BINDy uses Bayesian methods to identify nonlinear dynamics from data.
problem Learning sparse representations of complex dynamics from data.
method Bayesian treatment of dictionary learning system identification using reversible-jump Markov-chain Monte-Carlo.
result BINDy produces models that are sparse in model space rather than parameter space.
Bayesian method selects interacting regions in Markov models.
problem Estimating interacting regions in Markov Random Fields.
method Reversible Jump Monte Carlo Markov Chain algorithm with pseudoposteriors.
result Proposed method accurately selects interacting regions in simulations and real data.
Bayesian symbolic regression uncovers missing physics from data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Incomplete knowledge of physical laws from experimental data.
method Bayesian symbolic regression using Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Uncertainty quantification in recovered model structures.
A new two-step MH method for Bayesian EL computation.
problem Complex likelihood support in Bayesian EL.
method Hierarchical Metropolis Hastings with reversible jump MCMC.
result Improved sampling from BayesEL posteriors.
New algorithm broadens BART models applicability.
problem Limited applicability of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) models due to conditional conjugacy.
method Introduces a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for generalized BART models.
result Extends BART models to arbitrary generalized BART models without conditional conjugacy.
New PDMP samplers tackle variable selection in models.
problem Jointly explore model space and parameter space.
method Develop reversible jump PDMP samplers.
result New samplers mix better and are more efficient.
We propose a novel reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulated annealing algorithm to optimize radial basis function (RBF) networks. This algorithm enables us to maximize the joint posterior distribution of the network parameters and the number of basis functions. It performs a global search in the joint …
Enhances RJMCMC efficiency with non-linear transport-based proposals.
problem Designing efficient RJMCMC proposals for complex models.
method Applies non-linear transport-based approach to construct efficient transdimensional jumps.
result Acceptance probability depends only on model probabilities when exact transports are used.
Develops a method to model multivariate count processes with Cox processes and shot noise intensities.
problem Modeling and estimating dependent count processes using granular data.
method Multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities, connected via Lévy copulas.
result Allows for over-dispersion, auto-correlation, and realistic features in count processes.
In this paper we build on previous work which uses inferences techniques, in particular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, to solve parameterized control problems. We propose a number of modifications in order to make this approach more practical in general, higher-dimensional spaces. We first introduce a new tar…
Enhanced Markov chain sampler learns network statistics faster.
problem Learning network statistics efficiently.
method Integrates graph Forman curvature into Markov chain transition probabilities and stationary distribution.
result Curved Markov chain Monte Carlo achieves faster convergence.
Unified framework for efficient trans-dimensional Bayesian inference using VI and NFs.
problem Efficient trans-dimensional Bayesian inference with reduced computational cost.
method Variational inference with normalizing flows to train transport proposals.
result Our approach minimizes reverse KL divergence and reduces computational cost.
Bayesian method for knot inference in multivariate spline regression.
problem Inference on knot locations in multivariate spline regression due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions.
method Fully Bayesian approach with a new prior on knot number and analytic formula for normal model, extended Bayesian information criterion for non-normal cases, reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrated superior performance in function fitting with jumping discontinuity.
We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler on an extended space. We present empirical results that show significant improv…
Generates random persistence diagrams for data analysis.
problem Generating random persistence diagrams for data analysis.
method Based on pairwise interacting point processes and RJ-MCMC algorithm.
result Demonstrates the efficacy and utility of RPDG in materials science.
We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo to move between solutions. In contrast, we assume that the number of hi…
TensorFlow Probability MCMC toolkit improves MCMC efficiency for modern hardware.
problem Inefficient MCMC algorithms on modern hardware.
method Design and implementation of a new MCMC toolkit for TensorFlow.
result Improved MCMC efficiency on modern hardware.
PL-MCMC samples from normalizing flows' conditional distributions.
problem Sampling from complex conditional distributions learned by normalizing flows.
method Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC.
result PL-MCMC asymptotically samples from exact conditional distributions.
The paper improves SMC algorithm for multi-modal distributions by proving variance bounds.
problem Problems with SMC on multi-modal distributions, especially in terms of mixing time.
method Proves variance bounds for SMC on multi-modal distributions using soft decomposition.
result Bounds on SMC variance depend on local rather than global mixing times.
Estimates covariance matrices using Markov chain Monte Carlo with improved sample complexity.
problem Complexity of covariance matrix estimation for Gibbs distributions.
method Uses Markov chain Monte Carlo with conditions on the chain's spectral gap and Poincaré inequality.
result Achieves similar sample complexity as i.i.d. samples with better query complexity.
Unified framework for MCMC and machine learning problems.
problem Intersection of MCMC and machine learning problems.
method Unified framework integrating various MCMC and machine learning techniques.
result Translation and generalization of theory and methods.
A new eigenvalue-based method speeds up Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Reducing the number of paths needed for accurate Monte Carlo simulations.
method Eigenvalue-based approximation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Significant variance reduction and comparable results to traditional Monte Carlo.
We explore a general framework in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling where sequential proposals are tried as a candidate for the next state of the Markov chain. This sequential-proposal framework can be applied to various existing MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings algorithms using random proposals and m…
Improved sampling for network community detection.
problem Inefficient sampling from network partition posterior distributions.
method Merge-split Markov chain Monte Carlo for efficient sampling.
result Significantly improved mixing time and correct sampling.
The paper provides privacy guarantees for MCMC algorithms using Langevin dynamics.
problem Ensuring differential privacy in MCMC algorithms.
method Novel methodology combining Girsanov's theorem and perturbation trick.
result Established (Rényi) DP guarantees for Langevin algorithms.
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in general performing exact inference requires all of the data to be processed at eac…
Improved Bayesian regression for large datasets using multilevel Gibbs sampling.
problem Efficiently handling large-scale Bayesian regression with complex posterior distributions.
method Developed a multilevel Gibbs sampler for linear mixed models, incorporating data clustering and correlated samples for variance reduction.
result Significant speed-up achieved for Bayesian regression without sacrificing predictive performance.
We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the parameters of the proposal density are determined ad…
New bounds for SMC show its advantage over MCMC in multimodal distributions.
problem Estimating expectations under multimodal distributions with slow global mixing.
method Proves finite sample complexities for SMC with local mixing times, addressing bias through sequential resampling.
result SMC provides fully polynomial time approximation for multimodal problems.
Combines normalizing flows and quasi-Monte Carlo for improved numerical integration.
problem Improving the efficiency of numerical integration methods.
method Uses normalizing flows to approximate distributions and quasi-Monte Carlo for sampling.
result Demonstrates an estimator with significantly lower variance.
Paper analyzes and accelerates Langevin Monte Carlo methods using large deviations theory.
problem High-dimensional sampling problems in machine learning.
method Unified approach using large deviations theory to study and accelerate Langevin dynamics variants.
result Efficiency of Langevin dynamics variants demonstrated through numerical experiments.
Gradient learning optimises MCMC proposal distributions.
problem Intractable targets in MCMC sampling.
method Gradient-based optimisation of proposal distributions using a maximum entropy regularised objective function.
result Our method can outperform traditional MCMC algorithms, including Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
We propose a novel framework of estimating systemic risk measures and risk allocations based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. We consider a class of allocations whose jth component can be written as some risk measure of the jth conditional marginal loss distribution given the so-called crisis event. By consi…
This paper analyzes the bias of inexact MCMC methods in high dimensions.
problem Understanding the bias of inexact MCMC methods in high-dimensional spaces.
method Establishing bounds on Wasserstein distances between inexact MCMC methods and target distributions.
result The asymptotic bias of ULA and uHMC depends on key quantities related to the target distribution or the stationary probability measure of the scheme.
We describe parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propagate a collective ensemble of paths, with local covariance information calculated from neighboring replicas. The use of collective dynamics eliminates multiplicative noise and stabilizes the dynamics thus providing a practical approach to difficult anisotr…
Deep unfolding accelerates MCMC-based COP solvers.
problem Optimizing combinatorial problems with MCMC and gradient descent.
method Combines MCMC and gradient descent, trains step sizes, uses variance estimation for non-differentiable MCMC.
result Significantly accelerates convergence speed for COPs.
Improves MCMC performance with adaptive affine transformations.
problem Improving the performance of Markov Chain Monte Carlo samplers.
method Adaptive learning of bijective affine transformations during sampling.
result Adaptive affine transformations improve the quality of samples at low computational cost.
New MCMC method for complex models with large variables.
problem Inference on posterior model probabilities in large model spaces.
method Reversible genetically modified mode jumping Markov chain Monte Carlo (GMJMCMC).
result Introduced a proper MCMC with correct limiting distribution.
New method trains Markov kernels for efficient sampling.
problem Efficient sampling from complex probability distributions.
method Adversarial learning of involutive Metropolis-Hastings kernels.
result Minimizes total variation distance to empirical data.
Generative models map simple samples to complex target samples.
problem Improving Monte-Carlo sampling techniques.
method Variational learning of dynamical maps between base and target measures.
result Improved sampling efficiency through feedback loops.
ParaMonte::Python streamlines Bayesian data analysis with fast Monte Carlo and MCMC routines.
problem Efficiently sampling posterior distributions in Bayesian modeling and data science.
method Serial and MPI-parallelized Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) routines.
result Automated model calibration and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian analysis.
We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to high dimensionality, explicit comparison with standard Markov chain Monte Carlo me…
The paper proposes a new method to estimate optimal policies using MCMC.
problem Estimating the optimal policy for systems with unknown dynamics and reward functions.
method Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo to generate samples from the posterior distribution of parameters conditioned on optimality.
result The method provably converges to the globally optimal stochastic policy with similar variance to policy gradient methods.
New algorithms improve sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions efficiently.
method Regime-switching Langevin dynamics and Monte Carlo algorithms.
result Convergence guarantees and iteration complexities provided.
SwISS improves scalability of Bayesian inference for large datasets.
problem Scalability issues in Bayesian inference for large datasets.
method Divide-and-conquer approach with SwISS for recombining sub-posterior samples.
result SwISS accurately approximates the original posterior distribution.
New algorithms improve MCMC efficiency for complex distributions.
problem High variance and low effective sample size in MCMC samplers.
method Antithetic Riemannian Manifold and Quantum-Inspired Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Improved effective sample size and variance reduction.
We propose a new algorithm to do posterior sampling of Kingman's coalescent, based upon the Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Specifically, the algorithm is an instantiation of the Particle Gibbs Sampling method, which alternately samples coalescent times conditioned on coalescent tree structures, and tree…
Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods have revolutionised mathematical computation and enabled statistical inference within many previously intractable models. In this context, Hamiltonian dynamics have been proposed as an efficient way of building chains which can explore probability densities efficiently. The method emerg…