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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Jun 201219922001200920172026
29 results for reversible-jump

Unified framework for efficient trans-dimensional Bayesian inference using VI and NFs.

problem Efficient trans-dimensional Bayesian inference with reduced computational cost.
method Variational inference with normalizing flows to train transport proposals.
result Our approach minimizes reverse KL divergence and reduces computational cost.

We propose a novel reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulated annealing algorithm to optimize radial basis function (RBF) networks. This algorithm enables us to maximize the joint posterior distribution of the network parameters and the number of basis functions. It performs a global search in the joint …

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

BINDy uses Bayesian methods to identify nonlinear dynamics from data.

problem Learning sparse representations of complex dynamics from data.
method Bayesian treatment of dictionary learning system identification using reversible-jump Markov-chain Monte-Carlo.
result BINDy produces models that are sparse in model space rather than parameter space.

Develops a method to model multivariate count processes with Cox processes and shot noise intensities.

problem Modeling and estimating dependent count processes using granular data.
method Multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities, connected via Lévy copulas.
result Allows for over-dispersion, auto-correlation, and realistic features in count processes.

Online distributional prediction with latent cluster geometry

problem Predicting the full data-generating distribution in non-stationary streams
method Representing candidate laws as latent cluster geometry and using Gibbs quasi-posterior
result Achieving sublinear cumulative Wasserstein regret under bounded support and stable latent geometry

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo to move between solutions. In contrast, we assume that the number of hi…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm broadens BART models applicability.

problem Limited applicability of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) models due to conditional conjugacy.
method Introduces a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for generalized BART models.
result Extends BART models to arbitrary generalized BART models without conditional conjugacy.

Bayesian tree ensemble model for estimating treatment effects in high-dimensional survival data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with many covariates.
method Developed a Bayesian tree ensemble model with a horseshoe prior for adaptive shrinkage.
result Accurately estimates treatment effects in high-dimensional covariate spaces and non-linear functions.

In many applications, such as economics, operations research and reinforcement learning, one often needs to estimate a multivariate regression function f subject to a convexity constraint. For example, in sequential decision processes the value of a state under optimal subsequent decisions may be known to be convex or …

2011-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A standard technique for understanding underlying dependency structures among a set of variables posits a shared conditional probability distribution for the variables measured on individuals within a group. This approach is often referred to as module networks, where individuals are represented by nodes in a network, …

2014-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared between the workers. We approximate the model evidence for the full data set through…

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new clustering method estimates non-linear boundaries and automatically selects the number of clusters.

problem Discriminative clustering with non-linear boundaries and data abnormalities.
method Regularized mutual information objective function with a mixture of Gaussian and uniform distributions.
result Automatic selection of the number of components and estimation of non-linear boundaries.

Bayesian method for knot inference in multivariate spline regression.

problem Inference on knot locations in multivariate spline regression due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions.
method Fully Bayesian approach with a new prior on knot number and analytic formula for normal model, extended Bayesian information criterion for non-normal cases, reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrated superior performance in function fitting with jumping discontinuity.

Bayesian method learns graph structures from Gaussian data efficiently.

problem Scalability issue in Bayesian Gaussian graphical model inference.
method Marginal pseudo-likelihood, birth-death and reversible jump MCMC algorithms.
result Efficient graph structure learning for large graphs with over 1,000 nodes.

Adaptive Bayesian model for covariate-dependent power spectra analysis.

problem Estimating complex relationships and interactions between covariates and power spectra.
method Bayesian sum of trees model with local power spectrum estimation and reversible-jump MCMC for tree modifications.
result The method can accurately recover both smooth and abrupt changes in power spectra across multiple covariates.

A discrete diffusion model learns denoising, scoring, and bridging in different coordinates.

problem Understanding what a discrete diffusion model learns in different coordinate systems.
method Rigorous derivation of continuous-time Markov chain ELBO, Oracle Distance theorem, and exact coordinates for optimizer.
result The negative ELBO is exactly equal to the data entropy plus the path KL from the oracle reverse process to the learned one.