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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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114228342456 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for small-area analysis

Horseshoe priors improve small area estimation by borrowing strength globally but locally.

problem Improving precision of small area estimators through global-local borrowing of strength.
method Developed a tail-robust horseshoe model for Fay-Herriot small area estimation, using heteroscedastic Tweedie identity and regular variation theory.
result The horseshoe model outperforms structured Gaussian smoothing on strongly spatial data, identifying exceptional areas that smoothing suppresses.

PriorVAE uses VAEs to efficiently encode spatial priors for small-area estimation.

problem Efficiently encoding spatial priors for small-area estimation using Gaussian processes.
method Approximating Gaussian process priors with a variational autoencoder (VAE).
result Efficient spatial inference through a low-dimensional latent Gaussian space representation.

Differential privacy for simple linear regression protects small datasets from individual data leaks.

problem Protecting sensitive personal information in small datasets from individual data leaks.
method Differential privacy algorithms for simple linear regression tailored for small datasets (tens to hundreds of datapoints).
result Robust estimators like Theil-Sen perform well on small datasets, but standard algorithms improve as dataset size increases.

Random forests and LASSO methods improve small area estimation using auxiliary data.

problem Estimating household consumption in small areas with limited sampled data.
method Model-based small area estimation using random forests and LASSO with auxiliary information.
result Bayesian shrinkage performed best in terms of bias, MSE, and prediction interval coverages.

We show the existence of a smooth spherical surface minimizing the Willmore functional subject to an area constraint in a compact Riemannian three-manifold, provided the area is small enough. Moreover, we classify complete surfaces of Willmore type with positive mean curvature in Riemannian three-manifolds.

2012-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We show the existence of a local foliation of a three dimensional Riemannian manifold by critical points of the Willmore functional subject to a small area constraint around non-degenerate critical points of the scalar curvature. This adapts a method developed by Rugang Ye to construct foliations by surfaces of constan…

2018-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes efficient multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot models using variational autoencoders.

problem Estimating population characteristics in small areas with limited data.
method Integrates multivariate spatial Fay-Herriot model with variational autoencoders to leverage spatial structure efficiently.
result Significant computational efficiency improvements for high-dimensional datasets.

TLRF improves timely COVID-19 outbreak detection with small sample size counties.

problem Balancing accuracy and speed in estimating COVID-19 case growth rates.
method Transfer Learning Random Forest (TLRF) framework for growth rate estimation.
result TLRF outperforms existing methods in predicting case growth rates and timely outbreak detection.

Bayesian SAE model with spectral clustering and uncertainty quantification.

problem Small Area Estimation (SAE) with uncertainty quantification.
method Spectral clustering with external covariates, posterior projections, and CPMSE.
result Closed form expressions for posterior mean estimators and CPMSE.

In this article, we use the harmonic sequence associated to a weakly conformal harmonic map f:SS6f:S\to S^6 in order to determine explicit examples of linearly full almost complex 2-spheres of S6S^6 with at most two singularities. We prove that the singularity type of these almost complex 2-spheres has an extra symmetry a…

2012-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The Schwarzschild spacetime metric of negative mass is well-known to contain a naked singularity. In a spacelike slice, this singularity of the metric is characterized by the property that nearby surfaces have arbitrarily small area. We develop a theory of such "zero area singularities" in Riemannian manifolds, general…

2009-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Our main result is that for all sufficiently large x0>0x_0>0, the set of commensurability classes of arithmetic hyperbolic 2- or 3-orbifolds with fixed invariant trace field kk and systole bounded below by x0x_0 has density one within the set of all commensurability classes of arithmetic hyperbolic 2- or 3-orbifolds wit…

2015-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings show that not all area-minimizing surfaces are calibrated, even on complex manifolds.

problem Understanding when area-minimizing surfaces cannot be calibrated.
method Analyzing homology classes and metrics on manifolds to determine if area-minimizers are calibrated.
result Calibrated area-minimizers are non-generic, challenging the common assumption that they are typical.

This paper introduces compositional data analysis for financial ratios, improving industry-level analysis.

problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios at industry level.
method Compositional data analysis techniques for financial ratios.
result Improved analysis of financial ratios using compositional data methods.

Paper combines geometry and time-series analysis for spatiotemporal data.

problem Multivariate time-series data from multiple sensors.
method Combines manifold learning, Riemannian geometry, and spectral analysis.
result Proposes Riemannian multi-resolution analysis (RMRA) for dynamic mode extraction.

In this paper the exact linear relation between the leading eigenvectors of the modularity matrix and the singular vectors of an uncentered data matrix is developed. Based on this analysis the concept of a modularity component is defined, and its properties are developed. It is shown that modularity component analysis …

2015-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates to identify the requirement and the development of machine learning-based mobile big data analysis through discussing the insights of challenges in the mobile big data (MBD). Furthermore, it reviews the state-of-the-art applications of data analysis in the area of MBD. Firstly, we introduce the …

2018-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Interactive DR framework for comparing datasets.

problem Limited flexibility in existing DR methods for comparative analysis.
method Unified linear comparative analysis (ULCA) with interactive optimization and visualization.
result ULCA and optimization algorithm improve comparative analysis efficiency and flexibility.

Proposes a multivariate regression model for better analysis of multiple datasets.

problem Insufficient performance of single-dataset analysis in integrative studies.
method Sparse estimation for variable and group selection, alternating direction method of multipliers algorithm.
result Demonstrated improved performance through simulations and real data analysis.

This study analyzes data science vocabulary changes over 13 years.

problem Understanding evolution of data science terms over time.
method Exploratory Data Analysis, Latent Semantic Analysis, Latent Dirichlet Analysis, N-grams Analysis.
result Identified new vocabulary and its incorporation into scientific literature.

FinSphere improves stock analysis quality with AI and expert-curated data.

problem Lack of objective evaluation metrics and depth in stock analysis by FinLLMs.
method Developed AnalyScore, curated Stocksis dataset, and FinSphere AI agent.
result FinSphere outperforms general and domain-specific LLMs in generating high-quality stock analysis reports.

This study examines whether PCA can effectively identify nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.

problem Identifying pollution sources in rivers for effective environmental management.
method Principal Component Analysis and its modifications, along with Independent Component Analysis and Factor Analysis, are applied to nitrogen pollution source identification.
result PCA and related techniques can be powerful tools for uncovering nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.

Paper introduces probabilistic methods to approximate archetypal analysis, reducing complexity.

problem Inherent computational complexity of archetypal analysis limits its practical applicability.
method Two preprocessing techniques: dimensionality reduction and representation cardinality reduction, using probabilistic geometry.
result The method effectively reduces scaling and provides near-optimal solutions for prediction errors.

We present a unifying framework which reduces the construction of probabilistic component analysis techniques to a mere selection of the latent neighbourhood, thus providing an elegant and principled framework for creating novel component analysis models as well as constructing probabilistic equivalents of deterministi…

2013-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning techniques are rapidly advanced recently, and becoming a necessity component for widespread systems. However, the inference process of deep learning is black-box, and not very suitable to safety-critical systems which must exhibit high transparency. In this paper, to address this black-box limitation, we …

2019-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results to static analysis using HMMs trained on sequences of opcodes, and show that dyn…

2019-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved LDA method for better classification and dimensionality reduction.

problem Improving linear discriminant analysis for better classification performance.
method Integrates spectrally-corrected covariance matrix and regularized discriminant analysis.
result SRLDA has a linear classification global optimal solution under spiked model assumption.

CDVI improves variational inference for survival analysis by considering censoring mechanisms.

problem Challenges in applying variational methods to survival data, especially the dependence on censoring.
method Censor-dependent variational inference (CDVI) tailored for latent variable models in survival analysis.
result Significant improvements in estimating individual survival distributions.