This paper improves route choice models by incorporating contextual factors.
problem Existing route choice models lack consideration of dynamic contextual conditions.
method Knowledge distillation from Stated Choice Experiments in Immersive Virtual Environment.
result High-fidelity route choice models with increased predictive power.
How can we design safe reinforcement learning agents that avoid unnecessary disruptions to their environment? We show that current approaches to penalizing side effects can introduce bad incentives, e.g. to prevent any irreversible changes in the environment, including the actions of other agents. To isolate the source…
OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.
problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.
A new method reduces high-dimensional state space for dynamic choice models.
problem Estimation of dynamic discrete choice models is computationally intensive and infeasible in high-dimensional settings.
method Recursive partitioning algorithm to reduce dimensionality of high-dimensional state space.
result Our method reduces estimation bias and makes estimation feasible.
Paper proposes a new method for density estimation using tree tensor-network states.
problem Density estimation for complex graphical models with loops.
method Determines tree topology with Chow-Liu algorithm and uses sketching techniques to define tensor-network components.
result Sample complexity guarantees and empirical validation provided.
GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.
problem Designing products to meet consumer preferences.
method GBS is a discrete choice experiment that uses machine learning to adaptively construct paired comparison questions.
result GBS outperforms existing methods in accuracy and sample efficiency.
Algorithm selects optimal experiments in Markov chains to learn unknown quantities.
problem Designing efficient experiments in Markov chains to learn about unknown quantities.
method Proposes extsc{markov-design} algorithm for sequential policy selection.
result Algorithm provably converges to optimal measurement allocation.
Optimal adaptive experiment for choosing best treatment with binary outcomes.
problem Choosing the best treatment from binary options in an adaptive experiment.
method Adaptive experiment with two phases: treatment allocation and choice. Neyman allocation method used.
result Neyman allocation is minimax and Bayes optimal, matching lower bounds for regret.
A recommendation framework helps users choose healthcare interventions.
problem Choice overload in online healthcare communities.
method Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) approach with innovative model components.
result Our recommendation design outperforms state-of-the-art systems.
Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating disperse private information, thereby revealing the optimal choice. However if …
GBM outperforms DL in credit scoring tasks, but performance depends on dataset.
problem Benchmarking deep learning vs. gradient boosting for credit scoring.
method Used three datasets with different features to compare DL and GBM.
result GBM is more powerful and faster than DL for credit scoring.
Signature Isolation Forest removes constraints from FIF by using rough path theory's signature transform.
problem Challenges in FIF's linear inner product and dictionary choices leading to unreliable results.
method Introduces Signature Isolation Forest using rough path theory's signature transform to remove linearity constraints.
result Demonstrates relevance of methods through numerical experiments and real-world applications.
Analyzes new economic paradigm for non-independent consumer choices.
problem Non-independent consumer choices due to firm supply and consumer information.
method Develops a new mathematical framework for economic systems.
result New paradigm for economic system description is necessary.
Predicts next item in sequential bundles using Transformers.
problem Predicting next item in sequentially consumed bundles.
method Used custom Transformers, GPT-3, LSTM, reinforcement learning, Markov models.
result Custom Transformer with decoder-only architecture most accurate.
New model combines neural networks and embeddings for better choice modeling interpretability.
problem Limited behavioral insights in embedding representations for categorical variables.
method Combines discrete choice models and neural networks using embeddings for interpretability.
result Proposed models deliver state-of-the-art predictive performance while preserving interpretability.
Empirical model tackles decision problems without specifying states of the world.
problem Decision problems under uncertainty with inaccessible states of the world.
method Empirical approach using observed act--consequence pairs as model primitives.
result Optimality in empirical decision problems addressed using protocol-based empirical choice functions.
A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.
problem Estimating structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models using behavioral data.
method Two-stage approach: inverse reinforcement learning for Q-function estimation, state selection via clustering, and maximum likelihood estimation with nested fixed-point algorithm.
result The method mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample bounds on estimation error.
New framework for AI to learn causal models through experience.
problem Lack of guidance for variable choice and interventions in causal models for AI.
method Defines actions as state space transformations, introduces causal variables, and identifies interventions.
result Clarifies the concept of interventions and makes causal representation learning clearer.
Develops deep learning models for choice modeling.
problem Computational intractability and sample inefficiency in existing choice model learning methods.
method Deep learning-based choice models in two settings: feature-free and feature-based.
result Demonstrates improved recovery of existing choice models and reduced sample complexity.
The Machina thought experiments pose to major non-expected utility models challenges that are similar to those posed by the Ellsberg thought experiments to subjective expected utility theory (SEUT). We test human choices in the `Ellsberg three-color example', confirming typical ambiguity aversion patterns, and the `Mac…
Truncated Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) calculates the closest rank-k approximation of a given input matrix. Selecting the appropriate rank k defines a critical model order choice in most applications of SVD. To obtain a principled cut-off criterion for the spectrum, we convert the underlying optimization prob…
Study nonconcave portfolio choice with smooth ambiguity and Bayesian learning.
problem Nonconcave portfolio choice under smooth ambiguity and Bayesian learning.
method Developed a general framework for dynamic, non-concave asset allocation.
result Dynamic consistency achieved through a robust representation.
New framework predicts choice with set-related invariances.
problem Accurately predicting choice behavior in large-scale data.
method A learning framework that captures set-related invariances, derived from economics.
result Demonstrated utility on three large choice datasets.
Unique optimal strategy identified for state-dependent risk aversion.
problem Consistency of optimal portfolio choice for varying risk aversion.
method Analysis of state-dependent exponential utilities in arbitrage-free markets.
result Uniqueness of optimal strategy across any time horizon.
Investor optimizes portfolio under dynamic risk preferences.
problem Optimizing investment under uncertain future risk attitudes.
method Developed a general equilibrium framework and solved for subgame-perfect equilibrium policies.
result Equilibrium policies include a novel hedging component to counteract anticipated risk aversion changes.
We introduce a semi-supervised discrete choice model to calibrate discrete choice models when relatively few requests have both choice sets and stated preferences but the majority only have the choice sets. Two classic semi-supervised learning algorithms, the expectation maximization algorithm and the cluster-and-label…
Paper introduces Functional Effects Models to account for individual heterogeneity in panel data.
problem Accounting for preference heterogeneity in panel data with machine learning.
method Functional Effects Models using gradient boosting decision trees and deep neural networks to learn individual-specific preference parameters.
result Functional Effects Models outperform traditional models in learning inter-individual heterogeneity and predictive performance.
We introduce Neural Choice by Elimination, a new framework that integrates deep neural networks into probabilistic sequential choice models for learning to rank. Given a set of items to chose from, the elimination strategy starts with the whole item set and iteratively eliminates the least worthy item in the remaining …
This study evaluates Bayesian optimization algorithms on a wide range of problems.
problem Assessing the performance of Bayesian optimization algorithms across diverse problems.
method A comprehensive investigation using the COCO benchmark, comparing various design choices.
result Optimizing acquisition criteria and initial budget can significantly improve BO performance.
Study binary choice with asymmetric loss, offering simple solutions.
problem Binary choice with asymmetric loss in data-rich environments.
method Loss-based reweighting of logistic regression or machine learning techniques.
result Valid decisions on binary outcomes with general loss functions.
Study uses three sources to evaluate language models fairly.
problem Bias in offline model evaluation due to confounded model choice.
method Combines observational logs, randomized experiments, and simulators.
result Randomized experiment and simulator together recover causal model values.
We apply the OSCAR (octagonal selection and clustering algorithms for regression) in recovering group-sparse matrices (two-dimensional---2D---arrays) from compressive measurements. We propose a 2D version of OSCAR (2OSCAR) consisting of the ℓ1 norm and the pair-wise ℓ∞ norm, which is convex but non-d…
FROST speeds up and stabilizes one-shot semi-supervised learning.
problem Slow training and sensitivity to labeled data choices in semi-supervised learning.
method Combines semi-supervised learning with a one-stage, single network self-training approach.
result FROST trains up to 10x faster and is more robust to labeled data choices.
Proposes a method to imitate active learning heuristics for better performance.
problem The performance of active learning heuristics depends on the classifier model and data structure.
method Imitates the selection of the best active learning heuristic using DAGGER.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art imitation learners and heuristics on well-known datasets.
Study personalizes user experience to maximize rewards with patience budget.
problem Maximizing rewards for a platform while respecting user patience.
method Proposes bandit algorithms for sequential choice with feedback models.
result Upper and lower bounds on regret of order O(N2/3) and Ω(N2/3). This work studies the parameter identification problem for the Markov chain choice model of Blanchet, Gallego, and Goyal used in assortment planning. In this model, the product selected by a customer is determined by a Markov chain over the products, where the products in the offered assortment are absorbing states. Th…
Designing deterministic denominators for SGLD stabilizes large drifts.
problem Stabilizing large drifts in SGLD
method Using state-dependent envelopes and empirical quantiles for activation thresholds
result Proxy-quantile denominators are close to oracle-score behavior and improve deterministic taming choices
Learning in neural networks poses peculiar challenges when using discretized rather then continuous synaptic states. The choice of discrete synapses is motivated by biological reasoning and experiments, and possibly by hardware implementation considerations as well. In this paper we extend a previous large deviations a…
Reinforcement learning methods carry a well known bias-variance trade-off in n-step algorithms for optimal control. Unfortunately, this has rarely been addressed in current research. This trade-off principle holds independent of the choice of the algorithm, such as n-step SARSA, n-step Expected SARSA or n-step Tree bac…
In this paper, we propose an active learning algorithm and models which can gradually learn individual's preference through pairwise comparisons. The active learning scheme aims at finding individual's most preferred choice with minimized number of pairwise comparisons. The pairwise comparisons are encoded into probabi…
New method automates asymmetric choice for better skill transfer in reinforcement learning.
problem Improving sample efficiency and transferability of reinforcement learning agents.
method Attentive Priors for Expressive and Transferable Skills (APES) using hierarchical KL-regularization.
result APES automates asymmetric choice, leading to better skill transfer across sequential tasks.
RCPO uses ranked choice modeling for better LLM alignment.
problem Pairwise preference optimization limits LLM alignment.
method Unified framework combining preference optimization and ranked choice modeling.
result RCPO outperforms competitive baselines in LLM alignment.
Robo-advisor learns investor's risk preference through portfolio choices.
problem Learning investors' risk preferences without prior knowledge.
method Reinforcement learning framework with exploration-exploitation algorithm.
result Algorithm's value function converges to optimal over polynomial periods.
The paper establishes convergence guarantees for SGMs in 2-Wasserstein distance.
problem Establishing convergence guarantees for SGMs in 2-Wasserstein distance.
method Assuming accurate score estimates and smooth log-concave data distribution, the paper specializes its result to several concrete SGMs with specific forward processes modeled by stochastic differential equations.
result Obtained an upper bound on the iteration complexity for each model and a lower bound for Gaussian data distribution.
Modified neural network enhances unsupervised anomaly detection.
problem Unsupervised anomaly detection in multimodal data.
method Neural network with modified random projection outlyingness.
result Performance comparable to state-of-the-art methods.
Proposes ICC method for dynamic portfolio optimization.
problem Non-stationarity in market conditions makes traditional portfolio optimization ineffective.
method Inverse Covariance Clustering (ICC) to identify market states and integrate into dynamic optimization.
result ICC-PO generates portfolios with higher Sharpe Ratios and greater robustness.
Systems based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) have achieved state-of-the-art results in many natural language processing tasks. Although ANNs do not require manually engineered features, ANNs have many hyperparameters to be optimized. The choice of hyperparameters significantly impacts models' performances. Howeve…
Paper tackles RLHF with DCPPO method, proving near-optimal suboptimality.
problem Challenges in offline RLHF with limited human feedback and bounded rationality.
method DCPPO method involving three stages: MLE, reward function recovery, and pessimistic value iteration.
result DCPPO's suboptimality almost matches classical pessimistic offline RL in terms of distribution shift and dimension.