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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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70139209278 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for second-order inference

SOLBP extends efficient inference to uncertain Bayesian networks.

problem Inference in uncertain Bayesian networks with second-order probabilities.
method Extends Loopy Belief Propagation to second-order Bayesian networks.
result Generates inferences consistent with sum-product networks, more efficient and scalable.

A method for inferring motility models and heterogeneity from particle trajectories.

problem Understanding motility patterns from discrete trajectory data of biological agents.
method Maximum likelihood approach for second-order Langevin models with population heterogeneity.
result The proposed method outperforms alternative approaches for short trajectories.

Enhances SMC² with Hessian info for more efficient posterior approximation.

problem Improving accuracy and efficiency in Bayesian inference.
method Integrates second-order information (Hessian) into SMC²'s proposal distribution.
result Second-order proposals lead to more accurate posterior approximations and better step-size selection.

NMC improves MCMC convergence by analyzing gradients to determine optimal proposal densities.

problem Improving MCMC convergence in structured relational models.
method Newtonian Monte Carlo (NMC) uses first and second order gradients to determine a suitable proposal density.
result NMC outperforms existing methods in various domains, including non-conjugate models.

New pruning method captures global correlations for efficient neural network inference.

problem Efficiently pruning neural networks for faster inference and reduced memory usage.
method Second-order structured pruning (SOSP-H) with innovative saliency-based approaches.
result SOSP-H scales to large-scale vision tasks and improves accuracy without compromising efficiency.

New method improves online covariance estimation for SGD.

problem Improving online covariance estimation for SGD.
method Proposes a de-biased covariance estimator that eliminates second-order derivatives.
result Achieves a convergence rate of n(α1)/2lognn^{(α-1)/2} \sqrt{\log n}, outperforming existing methods.

We propose a second-order (Hessian or Hessian-free) based optimization method for variational inference inspired by Gaussian backpropagation, and argue that quasi-Newton optimization can be developed as well. This is accomplished by generalizing the gradient computation in stochastic backpropagation via a reparametriza…

2015-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We present efficient differentiable implementations of second-order multi-hop reasoning using a large symbolic knowledge base (KB). We introduce a new operation which can be used to compositionally construct second-order multi-hop templates in a neural model, and evaluate a number of alternative implementations, with d…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves particle variational inference by optimizing generalization error bound.

problem Improving the diversity of models in particle variational inference to enhance generalization.
method Develops a new second-order Jensen inequality with a repulsion term based on the loss function, leading to a tighter generalization error bound.
result The proposed PVI optimizes the generalization error bound directly, improving performance compared to existing methods.

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) was recently proposed as a general purpose nonparametric variational inference algorithm [Liu & Wang, NIPS 2016]: it minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the target distribution and its approximation by implementing a form of functional gradient descent on a reprod…

2018-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves ODE solvers by integrating diverse information types.

problem Improving accuracy and physical meaningfulness of ODE solutions.
method Leveraging probabilistic solvers to include second-order information and physical conservation laws.
result Solutions become more accurate and physically meaningful with additional information.

The paper extends logistic regression for unbounded majority classes and derives asymptotic properties.

problem Infinitely imbalanced logistic regression inference.
method Derive a second order expansion for slope parameter under unbounded majority class.
result The second order term converges to a normal distribution with a variance depending only on the minority class's mean.

This work develops a learning theory for inferring interaction kernels in complex agent systems.

problem Modeling complex interactions in systems of particles or agents.
method Nonparametric regression and approximation theory.
result Strong consistency and optimal convergence rates for estimators of interaction kernels.

We propose a method to infer causal structures containing both discrete and continuous variables. The idea is to select causal hypotheses for which the conditional density of every variable, given its causes, becomes smooth. We define a family of smooth densities and conditional densities by second order exponential mo…

2009-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Agents learn state ambiguity from non-linear sensor data using Gaussian approximations.

problem Learning state representation from non-linear sensor data.
method Second-order Taylor approximation of Gaussian distribution for non-linear measurement functions.
result Induces a preference for states based on inferability from observations.

Scattering representations simplify SBI for images without extra compression.

problem Efficiently performing simulation-based inference on images with limited data.
method Use scattering representations for compression and learning, combined with spatial averaging and expressive density estimators.
result Scattering representations provide more information than traditional methods, without requiring additional simulations.

DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.

problem Intractable posterior uncertainty estimates and lack of clear convergence criteria in ADVI.
method Replaces stochastic MFVB objective with deterministic Monte Carlo approximation (SAA) and uses second-order optimization.
result DADVI provides faster and more accurate posterior estimates with default settings.

Local approach learns causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.

problem Learning causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
method First learns the skeleton and then orients edges of the polytree using second order statistics and low-dimensional marginal distributions.
result Consistent and scalable approach that handles problems with thousands of nodes.

Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.

problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.

C-kNN-LSH identifies similar patient histories for causal inference in longitudinal data.

problem Estimating causal effects from longitudinal trajectories with high-dimensional confounding.
method C-kNN-LSH uses locality-sensitive hashing to find clinical twins and estimate treatment effects.
result C-kNN-LSH outperforms existing methods in capturing recovery heterogeneity and estimating policy values.

Second-order optimizers retain residual information after data deletion, affecting machine unlearning.

problem Residual information in second-order optimizers after data deletion.
method Comparison of first-order and second-order learners, eigendecomposition analysis.
result Second-order optimizers retain residual information, not detectable by first-order analysis.

New statistical inference method for high-dimensional Hawkes processes.

problem Uncertainty evaluation of network estimates in high-dimensional point process data.
method Develops a new statistical inference procedure using concentration inequalities and martingale central limit theory.
result Characterizes the convergence rate of test statistics for high-dimensional Hawkes processes.

Exact second-order optimization for deep learning reduces computational cost and improves performance.

problem Inadequate use of second-order optimization methods in deep learning due to high computational cost and non-convexity.
method Developed an exact stochastic second-order Newton method that addresses the non-convexity issue and provides an expression for the stochastic Hessian.
result Exact second-order Newton direction formula and its application in deep learning datasets.

Developed a theory of local convexity for second order differential equations on Lie algebroids.

problem Analyzing convexity in differential equations on Lie algebroids.
method Theory development for local convexity of SODEs on Lie algebroids.
result Extensive discussion of homogeneous quadratic SODEs on Lie algebroids.

A new method improves SVI for high-dimensional, poorly-conditioned distributions.

problem Challenges in existing SVI methods for high-dimensional, poorly-conditioned distributions.
method Trust-region optimization approach leveraging conditional independences and second-order information.
result Superior numerical performance and better scalability in high-dimensional distributions.

Paper examines risk measure expansions under FGM dependence, improving accuracy at extreme levels.

problem Capturing higher-order tail behavior and dependence effects in risk measures.
method Second-order asymptotic expansions using extreme value theory and regular variation theory.
result Second-order approximations reduce approximation errors, especially at extreme confidence levels.

Negative step sizes improve second-order methods for neural networks.

problem Second-order methods discard negative curvature, limiting their effectiveness.
method Introduce negative step sizes in second-order methods combined with Wolfe line search.
result Negative step sizes lead to global convergence and improved performance.

Paper studies second order tail probabilities in risk models.

problem Analyzing tail probabilities in risk models with constant interest force.
method Asymptotic expansion and weighted Kesten-type inequality for second order subexponential random variables.
result Second order asymptotic formulae for continuous-time renewal risk models are derived.

Paper studies second order symmetric parallel tensors in generalized f.pk-space forms.

problem Exploring properties of second order symmetric parallel tensors in generalized f.pk-space forms.
method Analyzes the properties of second order symmetric parallel tensors and deduces the existence or non-existence of certain tensors and hypersurfaces.
result There does not exist second order skew-symmetric parallel tensor in f.pk-space form. There is no parallel hypersurface in a generalized f.pk-space form but there is semi-parallel hypersurface.

Improved neural network ensembles using Stein Variational Newton updates.

problem Lack of efficient second-order information in current ensemble methods.
method Proposes a novel approximate Bayesian inference method integrating Stein Variational Newton updates with scalable Hessian approximations.
result Significantly faster convergence and more accurate posterior distribution approximations.

Paper generalizes connections between Lie groups and affine connections.

problem Exploring properties of infinitesimal groups and affine connections.
method Introducing second-order infinitesimal groups and using them to define Lie brackets and connections.
result Generalized correspondence between symmetric and non-symmetric affine connections.

New method improves inference for discrete diffusion models, achieving better quality and efficiency.

problem High dimensionality of discrete diffusion models causes inference challenges.
method Developed high-order numerical inference schemes for discrete diffusion models.
result Second-order accuracy of the θθ-Trapezoidal method in KL divergence.

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

AdamQLR optimizes Adam with K-FAC heuristics, achieving comparable performance to tuned benchmarks.

problem Improving the performance of Adam optimizers with stabilizing heuristics.
method Combining Adam's update directions with K-FAC's heuristics (damping and learning rate selection).
result Untuned AdamQLR can achieve comparable performance to tuned benchmarks.

The quantification of diversification benefits due to risk aggregation plays a prominent role in the (regulatory) capital management of large firms within the financial industry. However, the complexity of today's risk landscape makes a quantifiable reduction of risk concentration a challenging task. In the present pap…

2009-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗