We develop a model of tax evasion based on the Ising model. We augment the model using an appropriate enforcement mechanism that may allow policy makers to curb tax evasion. With a certain probability tax evaders are subject to an audit. If they get caught they behave honestly for a certain number of periods. Simulatin…
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48 results for “tax evasion”
We investigate an inhomogeneous Ising model in the context of tax evasion dynamics where different types of agents are parametrized via local temperatures and magnetic fields. In particular, we analyse the impact of backauditing and endogenously determined penalty rates on tax compliance. Both features contribute to a …
We analyze income tax evasion dynamics in a standard model of statistical mechanics, the Ising model of ferromagnetism. However, in contrast to previous research, we use an inhomogeneous multi-dimensional Ising model where the local degrees of freedom (agents) are subject to a specific social temperature and coupled to…
Tool detects tax evasion on social media using multi-modal deep learning.
problem Detecting tax evasion on social media platforms.
method Developed a multi-modal deep neural network combining comments, hashtags, and images.
result Multi-modal deep neural network achieved AUC of 0.808 and F1 score of 0.762.
Microscopic models describing a whole of economic interactions in a closed society are considered. The presence of a tax system combined with a redistribution process is taken into account, as well as the occurrence of tax evasion. In particular, the existence is postulated, in relation to the level of evasion, of diff…
Study finds tax avoidance and IT issues hinder revenue in Gombe state.
problem Problems of personal income tax on revenue generation in Gombe state.
method Survey with primary and secondary data, chi square test.
result Tax avoidance and IT issues are major problems.
Stochastic compliance/evasion dynamics in tax models: a piecewise deterministic Markov process approachphysics.soc-ph
New model predicts dynamic tax evasion with audits and imitation.
problem Static treatment of tax compliance and evasion in Bertotti and Modanese model.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) for audits and imitation mechanisms.
result Model shows persistent fluctuations and stationary distribution, not extreme equilibrium.
We consider the static and dynamic models of Cournot duopoly with tax evasion. In the dynamic model we introduce the time delay and we analyze the local stability of the stationary state. There is a critical value of the delay when the Hopf bifurcation occurs.
Tax evasion is the illegal evasion of taxes by individuals, corporations, and trusts. The revenue loss from tax avoidance can undermine the effectiveness and equity of the government policies. A standard measure of tax evasion is the tax gap, that can be estimated as the difference between the total amounts of tax theo…
We calculate the dynamics of tax evasion within a multi-agent econophysics model which is adopted from the theory of magnetism and previously has been shown to capture the main characteristics from agent-based based models which build on the standard Allingham and Sandmo approach. In particular, we implement a feedback…
This paper presents a simple agent-based model of an economic system, populated by agents playing different games according to their different view about social cohesion and tax payment. After a first set of simulations, correctly replicating results of existing literature, a wider analysis is presented in order to stu…
Micro to macro models for income distribution in the absence and in the presence of tax evasionq-fin.GN
We investigate the effect of tax evasion on the income distribution and the inequality index of a society through a kinetic model described by a set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The model allows to compute the global outcome of binary and multiple microscopic interactions between individuals. When evas…
Benford's law predicted digit distribution of aggregated income taxes: the surprising conformity of Italian cities and regionsphysics.soc-ph
The yearly aggregated tax income data of all, more than 8000, Italian municipalities are analyzed for a period of five years, from 2007 to 2011, to search for conformity or not with Benford's law, a counter-intuitive phenomenon observed in large tabulated data where the occurrence of numbers having smaller initial digi…
A microscopic dynamic model is here constructed and analyzed, describing the evolution of the income distribution in the presence of taxation and redistribution in a society in which also tax evasion and auditing processes occur. The focus is on effects of enforcement regimes, characterized by different choices of the …
From Gravity to Confinement: Wealth Redistribution as Optimal Drift Design in the Fokker-Planck Frameworkphysics.soc-ph
Wealth redistribution through Fokker-Planck equation controls preserves Gini coefficient.
problem Preserving Gini coefficient through proportional wealth tax.
method Formulating optimal redistribution as a control problem for Fokker-Planck equation.
result Progressive taxes redistribute within policy-relevant timescales.
Reviews spams are prevalent in e-commerce to manipulate product ranking and customers decisions maliciously. While spams generated based on simple spamming strategy can be detected effectively, hardened spammers can evade regular detectors via more advanced spamming strategies. Previous work gave more attention to evas…
Can LLMs Identify Tax Abuse?q-fin.CP
LLMs can identify tax strategies, potentially revolutionizing tax enforcement.
problem Detecting and analyzing U.S. tax-minimization strategies.
method Evaluated advanced LLMs on interpreting, verifying, and generating tax strategies.
result Identified a novel tax strategy, showing LLMs' potential in tax enforcement.
Flow taxes and stock taxes preserve portfolio neutrality under specific conditions.
problem Analyzing the impact of different types of taxes on portfolio choice.
method Extending the neutrality result to a full system of ownership taxes, showing how each tax modifies the drift of the wealth process.
result The combined system of taxes preserves portfolio neutrality under three conditions, and the drift-shift symmetry generalizes to a drift-shift-and-rescale symmetry.
Proposes a fix for IRS calculation of Obamacare tax credits.
problem IRS iteration leads to divergent sequences for some self-employed taxpayers.
method Introduces a bisection procedure to calculate premium tax credits.
result Bisection procedure works for simple tax returns and those receiving credits in advance.
We introduce two models of taxation, the latent and natural tax processes, which have both been used to represent loss-carry-forward taxation on the capital of an insurance company. In the natural tax process, the tax rate is a function of the current level of capital, whereas in the latent tax process, the tax rate is…
Germany's tax admin costs likely exceed 20% of total revenue, requiring system improvement.
problem High tax administrative costs in Germany and other jurisdictions.
method Statistical data, surveys, and a novel approach to measure total administrative cost as a percentage of total tax revenue.
result Germany's 2021 tax administrative costs likely exceeded 20% of total tax revenue.
We model the quantities appearing in Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax guidance for calculating the health insurance premium tax credit created by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare. We ask the question of whether there is a procedure, computable by hand, which can calculate the appr…
Research analyzes Georgia's tax system and suggests improvements.
problem Improving tax revenues in Georgia's state budget.
method Analysis of past and present tax systems, review of influencing factors, comparison of foreign models.
result Stimulating measures can increase tax revenues for Georgia's state budget.
This paper explores evasion attacks against Bayesian models.
problem Bayesian predictive models are vulnerable to evasion attacks.
method Developed gradient-based attacks for specific point predictions and entire posterior distributions.
result Optimal evasion attacks can be designed against Bayesian models.
In this paper, we propose stock trading based on the average tax basis. Recall that when selling stocks, capital gain should be taxed while capital loss can earn certain tax rebate. We learn the optimal trading strategies with and without considering taxes by reinforcement learning. The result shows that tax ignorance …
Cont-Bouchaud percolation model including Tobin taxcond-mat.stat-mech
The Tobin tax is an often discussed method to tame speculation and get a source of income. The discussion is especially heated when the financial markets are in crisis. In this article we refer to foreign exchange markets. The Tobin tax should be a small international tax affecting all currency transactions and thus co…
Taxation and Valuationq-fin.GN
I explain the root of persistent failure of efforts to remove tax-induced distortions of economic incentives. It lies in FUNDAMENTAL IMPOSSIBILITY of objectively evaluating tax base. Distortions can be entirely avoided in the sector of publicly traded corporations. Evaluation can be bypassed by taxing it in shares (to …
Develops a method to optimize tax codes with practical constraints.
problem Translating optimal taxation theory into practical tax codes.
method Constrained optimization framework for piecewise linear tax functions.
result Generates reforms that meet theoretical and practical constraints.
New model improves classifier security against evasion attacks by selecting features.
problem Security of machine learning classifiers against evasion attacks.
method Adversary-aware feature selection model incorporating specific adversary assumptions.
result Classifier security worsens with feature selection, but new model improves it.
A dynamic agent model is introduced with an annual random wealth multiplicative process followed by taxes paid according to a linear wealth-dependent tax rate. If poor agents pay higher tax rates than rich agents, eventually all wealth becomes concentrated in the hands of a single agent. By contrast, if poor agents are…
Study of pursuit-evasion game on sphere and its relation to planar Apollonius circle.
problem Analyzing pursuit-evasion game on a sphere and its properties.
method Extending classical planar pursuit-evasion game to spherical geometry, studying equilibrium intercept points and their relation to Apollonius domain.
result Condition for intercept point to belong to Apollonius domain on sphere, analogous to planar game.
AI-driven tax policies improve economic equality and productivity.
problem Lack of appropriate economic data and limited opportunity to experiment.
method Two-level deep reinforcement learning approach to learn dynamic tax policies from observational data.
result AI-driven tax policies improve the trade-off between equality and productivity by 16%.
Extensions to the Wealth Tax Neutrality Frameworkphysics.soc-ph
Extends wealth tax neutrality framework to stochastic volatility and non-homothetic preferences.
problem Ensuring wealth taxes are neutral under various economic conditions.
method Extended Frøseth's neutrality framework to stochastic volatility and non-homothetic preferences, identified four channels of non-neutrality, and applied the framework to global minimum wealth taxes.
result Non-uniform assessment, general equilibrium effects, progressive thresholds, and endogenous labour supply can cause non-neutrality under CRRA preferences.
This paper combines and develops the models in Lastrapes (2002) and Mankiw & Weil (1989), which enables us to analyze the effects of interest rate and population growth shocks on housing price in one integrated framework. Based on this model, we carry out policy simulations to examine whether the housing (stock or flow…
Pursuit-evasion is a multi-agent sequential decision problem wherein a group of agents known as pursuers coordinate their traversal of a spatial domain to locate an agent trying to evade them. Pursuit evasion problems arise in a number of import application domains including defense and route planning. Learning to opti…
This article describes and explores taxes and debt in finance. Here a situation is thought about, where tax payments would qualify to be considered as debt. Using this principle we can infer that it is possible to create and price a type of bond (Tax Normalization Guarantee) for companies, which would allow them to ent…
Computes sections of a submersion and applies to evasion path problem.
problem Evasion path problem for mobile sensor networks.
method Computation of sections from fiber homotopy groups and time-varying homology/cohomology.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for evasion paths and lower bounds.
Statistical evaluations of the economic mobility of a society are more difficult than measurements of the income distribution, because they require to follow the evolution of the individuals' income for at least one or two generations. In micro-to-macro theoretical models of economic exchanges based on kinetic equation…
Optimal loss-carry-forward taxation for Lévy risk processes stopped at general draw-down timeq-fin.MF
Motivated by Kyprianou and Zhou (2009), Wang and Hu (2012), Avram et al. (2017), Li et al. (2017) and Wang and Zhou (2018), we consider in this paper the problem of maximizing the expected accumulated discounted tax payments of an insurance company, whose reserve process (before taxes are deducted) evolves as a spectra…
We study the problem of determining risk-minimizing investment strategies for insurance payment processes in the presence of taxes and expenses. We consider the situation where taxes and expenses are paid continuously and symmetrically and introduce the concept of tax- and expense-modified risk-minimization. Risk-minim…
Tobin tax and market depthcond-mat.stat-mech
This paper investigates - on the basis of the Cont-Bouchaud model - whether a Tobin tax can stabilize foreign exchange markets. Compared to earlier studies, this paper explicitly recognizes that a transaction tax-induced reduction in market depth may increase the price responsiveness of a given order. We find that the …
Wealth tax equivalent to government stake, affecting returns and portfolio choice.
problem Effect of proportional wealth tax on asset returns and portfolio choice.
method Analyzes the economic equivalence and multiplicative separability of wealth tax, deriving four main results.
result The coefficient of variation of wealth is invariant to the tax rate, and optimal portfolio weights are independent of the tax rate.
Study on tax administration issues and their impact on Georgia's budget revenues.
problem Problems in revenue administration and tax rates in Georgia.
method Analyzed foreign experience and proposed a progressive tax system.
result A progressive tax system would benefit Georgia's business and economy.
The paper certifies decision trees against evasion attacks using program analysis.
problem Vulnerability of decision tree models to evasion attacks by maliciously crafted perturbations.
method Transform decision trees into imperative programs for program analysis, leveraging abstract interpretation.
result Soundly verifies security guarantees of decision tree models, yielding minimal false positives.
Due to economic globalization, each country's economic law, including tax laws and tax treaties, has been forced to work as a single network. However, each jurisdiction (country or region) has not made its economic law under the assumption that its law functions as an element of one network, so it has brought unexpecte…
Despite its success and popularity, machine learning is now recognized as vulnerable to evasion attacks, i.e., carefully crafted perturbations of test inputs designed to force prediction errors. In this paper we focus on evasion attacks against decision tree ensembles, which are among the most successful predictive mod…
Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance the nearest instance such that the classifier predictions of and are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree ensembles such as boosted trees and random forests. Our first algorithm uses a Mixe…
Paper forecasts tax revenues in Bulgaria during pandemic.
problem Forecasting tax revenues during pandemic.
method Model based on IMF recommendations, using 1995-2019 data.
result Pandemic negatively impacts tax revenues, but econometrics can still produce forecasts.