Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
arXiv research
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Poor economies not only produce less; they typically produce things that involve fewer inputs and fewer intermediate steps. Yet the supply chains of poor countries face more frequent disruptions---delivery failures, faulty parts, delays, power outages, theft, government failures---that systematically thwart the product…
Predicts disruptions in ADITYA tokamak 12 ms in advance.
Study automates detection of visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
Modeling supply chain disruptions from climate hazards with adaptive firms.
We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on passenger behavior. The goal is to predict changes in the behavior of the system at par…
The multi-scale, mutli-physics nature of fusion plasmas makes predicting plasma events challenging. Recent advances in deep convolutional neural network architectures (CNN) utilizing dilated convolutions enable accurate predictions on sequences which have long-range, multi-scale characteristics, such as the time-series…
Study forecasts supply chain disruptions in automotive industry.
Adaptive rerouting reshapes impacts of maritime chokepoint disruptions
Study disrupts Sicilian Mafia networks using data analysis.
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
A Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) uses a constellation of satellites around the earth for accurate navigation, timing, and positioning. Natural phenomena like space weather introduce irregularities in the Earth's ionosphere, disrupting the propagation of the radio signals that GNSS relies upon. Such disruptio…
This paper studies the interrelation between spot and futures prices in the two major rice markets in prewar Japan from the perspective of market efficiency. Applying a non-Bayesian time-varying model approach to the fundamental equation for spot returns and the futures premium, we detect when efficiency reductions in …
Blockchain disrupts corporate finance, but challenges remain.
Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.
This thesis focuses on gaining linguistic insights into textual discussions on a word level. It was of special interest to distinguish messages that constructively contribute to a discussion from those that are detrimental to them. Thereby, we wanted to determine whether "I"- and "You"-messages are indicators for eithe…
This study analyzes how cryptocurrency networks adapt to financial disruptions.
This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.
Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods …
Researchers disrupt Gaussian model inference to test adversarial attacks.
This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.
Study adapts OHLC volatility estimators for monitoring market stress in diverse settings.
Marine buoys aid in the battle against Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) fishing by detecting fishing vessels in their vicinity. Marine buoys, however, may be disrupted by natural causes and buoy vandalism. In this paper, we formulate marine buoy placement as a clustering problem, and propose dropout k-means an…
FinTech framework clusters innovations for financial services.
This paper investigates bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolios, finding it often negligible.
Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.
Study uncovers tactical line-breaking passes in football using clustering.
Study shows how firms adapt to systemic risk during crises, revealing key players and trade volume predictors.
Study forecasts monthly electricity demand using pattern similarity-based methods.
AI advances impact asset management, offering new decision-making capabilities.
AI platforms disrupt investment by personalizing deal sourcing and insights.
We propose a Bayesian model that predicts recovery curves based on information available before the disruptive event. A recovery curve of interest is the quantified sexual function of prostate cancer patients after prostatectomy surgery. We illustrate the utility of our model as a pre-treatment medical decision aid, pr…
In deep reinforcement learning (RL), adversarial attacks can trick an agent into unwanted states and disrupt training. We propose a system called Robust Student-DQN (RS-DQN), which permits online robustness training alongside Q networks, while preserving competitive performance. We show that RS-DQN can be combined with…
Paper presents a method to disrupt deep uncertainty estimation without affecting accuracy.
Training a neural network model can be a lifelong learning process and is a computationally intensive one. A severe adverse effect that may occur in deep neural network models is that they can suffer from catastrophic forgetting during retraining on new data. To avoid such disruptions in the continuous learning, one ap…
Supply chains are the backbone of the global economy. Disruptions to them can be costly. Centrally managed supply chains invest in ensuring their resilience. Decentralized supply chains, however, must rely upon the self-interest of their individual components to maintain the resilience of the entire chain. We examine t…
Hybrid quantum neural networks predict continuous variables.
There are no solid arguments to sustain that digital currencies are the future of online payments or the disruptive technology that some of its former participants declared when used to face critiques. This paper aims to solve the cryptocurrency puzzle from a behavioral finance perspective by finding the parallelism be…
Machine learning and blockchain are two of the most noticeable technologies in recent years. The first one is the foundation of artificial intelligence and big data, and the second one has significantly disrupted the financial industry. Both technologies are data-driven, and thus there are rapidly growing interests in …
Irregular features disrupt the desired classification. In this paper, we consider aggressively modifying scales of features in the original space according to the label information to form well-separated clusters in low-dimensional space. The proposed method exploits spectral clustering to derive scaling factors that a…
OGAN attacks autoencoders to prevent deepfake creation.
Study examines corrections to heterotic geometry on SU(3) manifolds.
Forecasting stock market decline and recovery post-COVID-19.
Quantum systems learn like machine learning models, influenced by dissipation.
Examines financial risks' impact on EU-15 economic growth.
Current advances in research, development and application of artificial intelligence (AI) systems have yielded a far-reaching discourse on AI ethics. In consequence, a number of ethics guidelines have been released in recent years. These guidelines comprise normative principles and recommendations aimed to harness the …
Social media sites are becoming a key factor in politics. These platforms are easy to manipulate for the purpose of distorting information space to confuse and distract voters. Past works to identify disruptive patterns are mostly focused on analyzing the content of tweets. In this study, we jointly embed the informati…
Plasma tomography consists in reconstructing the 2D radiation profile in a poloidal cross-section of a fusion device, based on line-integrated measurements along several lines of sight. The reconstruction process is computationally intensive and, in practice, only a few reconstructions are usually computed per pulse. I…