Spatially-aware metrics improve uncertainty evaluation in segmentation.
problem Uncertainty evaluation metrics treat voxels independently, ignoring spatial context.
method Proposed three spatially aware metrics incorporating structural and boundary information.
result Improved alignment with clinically important factors and better discrimination between uncertainty patterns.
GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.
problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.
Bayesian spatial predictive synthesis improves spatial data predictions.
problem Model misspecification and heterogeneity in spatial data.
method Bayesian ensemble methodology capturing spatially-varying model uncertainty and performance heterogeneity.
result Synthesized predictions outperform standard methods in accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Spatial smoothing improves BNNs' accuracy, uncertainty, and robustness without increasing computational cost.
problem Large ensembles in BNNs increase computational cost and reduce performance.
method Spatial smoothing adds blur layers to convolutional neural networks to ensemble neighboring feature map points.
result Spatial smoothing improves BNNs' performance with fewer ensembles and enhances robustness.
A cubing strategy identifies stable hyperparameter regions for uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning.
problem Uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning models.
method Cubing-based diagnostic framework to recursively partition hyperparameter space and evaluate regions using scoring rules.
result Our approach produces competitive or superior predictive intervals compared to a statistical baseline model.
Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.
problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.
Proposes LSCP for spatial data uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in spatial statistics, especially for complex and heterogeneous datasets.
method Localized quantile regression for spatial conformal prediction.
result LSCP provides more accurate and consistent prediction intervals.
New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.
problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.
Combines BART and Gaussian process for spatial covariate prediction with uncertainty.
problem Improving spatial prediction models with nonlinear and interaction covariates.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) combined with Gaussian process for spatial dependence.
result Effective in reducing computational burden through INLA and MCMC.
PE-GQNN improves spatial data prediction and uncertainty quantification.
problem Poor calibration of predictive distributions in spatial data models.
method Combines PE-GNNs with Quantile Neural Networks and recalibration techniques.
result PE-GQNN outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Hybrid framework merges data and domain knowledge for better spatial interpolation.
problem Spatial interpolation overlooks domain knowledge and limits to spatial coordinates.
method Integrates data-driven features with rule-assisted spatial dependency function mapping.
result Superior performance in two application scenarios, capturing localized features.
The paper examines uncertainty calibration for object detection models in autonomous driving.
problem Uncertainty in object detection predictions and its calibration.
method Definition and evaluation of semantic and spatial uncertainty, calibration methods for uncertainty distributions.
result Calibrated uncertainty improves the overall performance of object detection models in real-world scenarios.
Enhances ocean floor mapping with adaptive uncertainty estimates.
problem Inaccurate bathymetric data for precise ocean modeling.
method Block-based conformal prediction with VQ-VAE architecture.
result Significant improvements in reconstruction quality and uncertainty estimation reliability.
Nonlocal Bayesian modeling for continuous spatio-temporal dynamics
problem Handling irregular time points, sparse observations, and nonlocal interactions in spatio-temporal forecasting
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with coordinate-based spatial basis expansion and continuous-time ODE
result Strong forecasting and uncertainty calibration
STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.
problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.
Spatial Adapter adds structured spatial representation to frozen predictors.
problem Efficiently adding spatial structure to pre-trained models.
method Structured spatial decomposition and closed-form covariance for residual fields.
result Adapter improves spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Proposes a new model to predict travel demand with zero-inflated and long-tail characteristics.
problem Sparse and long-tailed travel demand data with many zeros.
method Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Graph Neural Network (STTD) using Tweedie distribution.
result STTD provides accurate predictions and precise confidence intervals.
New method predicts spatial events like hurricanes and earthquakes with uncertainty.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in natural hazard predictions.
method Representing spatial point clouds as empirical measures, constraining prediction sets to spatial data manifold, using Wasserstein distance.
result Achieves near-nominal coverage and lower energy/manifold distances compared to baselines.
We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity of target data. The proposed model can effectively make use of auxiliary data set…
NCS enables efficient and accurate conditional simulation for complex spatial processes.
problem Challenges in simulating from complex spatial process distributions.
method Neural diffusion models and conditional score-based diffusion.
result NCS outperforms traditional methods in efficiency and accuracy.
Spatially weighted conformal prediction improves uncertainty quantification in house price models.
problem Uncertainty quantification in automated valuation models with spatial dependencies.
method Survey and demonstration of various spatially weighted approaches to adjust conformal prediction confidence sets.
result Spatially weighted CP makes confidence sets more consistently calibrated across geographical regions.
Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting large-scale bivariate wind fields with high spatial variability and heterogeneity.
method Spatially dependent deep neural network (DNN) with embedding layer using spatial radial basis functions.
result Outperforms traditional cokriging predictors and reduces computation time.
New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.
Neural networks estimate spatial process likelihoods efficiently.
problem Challenges in estimating spatial processes with slow or intractable likelihoods.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on a classification task to learn likelihood function.
result Neural likelihood surfaces provide fast and accurate parameter estimation.
New method for estimating spatial associations with discrete data, even under model misspecification.
problem Estimating associations between covariates and discrete responses with spatial variability and nonrandom sampling.
method Proposes a novel approach to handle spatially varying noise, provides a proof of consistency, and uses a delta method argument.
result Empirically shows reliable confidence intervals compared to standard methods, even with model misspecification.
Graph neural networks extend neural Bayes estimators to irregular spatial data.
problem Estimating parameters from irregular spatial data with computational efficiency.
method Employing graph neural networks to approximate Bayes estimators for irregular spatial data.
result Extending neural Bayes estimation to irregular spatial data with computational benefits.
New method models precipitation extremes and spatial dependence.
problem Estimating dependencies of precipitation maxima in space and time.
method Generative neural networks for max-stable processes.
result Explicit nonparametric estimate of spatial dependence.
New method provides valid confidence intervals for spatial associations.
problem Limited insight into covariate-response relationships in spatial settings.
method Lipschitz-driven uncertainty quantification for spatial association.
result Valid frequentist confidence intervals for associations in spatial settings.
A2-SBNN models spatial data with copulas for non-Gaussian dependencies.
problem Capturing complex spatial relationships and extreme dependencies in non-Gaussian data.
method Embedding A2 copula into a Bayesian neural network, trained with Wasserstein loss and moment matching.
result A2-SBNN consistently delivers high accuracy across various dependency strengths.
New neural network captures spatial correlations in wind speed predictions.
problem Uncertainty quantification in neural network predictions for high-dimensional, correlated data.
method Training neural networks with multidimensional Gaussian loss, preserving spatial correlation and computational tractability.
result Demonstrated super-resolution of surface wind speed with explicit correlation modeling.
Dual random fields improve mineral potential predictions.
problem Limited understanding of multi-dimensional causalities and dependencies.
method Introduces dual random fields to pool response functions across the domain.
result Spatial inference and uncertainty assessment of response models and predictions.
ProFnet models HDFTS with neural networks, offering scalable probabilistic forecasts.
problem Modeling high-dimensional functional time series with nonlinear trends and high spatial dimensions.
method Integrates feedforward and deep neural networks with probabilistic modeling.
result Superior performance in forecasting Japan's mortality rates.
CMCO provides robust uncertainty estimates for neural operators without retraining.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep learning for real-time virtual sensing.
method Unified Monte Carlo dropout and split conformal prediction in DeepONet.
result Near-nominal empirical coverage in diverse applications.
DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.
problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Proposes a method to make statistical inferences robust in spatially dependent settings with missing at random labels.
problem Statistical inference challenges with missing at random labels and spatial dependence.
method Doubly robust estimator with cross-fit nuisances and jackknife spatial HAC variance correction.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals with improved finite-sample calibration.
This study prioritizes temporal resolution over spatial in energy systems models due to higher influence.
problem The impact of spatial and temporal resolution on energy system models.
method Global sensitivity analysis to compare structural aspects, spatial, and temporal resolution.
result Temporal resolution has a higher influence on all results parameters compared to spatial resolution.
DeepKriging uses DNNs to predict spatial data with improved accuracy and scalability.
problem Predicting spatial processes with non-linear and non-Gaussian data.
method Adds an embedding layer of spatial coordinates with basis functions to DNNs.
result DeepKriging provides non-linear predictions with smaller approximation errors and is scalable for large datasets.
Proposes linking energy and force uncertainty in deep learning potentials.
problem Uncertainty in predicted energies and forces in machine learning models.
method Introduces a spatially correlated noise process to link energy and force uncertainty.
result Demonstrates the approach on molecular datasets, linking energy and force uncertainties.
A framework for navigating environments with spatially correlated obstacles and uncertain blockage status.
problem Navigation in environments with spatially correlated obstacles of uncertain blockage status.
method Modeling spatial correlation with Gaussian Random Field, developing Bayesian belief updates, proposing a two-stage learning framework with offline and online phases.
result Consistent performance gains over baselines in environments with adversarial interruptions or clustered natural hazards.
New CV method reduces bias in spatial prediction models.
problem Bias in standard cross-validation due to uneven sampling.
method Target-Weighted Cross-Validation (TWCV) framework.
result Weighted CV approaches reduce bias in prediction error.
Probabilistic programming aids in automatically dating ice cores, reducing manual error and uncertainty.
problem Automatically dating ice cores with high accuracy and capturing uncertainty.
method Probabilistic models and probabilistic programming for automatic inference.
result Demonstrated the use of probabilistic programming for ice core dating, showcasing its benefits and limitations.
Normative modeling has recently been proposed as an alternative for the case-control approach in modeling heterogeneity within clinical cohorts. Normative modeling is based on single-output Gaussian process regression that provides coherent estimates of uncertainty required by the method but does not consider spatial c…
Spatially relaxed inference tackles high-dimensional linear models with correlated covariates.
problem Accurate inference is challenging in high-dimensional settings with spatially correlated covariates.
method Proposes ensembled clustered inference algorithms that control the δ-FWER under standard assumptions. result Ensembled clustered inference algorithms control the δ-FWER and achieve decent power. Airlines optimize fuel loading with better flight time predictions.
problem Flight time uncertainties and their impact on fuel consumption.
method Developed a spatial weighted recurrent neural network model.
result The model provides more accurate flight time predictions, reducing fuel consumption.
Deep GMRFs improve spatial data modeling and prediction.
problem Modeling spatial dependencies in data.
method Established connection between GMRFs and CNNs, allowing for multi-layer architectures.
result Deep GMRFs outperform state-of-the-art models in satellite temperature prediction.
SXL embeds spatial autocorrelation into neural networks for better geographic data learning.
problem Difficulties in learning spatial effects for neural networks in geographic data.
method SXL uses auxiliary tasks and autoregressive embeddings to learn spatial autocorrelation.
result SXL improves neural network training in unsupervised and supervised learning tasks.
Bayesian approach models earthquake clustering with spatial mainshocks and aftershocks.
problem Estimating uncertainty in earthquake clustering models due to complex likelihood functions.
method Nonparametric Dirichlet process mixture prior for spatial mainshocks and an auxiliary latent variable routine for efficient inference.
result Efficient Bayesian forecasting of spatial earthquake occurrences with uncertainty quantification.
Spatial processes with nonstationary and anisotropic covariance structure are often used when modelling, analysing and predicting complex environmental phenomena. Such processes may often be expressed as ones that have stationary and isotropic covariance structure on a warped spatial domain. However, the warping functi…