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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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65131196261 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for trading strategy

We extend the framework of trading strategies of Gatheral [2010] from single stocks to a pair of stocks. Our trading strategy with the executions of two round-trip trades can be described by the trading rates of the paired stocks and the ratio of their trading periods. By minimizing the potential cost arising from cros…

2017-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new general framework for constructing the best trading strategy for a given historical indicator. We construct the unique trading strategy with the highest expected return. This optimal strategy may be implemented directly, or its expected return may be used as a benchmark to evaluate how far away from …

2011-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Whether you trade futures for yourself or a hedge fund, your strategy is counted. Long and short position limits make the number of unique strategies finite. Formulas of the numbers of strategies, transactions, do nothing actions are derived. A discrete distribution of actions, corresponding probability mass, cumulativ…

2017-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of technical trading strategies that can survive historical back-testing as well a…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Article proposes a profitable intraday trading strategy for Chinese stocks.

problem Intraday trading opportunities in Chinese stock market.
method Markowitz optimization and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for stock price prediction.
result Validation of Markowitz portfolio optimization and MLP for intraday stock price prediction.

This paper investigates the so-called leakage effect of trading strategies generated functionally from rank-dependent portfolio generating functions. This effect measures the loss in wealth of trading strategies due to renewing the portfolio constituent stocks. Theoretically, the leakage effect of a trading strategy is…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows time matters in automated trading, improving simple strategies over complex ones.

problem Effects of reaction speed and trading urgency on automated trading strategies.
method Simulated financial markets with public limit order book and continuous double auction matching. Examined reaction speed and trading urgency.
result Simple strategies outperform complex ones when considering reaction speed and trading urgency.

AI simplifies trading strategies, potentially making markets more efficient.

problem Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) relies on traders optimising trading strategies based on information.
method Generalised notion of market efficiency, distinguishing model complexity through investor beliefs and trading strategies.
result Increased availability of low-cost AI systems may push towards more advanced trading strategies, potentially harder for inefficient traders.

Deep RL ensemble strategy outperforms individual algorithms in stock trading.

problem Designing profitable stock trading strategies in a complex market.
method Ensemble of three deep reinforcement learning algorithms (PPO, A2C, DDPG) for stock trading.
result Deep ensemble strategy outperforms individual algorithms and traditional min-variance portfolio.

QuantNet learns global market trends to improve trading strategies.

problem Developing global trading strategies from multiple markets' data.
method QuantNet integrates transfer and meta-learning to learn market-agnostic trends and market-specific strategies.
result QuantNet outperformed top baseline strategies by 51% Sharpe and 69% Calmar ratios.

Stock trading strategy plays a crucial role in investment companies. However, it is challenging to obtain optimal strategy in the complex and dynamic stock market. We explore the potential of deep reinforcement learning to optimize stock trading strategy and thus maximize investment return. 30 stocks are selected as ou…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Given the return series for a set of instruments, a \emph{trading strategy} is a switching function that transfers wealth from one instrument to another at specified times. We present efficient algorithms for constructing (ex-post) trading strategies that are optimal with respect to the total return, the Sterling ratio…

2010-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses RNN for real-time crypto price prediction and trading optimization.

problem High volatility in cryptocurrency markets makes traditional forecasting models unreliable.
method Data collection, preprocessing, model refinement, and backtesting.
result Improved accuracy in real-time crypto price prediction and optimized trading strategies.

Improved MACD trading strategies with other indicators for better performance.

problem Evaluating the effectiveness of MACD-based trading strategies in the US stock market.
method Backtested various MACD-based trading strategies on US stock indices using Python.
result Win-rate of MACD strategies improved with other momentum indicators, leading to a new VPVMA indicator.

New trading strategy uses deep neural networks for future stock price predictions.

problem Traditional backtesting of trading strategies is unreliable for future trades.
method Developed a deep neural network to predict stock prices and select optimal trading strategies.
result Neural network predictions improve trading performance metrics.

We develop a polynomial method to optimize trading in markets with transaction costs.

problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with proportional transaction costs.
method Polynomial approximation of the residual value function to determine optimal trading strategies.
result Identify the trade-off between trading frequency and trade sizes for satisfactory agreement with theoretically optimal strategies.

Study solves DREs for trading strategies using signals and past prices.

problem Solving DREs for optimal trading strategies.
method Analyzes DREs with indefinite matrix coefficients and applies to trading problems.
result Derives optimal trading strategies using signals and past prices.

Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.

problem Predicting strategic trading behavior of investors with private targets.
method Equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors.
result Trading strategies are a combination of target following, liquidity provision, and front-running based on latent demand and price pressure.

Novel pairs trading strategy for cointegrated cryptocurrencies using copulas.

problem Identifying profitable trading opportunities in cointegrated cryptocurrency pairs.
method Linear and non-linear cointegration tests, correlation coefficient, copula families, back-testing.
result The strategy outperforms buy-and-hold trading strategies in profitability and risk-adjusted returns.

Enhanced options trading strategies using advanced portfolio optimization.

problem Generating consistent positive returns in high-frequency options trading.
method Advanced portfolio optimization techniques applied to SPY options data.
result Sophisticated strategies incorporating advanced Greeks show potential in high-frequency trading.

The paper analyzes trading strategies in a competitive market with incomplete information.

problem Strategic trading under uncertainty when firms lack full knowledge of competitors' strategies.
method Bayesian games framework to incorporate uncertainty and derive optimal trading strategies.
result Uncertainty significantly impacts trading strategies compared to complete information scenarios.

MadEvolve optimizes trading algorithms using LLMs, achieving significant improvements in feature generation and trading strategy optimization.

problem Optimizing trading algorithms for better performance and feature generation.
method A framework inspired by Alpha-Evolve, using LLMs to evolve trading strategies and feature pipelines.
result Significant improvements in trading performance across various tasks, including feature generation and trading strategy optimization.

Paper proposes a novel trading strategy combining clustering and reinforcement learning for multi-period portfolio management.

problem Developing an effective trading strategy for multi-period portfolio management.
method The paper integrates clustering techniques with reinforcement learning to categorize and manage stocks across multiple trading periods.
result The proposed strategy outperforms conventional techniques in various metrics, achieving an average return of 151% over 360 trading periods.

Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the s…

2008-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes trading returns using Hurst exponent and Q-learning.

problem Maximizing returns from momentum and mean reversion strategies.
method Classifies assets using Hurst exponent and uses Q-learning to improve trading algorithms.
result Trading with Hurst exponent can achieve higher returns but at higher risk.

Investors with asymmetric information play a game to optimize their portfolios.

problem Two investors with different information levels compete in portfolio selection.
method Modelled as a Stackelberg game with entropy-regularized mean-variance objectives.
result Equilibria exist where follower's strategy depends on leader's actions.

Selective classification improves trading strategies by abstaining from predictions.

problem Designing effective trading strategies using selective classification.
method Extends binary or multi-class classifiers to allow abstaining from predictions, evaluates across different feature sets and classifiers.
result Selective classifiers can improve trading performance by avoiding poor predictions.