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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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127253380506 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for spatiotemporal prediction

This paper proposes a geometry-aware active learning framework for spatiotemporal dynamic systems.

problem Challenges in modeling complex dynamic systems with 3D geometries and time evolution.
method Geometry-aware spatiotemporal Gaussian Process (G-ST-GP) and adaptive active learning strategy.
result The proposed framework outperforms traditional methods in predicting high-dimensional dynamic behaviors.

ESNs with transfer learning predict long-term chaotic patterns in spatiotemporal dynamical systems.

problem Predicting long-term statistical patterns of spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical systems.
method Echo state networks (ESNs) with transfer learning.
result ESNs with transfer learning accurately predict long-term statistical properties of spatiotemporally chaotic PDEs.

Predicts financial asset dependencies using spatiotemporal patterns.

problem Complex dependency structures in financial assets for risk mitigation.
method Proposes Asset Dependency Matrix (ADM) and Asset Dependency Neural Network (ADNN) with ConvLSTM for spatiotemporal asset dependency prediction.
result ADNN outperforms baselines in predicting asset dependencies and their applications.

Proposes CAL to learn causal adjacency for better spatiotemporal prediction.

problem Suboptimal performance in spatiotemporal prediction due to out-of-distribution data.
method Causal Adjacency Learning (CAL) method to discover causal relations over graphs.
result Calculated causal adjacency matrix enhances prediction performance on out-of-distribution test data.

Framework uses physics knowledge to improve spatiotemporal prediction with limited data.

problem Challenges in modeling physical systems with limited real-world data.
method Physics-aware meta-learning with auxiliary tasks, incorporating PDE-independent spatial and temporal modules.
result Framework outperforms in spatiotemporal prediction tasks with limited data.

A new GNN model predicts stock trends by learning historical and future correlations.

problem Limited improvement in stock trend prediction models due to ignoring future patterns.
method DishFT-GNN framework that trains a teacher and student model to capture historical and future data correlations.
result State-of-the-art performance on real-world datasets.

DISTANA improves weather prediction by inferring hidden factors from temperature data.

problem Inferring hidden factors in spatiotemporal processes without supervision.
method Enhanced DISTANA architecture for spatiotemporal data, active tuning for latent state inference.
result DISTANA achieves more accurate predictions than other methods, inferring hidden factors from temperature data.

New method learns spatiotemporal dynamics from random point process observations.

problem Challenges in modeling spatiotemporal dynamics from randomly collected data.
method Integration of neural differential equations, neural point processes, implicit neural representations, and amortized variational inference.
result Significant improvements in predictive accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing methods.

StreamEnsemble dynamically selects ML models for ST data streams to improve predictive accuracy.

problem Predictive queries over spatiotemporal data streams are challenging due to varying distributions and patterns.
method Dynamic selection and allocation of ML models based on time series distributions and characteristics.
result Significantly outperforms traditional ensemble and single model approaches, reducing prediction error by over 10 times.

Spacetimeformer learns spatiotemporal relationships from data alone.

problem Forecasting multivariate time series with distinct spatial relationships.
method Transformers with dynamic graph connections learning interactions between space, time, and value.
result Competitive results on various time series prediction benchmarks.

This paper studies uncertainty quantification in deep spatiotemporal forecasting.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep spatiotemporal forecasting models.
method Analysis of UQ methods from Bayesian and frequentist perspectives, including statistical decision theory.
result Different UQ methods have different strengths and weaknesses, with Bayesian methods being more robust in mean prediction and frequentist methods providing more extensive coverage.

Package {mlr3spatiotempcv} simplifies spatiotemporal resampling methods in R.

problem Assessing and tuning spatial and spatiotemporal machine learning models.
method Integrates various spatiotemporal resampling methods into the {mlr3} framework.
result Provides a consistent interface for spatiotemporal resampling methods.

Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.

problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.

STAM learns important time steps and variables for multivariate time series prediction.

problem Accurate interpretation of multivariate time series predictions.
method Spatiotemporal attention mechanism (STAM) for multivariate time series modeling.
result STAM maintains state-of-the-art prediction accuracy with improved interpretability.

This study improves weather forecasting accuracy with spatiotemporal models.

problem Complexity and resource-intensive nature of weather forecasting.
method Spatiotemporal forecasting models integrating machine learning and deep neural networks.
result Spatiotemporal models reduce computational costs and improve accuracy.

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…

2017-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

FLUID-LLM uses LLMs to predict fluid dynamics with improved accuracy.

problem Leveraging LLMs for CFD due to their pattern recognition abilities but struggles with fluid dynamics complexities.
method Combines pre-trained LLMs with spatiotemporal-aware encoding to predict unsteady fluid dynamics.
result Significant performance improvements in CFD predictions across various datasets.

GraphSVR forecasts urban air pollution robustly across stations and seasons.

problem Nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent urban air pollution forecasting challenges.
method Combines graph convolutional learning and support vector regression.
result GraphSVR improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone episodes.

Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.

problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.

Enformer and GEnformer use Transformers with stochastic learning to forecast multivariate and spatiotemporal data with uncertainty.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate time series and spatiotemporal forecasting.
method Synthesizing Transformer's expressive power with stochastic learning to model conditional distributions directly.
result Enformer and GEnformer yield calibrated probabilistic forecasts and outperform state-of-the-art baselines.

Novel neural operator predicts complex spatiotemporal dynamics from partial observations.

problem Capturing complex operator dynamics in infinite-dimensional function spaces.
method Integrates Koopman operator theory with deep neural networks to approximate nonlinear operators between Banach spaces.
result BNO achieves robust zero-shot super-resolution in unsteady flow prediction and outperforms conventional methods.

This study forecasts climate data in Chile using EOFs and machine learning models.

problem Predicting climatic variability in Chile for resource management and planning.
method Combines EOF decomposition, wavelet analysis, and neural networks for spatiotemporal forecasting.
result Improved accuracy in forecasting climate data through a hybrid ML approach.

Combines ML and KB modeling for large chaotic systems.

problem Predicting large, complex, spatiotemporal systems with limited data.
method Parallel ML prediction and hybrid approach combining ML and KB.
result Excellent performance and reduced training data needed.

TK-GCN forecasts spatiotemporal dynamics using Koopman-enhanced graph convolutional networks.

problem Forecasting complex spatiotemporal dynamics over irregular domains.
method Two-stage framework: Koopman-enhanced Graph Convolutional Network (K-GCN) for spatial encoding and Transformer for temporal modeling.
result TK-GCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in spatiotemporal cardiac dynamics forecasting.

DYffusion improves diffusion models for spatiotemporal forecasting.

problem Challenges in generating stable and accurate forecasts for dynamic data.
method Leverages temporal dynamics in data, directly coupling it with diffusion steps.
result Improves computational efficiency and performs competitively on complex dynamics.

We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. Our method is a spatiotemporal forecasting model combining scalable randomized Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) methods for approximating Gaussian …

2018-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for predicting uncertainties in stream networks.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal graphs with directional flow constraints.
method Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Conformal Inference (STACI) integrating network topology and temporal dynamics.
result STACI effectively balances prediction efficiency and coverage, outperforming existing methods.

New non-separable covariance kernels for spatiotemporal data derived from harmonic oscillator physics.

problem Capturing complex spatiotemporal dependencies in Gaussian processes.
method Hybrid spectral method based on the harmonic oscillator, deriving explicit covariance kernels.
result Explicit non-separable covariance kernels with space-time interactions.

Model predicts traffic incident duration and identifies key features.

problem Predict traffic incident duration and identify critical features.
method Multi-task learning framework with sparsity optimization and ADMM algorithm.
result Model predicts incident duration and identifies key features effectively.

Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning models complex spatiotemporal data.

problem Modeling complex, nonstationary, and nonseparable spatiotemporal data.
method Integrates kernelized low-rank tensor factorization and short-range spatiotemporal Gaussian Processes.
result BCKL offers superior performance in providing accurate posterior mean and high-quality uncertainty estimates.

Calendar graph neural networks model user behavior with location and time data.

problem Modeling user behavior with location and time information for demographic prediction.
method Graph neural networks with a tripartite network of items, sessions, and locations, and a hierarchical calendar network.
result User embeddings preserve spatial and temporal patterns of various periodicity.