Wearable tech detects table tennis shots with high accuracy.
problem Lack of shot detection in table tennis using wearables.
method Fusion of IMU and audio sensor data for real-time shot detection.
result 95.6% accuracy in shot detection.
Deep learning detects tennis players' flow state from wearable data.
problem Lack of psychological feedback in wearable devices for sports performance.
method Trained deep neural networks on wearable data and coach labels.
result Deep neural networks achieved 98% accuracy in detecting flow state.
Algorithm beats sports betting markets, showing inefficiencies.
problem Inefficiencies in sports betting markets.
method Created a betting algorithm using a novel dataset and win probability model.
result Above market returns for various sports betting markets.
Technology has had an unquestionable impact on the way people watch sports. Along with this technological evolution has come a higher standard to ensure a good viewing experience for the casual sports fan. It can be argued that the pervasion of statistical analysis in sports serves to satiate the fan's desire for detai…
The paper analyzes sports commentary to automatically recognize events and extract insights.
problem Automatically recognizing and categorizing major actions in sports events from commentary.
method Used multiple Natural Language Processing techniques for classification and sentiment analysis.
result Identified insights from analyzing live sport commentaries and classifying major actions.
This review explores ML in predicting team sport outcomes, identifying successful strategies and themes.
problem Predicting outcomes in team sports using machine learning.
method Survey of studies from 1996 to 2019, analyzing ML algorithms and their accuracies.
result Identifies common themes and strategies for future research in predicting team sport outcomes.
This paper optimizes sports betting strategies using neural networks and portfolio theory.
problem Optimizing betting strategies in sports gambling.
method Combining neural network models with portfolio optimization, integrating Von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility Theory and the Kelly Criterion.
result Achieved 135.8% relative profit during the English Premier League season.
Investigates sports betting strategies using modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion.
problem Mitigating risk in sports betting investments.
method Modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion, with modifications for practical risk control.
result Adaptive fractional Kelly method is suitable across various sports settings.
Paper simplifies complex sports analytics models for better understanding.
problem Difficulty in interpreting deep learning models for sports analytics.
method Developed a linear model tree that mimics deep learning models and explains its knowledge.
result The linear model tree achieves high accuracy and provides actionable insights.
Framework for real-time win probability and player ability in sports.
problem Real-time evaluation and player assessment in team sports.
method Continuous dominance indicator (T-score) and T-process formulation.
result Decomposes competitive advantage into interpretable statistical components.
Blockchain fan tokens boost sports fan engagement by 50%.
problem Low fan engagement in sports decisions.
method Analyzed 3,576 fan token polls to identify determinants of participation.
result Fan tokens engage 4,003 participants per poll, 50% of token holders.
Flexible model predicts sports outcomes over time.
problem Predicting sports outcomes with varying player/team skill over time.
method Probabilistic model using continuous-time Gaussian processes for dynamic parameters, efficient inference algorithm.
result Model outperforms competing approaches in predictive performance and scalability.
Simple scaling law explains gains of Tour de France teams.
problem Understanding financial gains of competitive sports teams.
method Analysis of recent bicycle race data.
result Simple scaling law describes gains of teams in recent bicycle races.
A simplified Bayesian approach for online sports rating.
problem Rating players/teams based on game outcomes.
method Bayesian approach using Kalman filter principles.
result Known algorithms like Elo and TrueSkill are special cases.
Rugby-Bot predicts multiple metrics from a single source using fine-grain data.
problem Complexity of sporting events requires multiple metrics for accurate analysis.
method Multi-task learning with fine-grain spatial data and wide-and-deep learning.
result Predictions are consistent and can be in distribution form.
The study analyzes games and social hierarchies, incorporating luck and depth of competition.
problem Analyzing patterns of wins and losses in games and social hierarchies.
method Generalized probabilistic models incorporating luck and depth of competition.
result Social competition tends to be deeper with many distinct levels, but there is often a chance of upset victories.
Improved trajectory prediction for team sports using sparse outputs.
problem Challenging to train deep learning models for player trajectory prediction.
method Sparse trajectory prediction and constant acceleration interpolation.
result Interpolation improves performance for all tested models.
Bayesian model improves win probability estimates in soccer.
problem Technical challenges in estimating win probability for soccer.
method Bayesian statistical framework using contextual game state features.
result Well-calibrated win, tie, and loss probabilities demonstrated.
New methods for skill rating in sports using state-space models.
problem Improving skill rating in competitive sports.
method State-space models, sequential Monte Carlo, discrete hidden Markov models.
result Advantages of state-space models for time-varying player skills.
Random forest model predicts tennis match outcomes with 80% accuracy.
problem Predicting tennis match outcomes before the game starts.
method Used a large database of tennis match information and a random forest model.
result Identified serve strength as a key predictor of match outcome.
BBE simulates betting exchanges to generate synthetic data for AI research.
problem Lack of real data for AI/ML in betting exchanges.
method Agent-based simulation model of a sports-betting exchange.
result Generates large, high-resolution synthetic data for AI/ML.
Machine learning predicts US will win most Olympic medals in 2020.
problem Improve Olympic medal forecasting accuracy.
method Two-stage Random Forest machine learning model.
result Model outperforms traditional forecasts for three previous Olympics.
Method learns to predict agent interactions from partial observations.
problem Predicting interactions between multiple agents from incomplete data.
method Graph-Structured Variational Recurrent Neural Network (Graph-VRNN) trained end-to-end.
result Graph-VRNN outperforms baselines on sports datasets.
TrackNet tracks tiny balls in sports videos with high precision.
problem Accurately tracking tiny and fast-moving objects like tennis balls in sports videos.
method Developed a heatmap-based deep learning network, TrackNet, trained on public and additional labeled videos.
result Achieved high precision (99.7%) in ball tracking on public domain videos.
Study proposes new methods to convert betting odds into accurate probabilities for sports forecasting.
problem Convert betting odds to accurate outcome probabilities for sports forecasting and market efficiency analysis.
method Proposes two methods: Odds-Only-Equal-Profitability-Confidence (OO-EPC) and Favourite-Longshot-Bias-Adjusted Generalised Linear Model (FL-GLM).
result Proposed methods outperform existing methods in empirical tests and real-world applications.
BBE simulates sports betting exchanges for data generation.
problem Creating synthetic data for betting strategy testing.
method Agent-based model (ABM) for sports betting exchange simulation.
result Simulation runs up to 1000 times faster with GPU.
Hierarchical MARL learns complementary skills for team coordination.
problem Creating intelligent agents that coordinate like human sports teams.
method Two-level hierarchical MARL with unsupervised skill discovery.
result Emergence of useful and complementary skills in team games.
Decentralized prediction markets use AMMs to pool and withdraw liquidity, improving financial properties.
problem Creating a fair and efficient decentralized prediction market.
method Developed a liquidity-based AMM structure for prediction markets, studied liquidity management, and proposed trading fees.
result The decentralized AMM structure satisfies financial properties and can be managed with liquidity withdrawal.
Alternative dynamic paired comparison model using Gaussian Processes.
problem Sports prediction and ranking players or teams.
method Dynamic paired comparison model with Gaussian Process priors, incorporating covariates, and efficient Bayesian inference.
result The GP model outperforms Elo and Glicko on log loss, especially with surface covariates.
Bayesian rating system for large competitions improves prediction and efficiency.
problem Rating systems for large, competitive events like online programming contests.
method Developed a Bayesian rating system for many participants, proving robustness and runtime.
result The system outperforms existing systems in accuracy and computation speed.
Study uses complex networks and machine learning to predict soccer match outcomes.
problem Predicting soccer match outcomes with complex networks and machine learning.
method Complex network metrics and match statistics were used to build machine learning models.
result Models based on passing networks were as effective as traditional models using match statistics.
We generalize Mallows model to learn distance metrics from data.
problem Learning optimal distance metrics from noisy ranking data.
method Propose Lα distances and develop FPTAS for sampling and MLE. result Strong consistency of estimators for various α and β. The paper proposes using experts' insights in machine learning tasks.
problem Lack of reliance on experts' opinions in machine learning tasks.
method A three-step framework for integrating experts' insights into machine learning models.
result Proposed models achieve more stable and lower log loss results compared to top solutions.
Study shows news from various topics impacts Nifty 50 index.
problem Lack of analysis on news impact on Nifty 50 index.
method Analyzed Nifty 50 index movement with sentiments from diverse news topics.
result Sentiment scores from different topics significantly impact Nifty 50 index.
Bayesian taut splines estimate modes in probability densities.
problem Estimating the number of modes in probability density functions.
method Bayesian inference with flexible kernel estimators and compositional splines.
result The new method provides more accurate results than traditional approaches.
The paper introduces a new method to find meaningful data subsets in multivariate probability density functions.
problem Finding meaningful data subsets in multivariate probability density functions.
method The paper defines an abstract bump construct based on curvature functionals of the probability density and proposes a multivariate implementation of Good and Gaskins' original concave bumps.
result The method provides theoretical results for asymptotic consistency of bump boundaries and confidence regions.
Automates feature extraction for IMU-based activity recognition.
problem Manual feature engineering is time-consuming and limits IMU-based applications.
method FRESH algorithm for automated feature extraction.
result Workflow automates feature extraction from synchronized IMU sensors.
FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.
problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.
New method improves prediction accuracy in comparison data.
problem Efficiently predicting outcomes in limited comparison data.
method Empirical Bayes shrinkage methods for pairwise uncertainty estimation.
result Empirical Bayes shrinkage outperforms standard methods in comparison data.
New method learns time-varying home field advantage in football.
problem Discovering causal factors behind home field advantage in sports.
method DYNAMO: a novel causal discovery method for non-stationary processes.
result Time-varying home field advantages influenced by referee bias.
Deep neural network predicts event ticket prices considering spatial-temporal data sparsity.
problem Predicting future ticket prices from sparse and spatiotemporal data.
method Bi-level optimizing deep neural network with coarsening and refining layers, bi-level loss function.
result Our model outperforms other methods in real-world ticket price prediction.
Prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes has received much recent attention, especially from the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In the real world setting of outcome prediction, the seminal Élő update still remains, after more than 50 years, a valuable baseline which is difficult to…
Improved fMRI activation detection for single-subject studies.
problem Challenges in detecting activation in low-signal fMRI studies.
method Model-based approach using MixfMRI R package.
result Reliable activation detection in single-subject fMRI studies.
Study proposes machine learning to estimate lactate threshold for runners.
problem Inconvenient and expensive blood lactate measurement for recreational runners.
method Recurrent neural networks and standardized temporal axis.
result 89.52% accuracy in estimating lactate threshold.
Extracts StarCraft II tournament data for AI and ML studies.
problem Lack of accessible esports data for scientific use.
method Gathered and processed StarCraft II tournament replays using an API parser library.
result The largest publicly available StarCraft II esports dataset.
Machine learning improves concussion diagnosis in female athletes.
problem Limited effectiveness of traditional concussion diagnosis methods for female athletes.
method Advanced neuroinformatics and machine learning models.
result Improved understanding of concussion mechanisms in female athletes.
We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and games in the NFL season and use them alongside statistical game data to build predic…
We propose an original model for inferring team strengths using a Markov Random Field, which can be used to generate historical estimates of the offensive and defensive strengths of a team over time. This model was designed to be applied to sports such as soccer or hockey, in which contest outcomes take value in a limi…