Central Counterparties (CCPs) are widely promoted as a requirement for safe banking with little dissent except on technical grounds (such as proliferation of CCPs). Whilst CCPs can have major operational positives, we argue that CCPs have many of the business characteristics of Rating Agencies, and face similar busines…
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28 results for “CCPs”
Central Counterparty Riskq-fin.RM
A clearing member of a Central Counterparty (CCP) is exposed to losses on their default fund and initial margin contributions. Such losses can be incurred whenever the CCP has insufficient funds to unwind the portfolio of a defaulting clearing member. This does not necessarily require the default of the CCP itself. In …
This study analyzes costs of CCP default resolution using Radner equilibrium approach.
problem Analyzing costs of CCP default resolution for investment banks' derivatives.
method Radner equilibrium approach for portfolio allocation and price discovery.
result Radner equilibria uniquely exist and provide solutions for market equilibria.
CCP clusters correlated features and projects them to 1D for efficient dimensionality reduction.
problem Efficiency in handling large datasets with high intrinsic dimensions.
method CCP partitions features into correlated clusters and projects them to 1D based on sample correlations.
result CCP achieves efficient dimensionality reduction without matrix diagonalization.
Systemic Risks in CCP Networksq-fin.MF
We propose a model for the credit and liquidity risks faced by clearing members of Central Counterparty Clearing houses (CCPs). This model aims to capture the features of: gap risk; feedback between clearing member default, market volatility and margining requirements; the different risks faced by various types of mark…
Two new methods score stress test scenarios for risk managers.
problem Comparing and evaluating stress test scenarios for risk managers.
method Inspired by Archer-Mouy-Selmi, two methodologies for scoring stress test scenarios.
result New methods can compare and evaluate stress test scenarios.
The introduction of CCPs in most derivative transactions will dramatically change the landscape of derivatives pricing, hedging and risk management, and, according to the TABB group, will lead to an overall liquidity impact about 2 USD trillions. In this article we develop for the first time a comprehensive approach fo…
We study the impact of central clearing of over-the-counter (OTC) transactions on counterparty exposures in a market with OTC transactions across several asset classes with heterogeneous characteristics. The impact of introducing a central counterparty (CCP) on expected interdealer exposure is determined by the tradeof…
We present a dialogue on Funding Costs and Counterparty Credit Risk modeling, inclusive of collateral, wrong way risk, gap risk and possible Central Clearing implementation through CCPs. This framework is important following the fact that derivatives valuation and risk analysis has moved from exotic derivatives managed…
Pakistan examines digital mergers using traditional competition tools.
problem Regulating digital mergers in a developing country.
method Empirical comparative analysis of CCP's M&A decisions.
result CCP uses same decision factors for digital and traditional M&As.
New systemic risk models for banks choosing their group memberships.
problem Analyzing systemic risk for banks in disjoint and overlapping groups.
method Proposed new models with realistic game features, introducing Nash equilibrium for optimal solution.
result Explicit solution for risk allocation and existence/uniqueness of Nash equilibrium.
The paper develops a new model-free formula for option initial margins.
problem Calculating initial margins for option portfolios is complex and risky.
method The authors derive a new approximation formula for VaR without assuming a model.
result The new formula performs better than existing methods in simulations.
We consider the problem of decomposing a multivariate polynomial as the difference of two convex polynomials. We introduce algebraic techniques which reduce this task to linear, second order cone, and semidefinite programming. This allows us to optimize over subsets of valid difference of convex decompositions (dcds) a…
Behavioural effects on XVAq-fin.PR
Bank behaviour is important for pricing XVA because it links different counterparties and thus breaks the usual XVA pricing assumption of counterparty independence. Consider a typical case of a bank hedging a client trade via a CCP. On client default the hedge (effects) will be removed (rebalanced). On the other hand, …
Paper introduces Cycles Protocol to integrate trade credit into market clearing.
problem Liquidity embedded in trade credit outside formal settlement infrastructures.
method Distributed, multilateral clearing mechanism based on double-entry accounting.
result Cycles Protocol maximizes balance sheet compression without redistributing counterparty risk.
An uncollateralized swap hedged back-to-back by a CCP swap is used to introduce FVA. The open IR01 of FVA, however, is a sure sign of risk not being fully hedged, a theoretical no-arbitrage pricing concern, and a bait to lure market risk capital, a practical business concern. By dynamically trading the CCP swap, with t…
Interest-Rate Modelling in Collateralized Markets: Multiple curves, credit-liquidity effects, CCPsq-fin.PR
The market practice of extrapolating different term structures from different instruments lacks a rigorous justification in terms of cash flows structure and market observables. In this paper, we integrate our previous consistent theory for pricing under credit, collateral and funding risks into term structure modellin…
We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives CCPs and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin (IM), and the default fund (DF) and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian structure model of joint credit migrations, our evaluation of DF takes into account the…
We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit Valuation Adjustments (CVA and DVA). Depending on how the default contingency is accoun…
Study competition in OTC CDS market through CCP and interdealer choice models.
problem Analyze competition dynamics in OTC credit default swap market.
method Developed models for CCP choice and interdealer counterpart selection using semi-supervised learning and game theory.
result Introduced novel metrics and algorithms for understanding market dynamics.
Paper introduces -DER for regression tasks using morphological operators and convex-concave procedure.
problem Developing a universal approximator for regression tasks.
method Introduces -DER model, trains it using a convex-concave procedure (CCP) to minimize least-squares.
result Outperforms other hybrid morphological models and state-of-the-art approaches.
New MKABSDEs help calculate initial margins in financial contracts.
problem Calculating initial margins in financial contracts with dependencies.
method Introduced MKABSDEs, provided existence and uniqueness, applied to CVaR, used deterministic and Monte-Carlo methods for numerical approximations.
result MKABSDEs provide a new way to solve for initial margins in financial contracts.
The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of clearing houses. The two main issues in systemic risk measurement are the compu…
This paper develops an XVA (costs) analysis of centrally cleared trading, parallel to the one that has been developed in the last years for bilateral transactions. We introduce a dynamic framework that incorporates the sequence of cash-flows involved in the waterfall of resources of a clearing house. The total cost of …
A scalable method for deep metric learning using chance constraints.
problem Improving deep metric learning by addressing feasibility issues.
method Relating DML to chance constraints, reformulating as a feasibility problem, and iteratively training proxies.
result The method effectively improves deep metric learning performance across multiple benchmarks.
Weighted Support Points from Random Measures: An Interpretable Alternative for Generative Modelingstat.ML
Generative model uses random weighted support points for interpretable data sampling.
problem Creating diverse and interpretable sample sets from large datasets efficiently.
method Random weighted support points from Dirichlet process and Bayesian bootstrap.
result High-quality and diverse outputs at lower computational cost.
New method converts p-values to e-values for more efficient CP and aggregation.
problem Limitations of existing p-to-e calibrators in CP setting.
method Proposes a novel P2E calibrator for set-preserving calibration.
result Significant efficiency gains over existing p-to-e calibrators.
We develop an arbitrage-free framework for consistent valuation of derivative trades with collateralization, counterparty credit gap risk, and funding costs, following the approach first proposed by Pallavicini and co-authors in 2011. Based on the risk-neutral pricing principle, we derive a general pricing equation whe…