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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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87173260346 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for time-limited observers

Paper presents a unique method to recover signals from their bispectrum.

problem Retrieving signals accurately from their bispectrum.
method Two-step trust region algorithm that minimizes a non-convex objective function.
result Signals with finite spectral or temporal support can be recovered from at least 3B measurements of their bispectrum.

Study on quaternionic stochastic areas and their large-time limits.

problem Characterizing quaternionic stochastic areas and their limits.
method Analysis of Brownian motions on quaternionic spaces, computation of characteristic functions, Doob transform, and semigroup densities.
result Explicit formulas for the semigroup densities of stochastic area processes.

Paper solves Bayesian bandit problem with continuous-time limit and approximate policy.

problem Finding optimal policy in Bayesian bandit problems with large horizons.
method Reformulates Bayesian bandit problem as continuous Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation and proposes approximate Bayes-optimal policy.
result Approximate Bayes-optimal policy for large horizons with constant computational cost.

Time-limited metaheuristics find near-optimal solutions for constrained portfolio optimisation.

problem Finding near-optimal solutions for constrained portfolio optimisation within limited computation time.
method Time-limited metaheuristics (simulated annealing, tabu search, genetic algorithm) tested on historical market data.
result Simulated annealing found near-optimal solutions in 5 seconds across most datasets.

We compute explicitly, and without any extra regularity assumptions, the large time limit of the fibrewise heat operator for Bismut-Lott type superconnections in the L^2-setting. This is motivated by index theory on certain non-compact spaces (families of manifolds with cocompact group action) where the convergence of …

2013-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the pricing of derivatives written on the discretely sampled realized variance of an underlying security. In the literature, the realized variance is usually approximated by its continuous-time limit, the quadratic variation of the underlying log-price. Here, we characterize the small-time limits of options…

2010-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty of a market participant, we follow a Bayesian approach to option pricing. Here …

2016-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

DEBIAS learns causal effects from psychiatric longitudinal data by optimizing outcome weights.

problem Causal inference challenges in psychiatric longitudinal data due to symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding.
method DEBIAS algorithm that optimizes outcome weights to maximize durable treatment effects and minimize confounding.
result DEBIAS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in recovering causal effects for clinically interpretable composite outcomes.

Diffusion means converge to extrinsic means for long times on spheres.

problem Understanding the long-time behavior of diffusion means on manifolds.
method Introduced diffusion means as a parameterized family of location statistics on manifolds, and analyzed their convergence to extrinsic means for long times.
result For real projective spaces and connected compact symmetric spaces, the long-time limit of diffusion means is conjectured to be the extrinsic mean in the isometric embedding.

Study on Ricci flows of awesome homogeneous spaces, proving finite extinction time.

problem Understanding the long-time behavior of Ricci flows on homogeneous spaces.
method Analyzing Ricci flows on non-compact manifolds, focusing on finite extinction time.
result Ricci flows on non-contractible spaces have finite extinction time, confirming conjecture.

Gradient descent variants improve phase retrieval accuracy.

problem Phase retrieval problem in high-dimensional spaces.
method Gradient descent, stochastic gradient descent, Langevin algorithm, dynamical mean-field theory.
result Stochastic variants of gradient descent achieve better generalization in phase retrieval.

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk (CTRW) theory to financial tick data of the bond futures transacted in Korean Futures Exchange (KOFEX) market. For our case, the tick dynamical behaviors of the returns and volatility for bond futures are treated particularly at the long-time limit. The volatili…

2003-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the continuous time random walk theory from financial tick data of the yen-dollar exchange rate transacted at the Japanese financial market. The dynamical behavior of returns and volatilities in this case is particularly treated at the long-time limit. We find that the volatility for prices shows a power-law w…

2004-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that three-dimensional homogeneous Ricci flow solutions that admit finite-volume quotients have long-time limits given by expanding solitons. We show that the same is true for a large class of four-dimensional homogeneous solutions. We give an extension of Hamilton's compactness theorem that does not assume a l…

2005-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

NAPLES resolves lead-lag analysis challenges in non-synchronous high-frequency data.

problem Challenges in analyzing lead-lag effects due to non-synchronous observations and high-frequency data.
method NAPLES (Negative And Positive lead-lag EStimator) resolves these challenges.
result NAPLES has a strong correlation with actual lead-lag effects, including those triggered by macroeconomic announcements.

Stein transport improves Bayesian inference with faster convergence and reduced variance.

problem Efficiently approximating posterior distributions in Bayesian inference.
method A novel Bayesian inference method using Stein transport, which pushes particles along a curve of tempered distributions.
result Stein transport reaches posterior approximations faster and more accurately than Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD).

Work on SGDm under heavy-tailed noise, revealing its generalization properties.

problem Understanding generalization of SGDm under heavy-tailed noise.
method Analysis of continuous-time limit (SDE) and discrete-time SGDm, establishing generalization bounds.
result SGDm can have worse generalization in the presence of heavy-tailed noise for quadratic loss functions.

Improved prediction algorithm for 'easy' sequences with reduced regret.

problem Prediction with expert advice for 'easy' sequences.
method Variant of NormalHedge algorithm using second-order εε-quantile regret bound.
result Second-order εε-quantile regret bound of O(VTlog(VT/ε))O\big(\sqrt{V_T \log(V_T/ε)}\big) for VT>logNV_T > \log N.

We prove limit theorems for the super-replication cost of European options in a Binomial model with friction. The examples covered are markets with proportional transaction costs and the illiquid markets. The dual representation for the super-replication cost in these models are obtained and used to prove the limit the…

2011-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent theoretical results establish that time-consistent valuations (i.e. pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of well-known actuarial premium principles when such backward iteration procedures are applied. We show tha…

2011-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the tick dynamical behavior of the bond futures in Korean Futures Exchange(KOFEX) market. Since the survival probability in the continuous-time random walk theory is applied to the bond futures transaction, the form of the decay function in our bond futures model is discussed from two kinds of Korean Treasury …

2002-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes SME for ASGD, revealing dynamics and optimal mini-batching.

problem Understanding and optimizing ASGD algorithms.
method Develops SME for ASGD, proving convergence and solving optimal control problem.
result ASGD converges to SME in continuous time limit and predicts ASGD trajectories.

Analyzes SGD's behavior under heavy-tailed noise, deriving step-size conditions for metastability.

problem Analyzing SGD's performance under heavy-tailed gradient noise.
method Modeling SGD as a discretized SDE driven by Lévy motion, deriving step-size conditions.
result Identifies small step-sizes for discrete system to inherit continuous-time system's metastability behavior.

The study examines the long-term behavior of mean curvature flows in closed 3-manifolds.

problem Understanding the long-term behavior of mean curvature flows in closed 3-manifolds.
method The approach involves constructing piecewise almost regular flows and applying perturbative arguments.
result The study constructs minimal surfaces in 3-manifolds via parabolic methods.

Constructs constant spacetime mean curvature surfaces for hyperboloidal initial data sets.

problem Creating a foliation of constant spacetime mean curvature surfaces for asymptotically hyperboloidal initial data sets.
method Long time limit of volume preserving spacetime mean curvature flow starting from a constant mean curvature foliation.
result Obtains a foliation of constant spacetime mean curvature surfaces as the long time limit.

Subjective expected utility theory assumes that decision-makers possess unlimited computational resources to reason about their choices; however, virtually all decisions in everyday life are made under resource constraints - i.e. decision-makers are bounded in their rationality. Here we experimentally tested the predic…

2016-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study an agent-based stock market model with heterogeneous agents and friction. Our model is based on that of Foellmer-Schweizer(1993): The process of a stock price in a discrete-time framework is determined by temporary equilibria via agents' excess demand functions, and the diffusion approximation approach is appl…

2013-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on how non-reversible diffusion processes affect homology on manifolds.

problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of random homology in diffusion processes.
method Investigation of asymptotic properties of random homology associated with stochastic diffusion processes on compact Riemannian manifolds.
result For quadratic rate, manifold is a locally trivial fiber bundle over a flat torus with minimal fibers.

Blockchain trading faces limits due to time-consuming settlement, exposing arbitrageurs to price risk.

problem Time-consuming settlement in blockchain trading limits arbitrage opportunities.
method Analysis of Bitcoin network and order book data.
result Cross-exchange price differences coincide with high settlement latency and low default risk.