New method for pricing financial products without no-arbitrage condition.
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We propose a unified analysis of a whole spectrum of no-arbitrage conditions for financial market models based on continuous semimartingales. In particular, we focus on no-arbitrage conditions weaker than the classical notions of No Arbitrage and No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk. We provide a complete characterisation…
The paper defines symmetries in no-arbitrage markets.
In discrete time markets with proportional transaction costs, Schachermayer (2004) shows that robust no-arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a strictly consistent price system. In this paper, we introduce the concept of prospective strict no-arbitrage that is a variant of the strict no-arbitrage property from Ka…
In a discrete time and multiple-priors setting, we propose a new characterisation of the condition of quasi-sure no-arbitrage which has become a standard assumption. This characterisation shows that it is indeed a well-chosen condition being equivalent to several previously used alternative notions of no-arbitrage and …
Paper develops a continuous-time framework for financial markets without stochastic calculus.
Abstract framework for no-arbitrage concepts in topological vector lattices.
In frictionless financial markets, no-arbitrage is a local property in time. This means that a discrete time model is arbitrage-free if and only if there does not exist a one-period-arbitrage. With capital gains taxes, this equivalence fails. For a model with a linear tax and one non-shortable risky stock, we introduce…
The paper sets criteria for no arbitrage in complex financial models.
Deep learning models reconstruct volatility surfaces from noisy data under no-arbitrage constraints.
We study the stability of several no-arbitrage conditions with respect to absolutely continuous, but not necessarily equivalent, changes of measure. We first consider models based on continuous semimartingales and show that no-arbitrage conditions weaker than NA and NFLVR are always stable. Then, in the context of gene…
Monotonicity of normalized implied-volatility coordinates under no-arbitrage
The present paper deals with the characterization of no-arbitrage properties of a continuous semimartingale. The first main result, Theorem \refMainTheoremCharNA, extends the no-arbitrage criterion by Levental and Skorohod [Ann. Appl. Probab. 5 (1995) 906-925] from diffusion processes to arbitrary continuous semimartin…
We generalize Merton's asset valuation approach to systems of multiple financial firms where cross-ownership of equities and liabilities is present. The liabilities, which may include debts and derivatives, can be of differing seniority. We derive equations for the prices of equities and recovery claims under no-arbitr…
Study analyzes bond price covariation robustly under no-arbitrage conditions.
No-arbitrage constraints on implied variance slope are weak, leading to almost guaranteed arbitrage in many cases.
Reflected geometric Brownian motion models are not arbitrage-free.
Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the s…
The study uses reproducing kernels to model bond discount curves.
Develops a deep learning method for enforcing no-arbitrage in local volatility surfaces.
Study no-arbitrage conditions in 1D diffusion markets with interest rates.
No arbitrage in financial markets with special semimartingales.
Market impact is the link between the volume of a (large) order and the price move during and after the execution of this order. We show that under no-arbitrage assumption, the market impact function can only be of power-law type. Furthermore, we prove that this implies that the macroscopic price is diffusive with roug…
We obtain a constructive criterion for robust no-arbitrage in discrete-time market models with transaction costs. This criterion is expressed in terms of the supports of the regular conditional upper distributions of the solvency cones. We also consider the model with a bank account. A method for construction of arbitr…
Generative adversarial networks enforce no-arbitrage in volatility surface computation.
Paper establishes robust no-arbitrage conditions under projective determinacy.
Based on a criterion of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity generators of log-price and volatility are independent or are the same, two versions …
We analyze the martingale selection problem of Rokhlin (2006) in a pointwise (robust) setting. We derive conditions for solvability of this problem and show how it is related to the classical no-arbitrage deliberations. We obtain versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in examples spanning frictionless mar…
We discuss the no-arbitrage conditions in a general framework for discrete-time models of financial markets with proportional transaction costs and general information structure. We extend the results of Kabanov and al. (2002), Kabanov and al. (2003) and Schachermayer (2004) to the case where bid-ask spreads are not kn…
The study examines a financial model with sticky prices and finds no arbitrage when interest rate is zero.
Theory of price impact on bond term structure.
Study systemic risk measures adjusted to financial markets.
We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete-time markets with dividend-paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no-arbitrage condition under the efficient friction assumption is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral measure. We derive dual repre…
Based on a criterium of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity generators of log-price and volatility are independent or are the same, two versions …
Develops a method to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia.
Develops a framework for consistent pricing of interest rate derivatives.
Characterizes no Butterfly arbitrage in SVI model parameters.
We consider a general class of continuous asset price models where the drift and the volatility functions, as well as the driving Brownian motions, change at a random time . Under minimal assumptions on the random time and on the driving Brownian motions, we study the behavior of the model in all the filtrations whi…
A market model with assets in discrete time is considered where trades are subject to proportional transaction costs given via bid-ask spreads, while the existence of a numèraire is not assumed. It is shown that robust no arbitrage holds if, and only if, there exists a Pareto solution for some vector-valued utility…
We consider non-concave and non-smooth random utility functions with do- main of definition equal to the non-negative half-line. We use a dynamic pro- gramming framework together with measurable selection arguments to establish both the no-arbitrage condition characterization and the existence of an optimal portfolio i…
Markets composed of stocks with capitalization processes represented by positive continuous semimartingales are studied under the condition that the market excess growth rate is bounded away from zero. The following examples of these markets are given: i) a market with a singular covariance matrix and instantaneous rel…
In commodity markets the convergence of futures towards spot prices, at the expiration of the contract, is usually justified by no-arbitrage arguments. In this article, we propose an alternative approach that relies on the expected profit maximization problem of an agent, producing and storing a commodity while trading…
Paper presents a data-driven method for option pricing.
For several decades, the no-arbitrage (NA) condition and the martingale measures have played a major role in the financial asset's pricing theory. We propose a new approach for estimating the super-replication cost based on convex duality instead of martingale measures duality: Our prices will be expressed using Fenche…
DCNN improves volatility smile and skewness calibration without arbitrage constraints.
We simplify SVI volatility smile constraints for three sub-SVIs without numerical methods.
Novel approach to financial derivatives pricing using rough path theory.
Motivated by applications to bond markets, we propose a multivariate framework for discrete time financial markets with proportional transaction costs and a countable infinite number of tradable assets. We show that the no-arbitrage of second kind property (NA2 in short), recently introduced by Rasonyi for finite-dimen…