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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for realized business time

The paper optimizes RV estimation by efficient sampling in time-changed diffusion models.

problem Improving realized variance (RV) estimation in time-changed diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis and simulations of hitting time and realized business time sampling schemes.
result Realized business time sampling is empirically most efficient for high noise levels.

We describe an agent-based simulation of a fictional (but feasible) information trading business. The Gas Price Information Trader (GPIT) buys information about real-time gas prices in a metropolitan area from drivers and resells the information to drivers who need to refuel their vehicles. Our simulation uses real wor…

2013-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.

problem Optimizing business expansion under exposure constraints and opportunity costs.
method Formulated as a novel stochastic control problem combined with optimal stopping time, derived an explicit solution for exponential utility.
result Firms are incentivized to expand but may wait due to opportunity costs and other factors.

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the business cycle phases in US and EuroZone.
method Three machine learning approaches were compared: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) achieved the best results.
result MLR achieved 65.25% accuracy for EuroZone and 75% for US in predicting business cycle phases.

Paper proposes GANs for generating business process suffixes and remaining times.

problem Generating accurate suffixes and remaining times for business process models.
method Encoder-decoder GAN architecture with Gumbel-Softmax distribution for categorical sequences.
result The approach outperforms baselines in suffix and remaining time prediction accuracy.

The paper analyzes optimal dividend strategies for risky businesses, considering both periodic and extraordinary payments.

problem Maximizing dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs.
method Modeling cash surplus as Brownian motion, considering different types of dividends with transaction costs.
result Optimal strategies depend on business profitability and transaction costs, sometimes including liquidation.

Generative AI agents improve ERP systems by automating complex financial tasks.

problem Static, rule-based workflows limit adaptability and intelligence in ERP systems.
method Introducing Generative Business Process AI Agents (GBPAs) that integrate generative AI with business process modeling and multi-agent orchestration.
result GBPAs achieve up to 40% reduction in processing time and 94% drop in error rate.

We have analyzed the Indices of Industrial Production (Seasonal Adjustment Index) for a long period of 240 months (January 1988 to December 2007) to develop a deeper understanding of the economic shocks. The angular frequencies estimated using the Hilbert transformation, are almost identical for the 16 industrial secto…

2013-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves prediction accuracy in business process mining by handling concept drift.

problem Improving prediction quality in business process mining affected by concept drift.
method Systematically analyzed and compared different data selection strategies for retraining machine learning models.
result Improved accuracy from 0.5400 to 0.7010 with concept drift handling.

The paper optimizes insurance strategies for two collaborating business lines.

problem Maximizing dividends and managing risk for two collaborating business lines.
method Closed-form solutions for optimal strategies, including dividend payout, reinsurance, and capital injection.
result Optimal strategies involve pure excess-of-loss reinsurance and transferring reserves to prevent ruin.

Large corporate credit models may be adapted for small business risk assessment.

problem Limited data and lack of credit analysts for small businesses.
method Adapting large corporate credit risk models for small businesses.
result Adapted models can predict small business credit risk effectively.

Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.

problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.

Firms having similar business activities are correlated. We analyze two different cross-correlation matrices C constructed from (i) 30-min price fluctuations of 1000 US stocks for the 2-year period 1994-95 and (ii) 1-day price fluctuations of 422 US stocks for the 35-year period 1962-96. We find that the eigenvectors o…

2000-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, based on theories of complex adaptive systems, I argue that the main case for antitrust policy should be extended to include the criteria of "evolvability." To date, the main case focuses on economizing, including market power as a key filter for identifying suspect cases. Both production and transaction…

2012-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given quotes are discrete samples of this underlying dynamics. On the contrary, if one take…

2005-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines cyber losses across sectors, finds high severity and frequency.

problem Understanding the nature of cyber losses and their variability across sectors.
method Analysis of a leading industry dataset of cyber events, focusing on frequency and severity.
result Cyber risks are heavy-tailed, with high probability of extreme losses.

Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.

problem Standard models struggle to explain high comovement in business cycles across countries.
method Developed a demand-driven reduced-form model with strategic complementarities and international trade linkages.
result Combining endogenous business cycles with exogenous shocks matches empirical comovement levels.

With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…

2014-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Online retailers execute a very large number of price updates when compared to brick-and-mortar stores. Even a few mis-priced items can have a significant business impact and result in a loss of customer trust. Early detection of anomalies in an automated real-time fashion is an important part of such a pricing system.…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows how business cycle affects dividend payout based on managerial stock incentives.

problem Impact of managerial stock incentives on dividend payout policy during business cycles.
method Using S&P 1500 companies data from 2000-2018, analyzing full sample and recession periods.
result Negative relationship between managerial stock options and dividend payouts, significant for medium-sized companies.

We determine the distribution of size and growthrates of German business firms in 1987-1997. We find a log-normal size distribution. The distribution of growth rates has fat tails. It can be fitted to an exponential in a narrow central region and is dominated by finite-sample-size effects far in its wings. We study the…

2000-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes systemic risk in an insurance model with multiple business lines and heterogeneous claims.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in a multi-dimensional insurance model with heterogeneous claims.
method A multi-dimensional Lévy process-based renewal risk model with pairwise asymptotic independence (PAI).
result Asymptotic formulas for tail probabilities and systemic risk measures are derived.

Study on time-varying APT validity in Japanese stock market.

problem Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Japanese stock market over time.
method Rolling window method applied to Fama and MacBeth's two-step regression and Kamstra and Shi's generalized GRS test.
result APT validity is unstable over time in Japanese stock market, influenced by monetary policy and business cycle.

The study uses CoDa to analyze family business financial ratios, highlighting methodological issues.

problem Asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity in financial ratios of family businesses.
method Compositional data analysis (CoDa) and classical analysis strategies.
result Results are sensitive to the methodology used, emphasizing the need for appropriate methodologies.

Study examines how business units can benefit from group cohesion under regulatory constraints.

problem Regulatory constraints limit business units' ability to form a single cohesive group.
method Defined and analyzed cohesive risk measures to minimize capital costs.
result Cohesive risk measures allow groups to achieve minimal capital costs without altering individual liabilities.

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗