A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
ARFs generate plausible counterfactuals for models, improving model understanding.
New method generates plausible counterfactuals for time series classification.
Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.
Optimism about the poorly understood states and actions is the main driving force of exploration for many provably-efficient reinforcement learning algorithms. We propose optimism in the face of sensible value functions (OFVF)- a novel data-driven Bayesian algorithm to constructing Plausibility sets for MDPs to explore…
AR algorithm simplifies backpropagation with improved scalability and biological plausibility.
The increasing deployment of machine learning as well as legal regulations such as EU's GDPR cause a need for user-friendly explanations of decisions proposed by machine learning models. Counterfactual explanations are considered as one of the most popular techniques to explain a specific decision of a model. While the…
Derives a biologically plausible neural network for Slow Feature Analysis.
A principled approach to understand network structures is to formulate generative models. Given a collection of models, however, an outstanding key task is to determine which one provides a more accurate description of the network at hand, discounting statistical fluctuations. This problem can be approached using two p…
GAIT-prop derives a biologically plausible learning rule from backpropagation.
New learning rules from information bottleneck improve deep learning without precise labels.
By and large, Backpropagation (BP) is regarded as one of the most important neural computation algorithms at the basis of the progress in machine learning, including the recent advances in deep learning. However, its computational structure has been the source of many debates on its arguable biological plausibility. In…
New method isolates epistemic uncertainty in diffusion models, improving plausibility scores.
Training deep neural networks with the error backpropagation algorithm is considered implausible from a biological perspective. Numerous recent publications suggest elaborate models for biologically plausible variants of deep learning, typically defining success as reaching around 98% test accuracy on the MNIST data se…
New algorithm shows neural networks can learn without full backpropagation.
Proposes a new neural network approach to credit assignment.
Many real-world vision problems suffer from inherent ambiguities. In clinical applications for example, it might not be clear from a CT scan alone which particular region is cancer tissue. Therefore a group of graders typically produces a set of diverse but plausible segmentations. We consider the task of learning a di…
The Backpropagation algorithm relies on the abstraction of using a neural model that gets rid of the notion of time, since the input is mapped instantaneously to the output. In this paper, we claim that this abstraction of ignoring time, along with the abrupt input changes that occur when feeding the training set, are …
This note improves correlation stress tests using geodesic distance.
We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The…
One conjecture in both deep learning and classical connectionist viewpoint is that the biological brain implements certain kinds of deep networks as its back-end. However, to our knowledge, a detailed correspondence has not yet been set up, which is important if we want to bridge between neuroscience and machine learni…
New learning algorithm mimics biological neural networks.
New method uses entropy to generate multiple plausible causal maps.
Stock markets show unusual overnight and intraday returns.
We propose a method to model multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
In real world scenarios, objects are often partially occluded. This requires a robustness for object recognition against these perturbations. Convolutional networks have shown good performances in classification tasks. The learned convolutional filters seem similar to receptive fields of simple cells found in the prima…
The paper relaxes constraints on predictive coding models, making them more biologically plausible.
Neural network models of early sensory processing typically reduce the dimensionality of streaming input data. Such networks learn the principal subspace, in the sense of principal component analysis (PCA), by adjusting synaptic weights according to activity-dependent learning rules. When derived from a principled cost…
Biological neural network mimics CCA for multi-channel data.
In this paper, we introduce the Fairness GAN, an approach for generating a dataset that is plausibly similar to a given multimedia dataset, but is more fair with respect to protected attributes in allocative decision making. We propose a novel auxiliary classifier GAN that strives for demographic parity or equality of …
We present some plausible definitions for the tangent grupoid of a manifold M, as well as some of the known applications of the structure. This is a kind of introductory note.
AGATHA predicts promising research directions from scientific data.
Releasing full data records is one of the most challenging problems in data privacy. On the one hand, many of the popular techniques such as data de-identification are problematic because of their dependence on the background knowledge of adversaries. On the other hand, rigorous methods such as the exponential mechanis…
A new method for target propagation using iterative approximations converges fast and is more biologically plausible.
The backpropagation (BP) algorithm is often thought to be biologically implausible in the brain. One of the main reasons is that BP requires symmetric weight matrices in the feedforward and feedback pathways. To address this "weight transport problem" (Grossberg, 1987), two more biologically plausible algorithms, propo…
Survey of integrating physics knowledge into machine learning models.
I argue that the current financial crisis highlights the crucial need of a change of mindset in economics and financial engineering, that should move away from dogmatic axioms and focus more on data, orders of magnitudes, and plausible, albeit non rigorous, arguments.
Evidential clustering is an approach to clustering in which cluster-membership uncertainty is represented by a collection of Dempster-Shafer mass functions forming an evidential partition. In this paper, we propose to construct these mass functions by bootstrapping finite mixture models. In the first step, we compute b…
Article addresses practical challenges in conformal prediction.
Paper recovers top-two answers and confusion probability in multi-choice crowdsourcing.
New model predicts blood glucose in diabetics with improved accuracy.
EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.
Two local learning rules are investigated to avoid weight transport in neural networks.
I summarize the recent work on market (in)efficiency, highlighting key elements why financial markets will never be made efficient. My approach is not by adding more empirical evidence, but giving plausible reasons as to where inefficiency arises and why it's not rational to arbitrage it away.
This paper proposes an in-depth re-thinking of neural computation that parallels apparently unrelated laws of physics, that are formulated in the variational framework of the least action principle. The theory holds for neural networks that are also based on any digraph, and the resulting computational scheme exhibits …
Silence on suspicious stock market patterns persists despite lack of plausible explanations.
We tackle the task of diverse 3D human motion prediction, that is, forecasting multiple plausible future 3D poses given a sequence of observed 3D poses. In this context, a popular approach consists of using a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE). However, existing approaches that do so either fail to capture the …
Hypotension in critical care settings is a life-threatening emergency that must be recognized and treated early. While fluid bolus therapy and vasopressors are common treatments, it is often unclear which interventions to give, in what amounts, and for how long. Observational data in the form of electronic health recor…
Gu and Zhu have shown that Type-II Ricci flow singularities develop from nongeneric rotationally symmetric Riemannian metrics on , for all . In this paper, we describe and provide plausibility arguments for a detailed asymptotic profile and rate of curvature blow-up that we predict such solutions exhibit.