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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Abstaining

Adversarial robustness improved by abstaining from decisions.

problem Improving classification accuracy in the presence of adversarial perturbations.
method Introducing an abstain option in binary classification problems, using metrics to quantify performance and robustness.
result There is a tradeoff between nominal performance and adversarial robustness.

Paper introduces a method to evaluate abstaining classifiers by considering missing predictions as counterfactuals.

problem Lack of a principled approach to evaluate and compare abstaining classifiers, especially when missing predictions are important.
method Develops a novel approach to treat abstentions as missing data, defining counterfactual scores and using causal inference methods to estimate them.
result Shows that under certain conditions, counterfactual scores can be identified and estimated efficiently, improving evaluation of abstaining classifiers.

A binary classifier capable of abstaining from making a label prediction has two goals in tension: minimizing errors, and avoiding abstaining unnecessarily often. In this work, we exactly characterize the best achievable tradeoff between these two goals in a general semi-supervised setting, given an ensemble of predict…

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore adversarial robustness in the setting in which it is acceptable for a classifier to abstain---that is, output no class---on adversarial examples. Adversarial examples are small perturbations of normal inputs to a classifier that cause the classifier to give incorrect output; they present security and safety …

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Deviation-based learning improves recommender systems by abstaining from recommending choices users might follow.

problem Recommender systems learn from user choices but can stall if users blindly follow recommendations.
method The recommender learns user knowledge by observing choices, abstaining from recommending a choice when multiple alternatives produce similar payoffs.
result Learning rate and social welfare improve when the recommender abstains from recommending certain choices.

Study selective classification with limited feedback in online learning.

problem Resource-limited and safety-critical domains where feedback is only received on abstentions.
method Versioning-based schemes for minimizing mistakes and abstentions.
result Constructed schemes that make few mistakes and minimal excess abstentions.

We introduce a novel method to combat label noise when training deep neural networks for classification. We propose a loss function that permits abstention during training thereby allowing the DNN to abstain on confusing samples while continuing to learn and improve classification performance on the non-abstained sampl…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Selective classification improves trading strategies by abstaining from predictions.

problem Designing effective trading strategies using selective classification.
method Extends binary or multi-class classifiers to allow abstaining from predictions, evaluates across different feature sets and classifiers.
result Selective classifiers can improve trading performance by avoiding poor predictions.

Paper introduces SPADE method to protect classifiers from OOD and adversarial samples.

problem Protecting classifiers from out-of-distribution and adversarial samples.
method SPADE method based on GEV model in latent space.
result Provable protection against OOD and adversarial samples.

We deal with the \textit{selective classification} problem (supervised-learning problem with a rejection option), where we want to achieve the best performance at a certain level of coverage of the data. We transform the original mm-class classification problem to (m+1)(m+1)-class where the (m+1)(m+1)-th class represents th…

2019-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In the setting of sequential prediction of individual {0,1}\{0, 1\}-sequences with expert advice, we show that by allowing the learner to abstain from the prediction by paying a cost marginally smaller than 12\frac 12 (say, 0.490.49), it is possible to achieve expected regret bounds that are independent of the time horizon …

2020-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider using an ensemble of binary classifiers for transductive prediction, when unlabeled test data are known in advance. We derive minimax optimal rules for confidence-rated prediction in this setting. By using PAC-Bayes analysis on these rules, we obtain data-dependent performance guarantees without distributio…

2015-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In safety-critical applications of machine learning, it is often important to abstain from making predictions on low confidence examples. Standard abstention methods tend to be focused on optimizing top-k accuracy, but in many applications, accuracy is not the metric of interest. Further, label shift (a shift in class …

2018-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves resilience against adversarial clean-label attacks in real and noisy settings.

problem Ensuring accurate predictions in the presence of adversarial clean-label samples.
method Sequential learning from a stream of i.i.d. data, allowing abstention for uncertain predictions.
result Theoretical analysis and adaptations for the agnostic setting with a clean-label adversary and noise.

A new policy learning method allows policies to abstain when uncertain, improving safety and applicability.

problem Risk of making decisions without full confidence in uncertain predictions.
method Policy learning with abstention, identifying near-optimal policies and constructing an abstention rule.
result Improved safety and applicability in policy learning, with theoretical guarantees.

Optimal selective classification using likelihood ratios improves model reliability.

problem Enhancing predictive model reliability by allowing uncertain predictions.
method Neyman--Pearson lemma applied to likelihood ratios for optimal selection.
result Neyman--Pearson-informed methods outperform existing baselines under covariate shifts.

This work builds a fair classification algorithm that abstains from making predictions.

problem Building a fair classification algorithm that incorporates human decision-making and avoids disparities.
method Formalizes the problem of risk minimization under fairness and abstention constraints, derives the optimal classifier, and proposes a post-processing algorithm using unlabeled data.
result The proposed algorithm achieves fairness and abstention guarantees independently of the initial classifier, provided sufficient unlabeled data is available.

This paper characterizes and designs loss functions for robust classification with abstention.

problem Ensuring robustness against adversarial attacks and knowing when to abstain from prediction.
method Proposes adversarial robust reject option loss and characterizes surrogates for calibration.
result Shifted Double Ramp Loss and Shifted Double Sigmoid Loss satisfy the calibration conditions.

p-DkNN uses deep representations to detect out-of-distribution data with statistical tests.

problem Lack of reliable confidence estimates in neural networks for safety-critical applications.
method Statistical testing of deep neural network's intermediate hidden representations.
result p-DkNN enables more accurate and reliable predictions by abstaining from incorrect predictions.

Adaptive algorithm identifies best arm with abstention, showing phase transition from polynomial to exponential error probability.

problem Bayesian best-arm identification with abstention to reduce undetected error.
method Adaptive algorithm PGWS that optimally uses abstention budget.
result Introducing any positive abstention budget induces an exponential decay in undetected error probability.

A new model for sequential prediction handles adversarial examples by allowing abstention.

problem Sequential prediction algorithms fail with adversarial examples, leading to incorrect predictions.
method Proposes a new model that allows abstention from predictions on adversarial examples, scaling error with VC dimension.
result A learner's error scales with the VC dimension of the hypothesis class, matching the stochastic setting.

Approves updates to machine learning models in healthcare based on accumulating data.

problem Designing policies to autonomously approve updates to machine learning algorithms in non-stationary settings.
method Learning-to-approve (L2A) approach that uses accumulating monitoring data to learn how to approve modifications.
result L2A learns to abstain when performance drops are common and approves beneficial modifications quickly when the distribution is stable.

We study active learning where the labeler can not only return incorrect labels but also abstain from labeling. We consider different noise and abstention conditions of the labeler. We propose an algorithm which utilizes abstention responses, and analyze its statistical consistency and query complexity under fairly nat…

2016-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning compact and interpretable representations is a very natural task, which has not been solved satisfactorily even for simple binary datasets. In this paper, we review various ways of composing experts for binary data and argue that competitive forms of interaction are best suited to learn low-dimensional represe…

2014-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This thesis enhances ML reliability by selectively abstaining from predictions when uncertain.

problem Improving reliability in machine learning systems, especially in high-stakes domains.
method Exploiting uncertainty signals from training trajectories to develop lightweight, post-hoc abstention methods compatible with differential privacy.
result A robust trajectory-based approach to selective prediction that maintains high accuracy under privacy noise.

We study pool-based active learning with abstention feedbacks where a labeler can abstain from labeling a queried example with some unknown abstention rate. This is an important problem with many useful applications. We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and develop two new greedy algorithms that learn both the cl…

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We study pool-based active learning with abstention feedbacks, where a labeler can abstain from labeling a queried example with some unknown abstention rate. This is an important problem with many useful applications. We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and develop two new greedy algorithms that learn both the c…

2017-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This work is motivated by numerical solutions to Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequalities (HJBQVIs) associated with combined stochastic and impulse control problems. In particular, we consider (i) direct control, (ii) penalized, and (iii) semi-Lagrangian discretization schemes applied to the HJBQVI proble…

2015-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of nn-class classification (n2n\geq 2), where the classifier can choose to abstain from making predictions at a given cost, say, a factor αα of the cost of misclassification. Designing consistent algorithms for such nn-class classification problems with a `reject option' is the main goal of t…

2015-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified Uncertainty Calibration improves AI predictions by combining different types of uncertainty.

problem AI classifiers struggle with uncertainty, leading to miscalibrated predictions and poor performance.
method Unified Uncertainty Calibration (U2C) combines aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties to improve prediction quality.
result U2C outperforms traditional reject-or-classify methods across various ImageNet benchmarks.

Learning in the presence of label noise is a challenging yet important task: it is crucial to design models that are robust in the presence of mislabeled datasets. In this paper, we discover that a new class of loss functions called the gambler's loss provides strong robustness to label noise across various levels of c…

2020-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for selective classification trades off accuracy for coverage.

problem Selective classification allows a classifier to abstain from predicting some instances.
method Optimizes a collection of class-wise decoupled one-sided empirical risks.
result The method achieves near-optimal coverage in high target accuracy regimes.

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models by letting them either output a prediction set or abstain when the uncertainty is…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new selective regression method using conformal prediction.

problem The need for models to abstain from predictions in cases of uncertainty.
method Leverages conformal prediction to provide grounded confidence measures for individual predictions based on model-specific biases.
result Demonstrates an advantage over state-of-the-art baselines in selective regression.

This paper benchmarks uncertainty disentanglement across various tasks.

problem Disentangling multiple sources of uncertainty for specialized tasks.
method Reimplemented and evaluated a wide range of uncertainty estimators.
result No existing approach provides disentangled uncertainty estimators in practice.

Optimal regression with reject option using conditional variance thresholding.

problem Regression with reject option to handle uncertain predictions.
method Derive optimal rule based on thresholding conditional variance, semi-supervised estimation using labeled and unlabeled data.
result The predictor with reject option is almost as good as the optimal predictor in terms of risk and rejection rate.

Dynamic abstention improves LLM accuracy by selectively terminating unpromising reasoning.

problem LLMs waste compute on incorrect responses, leading to inefficiency.
method Formal reinforcement learning framework with abstention reward parameter.
result Dynamic abstention outperforms natural baselines in selective accuracy.

Paper connects rejection learning to Bhattacharyya divergence.

problem Learning models to abstain from predictions.
method Developed a link between rejection and thresholding different statistical divergences, focusing on Bhattacharyya divergence.
result Rejector obtained by joint ideal distribution corresponds to thresholding of skewed Bhattacharyya divergence.