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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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138277415553 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for regression accuracy

The paper studies and mitigates accuracy disparity in regression models.

problem Accuracy disparity between different demographic subgroups in high-stakes domains.
method Error decomposition theorem and distribution alignment algorithm.
result The proposed algorithm effectively mitigates accuracy disparity while maintaining predictive power.

New trade-off found between accuracy and adversarial robustness in regression.

problem Finding a balance between accuracy and robustness in regression models.
method Deriving a fundamental trade-off between standard and adversarial risk in regression with polynomial ridge functions.
result A necessary condition for achieving adversarial robustness without significant accuracy loss.

Study examines how imputation accuracy affects prediction accuracy in regression problems with missing covariates.

problem Missing covariates in regression or classification problems.
method Simulation and empirical analysis using UCI datasets and statistical inference.
result Imputation accuracy impacts prediction accuracy, especially with Machine Learning methods.

TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.

VIR model improves regression accuracy and uncertainty estimation for imbalanced data.

problem Imbalanced regression datasets lead to poor model accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
method VIR model uses probabilistic smoothing and reweighting to estimate latent representations and uncertainty.
result VIR model outperforms state-of-the-art models in accuracy and uncertainty estimation.

This study improves stock price prediction for Apple Inc. using feature selection and regression models with technical indicators.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy for Apple Inc. using technical indicators.
method Evaluation of 123 technical indicators and 10 regression models on 13 years of Apple Inc. data.
result Combining feature selection with regression models significantly improves prediction accuracy.

The paper studies adversarial training for linear regression models.

problem Understanding the tradeoffs between robust and standard accuracy in adversarial training.
method Characterizes the fundamental tradeoff and specific adversarial training approach for linear regression with Gaussian features.
result Precise characterization of the standard and robust accuracy tradeoff in high-dimensional settings.

The paper explores robustness in linear regression models under adversarial attacks.

problem The impact of test-time adversarial attacks on linear regression models.
method Quantitative estimates and phase transitions analysis.
result Precise characterization of tradeoffs between adversarial robustness and accuracy.

A new tree method for tensor data improves regression accuracy.

problem Efficiently modeling tensor data for regression problems.
method Scalar-output regression tree models for scalar-on-tensor problems, and tensor-on-tensor problems using additive tree ensemble approaches.
result The tensor-input tree (TT) method outperforms tensor-input GP models in efficiency and accuracy.

The paper explores the tradeoff between fairness and accuracy in regression models.

problem Characterizing the tradeoff between fairness and accuracy in regression models.
method Provided a lower bound on the error of any fair regressor and extended the result to joint error using Wasserstein distance.
result Lower bounds on the error of fair regressors and their connection to Wasserstein distance.

To improve accuracy and speed of regressions and classifications, we present a data-based prediction method, Random Bits Regression (RBR). This method first generates a large number of random binary intermediate/derived features based on the original input matrix, and then performs regularized linear/logistic regressio…

2015-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Tensor Neural Networks improve regression accuracy and efficiency.

problem Nonparametric regression problems with complex, high-dimensional functions.
method Integrates statistical regression and numerical integration within a tensor neural network framework.
result Superior performance in approximation accuracy and generalization capacity compared to FFNs and RBNs.

PEER tackles multi-response regression with incomplete outcomes efficiently.

problem Challenges in estimating, predicting, and computing with large-scale multi-response regression and incomplete outcomes.
method PEER converts multi-response regression into parallel univariate-response regressions.
result PEER achieves consistency in estimation, prediction, and variable selection.

The paper analyzes the tradeoffs between accuracy and invariance in learning representations.

problem Achieving both accuracy and invariance in machine learning models.
method Information theoretic analysis of classification and regression settings.
result Characterization of the accuracy and invariance achievable by any representation of the data.

ParK efficiently solves kernel ridge regression for large datasets.

problem Large-scale kernel ridge regression efficiency and accuracy.
method Partitioning feature space with random projections and iterative optimization.
result Provably maintains statistical accuracy with reduced space and time complexity.

We study the following three fundamental problems about ridge regression: (1) what is the structure of the estimator? (2) how to correctly use cross-validation to choose the regularization parameter? and (3) how to accelerate computation without losing too much accuracy? We consider the three problems in a unified larg…

2019-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal kernel improves estimation accuracy in modal statistical methods.

problem Estimation accuracy of kernel-based modal statistical methods depends on the kernel used.
method The study theoretically shows an optimal kernel that minimizes asymptotic error criterion.
result An optimal kernel minimizes the error criterion when using an optimal bandwidth.

The study examines how class imbalance impacts logistic regression models in low-default credit portfolios.

problem The impact of class imbalance on logistic regression models in low-default credit portfolios.
method Simulation study with controlled data-generating mechanisms to vary class imbalance and predictor-response association strength.
result Classification accuracy decreases significantly as event rate decreases, and optimal cut-off shifts with imbalance.

Extracurricular learning closes the accuracy gap in knowledge distillation.

problem Accuracy gap between teacher and student models after knowledge distillation.
method Modeling student and teacher output distributions, sampling from an extended data distribution, and matching over this set.
result Extracurricular learning reduces the accuracy gap by 46% to 68%.

Selective neural network improves credit risk prediction while maintaining interpretability.

problem Improving credit risk prediction accuracy while maintaining interpretability for financial regulators.
method Introducing a neural network with a selective option to distinguish between linear and non-linear datasets.
result For most datasets, logistic regression is sufficient and interpretable, while for specific data portions, a shallow neural network model provides better accuracy.

Study evaluates ensemble methods for zero-shot uncertainty quantification with diffusion models.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in zero-shot regression problems using diffusion models.
method Used diffusion probabilistic models for ensemble prediction and evaluated their effectiveness on various regression tasks.
result Ensemble methods consistently improve model prediction accuracy across different regression tasks.

Proposes SHORE model for efficient MOR with sparsity and scalability.

problem Challenges of interpretability and scalability in MOR with high-dimensional outputs.
method Incorporates sparsity requirements and a two-stage optimization framework for efficient compression.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of the proposed framework's efficiency and accuracy.

This paper improves active learning for Gaussian process regression to handle distributional uncertainty.

problem Active learning for Gaussian process regression does not guarantee accurate predictions for target distributions.
method Proposes two methods to reduce worst-case expected error for Gaussian process regression.
result Shows an upper bound of the worst-case expected squared error, suggesting finite data labels can achieve arbitrarily small error.

Enhances survival analysis predictions with a robust learning approach.

problem Improving robustness and accuracy in survival analysis predictions.
method Integrates Distributionally Robust Learning (DRL) into Cox regression using Wasserstein distance-based ambiguity set.
result Demonstrates superior performance in prediction accuracy and robustness compared to traditional methods.

This work precisely characterizes and improves the tradeoff between robustness and accuracy in linear regression.

problem Tradeoff between robustness and accuracy in adversarial training.
method Characterizes the effect of augmentation on standard error in linear regression; proves RST improves robust error without sacrificing standard error.
result RST improves both standard and robust error for neural networks under various perturbations.

Improved equation learning accuracy via comprehensive R²-elimination and Bayesian model selection.

problem Challenges in exhaustive equation learning due to multicollinearity and greedy steps.
method Combines R2R^2 and Bayesian model evidence for a comprehensive yet efficient search.
result Our approach surpasses all other methods in identification accuracy, especially in exact equation recovery.

Consider a regression problem where there is no labeled data and the only observations are the predictions fi(xj)f_i(x_j) of mm experts fif_{i} over many samples xjx_j. With no knowledge on the accuracy of the experts, is it still possible to accurately estimate the unknown responses yjy_{j}? Can one still detect the leas…

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Removing spurious features can hurt model accuracy and disproportionately affect different groups.

problem Interference from spurious features in robust model performance across different groups.
method Characterization and analysis of spurious feature removal in noiseless overparameterized linear regression.
result Removal of spurious features can decrease accuracy and disproportionately affect different groups, even in balanced datasets.

Multitask Gaussian process regression reduces data generation costs for molecular property prediction.

problem Data bottleneck in training surrogate models for molecular properties.
method Multitask Gaussian process regression over heterogeneous data sources (CC and DFT).
result Predicts at CC-level accuracy with over an order of magnitude reduction in data generation cost.

Transformer learns to estimate negative binomial parameters efficiently.

problem Parameter estimation for over-dispersed count data in large screens.
method Pre-trained transformer trained on synthetic data generation to invert parameter to count transformation.
result Method of moments provides faster, more efficient, and better-calibrated estimates.

This paper improves prediction rule ensembles using model-based data generation.

problem Improving the sparsity and predictive accuracy of prediction rule ensembles.
method The authors use surrogate models to train Lasso regression with data generated by a boosted decision tree ensemble, improving PRE performance.
result The use of surrogacy models can substantially improve the sparsity of PRE while retaining predictive accuracy.

Stacked regressions improve predictive accuracy by combining estimators.

problem Improve predictive accuracy in regression models.
method Analogous to least-squares, learn combination weights by minimizing regularized empirical risk with nonnegativity constraint.
result The stacked estimator has strictly smaller population risk than the best single estimator, especially when signal-to-noise ratio is small.