A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study uses RL to simulate realistic market behavior.
Simulates realistic execution and costs in limit order books.
Generates realistic stock market order streams using GANs.
Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.
TRADES generates realistic market simulations for financial modeling.
Fourier methods fail to accurately approximate option Greeks in realistic market conditions.
MarS simulates financial markets using generative models.
Paper proposes a new method to simulate realistic markets from data.
In this paper we continue our descriptions of stock markets in terms of some non abelian operators which are used to describe the portfolio of the various traders and other {\em observable} quantities. After a first prototype model with only two traders, we discuss a more realistic model of market with an arbitrary num…
RL agents optimize order execution in a realistic market simulation.
SHIFT simulates realistic financial markets for research and industry.
ABIDES-MARL uses MARL to study market behavior in a realistic financial simulation.
We show that coherent risk measures are ineffective in curbing the behaviour of investors with limited liability or excessive tail-risk seeking behaviour if the market admits statistical arbitrage opportunities which we term -arbitrage for a risk measure . We show how to determine analytically whether such -ar…
Study proposes a new GAN for realistic discrete financial orders.
We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders, composed by chartists and fundamentalists, and focus on the role of informative…
Generative Adversarial Networks simulate realistic market interactions.
Optimal liquidation strategy for a risk-averse investor in a one-sided limit order book driven by a Levy process.
We present a simple, yet realistic, agent-based model of an electricity market. The proposed model combines the spot and balancing markets with a resolution of one minute, which enables a more accurate depiction of the physical properties of the power grid. As a test, we compare the results obtained from our simulation…
New model optimizes portfolios with realistic transaction costs.
Study optimal market making in Hawkes LOB market using impulse control and RL.
GAN approach optimizes investment under market uncertainty.
We extend prior evidence that naively using intraday agent-based models that involve realistic order-matching processes for modeling continuous-time double auction markets seems to fail to be able to provide a robust link between data and many model parameters, even when these models are able to reproduce a number of w…
We introduce a new Self-Organized Criticality (SOC) model for simulating price evolution in an artificial financial market, based on a multilayer network of traders. The model also implements, in a quite realistic way with respect to previous studies, the order book dy- namics, by considering two assets with variable f…
We introduce solvable stochastic dealer models, which can reproduce basic empirical laws of financial markets such as the power law of price change. Starting from the simplest model that is almost equivalent to a Poisson random noise generator, the model becomes fairly realistic by adding only two effects, the self-mod…
MarketGPT models financial time series with realistic order flow data.
The paper analyzes optimal dealer strategies in agent-based market models.
Before the massive spread of computer technology, information was far from complex. The development of technology shifted the paradigm: from individuals who faced scarce and costly information to individuals who face massive amounts of information accessible at low costs. Nowadays we are living in the era of big data a…
We study an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact to derive a more realistic market model. We construct a discrete-time model as a value function for optimal execution. Market impact is formulated as the product of a deterministic part increasing with execution volume and a positive stochastic noise pa…
Neural nets replicate hedging payoffs for realistic discrete-time settings.
In this paper, we generalize the Almgren-Chriss's market impact model to a more realistic and flexible framework and employ it to derive and analyze some aspects of optimal liquidation problem in a security market. We illustrate how a trader's liquidation strategy alters when multiple venues and extra information are b…
To construct a no-arbitrage defaultable bond market, we work on the state price density framework. Using the heat kernel approach (HKA for short) with the killing of a Markov process, we construct a single defaultable bond market that enables an explicit expression of a defaultable bond and credit spread under quadrati…
A prototype model of stock market is introduced and studied numerically. In this self-organized system, we consider only the interaction among traders without external influences. Agents trade according to their own strategy, to accumulate his assets by speculating on the price's fluctuations which are produced by them…
In this paper, the survival function of waiting times between orders and the corresponding trades in a double-auction market is studied both by means of experiments and of empirical data. It turns out that, already at the level of order durations, the survival function cannot be represented by a single exponential, thu…
Simulates risk-neutral markets using neural spline flows.
The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets as proposed by Giulia Iori has been extended by introducing increasing trust in the correctly predicting agents, a more realistic consultation procedure as well as a formal validation mechanism. This paper shows that such a model correctly reproduces the three f…
Paper proposes SPO paradigm for better portfolio optimization in real markets.
Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and speculators who steadely refuse to consider the market as a "fair game" and survive with…
We introduce an auto-regressive model which captures the growing nature of realistic markets. In our model agents do not trade with other agents, they interact indirectly only through a market. Change of their wealth depends, linearly on how much they invest, and stochastically on how much they gain from the noisy mark…
We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock value in a stochastic way. The actual price is determined in realistic way by match…
Market making is one of the most important aspects of algorithmic trading, and it has been studied quite extensively from a theoretical point of view. The practical implementation of so-called "optimal strategies" however suffers from the failure of most order book models to faithfully reproduce the behaviour of real m…
XGB-Chiarella model generates realistic intra-day financial price data using agent-based models.
Hybrid model simulates market dynamics using neural stochastic background traders.
New formula identifies and quantifies costs for automated market makers.
Bayesian framework improves trading robustness against market shifts.
PRIME models cryptocurrency exchange market impact.
Transformer model forecasts electricity price spread for virtual bidding.
We document and analyze the empirical facts concerning one of the clearest evidence of speculation in financial trading as observed in the postage collection stamp market. We unravel some of the mechanisms of speculative behavior which emphasize the role of fancy and collective behavior. In our conclusion, we propose a…
Simulates multi-asset spot and option markets using normalizing flows.