arXiv research

Paper predicts EEG features from acoustic features using RNN and GAN.

Paper uses LSTM neural networks to forecast commodity prices.

This paper uses GAN and ERMSE to improve stock price movement prediction accuracy.

In this paper we describe a novel implementation of adaboost for prediction of survival function. We take different variations of the algorithm and compare the algorithms based on system run time and root mean square error. Our construction includes right censoring data and competing risk data too. We take different da…

This paper proposes and analyses a new multilevel Monte Carlo method for the estimation of mean exit times for multi-dimensional Brownian diffusions, and associated functionals which correspond to solutions to high-dimensional parabolic PDEs through the Feynman-Kac formula. In particular, it is proved that the complexi…

JULIA combines multi-linear and nonlinear models for tensor completion.

Transformer model predicts stock prices in Bangladesh's stock market.

A new sparse benchmark metabench identifies key abilities from large benchmarks.

Hybrid QML model improves recovery rate prediction accuracy.

Method detects lithium-ion battery knee onset for early warning.

Paper proposes combining GAM and DNN for accurate peak demand estimation from lower-resolution data.

Optimizes Gaussian process hyperparameters using Bayesian autoregression.

This paper models yearly exchange rates between USD/KZT, EUR/KZT and SGD/KZT, and compares the actual data with developed forecasts using time series analysis over the period from 2006 to 2014. The official yearly data of National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan is used for present study. The main goal of this paper…

Test log-likelihood comparisons can be misleading.

We study the stability vis a vis adversarial noise of matrix factorization algorithm for matrix completion. In particular, our results include: (I) we bound the gap between the solution matrix of the factorization method and the ground truth in terms of root mean square error; (II) we treat the matrix factorization as …

Obtaining accurate and well calibrated probability estimates from classifiers is useful in many applications, for example, when minimising the expected cost of classifications. Existing methods of calibrating probability estimates are applied globally, ignoring the potential for improvements by applying a more fine-gra…

A new learning framework reduces PV-Battery system costs by 3.6%.

Study on theoretical limits of $\ell_0$ sparse-regression algorithms using Fl RDT.

Enhanced ensemble filters use machine learning to improve accuracy in filtering models.

Study finds price-based clustering outperforms AI and human methods in stock market analysis.

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary classifier for each split. Many methods have been proposed to perform this split, each …

This paper uses ML and EVT to analyze tree ring data, improving accuracy of predictions.

Inverse design is an outstanding challenge in disordered systems with multiple length scales such as polymers, particularly when designing polymers with desired phase behavior. We demonstrate high-accuracy tuning of poly(2-oxazoline) cloud point via machine learning. With a design space of four repeating units and a ra…

We develop a family of techniques to align word embeddings which are derived from different source datasets or created using different mechanisms (e.g., GloVe or word2vec). Our methods are simple and have a closed form to optimally rotate, translate, and scale to minimize root mean squared errors or maximize the averag…

We describe general multilevel Monte Carlo methods that estimate the price of an Asian option monitored at $m$ fixed dates. Our approach yields unbiased estimators with standard deviation $O(ε)$ in $O(m + (1/ε)^{2})$ expected time for a variety of processes including the Black-Scholes model, Merton's jump-diffusion mod…

Model predicts US COVID-19 deaths with quantile estimates.

The paper evaluates company investment value using machine learning models.

The standard Kernel Quadrature method for numerical integration with random point sets (also called Bayesian Monte Carlo) is known to converge in root mean square error at a rate determined by the ratio $s/d$, where $s$ and $d$ encode the smoothness and dimension of the integrand. However, an empirical investigation re…

Study predicts soccer player market values using machine learning and SHAP for interpretability.

Paper forecasts recession indicators using yield spread models.

Time series forecasting gets much attention due to its impact on many practical applications. Higher-order neural network with recurrent feedback is a powerful technique which used successfully for forecasting. It maintains fast learning and the ability to learn the dynamics of the series over time. For that, in this p…

Let M be a random (alpha n) x n matrix of rank r<<n, and assume that a uniformly random subset E of its entries is observed. We describe an efficient algorithm that reconstructs M from |E| = O(rn) observed entries with relative root mean square error RMSE <= C(rn/|E|)^0.5 . Further, if r=O(1), M can be reconstructed ex…

Financial markets are notoriously complex environments, presenting vast amounts of noisy, yet potentially informative data. We consider the problem of forecasting financial time series from a wide range of information sources using online Gaussian Processes with Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) kernels. We measu…

RQMC improves optimization in variational Bayes problems.

Continuous high frequency water quality monitoring is becoming a critical task to support water management. Despite the advancements in sensor technologies, certain variables cannot be easily and/or economically monitored in-situ and in real time. In these cases, surrogate measures can be used to make estimations by me…

Electricity consumption has increased exponentially during the past few decades. This increase is heavily burdening the electricity distributors. Therefore, predicting the future demand for electricity consumption will provide an upper hand to the electricity distributor. Predicting electricity consumption requires man…

These days human beings are facing many environmental challenges due to frequently occurring drought hazards. It may have an effect on the countrys environment, the community, and industries. Several adverse impacts of drought hazard are continued in Pakistan, including other hazards. However, early measurement and det…

This review assesses deep-learning methods for complex sequential data.

This study extends and evaluates the forecasting performance of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) technique using a general non-linear form for the re- current formula. In this study, we consider 24 series measuring the monthly seasonally adjusted industrial production of important sectors of the German, French and …

Study applies financial models to predict COVID-19 pandemic.

In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin price and volatility. Machine learning models like recurrent neural network (RNN) an…

We present the first estimation of the mass and spin magnitude of Kerr black holes resulting from the coalescence of binary black holes using a deep neural network. The network is trained on a dataset containing 80\% of the full publicly available catalog of numerical simulations of gravitational waves emission by bina…

The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission has delivered valuable sensing of surface soil moisture since 2015. However, it has a short time span and irregular revisit schedule. Utilizing a state-of-the-art time-series deep learning neural network, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), we created a system that predicts SM…

Estimates true Sharpe ratio of selected assets with various methods.

The paper improves Monte Carlo methods for optimization problems.

Phase filtering and pixel quality (coherence) estimation is critical in producing Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images, as it removes spatial inconsistencies (residues) and immensely improves the subsequent unwrapping. Large amount of InSAR data facilitates Wide A…

In this paper we introduce a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for multi-dimensional SDEs driven by Brownian motions. Giles has previously shown that if we combine a numerical approximation with strong order of convergence $O(Δt)$ with MLMC we can reduce the computational complexity to estimate expected value…

MuyGPs efficiently estimates GP hyperparameters using local cross-validation.