP models in efficiency and accuracy.

We present an integrated approach for structure and parameter estimation in latent tree graphical models. Our overall approach follows a "divide-and-conquer" strategy that learns models over small groups of variables and iteratively merges onto a global solution. The structure learning involves combinatorial operations…

2014-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a modification of the classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) interest rate tree model, which includes the possibility of a jump with small probability at each step to a practically zero interest rate. The corresponding BDT algorithms are consequently modified to calibrate the tree containing the zero interest rate…

2019-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Word representations induced from models with discrete latent variables (e.g.\ HMMs) have been shown to be beneficial in many NLP applications. In this work, we exploit labeled syntactic dependency trees and formalize the induction problem as unsupervised learning of tree-structured hidden Markov models. Syntactic func…

2015-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Adversarial inference on tree models is possible with limited corruption, improving on Kesten-Stigum threshold.

problem Posterior inference on tree-structured graphical models in the presence of adversarial corruption.
method Dynamic programming via belief propagation, constrained adversarial corruption.
result Belief propagation can perform accurate inference with limited adversarial corruption.

The paper introduces new Bayesian network classifiers for better classification accuracy.

problem Improving supervised classification accuracy using Bayesian network classifiers.
method Developed novel classes of generative classifiers based on staged tree models, extending Bayesian networks.
result Data-driven learning routines enhance the accuracy of the new classifiers.

Study predicts internet-based treatment effects for GPPPD based on dyadic coping.

problem Identifying which patients will benefit most from internet-based GPPPD treatment.
method Developed a multivariable decision tree model using recursive partitioning.
result Predicts large effects for high dyadic coping patients, small effects for low dyadic coping patients.

We develop a trinomial tree model for pricing perpetual derivatives and European options.

problem Pricing perpetual derivatives and European options in a market with two risky assets and a perpetual derivative of one of them.
method We introduce a recombining trinomial tree model, consider a market with two risky assets and a perpetual derivative, and use a replicating portfolio to price options and generate relationships between risk-neutral and real-world parameters.
result We develop implied parameter surfaces for real-world parameters in the model using historical data.

Many methods to explain black-box models, whether local or global, are additive. In this paper, we study global additive explanations for non-additive models, focusing on four explanation methods: partial dependence, Shapley explanations adapted to a global setting, distilled additive explanations, and gradient-based e…

2018-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper certifies decision trees against evasion attacks using program analysis.

problem Vulnerability of decision tree models to evasion attacks by maliciously crafted perturbations.
method Transform decision trees into imperative programs for program analysis, leveraging abstract interpretation.
result Soundly verifies security guarantees of decision tree models, yielding minimal false positives.

We introduce Khovanov homology for ribbon graphs and show that the Khovanov homology of a certain ribbon graph embedded on the Turaev surface of a link is isomorphic to the Khovanov homology of the link (after a grading shift). We also present a spanning quasi-tree model for the Khovanov homology of a ribbon graph.

2011-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to the credit-scoring problem by quantifying the probability of survival time. In order to deal with highly heterogeneous industrial data collected in Chinese market of consumer finance, we propose a nonp…

2019-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes criteria and methods for evaluating and aggregating feature-based model explanations.

problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for feature-based model explanations.
method Developed quantitative evaluation criteria (low sensitivity, high faithfulness, low complexity), devised a framework for aggregation, and derived a new aggregate Shapley value explanation function.
result A new aggregate Shapley value explanation function that minimizes sensitivity.