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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3774111148 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for systematic bias

Machine learning models predict brain age with systematic bias, corrected in this study.

problem Systematic bias in machine learning regression models for brain age prediction.
method General constrained optimization approach to correct bias.
result Our method effectively eliminates the bias from brain age predictions.

The paper introduces Relative Bias to quantify LLM bias systematically.

problem Quantifying bias in LLMs is challenging due to ambiguity and rapid model emergence.
method Relative Bias framework using Embedding Transformation and LLM-as-a-Judge methodologies.
result The two scoring methods show strong alignment, providing a systematic approach.

Study shows non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.

problem Non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.
method Used real customer satisfaction survey data of a large retail bank to show the irreducible error and suggest thoughtful survey design methods.
result A thoughtful survey design can reduce non-systematic error in customer satisfaction surveys.

Study on NNs for forecasting time series with novel control variable combinations.

problem Forecast future time series with novel combinations of control variables.
method Modular NN architecture with inductive bias for independence of control variables.
result Modular NN architecture improves forecasting of dependent variables up to large horizons.

Paper resolves bias in ALFT training using generalized alignment games.

problem Systematic bias in estimating logarithmic rewards from small batches.
method Generalized Distributional Alignment Games, U-statistics, minimax polynomial estimators, Variance-Optimal Augmented Polynomial Optimization Program (AQP) Estimator.
result Proves optimal bias and accelerated convergence in ALFT training.

LatentNN corrects neural network attenuation bias in astronomical data.

problem Neural networks underestimate extreme values due to measurement errors.
method Jointly optimizes network parameters and latent input values.
result LatentNN reduces attenuation bias across various signal-to-noise ratios.

A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method An anchored neural architecture and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference.
result Corrected bias and maintained nominal coverage in high-dimensional settings.

In high dimensional settings, density estimation algorithms rely crucially on their inductive bias. Despite recent empirical success, the inductive bias of deep generative models is not well understood. In this paper we propose a framework to systematically investigate bias and generalization in deep generative models …

2018-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Systematic review of ML models for detecting social media deception.

problem Detecting fake news, spam, and fake accounts on social media.
method 36 studies evaluated using PROBAST tool, identifying biases and limitations.
result Over-reliance on accuracy in imbalanced data settings is a flaw.

Recent years have seen an increased level of interest in pricing equity options under a stochastic volatility model such as the Heston model. Often, simulating a Heston model is difficult, as a standard finite difference scheme may lead to significant bias in the simulation result. Reducing the bias to an acceptable le…

2011-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes synthetic data generator to study and mitigate bias in machine learning.

problem Bias in machine learning data can lead to unfair outcomes.
method Developed a synthetic data generator to introduce and analyze various types of bias.
result Demonstrated how synthetic data can be used to study and mitigate bias in machine learning models.

Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which usually causes subsampling bias, inflates generalization errors and jeopardizes the r…

2019-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian hybrid models fuse physics-based insights with machine learning constructs to correct for systematic bias. In this paper, we compare Bayesian hybrid models against physics-based glass-box and Gaussian process black-box surrogate models. We consider ballistic firing as an illustrative case study for a Bayesian …

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uncovers bias in image classification models using attribution maps.

problem Data bias in image classification models.
method Created an artificial dataset with known bias, trained CNNs, and used attribution maps to inspect decisions.
result Different attribution map techniques highlight bias better than others, and metrics support bias identification.

Unified theory and debiasing framework for random oblique projections in high dimensions.

problem Systematic statistical bias in random oblique projections induced by sampling.
method Unified non-asymptotic theory and debiasing framework.
result Sharp bias--variance characterizations and improved approximation accuracy.

CNNs can develop blind spots due to uneven padding in feature maps.

problem Spatial bias in convolutional networks leads to blind spots in certain tasks.
method Identified and analyzed the role of padding in convolutional networks, proposing solutions to mitigate bias.
result Mitigating spatial bias improves model accuracy, especially in tasks like small object detection.

The paper analyzes and mitigates biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.

problem Modeling biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.
method Randomized truncation estimators to eliminate bias in exchange for increased variance.
result Randomized truncation estimators meaningfully outperform biased counterparts with minimal additional computation.

DoubleGen addresses bias in generative modeling of counterfactuals.

problem Bias in generative models for counterfactual outcomes.
method Doubly robust framework that modifies generative modeling training objectives to mitigate confounding and misspecification biases.
result Successfully addresses confounding bias even if only one auxiliary model is correct.

The paper corrects biases in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.

problem Systematic bias in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.
method A bias-corrected estimator for both measures is proposed, highlighting shared steps and useful consequences.
result Simultaneous estimation of differential entropy and intrinsic dimension provides complementary perspectives on underlying manifolds.

Randomized predictions ensure fair and accurate individual calibration in machine learning.

problem Systematic bias in typical calibration methods leads to unfair predictions for certain subgroups.
method Randomization of predictions to enforce individual calibration, trading off bias with variance.
result Randomized regression functions are more calibrated for arbitrary subgroups and achieve higher utility.

Study measures gender bias in machine translation using multiple reference points.

problem Measuring and identifying gender bias in machine translation.
method Used an optimal non-biased translator, reference points from occupational statistics and survey.
result Found bias against both genders, but more against women, and found occupations have a greater effect than adjectives.

This paper corrects climate model biases using a factor model approach.

problem Systematic biases in GCM outputs due to unobserved confounders.
method Factor model approach to learn latent confounders from historical data and apply them to enhance bias correction.
result Significant improvements in the accuracy of precipitation outputs.

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

New methods correct bias in LLM-as-a-Judge evaluations, but reliability depends on judge quality and model calibration.

problem Systematic bias in LLM-as-a-Judge evaluations using naive estimators.
method Analytical results, simulations, and real-data case study to diagnose reliability of corrected estimates.
result Corrected estimates, especially shared-calibration comparisons, can be unreliable under certain conditions.

Study data biases to predict algorithmic discrimination, developing a Data Bias Profile.

problem Data biases contribute to algorithmic discrimination, but their impact is understudied.
method Analyzed three common data biases across various datasets and models, developing a Data Bias Profile.
result Combination of proxies and label bias can lead to more significant discrimination than underrepresentation alone.

BRPC online Bayesian calibration handles gradual and abrupt system changes.

problem Aligning model outputs with field observations in evolving systems.
method Bayesian Recursive Projected Calibration (BRPC) for streaming data under simulator mismatch and nonstationarity.
result Improves calibration accuracy under gradual changes and robustness under abrupt regime shifts.

New proof links initial class bias to DNN trainability, challenging traditional understanding.

problem Understanding the initial class bias in DNNs and its impact on trainability.
method Theoretical proof linking initial class bias to mean field theories of DNNs.
result Efficient learning is connected to a network's prejudice towards a specific class, contradicting traditional understanding.

Study improves confidence measures in medical imaging pipelines by addressing bias.

problem Bias in metric-based imaging pipelines compromises the efficiency of prediction intervals.
method Formalized symmetric and asymmetric CP formulations, analyzed bias effects, and validated empirically.
result Symmetric intervals are inflated by bias, while asymmetric intervals remain unaffected.

Estimates causal effects with selection bias and confounding using regression.

problem Estimating causal effects in presence of selection bias and confounding.
method Two-step regression estimator (TSR) that corrects for selection bias and accounts for confounding.
result TSR estimator reduces variance and is validated in simulations.

Recommender systems are used in variety of domains affecting people's lives. This has raised concerns about possible biases and discrimination that such systems might exacerbate. There are two primary kinds of biases inherent in recommender systems: observation bias and bias stemming from imbalanced data. Observation b…

2018-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares parallel SMC and MCMC for Bayesian deep learning, showing SMC parallel is faster.

problem Efficiently performing Bayesian deep learning with parallel computing.
method Compared sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in parallel settings.
result Parallel SMC achieves similar convergence as a single SMC but with reduced communication time.

Paper tackles bias-variance trade-off in missing data, proposing a dynamic framework.

problem Missing data in practical applications deteriorates model performance.
method Develops a fine-grained dynamic learning framework to jointly optimize bias and variance.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of joint bias-variance optimization.

PAC-MCTS addresses biased search in LLM-guided planning by dynamically pruning.

problem Systematic biases in LLMs lead to inefficient and unsafe search in deep planning tasks.
method Formulates node expansion as BAI under bounded bias, derives sample complexity bounds, and proposes PAC-MCTS for dynamic confidence bounds.
result PAC-MCTS improves robustness and efficiency by up to 78% fewer API evaluations and 3x higher sample efficiency.

New method corrects selection bias in complex models.

problem Selection bias in statistical studies leading to systematic distortions.
method Amortized Bayesian inference with neural posterior estimation.
result Recover well-calibrated posterior distributions across diverse selection mechanisms.

Paper tackles treatment leakage in text-based causal inference, proposing methods to mitigate bias.

problem Treatment leakage in text-as-confounder applications introduces bias in causal estimates.
method Formal definitions, four text distillation methods (passage removal, classification, salient feature removal, nullspace projection).
result Moderate distillation optimally balances bias reduction against confounder retention.