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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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190380570760 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for sampling importance resampling

A new resampling strategy, Importance Resampling, improves sample efficiency and reduces variance in off-policy prediction.

problem High variance updates in importance sampling for off-policy prediction.
method Importance Resampling (IR) resamples experience from a replay buffer and applies standard on-policy updates, avoiding importance sampling ratios.
result Importance Resampling (IR) shows improved sample efficiency and lower variance updates compared to other methods.

Paper presents a more accurate method for nonparametric density estimation using FMMPL and SIR.

problem Improving nonparametric density estimation for complex datasets.
method Finite mixture model of nonparametric density estimation using sampling importance resampling.
result FMMPL provides more accurate results with less space complexity.

Proposes a method combining CNFs and rejection-resampling for sampling from unnormalized densities.

problem Sampling from unnormalized probability densities, especially multimodal ones.
method Combines continuous normalizing flows with rejection-resampling steps based on importance weights.
result The method improves sampling accuracy and performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques rank among current state-of-the-art methods for probabilistic program inference. A drawback of these techniques is that they rely on importance resampling, which results in degenerate particle trajectories and a low effective sample size for variables sampled early in a prog…

2015-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Survival models predict component failures using neural networks and resampled data.

problem Accurately predicting component failure times for maintenance planning.
method Neural network-based survival models trained on non-independent, homogeneously sampled data.
result Random resampling during training reduces dataset size and improves efficiency.

Multi-sample, importance-weighted variational autoencoders (IWAE) give tighter bounds and more accurate uncertainty estimates than variational autoencoders (VAE) trained with a standard single-sample objective. However, IWAEs scale poorly: as the latent dimensionality grows, they require exponentially many samples to r…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses Bayesian methods to infer hidden processes with unknown parameters.

problem Estimating hidden processes from noisy observations with unknown parameters.
method Variational Bayesian inference with autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and vector autoregressive (VAR) models, combined with sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and importance sampling resampling (SISR).
result The proposed inference method accurately estimates hidden states from non-linear noisy observations.

This paper addresses GE estimation in non-standard settings using various resampling methods.

problem Biased GE estimates in non-standard settings like clustered data and concept drift.
method Tailored resampling methods for clustered, spatial, unequal sampling, concept drift, and hierarchically structured outcomes.
result Standard resampling methods often yield biased GE estimates in non-standard settings.

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates integrals involving a posterior distribution by means of weighted samples. In th…

2017-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm speeds up rerandomization for better experiment balance.

problem Achieving optimal covariate balance in randomized experiments.
method Metropolis-Hastings framework with sampling-importance resampling.
result PSRSRR achieves significant speedups while maintaining statistical guarantees.

This paper addresses the problem of filtering with a state-space model. Standard approaches for filtering assume that a probabilistic model for observations (i.e. the observation model) is given explicitly or at least parametrically. We consider a setting where this assumption is not satisfied; we assume that the knowl…

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Resampling outperforms reweighting for correcting biased data in machine learning models.

problem Correcting sampling bias in machine learning models trained on biased data sets.
method Compared resampling and reweighting techniques, focusing on their performance with stochastic gradient algorithms.
result Resampling outperforms reweighting when combined with stochastic gradient algorithms.

A new method for imbalanced binary classification without resampling.

problem Imbalanced binary classification tasks where majority class under-representation leads to information loss.
method Layered learning approach with two stages: clustering and classification.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in 100 benchmark data sets.

Adaptive sampling method improves efficiency in complex target distributions.

problem Efficiency of importance sampling in complex target distributions, especially multimodal distributions in high-dimensional spaces.
method Proposes an adaptive scheme combining global sampling with delayed weighting to promote efficient exploration of target distributions.
result The proposed algorithm is geometrically convergent under mild assumptions and demonstrates improved efficiency in various numerical experiments.

This work proves convergence of adaptive resampling for random Fourier features.

problem Sampling Fourier frequencies well for high-dimensional data.
method Data adaptive resampling of Fourier frequencies, asymptotically optimal.
result Proves convergence of adaptive resampling method for regression and classification problems.

OTSL improves structure learning accuracy with out-of-sample and resampling strategies.

problem Determining optimal hyperparameters for structure learning algorithms.
method Out-of-sample Tuning for Structure Learning (OTSL) using resampling strategies.
result Improves graphical accuracy of structure learning algorithms.

Regularization is an important component of predictive model building. The hybrid bootstrap is a regularization technique that functions similarly to dropout except that features are resampled from other training points rather than replaced with zeros. We show that the hybrid bootstrap offers superior performance to dr…

2018-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved particle filters for estimating model parameters using differentiable resampling.

problem Inability to differentiate sampling and resampling steps in particle filters.
method Extended reparameterisation trick to include stochastic input, enabling differentiation. Used p-MCMC and NUTS for parameter estimation.
result NUTS improves mixing of Markov chain and produces more accurate results in less time.

An approximate method for conducting resampling in Lasso, the 1\ell_1 penalized linear regression, in a semi-analytic manner is developed, whereby the average over the resampled datasets is directly computed without repeated numerical sampling, thus enabling an inference free of the statistical fluctuations due to sam…

2018-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops inference combinators for probabilistic programs using neural networks.

problem Creating efficient proposals for probabilistic program inference.
method Inference combinators using neural network parameterization of proposals.
result Correct by construction variational methods tailored to specific models.

Enhanced Sampling Scheme improves masked generative modeling.

problem Limitations of existing sampling schemes in masked non-autoregressive generative modeling.
method ESS consists of three stages: Naive Iterative Decoding, Critical Reverse Sampling, and Critical Resampling.
result ESS achieves significant performance gains in unconditional and class-conditional sampling.

Study shows resampling labels improves classifier performance in noisy data.

problem Balancing sample size vs label reliability in noisy data.
method Comparing different validation strategies and analyzing MNIST database with varying noise levels.
result Classifier performance declines with high incorrect labels, highlighting the importance of resampling.

This paper investigates bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolios, finding it often negligible.

problem Bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolio evaluation.
method Investigation of bias in rolling-window mean-variance portfolios using resampling techniques.
result The bias in Sharpe Ratio estimates from IID resampling is often a fraction of estimation noise, making it tolerable.

Active Federated Learning selects clients to maximize efficiency.

problem Minimizing bandwidth usage and maximizing model accuracy in federated learning.
method Clients are selected with a probability conditioned on the current model and client data to maximize efficiency.
result Reduces the number of required training iterations by 20-70% while maintaining the same model accuracy.

VPR improves posterior uncertainty quantification by combining VI and predictive resampling.

problem Inaccurate posterior sampling with MCMC due to computational constraints.
method Variational predictive resampling (VPR) that uses VI's predictive strength and imputes future observations.
result VPR converges to the exact Bayesian posterior in a Gaussian location model and improves uncertainty quantification.

A new method estimates time-varying parameters in earth system models using offline and online data assimilation.

problem Estimating time-varying parameters in complex earth system models.
method Hybrid Offline Online Parameter Estimation with Particle Filtering (HOOPE-PF)
result HOOPE-PF outperforms existing methods, especially with small ensemble sizes.

Simulation studies show resampling methods can be reliable for causal graph confidence.

problem Determining when causal discovery results can be trusted in real-world settings.
method Evaluation of subsampling and sampling with replacement methods.
result Subsampling and sampling with replacement performed well in indicating graph feature confidence.

Many machine learning models have important structural tuning parameters that cannot be directly estimated from the data. The common tactic for setting these parameters is to use resampling methods, such as cross--validation or the bootstrap, to evaluate a candidate set of values and choose the best based on some pre--…

2014-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This review explores resampling techniques for imbalanced binary classification.

problem Imbalanced classes lead to poor prediction results in classification.
method Classical, cost-sensitive, and Neyman-Pearson paradigms with resampling techniques and classification methods.
result Complex dynamics among resampling techniques, base methods, metrics, and imbalance ratios.

A new method for sampling on manifolds reduces density estimation errors.

problem Sampling on implicitly defined manifolds in various applications.
method Polynomial-Maximization Moment (PMM) estimator replacing local k-nearest-neighbour density estimate.
result Reduces density estimation errors by 22--36% on asymmetric gamma and boundary-spacing regimes.