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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3467101134 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for real-time indicator

Paper optimizes industrial refrigeration using adaptive exploration.

problem Challenges in optimizing real-time industrial processes with unknown characteristics and safety constraints.
method Adaptive and explorative real-time optimization framework with Gaussian process uncertainty quantification.
result Approach increases energy efficiency of refrigeration process, approximating complete information solutions.

We describe an end-to-end real-time S&P futures trading system. Inner-shell stochastic nonlinear dynamic models are developed, and Canonical Momenta Indicators (CMI) are derived from a fitted Lagrangian used by outer-shell trading models dependent on these indicators. Recursive and adaptive optimization using Adaptive …

2000-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The Autoencoder Reconstruction Ratio detects increased asset co-movements.

problem Detecting changes in asset co-movements for risk management.
method Uses a deep sparse denoising autoencoder to measure asset returns with latent variables.
result Lower ARR values indicate periods of market weakness and increased volatility.

GC 2022 challenges real-time trend detection in financial tick data.

problem Efficiently detect trading trends in high-volume financial tick data.
method Real-time complex event processing of tick data, focusing on trend indicators and patterns.
result Participants must build reusable and practical solutions for real-life trading decisions.

Nowcasts consumption and investment from Turkish bank transactions for real-time GDP.

problem Lack of timely data for GDP nowcasting in Turkey.
method Used aggregated bank transactions to replicate quarterly national accounts data.
result Bank transaction data successfully nowcasts Turkish GDP, especially useful for countries with long data lags.

Predict real-time crash risks during hurricane evacuations using connected vehicle data.

problem Mitigate crash risks during hurricane evacuations by predicting high-risk locations.
method Used connected vehicle data to predict crash risks in real-time, considering weather and traffic features.
result Gaussian Process Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting models performed best, with recall of 0.91.

In the past decade, Bitcoin as an emerging asset class has gained widespread public attention because of their extraordinary returns in phases of extreme price growth and their unpredictable massive crashes. We apply the log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) confidence indicator as a diagnostic tool for identifyin…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

ARTEO algorithm optimizes safety-critical systems with uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with safety constraints in real-time optimization.
method ARTEO algorithm uses multi-armed bandits as a mathematical programming problem subject to safety constraints, learning unknown characteristics through exploration and incorporating uncertainty quantification.
result ARTEO achieves less cumulative regret with accurate and safe decisions.

IVMs help identify dangerous traffic conditions in real-time.

problem Real-time crash risk analysis in urban traffic systems.
method Import Vector Machines (IVMs) applied to historical crash and traffic data.
result IVMs successfully identify dangerous traffic conditions with computational advantage.

PriceSeer benchmarks LLMs in real-time stock prediction.

problem Evaluating LLMs' stock prediction accuracy and robustness.
method Real-time benchmark with 110 U.S. stocks, internal and external information expansion.
result LLMs perform suboptimally in long-term predictions due to fake news and specific industries.

DefogGAN predicts hidden RTS game information to aid strategic decision-making.

problem Predicting hidden information in real-time strategy games like StarCraft.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) with pyramidal reconstruction loss.
result DefogGAN predicts enemy buildings and combat units as accurately as professional players.

Stochastic simulation techniques employed for the analysis of portfolios of insurance/reinsurance risk, often referred to as `Aggregate Risk Analysis', can benefit from exploiting state-of-the-art high-performance computing platforms. In this paper, parallel methods to speed-up aggregate risk analysis for supporting re…

2013-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method predicts student skill success rates in real-time.

problem Accurate and explainable prediction of student skill success rates in real-time.
method Performance Distribution Tracing (PDT) using a Dynamic Bayesian Network with continuous random variables.
result PDT provides both explainability and accuracy in real-time predictions of student skill success rates.

Payments data and machine learning improve nowcasting accuracy for macroeconomic indicators.

problem Lagged indicators in linear models are insufficient during crisis periods.
method Non-traditional payments data, nonlinear machine learning, and tailored cross-validation.
result Improved macroeconomic nowcasting accuracy up to 40% during crises.

In manufacture, steel and other metals are mainly cut and shaped during the fabrication process by computer numerical control (CNC) machines. To keep high productivity and efficiency of the fabrication process, engineers need to monitor the real-time process of CNC machines, and the lifetime management of machine tools…

2018-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.

problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.

Method identifies financial rogue waves close to their onset.

problem Identifying extreme financial events close to their onset.
method Analogy between rogue waves in optics and financial volatility, using Schrödinger equation with potential shaped by Kerr nonlinearity.
result Numerical gradient spikes at the onset of extreme financial events.

A new approach to the understanding of the complex behavior of financial markets index using tools from thermodynamics and statistical physics is developed. Physical complexity, a magnitude rooted in the Kolmogorov-Chaitin theory is applied to binary sequences built up from real time series of financial markets indices…

2000-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New SGMM algorithm for efficient estimation of moment restriction models.

problem Estimation and inference on overidentified moment restriction models.
method Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM).
result SGMM offers fast and scalable implementation with streaming dataset handling.

The ad-trading desks of media-buying agencies are increasingly relying on complex algorithms for purchasing advertising inventory. In particular, Real-Time Bidding (RTB) algorithms respond to many auctions -- usually Vickrey auctions -- throughout the day for buying ad-inventory with the aim of maximizing one or severa…

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), the mathematical framework underlying most algorithms in Reinforcement Learning (RL), are often used in a way that wrongfully assumes that the state of an agent's environment does not change during action selection. As RL systems based on MDPs begin to find application in real-world sa…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study combines sentiment analysis with traditional models for better S&P 500 trading.

problem Improving trading performance in volatile markets.
method Sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2, FinBERT, combined with technical indicators and time-series models.
result Combining sentiment-driven insights with traditional models improves trading performance.

Improved real-time UAV terrain following with RVM-RLS filter.

problem Accurate real-time waypoints estimation under measurement noise in nonlinear, time-varying systems.
method Residual Variance Matching Recursive Least Squares (RVM-RLS) filter guided by RVME criterion.
result Improved waypoints estimation accuracy by approximately 88% compared to benchmarks.

FedCM measures contributions in real-time for federated learning.

problem Fairly allocating contributions in federated learning systems.
method FedCM calculates impact based on current and previous rounds with attention aggregation.
result FedCM is more sensitive to data quality and quantity in real-time.

Generative profiling improves real-time task timing for varied resource contexts.

problem Inaccurate task timing analysis for complex hardware architectures.
method Nonparametric, conditional multi-marginal Schrödinger Bridge (MSB) formulation for synthesizing context-dependent timing profiles.
result Maximum likelihood accurate execution profiles for unseen resource contexts.

Study predicts market bubbles using machine learning and financial news sentiment.

problem Predicting market bubbles in the S&P 500 index.
method Three-step approach combining financial news sentiment and macroeconomic indicators.
result Proposed three-step ensemble approach significantly improves bubble prediction accuracy.