New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.
Combination of distributional regression algorithms improves uncertainty estimation of satellite precipitation products.
problem Uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation products.
method Ensemble learning methods combining conditional zero-adjusted probability distributions estimated with GAMLSS, spline-based GAMLSS, and distributional regression forests.
result Stacking of methods outperformed individual methods in most quantile levels using the quantile loss function.
DiffObs predicts global precipitation with realistic wave modes and low frequency variations.
problem Predicting global precipitation evolution using satellite observations.
method Autoregressive generative diffusion model trained on satellite data.
result Model generates realistic wave modes and low frequency variations, validating its potential for climate prediction.
MetNet forecasts precipitation up to 8 hours with high spatial and temporal resolution.
problem Precise weather forecasting for long lead times.
method Neural network architecture using axial self-attention for global context aggregation.
result MetNet outperforms Numerical Weather Prediction at forecasts of up to 8 hours.
New model predicts particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
problem Improving prediction of electron particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
method Compilation of new database, use of machine learning (ML) tools, neural network (PrecipNet).
result PrecipNet achieves >50% reduction in errors and better captures dynamic changes.
RainfallBench benchmarks GNSS-based precipitation nowcasting models, addressing complex meteorological challenges.
problem Evaluation of precipitation nowcasting models in meteorology is insufficient due to focus on periodic variables.
method RainfallBench dataset and specialized evaluation protocols for multi-scale, multi-resolution, and extreme rainfall events.
result Bi-Focus Precipitation Forecaster (BFPF) enhances rainfall time series forecasting by incorporating domain-specific priors.
Sparse point observations can provide useful local constraints, but their benefit for radar-like fields depends on the training loss, uncertainty representation, and how observation support is encoded in the model.
problem Improving dense radar-field forecasts with sparse point observations
method A multimodal graph neural network nowcasting system over the Nordic radar domain
result Each source improves a different part of the forecast problem
Machine learning improves ice flow tracking in satellite images.
problem Improving accuracy of ice flow tracking in multi-spectral satellite images.
method Adversarial learning method to predict future ice flow.
result Adversarial learning improves ice flow tracking accuracy.
Paper compares neural networks and time-series models for weather derivative pricing.
problem Pricing accuracy and regime adaptation for temperature and precipitation weather derivatives.
method Benchmarked harmonic-regression/ARMA vs. feed-forward neural network for temperature. Used CNN for precipitation, adapting to seasonal heterogeneity.
result CNN yields more accurate pricing, especially for regime-adapted seasonal data.
New approach combines likelihood and adversarial losses for better precipitation predictions.
problem Spatially inconsistent precipitation projections from likelihood-based models.
method Fuses likelihood-based and adversarial losses for generative models.
result Improves spatial consistency in precipitation downscaling.
Study shows increased precipitation variability in Paris area over years.
problem Evaluating the evolution of precipitation variability over time.
method Shape-based Dynamic Time Warping (IMS-DTW) for clustering rainfall time series.
result Precipitation variability increased in Paris area over years.
A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy and calibration of precipitation forecasts.
method Distributional regression U-Nets for postprocessing ensemble precipitation forecasts.
result Competitive performance in continuous ranked probability score, especially for heavy precipitation.
Study improves precipitation predictions for High Mountain Asia using machine learning.
problem Uncertainty in future precipitation over High Mountain Asia due to regional climate model biases.
method Probabilistic machine learning framework combining 13 regional climate models via a mixture of experts.
result 32% improvement over equally-weighted average and 254% improvement over single ensemble member.
New method improves local precipitation predictions using video diffusion.
problem Limited high-resolution local precipitation predictions due to computational costs.
method Extends video diffusion models to capture conditional distribution of high-resolution patterns.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in CRPS, MSE, and precipitation distribution.
DL improves precipitation nowcasting from radar images.
problem Precise short-term precipitation predictions for extreme weather adaptation.
method Image-to-image translation using UNET CNN, compared to optical flow, persistence, and HRRR.
result UNET-based DL outperforms traditional models in 1 km x 1 km, 1 hour precipitation nowcasting.
Researchers use Gaussian processes with non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin.
problem Uncertainty in precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin, Himalayas.
method Proposes Gaussian processes with structured non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns, accounting for spatial variation with a latent Gaussian process.
result The proposed model adapts to varying precipitation patterns across distinct topography and outperforms stationary models in ablation experiments.
STAS selects optimal spatio-temporal scales for bias correction in precipitation forecasts.
problem Limited prior data and fixed ST scale in existing BCoPs lead to biases in numerical weather predictions.
method End-to-end deep-learning BCoP model STAS with SFM/TFM to automatically adjust spatial and temporal scales.
result STAS outperforms 8 published BCoP methods on threat scores (TS).
A deep learning model corrects precipitation bias without expert knowledge.
problem Precipitation bias in numerical predictions due to limited observation and models.
method Data-driven deep learning model with Denoising Autoencoder and Ordinal Regression blocks.
result The model achieves the best correcting performance and TS compared to classical methods.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.
New method models precipitation extremes and spatial dependence.
problem Estimating dependencies of precipitation maxima in space and time.
method Generative neural networks for max-stable processes.
result Explicit nonparametric estimate of spatial dependence.
Machine learning improves sub-hourly precipitation data recovery.
problem Missing precipitation data at sub-hourly intervals.
method Two-step process: rain/non-rain classification and rain intensity prediction.
result Machine learning outperforms traditional methods in predicting missing precipitation data.
Generative adversarial networks generate realistic, time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.
problem Improving spatial resolution of low-resolution atmospheric images.
method Recurrent, stochastic super-resolution GAN for generating ensembles of time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.
result The GAN produces realistic, temporally consistent super-resolution sequences for radar-measured precipitation and cloud optical thickness.
Model predicts one-year NDVI for Four Corners region.
problem Long-term forecasting of vegetation conditions using climate attributes.
method Two-phase machine learning model using historical climate data.
result Open-source tools outperform alternative methods for NDVI forecasts.
Generative deep learning improves precipitation forecasts by adding resolution.
problem Inaccurate and unreliable precipitation forecasts due to unresolved processes.
method Applying GANs to super-resolve low-resolution weather model data using radar measurements.
result GANs and VAE-GANs produce high-resolution precipitation maps with better statistical properties than existing methods.
Machine learning predicts seasonal precipitation for East Africa.
problem Predicting seasonal precipitation for East Africa using machine learning.
method Dimension reduction via EOFs, large-scale climate variability indices as features, interpretable ML algorithm.
result The ML approach shows significant positive skill in predicting precipitation for OND season, comparable to ECMWF forecasts.
Formula for τ-invariant of satellite knots derived from L-space satellite operators.
problem Calculating the τ-invariant of satellite knots using L-space satellite operators.
method Algorithm to compute knot Floer complexes and formula for τ-invariant.
result Formula recovers existing formulas and proves new properties of τ-invariant.
ABC method improves subseasonal weather forecasting by 60-90%.
problem Improving subseasonal temperature and precipitation forecasting accuracy.
method Combines dynamical forecasts with machine learning-based bias correction.
result Significant improvement in temperature and precipitation forecasting skills.
In this paper, we construct two families of satellite constructions for Brunnian links, called the satellite sum and the satellite tie. An interesting fact is that by applying the satellite sum and the satellite tie constructions, we can build infinitely many new Brunnian links from any given Brunnian links. With the h…
Satellite knots can be trivialized by a single band move.
problem Satellite knots and their trivialization.
method Infinite family of satellite knots and a single band move.
result No disjoint band unknotting exists for satellite knots.
This study analyzes satellite communication latency using a stochastic geometry model.
problem Latency analysis of LEO satellite relay communication systems.
method Stochastic geometry framework with spherical BPP models, suboptimal satellite relay selection strategy.
result Derives distance distributions and analytical expressions for transmission delays.
Satellite links of fully positive braids are characterized.
problem Characterizing satellite links of fully positive braids.
method Analyzing fully positive braids and their satellites.
result Satellite links of fully positive braids are characterized by specific conditions.
Any knot in a solid torus, called a pattern or satellite operator, acts on knots in the 3-sphere via the satellite construction. We introduce a generalization of satellite operators which form a group (unlike traditional satellite operators), modulo a generalization of concordance. This group has an action on the set o…
Rainfall ensemble forecasts have to be skillful for both low precipitation and extreme events. We present statistical post-processing methods based on Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) and Gradient Forests (GF) with a parametric extension for heavy-tailed distributions. Our goal is to improve ensemble quality for all t…
Satellite links with many twists have simpler companions.
problem Relationship between satellite and companion links' complexity.
method Constructing satellite links with multiple full twists and analyzing their companion links.
result Satellite links with many twists have simpler companion links.
Develops a new framework for integrating satellite allocations in small portfolios.
problem Feasibility constraints in small portfolios, not return predictability, are the primary concerns.
method A four-layer feasibility framework: physical, economic, structural, and epistemic.
result Closed-form feasibility bounds on satellite size, turnover, and breadth without return forecasts.
Deep learning identifies precipitation clouds from all-sky camera data.
problem Automating cloud warning systems for observatories.
method Deep learning using EfficientNet network.
result Average accuracy of 99% in identifying rainfall potential and 96% in cloud coverage.
FedSpace optimizes ML training on satellites and ground stations.
problem Training machine learning models on satellites with limited bandwidth.
method Federated Learning framework that dynamically schedules model aggregation based on satellite orbits.
result Reduces training time by 1.7 days over state-of-the-art algorithms.
New proof for minimizing tunnel systems in satellite chain links.
problem Minimizing the tunnel number of satellite chain links.
method Proving the tunnel number is minimized for links with a specific number of components and bridge number.
result The result is sharp for satellite chain links over a 2-bridge knot.
The Gluck twist preserves the diffeomorphism type of certain satellite 2-knots.
problem Preserving the diffeomorphism type of satellite 2-knots under the Gluck twist.
method Using new descriptions of satellite 2-knots, the paper shows that the Gluck twist does not change the diffeomorphism type of certain satellite 2-knots in three ways.
result The Gluck twist preserves the diffeomorphism type of certain satellite 2-knots.
Researchers compute Khovanov polynomials for satellite knots.
problem Computing Khovanov polynomials for satellite knots.
method Explicit computation using a computer program for two families of satellite knots.
result Khovanov polynomials can be expressed as a linear combination of pattern and companion invariants, with a jump at a critical point.
Efficiently estimates material parameter space with multifidelity Gaussian process modeling.
problem Estimating a region of material parameter space with similar precipitate shapes.
method Multifidelity Gaussian process modeling to reduce computational cost.
result Significant reduction in sampling cost for accurate LER estimation.
New satellite knots counter a conjecture about Lorenz knots.
problem A conjecture about satellite knots and Lorenz knots was disproven.
method Constructed infinitely many counterexamples of satellite knots that are not cables.
result The conjecture was amended and shown to hold for many Lorenz knots.
Formula for satellite operators using knot Floer homology.
problem Computing knot Floer homology for satellite knots.
method Using Heegaard Floer Dehn surgery formulas and formal knot Floer complexes.
result Formulas to compute knot Floer homology for satellite knots.
Satellite formula connects knot concordance invariants to surgery.
problem Understanding knot concordance invariants.
method Excision theorem for real Floer homotopy types.
result Concordance invariants depend only on zero-framed surgery.
We give sufficient conditions for a satellite knot to admit an L-space surgery, and use this result to give new infinite families of patterns which produce satellite L-space knots.
The study computes invariants of satellite knots using bordered Floer homology.
problem Computing invariants of satellite knots with specific patterns.
method Using bordered Floer homology and the immersed curve interpretation of the bordered pairing theorem.
result Satellites with thin fibered companions or specific patterns have thin knot Floer homology.
Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for a satellite knot to be fibered. Any knot k~ embeds in an unknotted solid torus V~ with arbitrary winding number in such a way that no satellite knot with pattern (V~,k~) is fibered. In particular, there exist nonfibered satellite knots wit…
A simplified proof for satellite knot signatures.
problem Proving Litherland's formula for satellite knots.
method Uses linear algebra and basic knot theory.
result A new, elementary proof of the signature formula.