arXiv research

Study short-maturity VIX and European option prices with jumps.

Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.

The paper analyzes short maturity Asian options using large deviations theory.

We present a rigorous study of the short maturity asymptotics for Asian options with continuous-time averaging, under the assumption that the underlying asset follows the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model. We present an analytical approximation for the Asian options prices which has the appropriate short matu…

Asymptotic analysis of short-maturity options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models.

New asymptotic formula for option prices with interest rates and dividend yield effects.

Study short-maturity Asian option pricing in LSV models using large deviations theory.

We present a rigorous study of the short maturity asymptotics for Asian options with continuous-time averaging, under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. The asymptotics for out-of-the-money, in-the-money, and at-the-money cases are derived, considering both fixed strike and float…

This paper discusses the short-maturity behavior of Asian option prices and hedging portfolios. We consider the risk-neutral valuation and the delta value of the Asian option having a Hölder continuous payoff function in a local volatility model. The main idea of this analysis is that the local volatility model can be …

Study shows non-convergence of short-maturity expansion in SABR model.

We study the short maturity asymptotics for prices of forward start Asian options under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. We obtain asymptotics for the cases of out-of-the-money, in-the-money, and at-the-money, considering both fixed strike and floating Asian options. The expone…

This paper optimizes importance sampling for rare-event options pricing under the Heston model.

Derives short-term option pricing asymptotics in local-stochastic volatility models.

Study short-term behavior of up-and-in barrier options using Malliavin calculus.

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the semimartingale. We derive in particular the asymptotic behavior of call options with sho…

Study leading-order asymptotics for VIX option prices in Bergomi models.

We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential Lévy models including a Brownian component. As auxiliary results, we obtain asymptotic expansions of short maturity at-the-money digit…

We invert the Black-Scholes formula. We consider the cases low strike, large strike, short maturity and large maturity. We give explicitly the first 5 terms of the expansions. A method to compute all the terms by induction is also given. At the money, we have a closed form formula for implied lognormal volatility in te…

We consider the fractional Heston model originally proposed by Comte, Coutin and Renault. Inspired by recent ground-breaking work on rough volatility, which showed that models with volatility driven by fractional Brownian motion with short memory allows for better calibration of the volatility surface and more robust e…

Derives a rough SABR formula for short maturities.

Study on implied volatility of Asian options with stochastic volatility.

A major drawback of the Standard Heston model is that its implied volatility surface does not produce a steep enough smile when looking at short maturities. For that reason, we introduce the Stationary Heston model where we replace the deterministic initial condition of the volatility by its invariant measure and show,…

A machine learning method for short-maturity options with jumps and stochastic volatility.

The paper analyzes implied volatility for European and Asian options under stochastic volatility Bachelier model.

Study on implied volatility of Inverse options under stochastic volatility models.

Study finds a small correction to Asian option volatility.

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and large-time behaviours of the implied volatility, and show that the proposed random…

Deep learning solves barrier options with stochastic volatility.

We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for the shortest maturities wher…

Study provides LDP for non self-similar stochastic volatility models.

Study on VIX options pricing in SABR model, showing infinite prices due to volatility explosion.

We give conditions under which the normalized marginal distribution of a semimartingale converges to a Gaussian limit law as time tends to zero. In particular, our result is applicable to solutions of stochastic differential equations with locally bounded and continuous coefficients. The limit theorems are subsequently…

This paper explores the harmonic mean of implied volatility and its relation to local volatility.

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over the volatility variable on a compact set, and (after a gauge transformation) we …

The rough Bergomi model introduced by Bayer, Friz and Gatheral has been outperforming conventional Markovian stochastic volatility models by reproducing implied volatility smiles in a very realistic manner, in particular for short maturities. We investigate here the dynamics of the VIX and the forward variance curve ge…

How to reconcile the classical Heston model with its rough counterpart? We introduce a lifted version of the Heston model with n multi-factors, sharing the same Brownian motion but mean reverting at different speeds. Our model nests as extreme cases the classical Heston model (when n = 1), and the rough Heston model (w…

We characterize the behaviour of the Rough Heston model introduced by Jaisson\&Rosenbaum \cite{JR16} in the small-time, large-time and $α\to 1/2$ (i.e. $H\to 0$) limits. We show that the short-maturity smile scales in qualitatively the same way as a general rough stochastic volatility model (cf.\ \cite{FZ17}, \cite{FGP…

Using a fast numerical technique, we investigate a large database of investor suboptimal non-exercise of short maturity American call options on dividend-paying stocks listed on the Dow Jones. The correct modelling of the discrete dividend is essential for a correct calculation of the early exercise boundary as confirm…

It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This result has been established using high frequency volatility estimations from histor…

Paper proposes a new daily benchmark for post-GFC government bond CIP deviations.

Analytical approximations for Asian option sensitivities in Black-Scholes model.

This paper extends static hedging for European options over multiple maturities.

Fast probabilistic option price predictions using modular Bayesian inference.

We consider a Markov process $X$, which is the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a Lévy process $Z$ and an independent Wiener process $W$. Under some regularity conditions, including non-degeneracy of the diffusive and jump components of the process as well as smoothness of the Lévy density of $Z…

This paper applies an algorithm for the convolution of compactly supported Legendre series (the CONLeg method) (cf. Hale and Townsend 2014a), to pricing/hedging European-type, early-exercise and discrete-monitored barrier options under a Levy process. The paper employs Chebfun (cf. Trefethen et al. 2014) in computation…

Develops a PIDE framework for option pricing with stochastic volatility and jumps.

Deep learning framework for bond and yield curve forecasting with no-arbitrage constraints.

Study finds rough volatility models underperform in SPX option pricing.