Repo pricing model explains haircut and spread dynamics.
problem Characterize and explain repo pricing measures.
method Develops a haircut model to identify economic capital as the main driver of repo pricing.
result Empirically reproduces repo haircut hikes and explains differences in haircut and spread.
The study calculates securities lending haircuts and indemnification costs.
problem Managing borrower default risk in securities markets.
method Repo haircut model applied to securities lending transactions; quantifies haircuts and indemnification costs.
result Computed borrower-dependent haircuts and indemnification costs for US Treasuries and equities.
The paper develops a new discount rate for derivatives using imperfect securities as collateral.
problem Inconsistent and non-observable collateral rates in derivatives markets.
method Synthesizes effects of imperfect collateral into a new discount rate, employs break-even repo formulae, and uses linear programming for optimization.
result Liquidity value adjustment (LVA) can be significant for long-term derivatives portfolios.
The paper introduces a new approach to repo pricing by incorporating gap risk and economic capital.
problem The gap risk or hedging errors in derivatives businesses.
method Extends the Black-Scholes-Merton framework with a reserve capital approach to model gap risk and economic capital charge.
result Practical repo pricing formulae are derived showing the importance of economic capital charge.
Paper analyzes fire sales in a network of banks using VWAP and LOB pricing.
problem Optimal asset liquidation and borrowing strategies in a network of banks.
method Nash equilibrium model with two market clearing mechanisms.
result Existence and uniqueness of clearing solutions for liquidations, borrowing, prices, and haircuts.
Develops a haircut model for non-cash collateral.
problem Addressing the need for accurate non-cash collateral valuation in shadow banking and OTC derivatives markets.
method Expands haircut definitions, uses a double-exponential jump-diffusion model, and solves for credit risk measurements.
result Computational results show potential for collateral agreements and regulatory capital calculations.
The study examines how limited liability and haircut affect a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
problem Impact of limited liability and haircut on a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
method Constructed a novel loan portfolio model with limited liability and haircut constraint, analyzed at three time steps.
result Model with haircut constraint leads to lesser liquidity risk.
Repo rates are explained as a convexity effect from bond and derivative discount rates.
problem Explaining the observed basis between repo rates and bond prices.
method Using a Hull-White model, derived expressions for repo rates and extrapolation.
result Interpolated and extrapolated repo curves for bond-collateralised derivatives.
The general and special repo rates are related with the prices of the European call- and American put-options. The evaluation takes into account specific business models of the parties in the repo agreement and the law restrictions. Using the repo-option relation, an alternative to the Black-Scholes method of option pr…
Repo dealers' market power affects bond prices by up to 2 percentage points.
problem Market power of repo dealers impacts bond prices and liquidity.
method Proprietary data on repo and reverse-repo trades analyzed.
result Market power of repo dealers accounts for 0.5-1.3 percentage points of bond yield deviation.
Model simulates financial contagion through repo agreements.
problem Financial contagion through repo agreements.
method Agent-based model of financial intermediaries.
result Model accurately simulates financial contagion dynamics.
Leverage is strongly related to liquidity in a market and lack of liquidity is considered a cause and/or consequence of the recent financial crisis. A repurchase agreement is a financial instrument where a security is sold simultaneously with an agreement to buy it back at a later date. Repurchase agreements (repos) ma…
We study the semilinear partial differential equation (PDE) associated with the non-linear BSDE characterizing buyer's and seller's XVA in a framework that allows for asymmetries in funding, repo and collateral rates, as well as for early contract termination due to counterparty credit risk. We show the existence of a …
Develops framework for XVA calculation with no-arbitrage constraints.
problem Calculating XVA with no-arbitrage constraints.
method Derives BSDEs and PDEs for XVA calculation, identifies no-arbitrage intervals.
result Provides explicit expressions for XVA under various funding conditions.
This paper formalizes autodeleveraging as online learning, providing robustness results and algorithms for better performance.
problem Autodeleveraging as a mechanism to restore solvency in perpetual futures markets when liquidation and insurance buffers are insufficient.
method Formalizes autodeleveraging as online learning on a PNL-haircut domain, using an algorithm to recover solvency.
result The optimized algorithm achieves about 2.6% of an upper bound on regret, reducing overshoot to $3M.
In this note we show how to replicate a stylized CDS with a repurchase agreement and an asset swap. The latter must be designed in such a way that, on default of the issuer, it is terminated with a zero close-out amount. This break clause can be priced using the well known unilateral credit/debit valuation adjustment f…
Study how network structure affects collateral dynamics in banking systems.
problem Effects of network structure on collateral volume and hoarding in banking systems.
method Simple model of bank interactions via repo contracts and rehypothecation.
result Network structures with concentrated collateral flows are more exposed to large hoarding cascades.
A neural network method for financial data nowcasting.
problem Financial data nowcasting, especially with variable grid nodes.
method Neural network architecture for variable grid nodes data.
result Outperforms interpolation benchmarks and outlier detection.
We analyze the counterparty risk embedded in CDS contracts, in presence of a bilateral margin agreement. First, we investigate the pricing of collateralized counterparty risk and we derive the bilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), unilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (UCVA) and Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA).…
The paper develops a comprehensive valuation method for OTC claims that considers credit and funding risks.
problem Valuation of Over-The-Counter (OTC) claims that incorporate credit and funding liquidity risks.
method Develops a holistic approach using nonlinear mathematical models (semilinear PDEs and FBSDEs) and provides an analytical solution for the benchmark claim.
result An analytical solution for the benchmark claim is derived and expressed in terms of the Black-Scholes formula with dividends.
Model estimates LIBOR rates and finds COVID-19 spread spike due to credit risk.
problem Estimating LIBOR rates and understanding the factors affecting them.
method Developed a joint model for various LIBOR-related rates and used it to decompose spreads.
result Credit risk mainly caused the spike in LIBOR-OIS spread during the COVID-19 onset, with equal contributions from credit and funding-liquidity risks on average.
Unified framework for fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
problem Static arbitrage and discount curve construction.
method Model-free framework for static fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
result Existence of strictly positive discount curves reproducing market prices and least-cost super-replicating portfolios.
In this article, we combine replication pricing with expectation pricing for derivative trades that are partially collateralized by cash. The derivatives are replicated by underlying assets and cash, using repurchasing agreement (repo) and margining, which incur funding costs. We derive a partial differential equation …
Examines SOFR derivatives pricing and hedging post-LIBOR discontinuation.
problem Pricing and hedging of SOFR derivatives post-LIBOR discontinuation.
method One-factor model based on Vasicek's equation for overnight interest rates dynamics.
result Arbitrage-free pricing and hedging of SOFR derivatives instruments.
Proposes HBayes for hierarchical Bayesian recommendation learning.
problem Hierarchical structures in recommender systems.
method Hierarchical Bayesian learning framework with variational inference.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art models in precision, recall, and NDCG.
This study examines deep hedging for S&P 500 options, revealing systematic delta corrections and fragility.
problem Understanding and validating deep hedging strategies for financial options.
method Compared TD3 agents with a Black-Scholes delta hedge, using walk-forward tests and symbolic regression.
result Deep hedging agents learn systematic delta corrections, which can improve performance but are regime-fragile.
The paper addresses XVA valuation under market crises using a renewal process.
problem XVA valuation without considering market crises and illiquidity.
method Using an alternating renewal process, the paper develops a framework to price XVA under a state-dependent financial regime.
result The XVA price is characterized as a solution to a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE).
The paper explains the fair basis in bond-CDS trading during financial crises.
problem Large basis trading losses during financial crises are not explained by reduced form models.
method Dynamic spread model with bond repo financing, economic capital approach.
result Unhedged and unhedgeable residual jump to default risk exists, affecting fair basis level.
An option market maker incurs funding costs when carrying and hedging inventory. To hedge a net long delta inventory, for example, she pays a fee to borrow stock from the securities lending market. Because of haircuts, she posts additional cash margin to the lender which needs to be financed at her unsecured debt rate.…
Binary funding impacts simplify derivative pricing models.
problem Complexity in derivative pricing due to varying lending/borrowing rates.
method Analyzes the binary nature of funding impacts leading to linear or semi-linear equations.
result Derivatives pricing simplifies when only one rate affects the payoff function.
There are more than eight hundred interest rates published in China bond market every day. Which are the benchmark interest rates that have broad influences on most interest rates is a major concern for economists. In this paper, multi-variable Granger causality test is developed and applied to construct a directed net…
TradeMech nets trades without changing counterparty relationships.
problem Netting trades without altering counterparty exposure in complex financial networks.
method Transforms contracts into chains and cycles, nets designated object multilaterally, and replaces contracts with new multiparty agreements.
result Maximal multilateral netting of a designated object while preserving each agent's profit and counterparty risk.
Tree-Query uses LLMs to discover causal relationships in a transparent, interpretable manner.
problem Error propagation in classical causal discovery methods and opaque, confidence-free behavior of recent LLM-based causal oracles.
method Tree-Query is a tree-structured, multi-expert LLM framework that reduces causal discovery to queries about backdoor paths and dependencies.
result Tree-Query provides interpretable judgments with robustness-aware confidence scores and improves structural metrics over LLM baselines.
Hybrid LLM and quantum optimization improve CSA collateral management by 9-10%.
problem Finance-native collateral optimization under ISDA CSAs with legal constraints.
method Hybrid pipeline combining LLM, quantum-inspired exploration, and CP-SAT.
result Improves a strong classical baseline by 9.1-10.7% across different scenarios.
Model shows wealth taxes can cause sudden emigration waves, impacting GDP.
problem Estimating the economic impact of wealth taxes on emigration.
method Developed a social contagion model with tipping-point dynamics, embedded in Fokker-Planck framework.
result Micro-to-macro extrapolation requires five conditions to hold, violating each.
FedAUX improves Federated Learning by better using unlabeled data.
problem Improving Federated Learning performance with unlabeled data.
method FedAUX modifies FD training by unsupervised pre-training and private certainty scoring.
result FedAUX outperforms state-of-the-art Federated Learning methods.
Improved robustness for deep neural networks with tighter bounds and attacks.
problem Loose upper bounds and prohibitive computation in existing adversarial robustness methods.
method Primal approach with exact Lipschitz certificates for ReLU networks and modern architectures, and novel Wasserstein Distributional Attacks.
result Tighter upper bounds and greater flexibility in attack points compared to existing methods.
FinGPT is an open-source financial LLM for democratizing financial data.
problem Accessing high-quality financial data for LLMs.
method Data-centric approach with automatic data curation and low-rank adaptation.
result FinGPT provides accessible and transparent financial data for FinLLMs.
SAGE generates subsurface velocity models from sparse well logs and seismic images.
problem Lack of high-quality subsurface velocity models due to limited data availability.
method Subsurface AI-driven geostatistical extraction using proxy posterior.
result SAGE produces geologically plausible and statistically accurate velocity realizations.
End-to-end autonomous driving perception learns latent features for better performance.
problem Current autonomous driving systems are complex and require human engineering.
method Sequential latent representation learning for end-to-end perception.
result End-to-end perception model solves detection, tracking, localization, and mapping problems.
The paper proves ADL mechanisms face a trilemma and optimizes them for fairness, revenue, and exchange solvency.
problem The impossibility of a perpetual futures exchange achieving solvency, revenue, and fairness.
method Formal model of ADL, proving trilemma, and analyzing three ADL mechanisms.
result Optimized ADL mechanisms can reduce trader losses while maintaining exchange solvency.
PatchGT uses non-trainable graph patches to improve graph representation learning.
problem Learning high-level information in graph tasks with direct Transformer models.
method PatchGT segments graphs into non-trainable patches, uses GNN for patch-level learning, and Transformer for graph-level learning.
result PatchGT achieves higher expressiveness and competitive performance on benchmark datasets.
Neural network for subgraph similarity computation with pruning.
problem Computing subgraph similarity between a target and query graph.
method Convert pruning to node relabeling, relax to differentiable problem, design neural network for SED computation.
result Establishes new state-of-the-art results across multiple benchmark datasets.
LeJEPA provides a scalable, theory-driven approach to self-supervised learning.
problem Lack of practical guidance and theory in JEPAs.
method Identified optimal Gaussian distribution and introduced SIGReg objective.
result LeJEPA achieves state-of-the-art performance with minimal hyperparameters and heuristics.
Paper quantifies uncertainties in EIS spectra of SOFCs, proposing VB method for online monitoring.
problem Distortions in EIS spectra due to disturbances, drifts, and sensor noise.
method Proposes variational Bayes (VB) method for quantifying spectral uncertainty in EIS of SOFCs.
result VB method provides approximate distributions of ECM parameters with low computational load.
Active-GRPO improves molecular optimization by actively deciding when to imitate or self-improve.
problem Training robust and efficient molecular optimization models with large language models.
method Active-GRPO combines imitation and reinforcement learning, upgrading references and policies dynamically.
result Improves molecular optimization performance, achieving statistically significant gains.