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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for US

Investigates the relationship between US money supply and asset indices over 2001-2019.

problem Determining the relationship between US money supply and asset indices growth.
method Information entropy methodology applied to US asset indices (Property, Russell 2000, S&P 500, NASDAQ) over 2001-2019.
result Growth in US broad money supply is the main determinant of US asset indices growth, especially the NASDAQ and Russell 2000.

In this paper we propose the use of multiple local binary patterns(LBPs) to effectively classify land use images. We use the UC Merced 21 class land use image dataset. Task is challenging for classification as the dataset contains intra class variability and inter class similarities. Our proposed method of using multi-…

2019-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New proposed models are often compared to state-of-the-art using statistical significance testing. Literature is scarce for classifier comparison using metrics other than accuracy. We present a survey of statistical methods that can be used for classifier comparison using precision, accounting for inter-precision corre…

2016-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The accuracy of least squares calibration using option premiums and particle filtering of price data to find model parameters is determined. Derivative models using exponential Lévy processes are calibrated using regularized weighted least squares with respect to the minimal entropy martingale measure. Sequential impor…

2017-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) has recently been applied to the random forest to estimate its prediction variance. These theorems were verified under a traditional random forest framework which uses classification and regression trees (CART) and bootstrap resampling. However, random forests using conditional inferenc…

2017-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts cannabis use disorder risk for adolescents and young adults.

problem Predicting cannabis use disorder progression in adolescents and young adults.
method Bayesian machine learning model trained on longitudinal data.
result Model provides personalized risk assessment with AUC of 0.68-0.75 and E/O ratio of 0.95-1.

The paper models US inflation and hyperinflation using monetary and GDP data.

problem Understanding and predicting inflation and hyperinflation.
method Developed economic models to predict US CPI growth based on BMS, GDP, and savings.
result An exact relationship between CPI growth and BMS growth minus GDP and savings growth was found, with a residual term.

In this work we present a technique to use natural language to help reinforcement learning generalize to unseen environments. This technique uses neural machine translation, specifically the use of encoder-decoder networks, to learn associations between natural language behavior descriptions and state-action informatio…

2017-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we study robust tensor completion by using transformed tensor singular value decomposition (SVD), which employs unitary transform matrices instead of discrete Fourier transform matrix that is used in the traditional tensor SVD. The main motivation is that a lower tubal rank tensor can be obtained by usin…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose the use of Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) to generate artificial training data for machine learning tasks. The generation of artificial training data can be extremely useful in situations such as imbalanced data sets, performing a role similar to SMOTE or ADASYN. It is also useful when t…

2019-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Disease prediction or classification using health datasets involve using well-known predictors associated with the disease as features for the models. This study considers multiple data components of an individual's health, using the relationship between variables to generate features that may improve the performance o…

2016-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores using EEG for better speaker identification, even in noisy environments.

problem Speaker identification performance degrades in background noise.
method Uses EEG signals to enhance speaker identification systems, comparing with acoustic features.
result Speaker identification system using only EEG features outperforms one using only acoustic features in high background noise.

Paper uses topological data analysis for time series classification.

problem Classifying univariate time series data, especially physiological signals.
method Persistent homology for feature engineering, followed by machine learning.
result Higher accuracy achieved with fewer features compared to traditional methods.

Domain adaptation is essential to enable wide usage of deep learning based networks trained using large labeled datasets. Adversarial learning based techniques have shown their utility towards solving this problem using a discriminator that ensures source and target distributions are close. However, here we suggest tha…

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds no significant impact of US sovereign credit rating downgrade on equity market.

problem Impact of US sovereign credit rating downgrade on US equity market.
method Event study methodology using three companies and S&P500 index.
result No significant effects of US sovereign credit rating downgrade on US equity market.

A new beta-VAE based regression model accelerates oilfield optimization studies.

problem Computational expense of full-physics reservoir simulations.
method beta-VAE for interpretable latent space representation, probabilistic dense layers for uncertainty quantification.
result Interpretable latent representation and quantified uncertainty for optimization decisions.

Personalized models using group attributes reduce performance, study finds.

problem Reducing performance of models using group attributes like race or gender.
method Formal conditions and collective preference guarantees to ensure fair use.
result Models personalized with group attributes reduce performance at a group level.

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions using simulation rather than likelihood calculations. We introduce Gaussian process (GP) accelerated ABC, which we show can significantly reduce the number of simulations required. As computational resource is usually the mai…

2014-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

NegToMe uses images to guide text-based models away from unwanted visual elements.

problem Insufficient text-based adversarial guidance for complex visual concepts.
method Negative token merging (NegToMe) using visual features from reference images.
result Significantly enhances output diversity and reduces visual similarity to copyrighted content.

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

Machine learning models predict US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.

problem Predicting US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.
method Gradient Boosting and Random Forest methods trained with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework.
result 3 month to 6 month Treasury term spread is the most relevant for predicting US economic recession.

This paper explores using SSIM for better image generation in generative models.

problem Improving perceptual quality in generated images using 2\ell_2 norm.
method Theoretical discussion and practical implementation of SSIM in generative models and autoencoders.
result SSIM can be used in generative models and autoencoders to generate better images.

Paper proposes algorithms for BMF using integer programming.

problem Approximating binary input matrix as product of two smaller binary factors.
method Alternating optimization strategy using integer programming to solve subproblems and combine solutions.
result Proposed algorithms outperform state of the art on medium-scale problems.

This study was conducted to find an appropriate statistical model to forecast the volatilities of PSEi using the model Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). Using the R software, the log returns of PSEi is modeled using various ARIMA models and with the presence of heteroskedasticity, the l…

2019-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Remote Sensing Images from satellites have been used in various domains for detecting and understanding structures on the ground surface. In this work, satellite images were used for localizing parking spaces and vehicles in parking lots for a given parcel using an RCNN based Neural Network Architectures. Parcel shapef…

2019-08-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this report, an automated bartender system was developed for making orders in a bar using hand gestures. The gesture recognition of the system was developed using Machine Learning techniques, where the model was trained to classify gestures using collected data. The final model used in the system reached an average …

2017-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗