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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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36912 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for quote midpoint

New analysis shows ROI's predictive power for stock returns weakens significantly.

problem The predictive power of retail order imbalance (ROI) for future stock returns.
method Replicated Boehmer et al. (2021) using a more recent period and analyzed the effect of using alternative quote midpoint (QMP) method.
result Past ROI can no longer predict weekly returns on large-cap stocks, and the long-short strategy based on past ROI is no longer profitable.

This paper provides a practical method to extract caplet volatilities from quoted data.

problem Extracting caplet volatilities from quoted data is complex and not straightforward.
method The paper presents a constructive algorithm based on criteria and robust outlier detection. It includes direct interpolation, bootstrap methods, and global search methods.
result The paper introduces methods to extract caplet volatilities that are arbitrage-free and consistent with quoted data.

We study the cause of large fluctuations in prices in the London Stock Exchange. This is done at the microscopic level of individual events, where an event is the placement or cancellation of an order to buy or sell. We show that price fluctuations caused by individual market orders are essentially independent of the v…

2003-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the randomized midpoint method for Langevin diffusions, revealing biases and asymptotic properties.

problem Analyzing biases and asymptotic properties of the randomized midpoint method for Langevin diffusions.
method Characterization of stationary distribution and asymptotic normality for numerical integration.
result The step-size needs to go to zero for the method to be asymptotically unbiased.

Solitons are special polygon midpoints under affine transformations.

problem Characterizing polygons whose midpoints under affine transformations form a new polygon.
method Analyzing midpoints polygons and their relationship to affine transformations and differential equations.
result A large class of polygons are on an orbit of a one-parameter subgroup of the affine group, and these curves are solutions to a specific differential equation.

We say that a pair of points x and y is secure if there exist a finite set of blocking points such that any geodesic between x and y passes through one of the blocking points. The main point of this paper is to exhibit new examples of blocking phenomena both in the manifold and the billiard table setting. As an approac…

2007-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Poisson Midpoint Method improves Langevin Dynamics for diffusion models.

problem Slow convergence of LMC in diffusion models requiring many small steps.
method Poisson Midpoint Method approximates LMC with larger steps, proving quadratic speed up.
result Poisson Midpoint Method maintains quality of DDPM with fewer calls.

The paper shows how to calculate risk-neutral default probabilities from bid and ask CDS quotes.

problem Calculating risk-neutral default probabilities from market quotes.
method Using conic finance framework and Poisson process to formulate and solve the calibration problem.
result A unique solution for risk-neutral default probabilities and implied liquidity.

Study risk-sensitive market making with entropy regularization for better quote control.

problem Risk-sensitive market making with exponential utility and penalties.
method Entropy-regularized certainty-equivalent Bellman policies for discrete-time market dynamics.
result Proves convergence and performance bounds for entropy-regularized policies.

New sampling method improves efficiency for diffusion models.

problem Efficient sampling from arbitrary smooth distributions in polynomial time.
method Randomized midpoint method for log-concave sampling.
result Achieves best known dimension dependence (O~(d5/12)\widetilde O(d^{5/12})) for total variation distance.

This paper develops a method to select a reference contract for multi-contract quoting to minimize execution risk.

problem Minimizing execution risk in multi-contract quoting sequences.
method Develops a diagnostic framework using order-flow Hawkes forecasts and CLF to select a stable reference contract.
result Event-history and LOB-state signals offer complementary views for reference-contract selection.

Proposes a framework to adjust quotes for informational risk in markets with informed traders and price-revealing quotes.

problem Informational risk in markets with informed traders and price-revealing quotes.
method Proposes a tractable framework to adjust quotes considering adverse selection and price reading.
result Market makers can adjust their quotes to better manage informational risk.

Unified theory for optimal execution through signal-adaptive quotes in limit order books.

problem Optimal execution in limit order books with signal-dependent factors.
method Develops a unified solution theory for four execution criteria, incorporating signal-dependent drift, price impact, inventory risk, and execution risk.
result Explicit formulas reveal optimal quoting strategies and show signal-dependent drift can significantly affect execution.

ARL and Hawkes processes improve market-making strategies with variable volatility.

problem Enhancing market-making strategies to adapt to varying volatility levels and self-exciting behaviors.
method Integrates ARL, Hawkes processes, and variable volatility levels; shifts from Poisson to Hawkes process.
result 4-action MM trained in low-volatility environment adapts to high-volatility conditions, providing stable performance.

The paper calibrates a model to market quotes efficiently and arbitrage-free.

problem Calibrating a model to market option quotes efficiently and without arbitrage.
method Piecewise-linear local variance function for efficient calibration.
result Arbitrage-free interpolation of class C2C^2 achieved under one millisecond.

Let MM be either the 2-sphere $\SS^2 \subset\RR^3$ or the hyperbolic plane $\HH^2 \subset \RR^3$. If Δ(abc)Δ(abc) is a geodesic triangle on MM with corners at a,b,cMa,b,c\in M, we denote by α,β,γMα, β, γ\in M the midpoints of their sides. If ΩΩ denotes the oriented area of this triangle on MM, it satisfies the relations: $$ \s…

2013-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A dealer manages quotes and rejection rules to control slippage risk in FX markets.

problem Managing inventory risk and latency risk in OTC FX market making.
method Dynamic programming and adiabatic-quadratic approximation to optimize quotes and rejection rules.
result Developed a method to optimize quotes and rejection rules for managing slippage risk.

Study uses SABR model to create implied volatilities from sparse quotes.

problem Creating accurate implied volatility surfaces from limited market data.
method Multitask Gaussian process with SABR model embeddings and hierarchical regularization.
result Model produces more accurate volatilities than single-task methods.

Optimizes Lipschitz estimates for partitions of unity and characterizes spaces with Assouad-Nagata dimension.

problem Understanding the properties of partitions of unity and their Lipschitz bounds.
method Analyzes the standard partition of unity and its p\ell^p-generalizations, using the approximate midpoint property and Lebesgue number.
result Optimal Lipschitz bounds for partitions of unity and characterizes metric spaces with Assouad-Nagata dimension.

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given quotes are discrete samples of this underlying dynamics. On the contrary, if one take…

2005-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that for any point pp in a closed Riemannian manifold MM, there exists at least one point qMq\in M such that pp is critical for the distance function from qq. We also show that such a point qq cannot always be reached with geodesic loops based at qq with midpoint pp.

2014-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New models optimize quotes for automated market makers considering various price dynamics and demand variability.

problem Optimizing quotes for automated market makers in volatile price environments.
method Advanced models incorporating stochastic volatility, jumps, Hawkes processes, and Markov-modulated Poisson processes.
result Optimal quotes can be computed using numerical methods tailored to each model.

Two price regimes identified in limit order books: close and far from quotes.

problem Understanding the distribution and behavior of limit orders in limit order books.
method Analysis of limit order book data in dimensions of price, time, lifetime, and volume.
result Identification of two distinct regimes in the limit order book: close and far from quotes.

New set class preserves Fourier series terms for planar ovals, leading to isoperimetric inequalities.

problem Investigate geometric properties of kkth Order Preserving Sets and ovals.
method Introduce and analyze kkth Order Preserving Sets and Midpoint Sets; study geometric properties and isoperimetric inequalities.
result Established an isoperimetric-type inequality relating perimeter and area of ovals and their associated sets.

We examine the Foreign Exchange (FX) spot price spreads with and without Last Look on the transaction. We assume that brokers are risk-neutral and they quote spreads so that losses to latency arbitrageurs (LAs) are recovered from other traders in the FX market. These losses are reduced if the broker can reject, ex-post…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the natural Kähler metrics on moduli spaces of stable oriented pairs in a very general framework, and we prove a universal formula expressing the Kähler class of such a moduli space in terms of characteristic classes of the universal bundle. We use these results to compute explicitly the volumina of certain Qu…

2013-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a non-parametric method to estimate the discount curve from market quotes based on the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse. The discount curve reproduces the market quotes perfectly, has maximal smoothness, and is given in closed-form. The method is easy to implement and requires only basic linear algebra operations…

2016-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study Nash competition among dealers quoting prices to clients with unknown trading motives.

problem Adverse selection and inventory costs in dealer-client interactions.
method Analyzes one-shot Nash competition with unknown client type and inventory constraints.
result Unique symmetric Nash equilibrium exists and can be characterized by a nonlinear ODE.

ClauseLens uses reinforcement learning to price reinsurance treaties transparently and auditably.

problem Opaque and difficult-to-audit reinsurance treaty pricing practices.
method ClauseLens models treaty pricing as a Risk-Aware Constrained Markov Decision Process (RA-CMDP), incorporating legal clauses and generating interpretable explanations.
result ClauseLens reduces solvency violations and improves tail-risk performance, achieving 88.2% accuracy in clause-grounded explanations.

A large proportion of market making models derive from the seminal model of Avellaneda and Stoikov. The numerical approximation of the value function and the optimal quotes in these models remains a challenge when the number of assets is large. In this article, we propose closed-form approximations for the value functi…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on symmetry defects of complete intersections in complex space.

problem Characterizing symmetry defects of complete intersections.
method Analyzing midpoints of chords connecting points in complete intersections.
result Symmetry defect of complete intersections is an algebraic variety.

Modeling market makers' quoting strategies to understand price impact.

problem Understanding how price impact arises from market makers' quoting strategies.
method Modeling market making as a dynamic auction using Stochastic Differential Games and finding Nash Equilibrium.
result The price impact function derived from market makers' strategies matches the Almgren-Chriss model.

This study examines non-retail trading on Polymarket, revealing unique behavior patterns and structural limitations.

problem Lack of address-level quote-lifecycle data in Polymarket prediction markets.
method Empirical analysis of 13 million order-filled events using DBSCAN clustering on a six-feature fill-side vector.
result Non-retail behavior is uni-modal, contradicting previous archetypal hypotheses.

A model-free framework extracts risk-neutral densities from short-dated options.

problem Arbitrage and bid-ask spread issues in short-dated options.
method Develops ARIES for filtering static arbitrage and SEDEx for density extraction.
result Robust density extraction across various market conditions and volatility smiles construction.