We describe a robust calibration algorithm of a set of SSVI slices (i.e. a set of 3 SSVI parameters θ,ρ,φ attached to each option maturity available on the market), which grants that these slices are free of Butterfly and Calendar-Spread arbitrage. Given such a set of consistent SSVI parameters, we show that …
SSVI efficiently trains sparse Bayesian neural networks with minimal compression and performance loss.
problem Efficiently training Bayesian neural networks with uncertainty quantification.
method SSVI optimizes a sparse subspace basis selection and its parameters alternately, guided by weight distribution statistics.
result SSVI achieves significant compression (10-20x model size reduction) with minimal performance drop (under 3%) and FLOPs reduction (up to 20x) compared to dense Variational Inference.
We develop a dynamic version of the SSVI parameterisation for the total implied variance, ensuring that European vanilla option prices are martingales, hence preventing the occurrence of arbitrage, both static and dynamic. Insisting on the constraint that the total implied variance needs to be null at the maturity of t…
Two ML approaches learn local volatility surfaces from option prices, with GP being arbitrage-free.
problem Interpolating European vanilla option prices to create a local volatility surface.
method Gaussian process regression and neural net with arbitrage penalties.
result GP approach is arbitrage-free and yields best out-of-sample calibration error.
New model predicts implied volatility using past asset price paths.
problem Forecasting implied volatility surfaces and asset prices.
method Proposes a new model using past asset price trajectories to predict implied volatility.
result Large part of implied volatility movements can be explained by past returns and squares.
This paper explores the harmonic mean of implied volatility and its relation to local volatility.
problem Understanding the relationship between implied volatility and local volatility.
method Investigates the harmonic mean of a positive function for any fixed maturity, linking it to Fukasawa's invertible map.
result The short-dated implied volatility approaches the arithmetic mean of the local volatility in a new coordinate system.
We simplify SVI volatility smile constraints for three sub-SVIs without numerical methods.
problem No arbitrage constraints for SVI volatility smiles.
method Explicit domain derivation for sub-SVIs without numerical procedures.
result Explicit no arbitrage domains for Symmetric SVI, Vanishing Upward/Downward SVI, and SSVI.
The stochastic variational inference (SVI) paradigm, which combines variational inference, natural gradients, and stochastic updates, was recently proposed for large-scale data analysis in conjugate Bayesian models and demonstrated to be effective in several problems. This paper studies a family of Bayesian latent vari…
VolNP learns IVS from sparse quotes via meta-learning and SABR priors.
problem Reconstructing implied volatility surfaces from sparse option quotes.
method Meta-learning Neural Process with SABR-induced priors.
result VolNP outperforms SABR, SSVI, and Gaussian process on SPX options.
A new framework for SPX and VIX hedging that combines AI and market dynamics.
problem Jointly hedging SPX and VIX exposures under transaction costs and regime shifts.
method Integrates an SSVI-based implied-volatility surface and a Cboe-compliant VIX computation with a control layer that enforces safety as constraints.
result Reduces expected shortfall while suppressing nuisance turnover in a reproducible synthetic environment.
Proposes a method to construct risk-neutral marginals from arbitrage-free option prices.
problem Lack of risk-neutral marginals that are free of arbitrage and easy to use.
method Explicit construction of risk-neutral marginals from discrete arbitrage-free option prices.
result Explicit construction guarantees risk-neutral marginals free of butterfly and calendar arbitrage.
Tail-Safe hedging uses reinforcement learning with a safety layer to manage financial risks.
problem Managing financial risks in derivatives trading with robustness and explainability.
method Combines distributional reinforcement learning with a CBF-QP safety layer to enforce financial constraints.
result Improves risk management without degrading central performance and avoids hard constraint violations.