Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

162325487649 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for targeted effects

In this paper, we show the spooky effect at a distance that arises in optimal estimation of multiple targets with the optimal sub-pattern assignment (OSPA) metric. This effect refers to the fact that if we have several independent potential targets at distant locations, a change in the probability of existence of one o…

2019-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.

problem Determining which students to target for financial aid renewal to maximize effectiveness.
method Used causal forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects and targeted students accordingly; compared targeting low vs high predicted probability outcomes.
result Targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes yields the highest effectiveness in financial aid renewal.

New study finds targeting based on treatment effects outperforms risk-based targeting in social interventions.

problem Lack of accurate treatment effect estimates for machine learning-based targeting in social domains.
method Empirical assessment of targeting strategies using data from 5 real-world RCTs in various domains.
result Treatment effect-based targeting outperforms risk-based targeting, even with biased estimates.

SNAP efficiently identifies causal effects without needing full graph learning.

problem Efficiently estimating causal effects on a subset of variables.
method Sequential Non-Ancestor Pruning (SNAP) framework.
result SNAP reduces independence tests and computation time without sacrificing causal effect estimations.

Policy-gradient method controls multiple non-cohesive targets.

problem Controlling multiple non-cohesive targets in a decentralized manner.
method Proximal Policy Optimization for target selection and driving.
result Effective control of non-cohesive targets without prior dynamics knowledge.

This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.

problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.

Framework optimizes targeting high-need individuals while estimating treatment effects.

problem Balancing resource allocation to high-need individuals with evaluating treatment effects.
method Proposes a framework to design randomized allocation rules that balance targeting high-need recipients with learning treatment effects.
result Optimized policies can significantly mitigate the tradeoff between targeting high-need individuals and estimating treatment effects.

A novel framework synthesizes treatment data across sites using optimal transport.

problem Estimating treatment effects across different sites with varying conditions.
method Distributional causal inference, Optimal Transport for alignment of control group distributions.
result Synthetic treatment group data aligns with true target distribution under general conditions.

A new method estimates treatment effects in mixed groups, improving accuracy.

problem Estimating treatment effects in mixed groups with heterogeneous responses.
method PCM (pre-cluster and merge) approach for nonparametric estimation.
result Asymptotic consistency and significant improvement in accuracy over existing methods.

With the increasing variety of services that e-commerce platforms provide, criteria for evaluating their success become also increasingly multi-targeting. This work introduces a multi-target optimization framework with Bayesian modeling of the target events, called Deep Bayesian Multi-Target Learning (DBMTL). In this f…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

GEFA predicts drug-target affinity using graph neural networks.

problem Accurate prediction of drug-target interactions for rapid drug repurposing.
method GEFA (Graph Early Fusion Affinity) is a novel graph-in-graph neural network with attention mechanism.
result GEFA effectively models drug-target interactions, demonstrating the effectiveness of pre-trained protein embedding and nested graph representation.

Transfer learning aims to faciliate learning tasks in a label-scarce target domain by leveraging knowledge from a related source domain with plenty of labeled data. Often times we may have multiple domains with little or no labeled data as targets waiting to be solved. Most existing efforts tackle target domains separa…

2017-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper evaluates targeted data poisoning attacks by focusing on the hardest samples, improving evaluation and defense strategies.

problem The effectiveness of targeted data poisoning attacks is often overestimated due to average evaluation methods.
method The paper introduces metrics to identify the hardest and easiest to poison samples based on clean model information.
result The proposed metrics reliably stratify samples by poisoning vulnerability, enabling rigorous worst-case evaluation and proactive defense.

Local causal structure learning aims to discover and distinguish direct causes (parents) and direct effects (children) of a variable of interest from data. While emerging successes have been made, existing methods need to search a large space to distinguish direct causes from direct effects of a target variable \emph{T…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced Bayesian target encoding uses sampling techniques to improve model performance.

problem Improving target encoding for better model performance in machine learning.
method Using sampling techniques in Bayesian target encoding to extract intra-category distribution information.
result Improves generalization and reduces target leakage in machine learning models.

The paper investigates how target normalization and momentum affect dying ReLUs in neural networks.

problem Understanding and mitigating the dying ReLU problem in neural networks.
method Empirical analysis and theoretical modeling of a discrete-time linear autonomous system.
result Target variance plays a crucial role in the dying ReLU phenomenon, and momentum exacerbates this issue.

We focus on the problem of search in the multilingual setting. Examining the problems of next-sentence prediction and inverse cloze, we show that at large scale, instance-based transfer learning is surprisingly effective in the multilingual setting, leading to positive transfer on all of the 35 target languages and two…

2019-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves online learning by correcting for target shift in machine learning.

problem Online learning struggles with distributional shift, especially in target values.
method Derives closed-form expressions for online and offline learning, and target correction.
result Online kernel-based learning can learn the same predictor as offline learning with target correction.

For deep learning applications, the massive data development (e.g., collecting, labeling), which is an essential process in building practical applications, still incurs seriously high costs. In this work, we propose an effective data augmentation method based on generative adversarial networks (GANs), called Domain Fu…

2019-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to correct for covariate shift in meta-analysis of randomized trials.

problem Invalidation of standard IPD meta-analysis due to covariate shift across studies.
method Placebo-anchored transport framework that treats source-trial outcomes as proxy signals and target-trial placebo outcomes as gold labels.
result Yields target-identified effect estimates in connected targets and a principled screen--then--transport procedure in disconnected targets.

Study shows pretraining and finetuning can effectively tackle covariate shift in linear regression.

problem Linear regression under covariate shift where source and target distributions differ but conditional distribution remains similar.
method Pretraining on source data and finetuning on target data using online SGD.
result Transfer learning with O(N2)O(N^2) source data is as effective as supervised learning with NN target data.

The purpose of this note is two give a mathematical treatment to the low energy effective theory of the two-dimensional sigma model. Perhaps surprisingly, our low energy effective theory encodes much of the topology and geometry of the target manifold. In particular, we relate the ββ-function of our theory to the Ricc…

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles adaptive targeting in networks with interference effects.

problem Adaptive targeting under network interference in a bandit setting.
method Linear model in a sparse regime, analyzing different levels of knowledge of the interference structure.
result Unified view of how knowledge of the interference structure affects online learning efficiency.

Optimizes treatment allocation in networks considering indirect effects.

problem Finding optimal treatment allocation in network settings with interference.
method OTAPI: Optimizing Treatment Allocation in the Presence of Interference, integrating causal estimators into IM algorithms.
result OTAPI outperforms classic IM and UM approaches on synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets.

This work explores Target Networks and Functional Regularization in deep Reinforcement Learning.

problem Stability and performance issues in deep Reinforcement Learning due to target value instability.
method Proposes and studies an explicit Functional Regularization approach as a replacement for Target Networks.
result Functional Regularization improves performance and stability compared to Target Networks.

Distillation is an effective knowledge-transfer technique that uses predicted distributions of a powerful teacher model as soft targets to train a less-parameterized student model. A pre-trained high capacity teacher, however, is not always available. Recently proposed online variants use the aggregated intermediate pr…

2019-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing data.

problem Confounding and missing data in TND studies of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates.
method Targeted maximum likelihood estimation using a semiparametric logistic regression model.
result Valid causal inference of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing exposure data.

Neural networks learn the support of the target function through SGD's implicit regularization effect.

problem Learning the support of the target function in neural networks.
method Investigation of mini-batch SGD's ability to learn the support in the first layer of a neural network.
result Mini-batch SGD effectively learns the support in the first layer by shrinking irrelevant weights, while vanilla GD requires an explicit regularization term.

This work transfers causal knowledge between tasks for Individual Treatment Effect estimation.

problem Estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) requires a large amount of data, making it challenging.
method The authors introduce a practical framework for efficient transfer of causal knowledge between tasks, using a Causal Inference Task Affinity (CITA) measure.
result ITE knowledge transfer can significantly reduce the amount of data needed for ITE estimation.

Paper tackles target shift in zero-shot learning using adversarial learning.

problem Target shift in zero-shot learning leads to performance degradation.
method Estimates target shift using class-attribute mapping and applies grouped adversarial learning.
result Improves zero-shot learning performance on multiple datasets.

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analog of average social welfare when spillovers occur. I construct semi-parametric welfare estimators with known and unknow…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Generates counterfactuals in target domain from source domain observations.

problem Cross-domain learning with domain shifts and lack of parallel datasets.
method Unsupervised, Neural Causal Models, Joint Causal Graphs, Effect-Intrinsic vs Domain-Intrinsic Variables.
result Framework generates counterfactuals that closely match ground truth.

Paper explains learning property of logistic and softmax losses for balanced and imbalanced class data.

problem Understanding and optimizing loss functions for deep neural networks with class imbalances.
method Analyzing necessary conditions for convergence of logistic and softmax losses in CNNs.
result Proposes a novel reweighted logistic loss function that improves performance over softmax loss.

Transfer learning aims to improve learning in target domain by borrowing knowledge from a related but different source domain. To reduce the distribution shift between source and target domains, recent methods have focused on exploring invariant representations that have similar distributions across domains. However, w…

2017-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates treatment effects over time for survival data, improving accuracy and smoothness.

problem Estimating treatment effects over time for survival data with left truncation and right censoring.
method surv-iTMLE, a targeted learning procedure for estimating conditional survival probabilities.
result surv-iTMLE outperforms existing methods in bias and smoothness of time-varying effect estimates.

Proposes a model to estimate effects of multiple related treatments.

problem Estimating effects of many related treatments in observational data.
method Customized ridge regression to reduce noise and MSE.
result Significantly reduces MSE for individual sub-treatments while allowing reconstruction of aggregated treatment effects.