EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.
problem Conflicting explanations from different attribution methods limit the adoption of machine learning models in safety-critical domains.
method EXAGREE is a two-stage framework that selects a Stakeholder-Aligned Explanation Model (SAEM) from a set of similar-performing models, maximizing Stakeholder-Machine Agreement (SMA).
result EXAGREE achieves simultaneous gains in faithfulness, plausibility, and fairness over baselines while preserving task accuracy.
SMAC optimizes wildfire suppression policies quickly and effectively.
problem Managing conflicts among stakeholders in wildfire suppression policies.
method Applied SMAC to optimize MDP policies in a high-fidelity simulation environment.
result SMAC finds good policies that stakeholders can understand and validate.
NFTs raise concerns like scams, racism, and sexism; centralization vs decentralization debate.
problem Concerns and value judgments of stakeholders in NFT market.
method Mixed quantitative and qualitative methods: social media analysis and interviews.
result Identified financial scams, counterfeit NFTs, hacking, and unethical NFTs as major issues.
Proposes measuring fairness through multiple stakeholder-curated stress tests.
problem Limited power of rigid fairness metrics and lack of stakeholder involvement in fairness discussions.
method Shift focus from fairness metrics to stress tests curated by stakeholders.
result Machine's performance under multiple stress tests reflects fairness.
Introduces Rashomon Capacity to measure predictive multiplicity in probabilistic classifiers.
problem Predictive multiplicity in classification models leading to unjustified decisions.
method Introduces Rashomon Capacity, a metric for probabilistic classifiers, and provides a rigorous derivation.
result Rashomon Capacity captures nuanced score variations and provides strategies for disclosing conflicting models.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
Novel approach uses Gaussian processes to estimate conflict trends.
problem Estimating temporal and spatial patterns of violent conflict.
method Highly disaggregated conflict event data with Gaussian processes.
result Powerful conflict forecasts and insights into conflict dynamics.
Community-based system dynamics improves ML fairness by involving excluded stakeholders.
problem Bias in ML system development during problem formulation.
method Community-based system dynamics (CBSD) for stakeholder participation.
result CBSD facilitates deeper problem understanding and bias mitigation.
New theory shows alliances neither deter nor provoke aggression.
problem The causal effect of alliances on conflict is unclear due to endogeneity issues.
method Innovative generalized joint regression models to account for endogeneity.
result Alliances neither deter nor provoke aggression.
Interpretable machine learning faces acceptance challenges.
problem Acceptance issues in interpretable machine learning.
method Analyzing stakeholder concerns and desires.
result Need deeper consideration of stakeholders' needs.
A model for groundwater trading among stakeholders.
problem Groundwater trading among stakeholders in a basin.
method Optimization of production by agents considering water rights, consumption, and trading.
result Characterization of Nash equilibrium in a 1-period setting and initial insights into multi-period game.
The paper shows conflict graphs of Petersen family graphs are mostly unbalanced.
problem Understanding the balance of conflict graphs in Petersen family graphs.
method Analyzing maximally planar subgraphs and their conflict graphs.
result All but three strong conflict graphs from Petersen Family Graphs are unbalanced.
Study reveals trade dynamics in dry bulk shipping networks, highlighting their randomness and periodic changes.
problem Understanding the randomness and periodic changes in dry bulk shipping networks.
method Analysis of micro-level trade flow data from 2015 to 2023, focusing on grain, coal, and iron ore networks.
result Dry bulk shipping networks exhibit small-world phenomena and periodic life cycles, influenced by importing ports and global events.
Unified approach detects traffic conflicts across various interactions.
problem Inconsistent detection of traffic conflicts across different interactions.
method Unified probabilistic approach decomposes conflicts into statistical learning tasks.
result Effective collision warnings across diverse datasets and environments.
Paper resolves apparent conflict between group and individual fairness.
problem Apparent conflict between group and individual fairness in machine learning.
method Theoretical discussions from fair machine learning, political, and legal philosophy.
result Individual and group fairness are not fundamentally in conflict.
The study extends Tutte's conflict graph concept to nonplanar graphs.
problem Understanding the structure of nonplanar graphs through conflict graphs.
method Defining a signed conflict graph for maximally planar subgraphs and analyzing their balance.
result For graphs with a flat embedding, every maximal planar subgraph has unbalanced conflict graphs if and only if the graph is intrinsically linked.
New method detects conflicts in police body-worn audio.
problem Poor metrics for conflict detection in police interactions.
method Adaptive noise removal, non-speech filtering, and new phrase-based measures.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on LAPD body-worn audio data.
Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions to measure evidence conflict and stability.
problem Modern data analysis lacks mechanisms to show the clarity, conflict, or stability of evidence behind predictions.
method Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions.
result SEF measures conflict and stability, and shows that conflict can improve loss prediction beyond confidence.
Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
problem Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
method Analytical framework for tail dependence, Copula-CoVaR method, ARMA-GARCH-skewed Student-t model.
result The outbreak of the conflict intensified risks in the wheat market the most and showed significant asymmetries in extreme risk spillovers.
The paper uses conformal prediction for forecasting conflict sequences in Markov processes.
problem Forecasting future conflict states for national policy decisions.
method Conformal prediction on Markov processes for temporally-dependent data.
result Conformal prediction provides valid uncertainty quantification and robustness to model misspecification.
Study finds explainability used mainly by ML engineers, not end users.
problem Insufficient transparency for end users in deployed machine learning models.
method Synthesizes limitations of current explainability techniques and develops a framework for clear goals.
result Current explainability techniques primarily serve internal stakeholders, not external users.
Framework for eliciting fairness constraints from stakeholders.
problem Complex, nuanced fairness requirements not captured by simple definitions.
method Algorithm for learning accurate models subject to elicited fairness constraints.
result Provably convergent and oracle efficient algorithm with generalization bounds.
Proposes a method to infer the distributional impacts of predictive models on stakeholders.
problem The influence of predictive models on target variable distribution, leading to performative prediction.
method Modeling agents' responses as a cost-adjusted utility maximization problem and using optimal transport to align pre- and post-model distributions.
result Provides estimates for the cost associated with these responses and demonstrates the quality of these estimates.
Data science teams collaborate extensively, using various tools and stakeholders.
problem Lack of understanding in how data science workers collaborate in practice.
method Conducted an online survey with 183 data science workers.
result Data science teams are highly collaborative and use multiple tools and stakeholders.
This paper tackles multilingual speech processing by optimizing conflicting objectives hierarchically.
problem Training models for multilingual, multi-task speech processing is hampered by conflicting objectives.
method Investigates three multi-objective MSP formulations and introduces a lightweight layer-selection mechanism.
result A bi-level recipe outperforms standard flat optimization in state-of-the-art MSP models.
Paper defines predictive multiplicity and measures its severity in classification problems.
problem Challenges in machine learning due to competing models with conflicting predictions.
method Formal measures and integer programming tools for linear classification problems.
result Real-world datasets may admit competing models with wildly conflicting predictions.
New hashing methods improve entity resolution in conflict datasets.
problem Improving entity resolution in databases with unknown unique identifiers.
method Introducing and comparing new locality sensitive hashing methods.
result New hashing methods outperform existing approaches in conflict datasets.
ABOUT ML aims to improve transparency in ML lifecycle documentation.
problem Lack of standard documentation in machine learning lifecycle.
method Initiative to operationalize ML transparency and standardize documentation.
result Helps address gaps in ML lifecycle documentation.
Paper proposes active learning for mining conflict dynamics from textual data.
problem Lack of detailed information on conflict dynamics in existing datasets.
method Active learning with a large, encoder-only language model.
result Performance similar to human coding with reduced human annotation.
Fairness issues in AI systems impact many users, prompting new design considerations.
problem Fairness in AI systems that impact many users or stakeholders.
method Advocating for the use of social welfare functions that encode fairness in reinforcement learning.
result The need for fairness considerations in reinforcement learning systems.
Study on recurrent neural networks' feature selection and memorization using F1B test.
problem Conflict between feature selection and memorization in sequence learning.
method Flagged-1-Bit (F1B) test, four recurrent network models studied analytically and experimentally.
result Conflict can be resolved by gating mechanism or increasing state dimension.
Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.
problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.
We investigate the structure of global inter-firm linkages using a dataset that contains information on business partners for about 400,000 firms worldwide, including all the firms listed on the major stock exchanges. Among the firms, we examine three networks, which are based on customer-supplier, licensee-licensor, a…
We first pursue the study of how hierarchy provides a well-adapted tool for the analysis of change. Then, using a time sequence-constrained hierarchical clustering, we develop the practical aspects of a new approach to wavelet regression. This provides a new way to link hierarchical relationships in a multivariate time…
Enhances conformal prediction for better uncertainty estimates in armed conflict fatalities.
problem Lack of individual-level uncertainty estimates in existing forecasting models.
method Introduces bin-conditional conformal prediction (BCCP) to improve coverage rates across subsets of the outcome variable.
result Demonstrates improved local coverage and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates across various ranges of fatalities.
Hybrid model improves geopolitical conflict forecasting.
problem Forecasting geopolitical events from sparse, bursty data.
method Sparse Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) + Variational Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Process (VNNGP).
result Consistently outperforms standalone TFT in long-range horizons.
We present CYCLADES, a general framework for parallelizing stochastic optimization algorithms in a shared memory setting. CYCLADES is asynchronous during shared model updates, and requires no memory locking mechanisms, similar to HOGWILD!-type algorithms. Unlike HOGWILD!, CYCLADES introduces no conflicts during the par…
Toolkit and taxonomy for diverse AI explainability methods.
problem Diverse stakeholder needs for AI explanations.
method Open-source software toolkit with eight explainability methods and evaluation metrics.
result Taxonomy helps navigate explanation methods.
ELICA helps analysts understand unfamiliar domains by extracting relevant terms.
problem Communication barriers between analysts and stakeholders in unfamiliar domains.
method ELICA uses WFSTs to dynamically extract and label requirements-relevant knowledge from text and non-linguistic cues.
result ELICA supports analysts in understanding and eliciting requirements from unfamiliar domains.
Study examines grain futures connectedness during Russia-Ukraine conflict.
problem Quantile return connectedness of grain futures markets during geopolitical instability.
method Dynamic quantile VAR combined with frequency-domain decomposition.
result Heterogeneous spillovers across quantiles, with strong transmitters and persistent receivers.
WISCA generates consensus explanations from conflicting model-agnostic interpretability methods.
problem Conflicting explanations from diverse interpretability algorithms.
method WISCA integrates class probability and normalized attributions to generate consistent explanations.
result WISCA consistently aligns with the most reliable individual method, improving explanation reliability.
FinTech framework clusters innovations for financial services.
problem Lack of comprehensive definition and analysis of FinTech.
method Narrative review of over 100 studies, clustering framework development.
result Developed a comprehensive FinTech clustering framework.
This paper introduces STAP to measure DEX efficiency and shows better routing algorithms increase DEX performance and stakeholder benefits.
problem Measuring and improving the efficiency of decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Introduces STAP as a measure of DEX efficiency and compares two routing algorithms.
result Better routing algorithms improve DEX efficiency and stakeholder benefits.
Conflict sets are loci of intersecting wavefronts emanating from l different surfaces. We show that generically conflict sets are Legendrian: locally they admit the structure of wavefronts. Simple stable singularities for this problem in Rn occur when 0≤n−l≤4. Other related sets, such as kite curves a…
Researchers develop a neural network that learns like humans, overcoming forgetting and structure issues.
problem Catastrophic forgetting and structure limitations in neural networks.
method Memory playback strategy and dynamic structure extension using conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE).
result The method effectively prevents forgetting and allows for dynamic network growth.
Study uses VC correlation to uncover directional financial relationships.
problem Understanding causal relationships between financial variables.
method Volatility constrained correlation (VC correlation) method.
result Operating income is most influential, while market capitalization and revenue are most susceptible.
The study analyzes implicit biases in neural networks using backward error analysis.
problem Analyzing implicit biases in multitask and continual learning settings.
method Backward error analysis to compute implicit training biases, deriving modified losses with three terms.
result The conflict term, measuring gradient alignment, is a new quantity in continual learning.
A 2-complex requires at least 12 colours to avoid edge conflicts.
problem Generalizing the Four Colour Theorem to three dimensions.
method Examined 2-complexes embedded in 3-manifolds, proving necessity and sufficiency of 12 colours.
result 12 colours are both necessary and sufficient for 2-complexes in 3-manifolds.