This work extends elasticity theory to curved spaces, solving stress potentials.
problem Addressing elasticity in curved spaces with boundary.
method Using double forms and bilaplacian operator regularity, solving biharmonic equations.
result Stress potentials can be used in non-Euclidean geometries.
Adaptive Stress Testing detects financial fraud by simulating potential failures.
problem Detecting and mitigating vulnerabilities in financial systems.
method Developed a simplified model using historical data and reinforcement learning.
result Identified the most likely path to system failure and improved fraud detection.
Deep learning predicts stress levels from mouse hippocampus activity.
problem Stress level in mice under different environments.
method Deep learning combined with neuron decoding.
result Deep learning model accurately predicts stress levels.
Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.
problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.
This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.
problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.
Stress research is a rapidly emerging area in thefield of electroencephalography (EEG) based signal processing.The use of EEG as an objective measure for cost effective andpersonalized stress management becomes important in particularsituations such as the non-availability of mental health facilities.In this study, lon…
Proposes a method to incorporate current market conditions in VaR and stress testing.
problem Inaccurate VaR and stress testing under changing market conditions.
method Clusters market conditions using Variational Inference (VI) and historical data weighting.
result Proposed approach provides more accurate insights into portfolio risk under near-term market changes.
New deep learning method improves financial stress testing accuracy.
problem Traditional stress testing methods are criticized for unrealistic assumptions and estimation errors.
method Proposes a novel Deep Learning approach for Dynamic Balance Sheet Stress Testing.
result Empirical results show significant improvement in accuracy over traditional methods.
The paper develops GPR models for hyperelastic materials, improving accuracy and rotational invariance.
problem Modeling stress tensors of hyperelastic materials with fewer training examples and higher accuracy.
method Developed three approaches: direct stress tensor modeling, embedding rotational invariance, and recovering strain-energy density.
result Improved GPR models achieve higher accuracy and rotational invariance with fewer training examples.
Autoencoders identify brain networks linked to stress and genotype.
problem Designing effective brain stimulation protocols for mental illnesses.
method Supervised autoencoders to model multi-region brain activity.
result Autoencoders reveal a stress-related brain network associated with a bipolar disorder genotype.
This work is based on the talk delivered at Poisson 2008. We review the recent advances in Generalized Kahler geometry while stressing the use of Poisson and symplectic geometry. The derivation of the generalized Kahler potential is sketched and the relevant global issues are discussed.
Paper uses MLMC for SCR calculation and stress tests, showing computational efficiency.
problem Computing SCR and stress tests for insurance companies.
method Multilevel Monte-Carlo (MLMC) estimator for maximum of conditional expectations.
result MLMC estimator is computationally more efficient and avoids regression issues.
Proposes a reverse stress testing framework for dynamic models.
problem Finding plausible models under adverse stresses.
method Compound Poisson process, Kullback-Leibler divergence, optimization problem.
result Intensity and severity of process depend on time and state.
Study reviews machine learning techniques for stress monitoring.
problem Improving accuracy of stress monitoring devices.
method Reviewed machine learning techniques for various stress indicators.
result Choosing the right classifier depends on multiple factors.
We reverse engineer dynamics of financial contagion to find the scenario of smallest exogenous shock that, should it occur, would lead to a given final systemic loss. This reverse stress test can be used to identify the potential triggers of systemic events, and it removes the arbitrariness in the selection of shock sc…
Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.
problem Misleading risk management by overlooking or overemphasizing implausible scenarios.
method Exploits large-deviations principle to concentrate risk factors near most likely stress configurations.
result Can generate informative stress scenarios even with limited historical data.
The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.
problem Reducing household bankruptcy risk through effective financial planning.
method Mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis.
result The 1/3 Financial Rule emerges as a robust solution for supporting household financial stability.
Bayesian neural networks predict stress fields and uncertainty in materials.
problem Uncertainty in stress field predictions for complex materials.
method Modified Bayesian U-net architecture with three inference algorithms.
result High accuracy predictions and interpretable uncertainty estimates.
The main purpose of this paper is to revisit the well known potentials, called stress functions, needed in order to study the parametrizations of the stress equations, respectively provided by G.B. Airy (1863) for 2-dimensional elasticity, then by E. Beltrami (1892), J.C. Maxwell (1870) and G. Morera (1892) for 3-dimen…
This note improves correlation stress tests using geodesic distance.
problem Improving financial risk management through better covariance stress tests.
method Proposes a new geometrically invariant definition of correlation stress tests.
result Demonstrates a submanifold approach to stress testing covariance matrices.
Improved algorithm for multidimensional scaling reduces stress.
problem Stress in multidimensional scaling.
method Proposed modifications of the smacof algorithm.
result Convergent majorization algorithm for Kruskal's stress formula two.
The MSPI predicts market stress with machine learning.
problem Estimating the probability of high market stress.
method L1-regularized logistic regression on stock fragility signals.
result MSPI tracks major stress episodes and improves accuracy.
Following the financial crisis of the late 2000s, policy makers have shown considerable interest in monitoring financial stability. Several central banks now publish indices of financial stress, which are essentially based upon market related data. In this paper, we examine the potential for improving the indices by de…
Develops a method for reverse stress testing in multivariate scenarios.
problem Reconstructing a multivariate stress scenario from a single exogenous shock.
method Maximizing conditional density under three distributional assumptions.
result Simulated scenarios are economically coherent and reproduce risk-reward asymmetry.
The elastic energy functional of a thin elastic rod or sheet is generalized to the case of an M-dimensional manifold in N-dimensional space. We derive potentials for the stress field and curvatures and find the generalized von Karman equations for a manifold in elastic equilibrium. We perform a scaling analysis of an M…
A hybrid model combines diffusion and neural operator methods for stress prediction in hyperelastic materials.
problem Challenges in predicting stress fields in hyperelastic materials with complex microstructures.
method A hybrid surrogate framework combining a conditional denoising diffusion probabilistic model (cDDPM) and a modified DeepONet.
result The hybrid model consistently outperforms traditional methods by one to two orders of magnitude.
Environmental stresses such as drought and heat can cause substantial yield loss in agriculture. As such, hybrid crops that are tolerant to drought and heat stress would produce more consistent yields compared to the hybrids that are not tolerant to these stresses. In the 2019 Syngenta Crop Challenge, Syngenta released…
The dominant automatic lexical stress detection method is to split the utterance into syllable segments using phoneme sequence and their time-aligned boundaries. Then we extract features from syllable to use classification method to classify the lexical stress. However, we can't get very accurate time boundaries of eac…
Develops a method for stress testing correlations of financial portfolios.
problem Stress testing correlations in financial asset portfolios.
method Parametric representation of correlations, Bayesian variable selection, joint distribution of stress scenarios.
result Inference of worst-case correlation scenarios using stress tests.
Credit risk stress tests can misrepresent default probabilities due to inconsistent parameterization.
problem Misleading default probability projections in credit risk stress tests.
method Analysis of credit risk stress testing models and their parameterization.
result Current portfolios tend to align with through-the-cycle portfolios, leading to spurious default rate projections.
In the last years, increasing efforts have been put into the development of effective stress tests to quantify the resilience of financial institutions. Here we propose a stress test methodology for central counterparties based on a network characterization of clearing members, whose links correspond to direct credits …
We derive the stress-energy tensor for polyharmonic maps between Riemannian manifolds. Moreover, we employ the stress-energy tensor to characterize polyharmonic maps where we pay special attention to triharmonic maps.
The occurrence of aftershocks following a major financial crash manifests the critical dynamical response of financial markets. Aftershocks put additional stress on markets, with conceivable dramatic consequences. Such a phenomenon has been shown to be common to most financial assets, both at high and low frequency. It…
Paper proposes MAST to identify stress conditions in forecasting models.
problem Improving reliability and transparency of univariate forecasting models under stress.
method Meta-learning and data augmentation approach to predict stress conditions.
result MAST identifies conditions leading to large errors in forecasting models.
Paper defines p-biharmonic submanifolds and stress tensors in space forms.
problem Characterizing p-biharmonic submanifolds in space forms.
method Provided necessary and sufficient conditions for p-biharmonic submanifolds and properties of stress p-bienergy tensors.
result New properties of stress p-bienergy tensors for p-biharmonic submanifolds.
Using Hilbert's criterion, we consider the stress-energy tensor associated to the bienergy functional. We show that it derives from a variational problem on metrics and exhibit the peculiarity of dimension four. First, we use this tensor to construct new examples of biharmonic maps, then classify maps with vanishing or…
Extended PELCoV for bivariate Student-t copulas to monitor foreign exchange risk.
problem Monitoring financial risk under asymmetric co-movements and tail dependence.
method Extending PELCoV to Student-t copulas, tracking dynamic risk spillovers.
result Potential to detect early signs of risk underestimation during financial stress.
Simulating dynamic rupture propagation is challenging due to the uncertainties involved in the underlying physics of fault slip, stress conditions, and frictional properties of the fault. A trial and error approach is often used to determine the unknown parameters describing rupture, but running many simulations usuall…
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
Two new methods score stress test scenarios for risk managers.
problem Comparing and evaluating stress test scenarios for risk managers.
method Inspired by Archer-Mouy-Selmi, two methodologies for scoring stress test scenarios.
result New methods can compare and evaluate stress test scenarios.
We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may significantly change the dynamics of the overall system. We explicitely insert a term descr…
Sparse regression models CMs from oscillatory shear data efficiently.
problem Discovering parsimonious constitutive models from oscillatory shear experiments.
method Sparse regression with tensor basis functions, l1 regularization, and greedy two-stage algorithm.
result Inferred CMs extrapolate well beyond training data and flow conditions.
Various psychological factors affect how individuals express emotions. Yet, when we collect data intended for use in building emotion recognition systems, we often try to do so by creating paradigms that are designed just with a focus on eliciting emotional behavior. Algorithms trained with these types of data are unli…
Research shows ESG signals lower exposure to market fragility during stress periods.
problem Market fragility often occurs together, and ESG is associated with reduced exposure.
method Monthly data on S&P 500 constituents from 2014 to 2025, analyzing downside returns, volatility, illiquidity, and cofragility states.
result A one-standard-deviation increase in ESG lowers the probability of severe cofragility by 0.92 percentage points during stress periods.
Bayesian Monte-Carlo method assesses uncertainty in shear stress entropy models.
problem Uncertainty in evaluating shear stress entropy models remains an open question.
method Bayesian Monte-Carlo (BMC) uncertainty method to evaluate four entropy models.
result FOCB statistic index determines certainty of entropy models in shear stress estimation.
Develops a robust hedging valuation adjustment measure for dynamic hedging under liquidity-demand stress.
problem Dynamic hedging under liquidity-demand stress
method Define robust HVA as the worst-case expected loss over a relative-entropy neighborhood of the loss distribution generated by simulated rebalancing and maturity-unwind trades.
result Distinguishes fixed-radius convention from fixed benchmark-stress convention and shows wider no-trade bands lower rebalancing costs but raise hedge-error risk.
With the growing popularity of wearable devices, the ability to utilize physiological data collected from these devices to predict the wearer's mental state such as mood and stress suggests great clinical applications, yet such a task is extremely challenging. In this paper, we present a general platform for personaliz…
Study predicts shear stress in compound channels using data mining and machine learning.
problem Predicting shear stress distribution in symmetric compound channels.
method Conducted experiments to measure shear stress. Used data mining and machine learning models (RF, M5P, RC, KStar, AR) to predict.
result Random Forest (RF) model showed highest accuracy with R2=0.9.