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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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19385776 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for reference evapotranspiration

Study uses DNN to accurately estimate daily ET o in various climates.

problem Precise estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET o ) for irrigation and water management.
method Investigated artificial neural network (ANN) and deep neural network (DNN) models using six meteorological inputs.
result DNN models, especially P-DNN-SeLU, achieve high accuracy in daily ET o estimation.

PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.

problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.

Although a key driver of Earth's climate system, global land-atmosphere energy fluxes are poorly constrained. Here we use machine learning to merge energy flux measurements from FLUXNET eddy covariance towers with remote sensing and meteorological data to estimate net radiation, latent and sensible heat and their uncer…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods improve LLM preference optimization by intelligently weighting multiple reference models.

problem Improving LLM preference optimization with multiple reference models.
method Introducing four new weighting strategies for multiple-reference preference optimization.
result All four new weighting strategies outperform current methods on preference accuracy.

This paper uses reference priors to improve deep learning models with unlabeled and labeled data.

problem Improving deep learning models with limited labeled data and unlabeled data from the same or related tasks.
method Develops and applies generalizations of reference priors for deep networks to exploit unlabeled and labeled data.
result Demonstrates new semi-supervised learning and pretraining methods for transfer learning.

Methods for learning to search for structured prediction typically imitate a reference policy, with existing theoretical guarantees demonstrating low regret compared to that reference. This is unsatisfactory in many applications where the reference policy is suboptimal and the goal of learning is to improve upon it. Ca…

2015-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a method for forecasting corporate sales growth using multiple reference variables.

problem Forecasting corporate sales growth with multiple reference variables.
method Reference class selection using rank-based algorithms and principal components analysis for data dimension reduction.
result Dimension reduced variables with past sales growth rates and operating margins perform well in forecasting.

This paper solves the multiple reference model problem in RLHF with exact solutions and sample complexity guarantees.

problem Limitations of single reference models in aligning LLMs with human feedback.
method Integrates multiple reference models into RLHF frameworks, addressing theoretical challenges with exact solutions and sample complexity guarantees.
result First exact solution to the multiple reference model problem in reverse KL-regularized RLHF.

New method generates synthetic time series paths with more flexibility.

problem Restrictions in generating synthetic paths using Brownian reference.
method Introduces Triangular-Reference Schrödinger Bridges (TR-SBTS) for time series generation.
result Generates synthetic paths with more flexibility in stochastic volatility and correlated noise.

This article considers the quasi-local conserved quantities with respect to a reference spacetime with a cosmological constant. We follow the approach developed by the authors in [25,26,7] and define the quasi-local energy as differences of surface Hamiltonians. The ground state for the gravitational energy is taken to…

2016-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper the introduction of notion of reference vector paves the way for a combination of classical and social approaches in the framework of referential preferences given by matrix groups. It is shown that individual demand issue from rational decision does not depend on that reference.

2014-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This work extends entropic optimal transport to non-product reference couplings, focusing on Gaussian cases.

problem Finding a diffuse coupling between two measures with non-product reference couplings.
method Reduction of the entropic optimal transport problem to a matrix optimization problem.
result Complete description of the solution for non-product reference couplings, including primal and dual variables.

Study validates ML-UQ calibration statistics using simulated reference values.

problem Validation of ML-UQ calibration statistics is lacking due to lack of predefined reference values.
method Proposed validation workflow using simulated reference values derived from synthetic datasets.
result Some statistics, like CC and ENCE, are overly sensitive to generative distribution choice.

The purpose of this paper is to discuss how topology and geometry provide, in many instances, the connective tissue that enables logical comprehension. We illustrate this theme with many examples including Venn diagrams, knot diagrams, knot-logical diagrams and an arrow of reference that elucidates self-reference and G…

2015-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes a portfolio for an investor preferring accepted securities over a reference security.

problem Investor preference for a set of securities over a reference security with constraints.
method Mean-variance optimization with Sharpe Ratio performance measurement.
result Derives an optimal portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk.

Optimal order execution strategies for brokers under reference benchmarks.

problem Maximizing broker's utility of excess profit-and-loss subject to reference strategies.
method Formulated as a utility maximization problem, optimal strategies derived in closed form.
result General reference strategies can be approximated by piece-wise linear combinations of IS and TC orders.

Active-GRPO improves molecular optimization by actively deciding when to imitate or self-improve.

problem Training robust and efficient molecular optimization models with large language models.
method Active-GRPO combines imitation and reinforcement learning, upgrading references and policies dynamically.
result Improves molecular optimization performance, achieving statistically significant gains.

Proposes RDASS for better Korean text summarization evaluation.

problem ROUGE scores fail to capture semantic meaning in Korean text summarization.
method Introduces RDASS metrics and a method to improve their correlation with human judgment.
result RDASS metrics correlate better with human judgment than ROUGE scores.

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to derive for many models of interest. We address this issue by proposing techniques fo…

2017-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers develop a method to infer reference measures from observed functionals.

problem Tackles the challenge of identifying or recovering a reference measure from observed functionals.
method Uses the property of law-invariant functionals defining lower or upper supporting sets in dual spaces of signed measures.
result Illustrates the methodology with examples and develops a modification for Value-at-Risk.

Benchmark evaluates financial misinformation detection models, revealing weaknesses without external context.

problem Detecting financial misinformation without external references.
method RFC Bench at paragraph level, two tasks: reference-free detection and comparison-based diagnosis.
result Performance improves with comparative context, revealing model weaknesses in reference-free settings.

Synthetic reference strings are as effective as real ones for training citation parsing models.

problem Lack of training data for citation parsing, especially with deep neural networks.
method Trained Grobid with human-labelled and synthetically created reference strings, and evaluated retraining and out-of-sample data impact.
result Synthetic and real reference strings are equally effective for training Grobid, with retraining improving performance.

Choosing a reference group in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition can reverse conclusions.

problem The choice of reference group in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition can lead to different conclusions.
method The study uses the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to investigate how the choice of reference group affects the results.
result The Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition can yield different conclusions based on the choice of reference group.

This paper improves indoor positioning accuracy by deploying reference nodes to ensure Line-of-Sight.

problem Systematic bias errors in indoor positioning due to non-LoS propagation.
method Model indoor service area as a graph, partition into cliques for reference nodes, set minimum distance and angle parameters.
result Guaranteed LoS to reference nodes improves indoor positioning accuracy and precision.

Study shows mutual funds add little value for uninformed investors.

problem Understanding the performance of actively managed equity mutual funds for uninformed investors.
method Constructed a reference portfolio using prices and supply information, analyzed various subsets of funds, and compared to market index.
result Mutual funds provide insignificant alpha for uninformed investors, with negative and significant alpha when compared to the market index.

We define a conformal reference frame, i.e., a special projection of the six-dimensional sky bundle of a Lorentzian manifold (or the five-dimensional twistor space) to a three-dimensional manifold. We construct an example, a conformal compactification, for Minkowski space. Based on the complex structure on the skies, w…

2016-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves model training by using a reference model to guide target model training.

problem Improving generalization and data efficiency in model training.
method DRRho risk minimization framework based on Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO).
result DRRho risk minimization improves generalization and data efficiency compared to training without a reference model.

The paper analyzes how conformal prediction works with contaminated reference data.

problem The impact of contamination on the validity and power of conformal prediction methods.
method The paper analyzes the impact of contamination on the validity of conformal methods and proposes a data-cleaning framework to enhance power.
result The proposed data-cleaning framework can effectively enhance power while maintaining type-I error control.

A major source of risk in project management is inaccurate forecasts of project costs, demand, and other impacts. The paper presents a promising new approach to mitigating such risk, based on theories of decision making under uncertainty which won the 2002 Nobel prize in economics. First, the paper documents inaccuracy…

2013-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops a method to select a reference contract for multi-contract quoting to minimize execution risk.

problem Minimizing execution risk in multi-contract quoting sequences.
method Develops a diagnostic framework using order-flow Hawkes forecasts and CLF to select a stable reference contract.
result Event-history and LOB-state signals offer complementary views for reference-contract selection.

Study measures gender bias in machine translation using multiple reference points.

problem Measuring and identifying gender bias in machine translation.
method Used an optimal non-biased translator, reference points from occupational statistics and survey.
result Found bias against both genders, but more against women, and found occupations have a greater effect than adjectives.

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or ε\varepsilon-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors) upper and lower sample complexity bounds for our notion of distance, which is bas…

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study replicates reference-dependent preferences impact on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.

problem Impact of reference-dependent preferences on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
method Utilized CGO proxy, econometric techniques (Dependent Double Sorting, Fama-MacBeth regressions), and data from 1995-2024.
result Reference-dependent preferences have a weaker or absent positive risk-return relationship in the Chinese market.

RB-Modulation trains free diffusion models without external adapters.

problem Training-free personalization of diffusion models with style and content control.
method Stochastic optimal control with a style descriptor and cross-attention aggregation.
result Precise content and style extraction and control without external adapters.

The usual formulations of time-dependent mechanics start from a given splitting Y=R×MY=R\times M of the coordinate bundle YRY\to R. From physical viewpoint, this splitting means that a reference frame has been chosen. Obviously, such a splitting is broken under reference frame transformations and time-dependent canonical …

1997-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct master spaces for oriented torsion free sheaves coupled with morphisms into a fixed reference sheaf. These spaces are projective varieties endowed with a natural $\C^*$-action. The fixed point set of this action contains the moduli space of semistable oriented torsion free sheaves and the quot scheme assoc…

1996-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This work bridges outlier and drift detection by comparing inputs to a part of the reference distribution.

problem Monitoring machine learning models to ensure they operate within their validated distribution.
method Comparing a set of inputs to a chosen part of the reference distribution.
result A new approach that bridges outlier detection and drift detection.