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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · Nov 201519922001200920172026
25 results for KPIs

A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.

problem Challenges in simultaneously improving multiple KPIs in RTB campaigns.
method Sequential Control using PID-based feedback and importance metrics.
result Effective in simultaneously controlling multiple KPIs in both simulations and live traffic.

A lightweight model predicts IT system KPIs from historical data.

problem Predicting future KPIs of interconnected IT systems is hard due to diverse and changing components.
method A weighted heterogeneous ensemble method combining neural network and mean predictor.
result Achieved R2R^2 scores of 0.10 and 0.15 on test data.

QBSD optimizes KPI forecasting for RAN networks with fast runtime and accuracy.

problem Efficiently forecasting KPIs for RAN networks with dynamic operating ranges.
method Quartile-Based Seasonality Decomposition (QBSD) for live single-step forecasting.
result QBSD outperforms other methods in runtime efficiency and forecast accuracy.

PS-DME evaluates model performance and reliability after data-dependent selection.

problem Evaluating model performance and reliability when data is used for selection and evaluation.
method Post-selection distributional model evaluation (PS-DME) using e-values to control false coverage rate.
result PS-DME provides reliable comparison of model configurations across different reliability levels.

Time series anomaly detection is usually formulated as finding outlier data points relative to some usual data, which is also an important problem in industry and academia. To ensure systems working stably, internet companies, banks and other companies need to monitor time series, which is called KPI (Key Performance I…

2018-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a Big Data framework for SC forecasting, including data preprocessing and machine learning.

problem Improving SC forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Data collection, preprocessing, machine learning model training, hyperparameter tuning, performance evaluation.
result Optimized SC forecasting models enhance workforce, inventory, and overall SC performance.

Study proposes new methods to calculate probabilistic benchmarks in noisy data.

problem Identifying opportunities for improvement in comparable units with noisy data.
method 2-step methodology involving undersampling and relevance vector machine.
result Higher discrimination power achieved with macro-economic environment variables.

We present a comparative study of different probabilistic forecasting techniques on the task of predicting the electrical load of secondary substations and cabinets located in a low voltage distribution grid, as well as their aggregated power profile. The methods are evaluated using standard KPIs for deterministic and …

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper reviews and compares deep generative models for financial time series and VaR.

problem Forecasting risk factor distribution in financial markets.
method Apply multiple deep generative models (CGAN, CWGAN, Diffusion, Signature WGAN) and propose new methods for conditional time series generation.
result Top performing models are Historical Simulation, GARCH, and CWGAN.

The ad-trading desks of media-buying agencies are increasingly relying on complex algorithms for purchasing advertising inventory. In particular, Real-Time Bidding (RTB) algorithms respond to many auctions -- usually Vickrey auctions -- throughout the day for buying ad-inventory with the aim of maximizing one or severa…

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Survival strategy for crypto firms in bear markets using BTC-to-sats payments rail.

problem Downside risk in crypto reserves during bear markets.
method Conservative treasury policy, operating line monetizing holdings, BTC-to-sats payments rail.
result Sustained mNAV premium through cycles with disclosed KPIs.

YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.

problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.

CJE calibrates cheap LLM judges against an oracle, achieving high accuracy at a fraction of the cost.

problem Inexpensive LLM judges can produce biased rankings, leading to unreliable outcomes.
method CJE uses a small oracle to calibrate cheap scores, then evaluates at scale with valid uncertainty.
result CJE achieves 99% pairwise ranking accuracy at 14x lower cost compared to a 16x oracle/judge cost ratio.

Optimizes antenna tilt for better QoS in cellular networks.

problem Hard to learn optimal antenna tilt policies in real networks due to risk and simulation gap.
method Uses off-policy Contextual Multi-Armed-Bandit (CMAB) techniques to learn from existing data.
result Trained policies show consistent improvements over existing logging policies.