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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3570104139 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for spatial shifts

OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.

problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.

Unified framework detects shifts in climate boundaries using GP regression and MAD test.

problem Challenges in quantifying and testing for temporal shifts in spatial boundaries from noisy data.
method Combines heteroskedastic GP regression with scaled MAD GET.
result No significant decade-scale changes in arid and semi-arid interfaces, but localized shifts during extreme droughts identified.

New method improves traffic forecasting models by adapting to spatial shifts.

problem Improving traffic forecasting models' ability to handle spatial shifts over years.
method Proposes a novel Mixture of Experts (MoE) framework for spatiotemporal models.
result Significant improvement in performance for handling spatial distribution shifts.

MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.

problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.

New method improves spatial prediction validation accuracy.

problem Validation methods fail for spatial prediction tasks due to mismatch between validation and test locations.
method Proposes a new validation method that adapts existing covariate-shift ideas to spatial settings.
result Proves and demonstrates the new method's superiority in spatial prediction validation.

Geostatistical learning faces unique challenges due to spatial correlation and covariate shifts.

problem Challenges in applying statistical learning to geospatial data.
method Assessing generalization error under covariate shift and spatial correlation.
result No classical learning methods are adequate for model selection in geospatial contexts.

WBCP improves conformal prediction for distribution shifts using weighted Dirichlet posteriors.

problem Handling distribution shifts in conformal prediction.
method Generalizes Bayesian Quadrature Conformal Prediction (BQ-CP) to arbitrary importance-weighted settings.
result WBCP maintains coverage guarantees while providing richer uncertainty information.

Comparing data defined over space and time is notoriously hard, because it involves quantifying both spatial and temporal variability, while at the same time taking into account the chronological structure of data. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) computes an optimal alignment between time series in agreement with the chrono…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Using open source data, we observe the fascinating dynamics of nighttime light. Following a global economic regime shift, the planetary center of light can be seen moving eastwards at a pace of about 60 km per year. Introducing spatial light Gini coefficients, we find a universal pattern of human settlements across dif…

2013-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new metric to select optimal Graph Shift Operator for GNNs.

problem Empirical selection of Graph Shift Operator remains challenging.
method Introduces a novel alignment gain metric connecting geometric distortion to generalization bounds via spectral proxy.
result Provides a principled, computation-efficient criterion to rank and select optimal GSO.

This article addresses the issue of representing electroencephalographic (EEG) signals in an efficient way. While classical approaches use a fixed Gabor dictionary to analyze EEG signals, this article proposes a data-driven method to obtain an adapted dictionary. To reach an efficient dictionary learning, appropriate s…

2013-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

FLUXtrapolation benchmarks machine learning for extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under distribution shifts.

problem Machine learning challenges in extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under distribution shifts.
method Defined temporal, spatial, and temperature-based extrapolation scenarios; evaluated performance across domains, temporal aggregations, and tail errors.
result Baselines perform similarly under median hourly RMSE but differ under tail-focused and multi-scale evaluations.

Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.

problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.

Paper tackles estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal processes from sparse data.

problem Estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal advection-diffusion processes from sparse data.
method Regularized convex optimization problem with Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers.
result Efficient solutions for non-uniform and shifted uniform sampling schemes.

Scattering representations simplify SBI for images without extra compression.

problem Efficiently performing simulation-based inference on images with limited data.
method Use scattering representations for compression and learning, combined with spatial averaging and expressive density estimators.
result Scattering representations provide more information than traditional methods, without requiring additional simulations.

Bayesian Empirical Bayes extends EB to complex structures using probabilistic symmetry.

problem Improving simultaneous inference in complex settings like arrays and graphs.
method Generalized empirical Bayes approach based on probabilistic symmetry.
result BEB outperforms existing methods in denoising arrays and spatial data.

As one of the important functions of the intelligent transportation system (ITS), supply-demand prediction for autonomous vehicles provides a decision basis for its control. In this paper, we present two prediction models (i.e. ARLP model and Advanced ARLP model) based on two system environments that only the current d…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The non-stationary nature of electroencephalography (EEG) signals makes an EEG-based brain-computer interface (BCI) a dynamic system, thus improving its performance is a challenging task. In addition, it is well-known that due to non-stationarity based covariate shifts, the input data distributions of EEG-based BCI sys…

2018-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

GOPSA optimizes EEG data for cross-site age prediction, improving performance on multiple metrics.

problem Predictive shifts in EEG data from different sites and participants.
method Geodesic Optimization for Predictive Shift Adaptation (GOPSA) on the SPD manifold.
result Significantly higher performance on age prediction metrics compared to state-of-the-art methods.

ProGen improves spatiotemporal forecasting with SDEs and diffusion models.

problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data.
method ProGen uses Stochastic Differential Equations and diffusion-based generative models.
result ProGen outperforms state-of-the-art models on traffic datasets.

Efficient neural Bayes estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models improve inference speed and accuracy.

problem Computational burden in inference with spatial extremal dependence models due to intractable or censored likelihoods.
method Developed neural Bayes estimators using data augmentation techniques to encode censoring information.
result Significant gains in computational and statistical efficiency compared to traditional methods.

Improves AI agents' 3D navigation by learning from failures and 3D spatial relationships.

problem Challenges in data efficiency, obstacle avoidance, and generalization in 3D visual navigation.
method Incorporates attention on 3D spatial relationships and a target skill extension module into DRL framework.
result Significantly improves navigation performance and generalization across targets and scenes.

SA-BCP combines long-term and local evidence for efficient, adaptive online prediction.

problem Balancing fast adaptation and stable coverage in online prediction.
method State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP) using gated convex combination of temporal inertia and spatial evidence.
result SA-BCP achieves at-or-above-nominal coverage with substantially sharper intervals compared to discounted Bayesian CP.

In this paper, we consider domain-invariant deep learning by explicitly modeling domain shifts with only a small amount of domain-specific parameters in a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). By exploiting the observation that a convolutional filter can be well approximated as a linear combination of a small set of dict…

2019-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper models spatio-temporal extremes using conditional variational autoencoders.

problem Modeling co-occurrence of extreme weather events under changing climate conditions.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoder (cXVAE) with CNN integration.
result Accurately emulates spatial fields and recovers extremal dependence with low computational cost.

Modeling wind dynamics in Saudi Arabia using deep learning and stochastic PDEs.

problem Accurately modeling spatio-temporal wind patterns in a large, diverse, and understudied region.
method Energy distance-based spatial reduction, sparse stochastic Echo State Network, non-stationary stochastic PDE reconstruction.
result Produces more accurate wind speed and energy forecasts, saving $1 million annually.

Spatial blind source separation simplifies multivariate spatial prediction.

problem Predicting multivariate measurements at unobserved locations with spatial dependencies.
method Spatial blind source separation as a pre-processing tool compared to Cokriging and neural networks.
result Spatial blind source separation simplifies spatial prediction by avoiding cross-dependencies.

STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.

problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.

Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) relies on multi-step data processing pipelines to accurately determine brain activity; among them, the crucial step of spatial smoothing. These pipelines are commonly suboptimal, given the local optimisation strategy they use, treating each step in isolation. With the advent…

2017-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework for averaging spatio-temporal signals using optimal transport and soft alignments.

problem Averaging complex datasets with time and spatial components.
method Inspired by DTW, OT, and UOT, a new loss function is proposed to address shifts in time, space, and population size.
result The proposed loss function can be used to compute spatio-temporal barycenters efficiently.

Defines non-parabolic curves in spatial hybrid space with applications.

problem Defining and analyzing non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.
method Definition and proof of existence and uniqueness theorem for non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.
result Existence and uniqueness theorem for non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.

A framework converts spatial data into embeddings for insurance risk modelling.

problem Improving underwriting precision and risk management in insurance with spatial data.
method Multi-view contrastive learning framework for generating spatial embeddings.
result Spatial embeddings consistently improve predictive accuracy across various models.