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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3671107142 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for quantitative markets

QGMS framework detects market endpoints using geometric patterns.

problem Identifying market endpoints in large-scale movements.
method Hybrid of geometric pattern recognition and quantitative modeling.
result Consistently identifies market endpoints before major reversals.

Quantitative model predicts Sri Lankan stock market using NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting.

problem Predicting economic regimes and market signals in Sri Lankan stock indices.
method Integrates NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting; uses FinBERT for sentiment analysis, UMAP/HDBSCAN for clustering, and GRU/LSTM for forecasting.
result GRU model achieves 80.1% R-squared for daily closing price forecasts.

This paper combines RL with CPPI and TIPP for better trading strategies.

problem Challenges in quantitative trading due to swift dynamics and uncertainties.
method Fusion of CPPI and TIPP with MADDPG framework for multi-agent reinforcement learning.
result CPPI-MADDPG and TIPP-MADDPG outperform traditional strategies in real-market shares.

Novel framework detects lead-lag relationships in Chinese A-share market.

problem Detecting lead-lag relationships in the Chinese A-share market.
method Two-stage framework: long-term coupling via correlation, dynamic time warping, and rank-based metrics; high-frequency data analysis via cross-correlation, Granger causality, and regression models.
result Strongly coupled stock pairs often exhibit lead-lag effects, especially at finer time scales.

Research evaluates three risk models for portfolio construction during market downturns.

problem Challenges in constructing quantitative portfolios using statistical risk models.
method Three statistical risk models tested on 1,000 stocks across four periods.
result Models consistently outperform market returns in various crises.

Quantformer uses transformer to predict stock returns, outperforming traditional strategies.

problem Predicting stock returns in a dynamic financial market.
method Transfer learning from sentiment analysis to build investment factors using a transformer-based neural network.
result Quantformer outperforms other 100-factor-based quantitative strategies in predicting stock trends.

Framework uses LLMs to automate strategy finding in quantitative finance.

problem Brittleness of traditional deep learning models in financial applications.
method Three-stage framework with prompt-engineered LLMs, multimodal agent-based evaluation, and dynamic weight optimization.
result Robust performance in Chinese & US markets, superior risk-adjusted performance.

FinRL automates trading in quantitative finance with deep reinforcement learning.

problem Steep development curve for traders to automate trading decisions.
method Open-source framework implementing DRL algorithms and reward functions.
result FinRL simplifies strategy design and reduces debugging workloads.

Study validates Lillo-Mike-Farmer model predicting financial market long-range correlations.

problem Quantifying long-range correlations in financial markets.
method Analyzed nine years of market data to classify traders as order-splitting or random, measured metaorder-length distributions, and compared to LMF model predictions.
result Agreement between LMF model predictions and actual data, validating the model.

QTMRL uses RL with multi-indicators to improve trading adaptability.

problem Traditional trading models fail in volatile markets due to rigid assumptions.
method Combines multi-indicators with RL for adaptive portfolio management.
result QTMRL outperforms baselines in profitability and risk control.

Paper analyzes arbitrage in uncertain markets, providing quantitative asset pricing.

problem Dealing with model uncertainty in markets that allow small arbitrage.
method Quantitative analysis of arbitrage, focusing on asset price processes close to martingales.
result Quantitative version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Super-Replication Theorem.

Study replicates market model, finds replication hindered by missing details.

problem Replicating a market model with missing details and limited quantitative reporting.
method Increased simulation runs, bootstrap confidence intervals, and code analysis.
result Achieved relational equivalence for most metrics but rejected quantitative alignment.

Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.

problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.

The financial market and turbulence have been broadly compared on account of the same quantitative methods and several common stylized facts they shared. In this paper, the She-Leveque (SL) hierarchy, proposed to explain the anomalous scaling exponents deviated from Kolmogorov monofractal scaling of the velocity fluctu…

2012-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates discretized arbitrage strategies in fractional financial markets.

problem Serial correlation in financial markets with fractional Brownian motion.
method Revisit and transfer Shiryaev and Salopek's strategies to a real-world setting, distretizing dynamics and introducing transaction costs.
result Both strategies are promising with respect to terminal portfolio values and loss probabilities.

Quantitative analysis of order-splitting behavior in Japanese stock market.

problem Understanding and quantifying the order-splitting behavior of traders in the Japanese stock market.
method Analysis of a large dataset of trading accounts over nine years, clustering traders into order-splitting and random traders, and applying statistical methods to analyze metaorder length and sign correlation.
result The metaorder length distribution follows power laws with exponent α, and the sign correlation exponent γ is approximately α-1, supporting the LMF model.

FinRL-Meta creates diverse market environments for DRL in finance.

problem Inaccurate financial data and diverse market environments challenge DRL in finance.
method Open-source data processing tools, hundreds of market environments, and multiprocessing.
result FinRL-Meta improves DRL accuracy and speed in financial simulations.

New framework models stock relationships and investor expectations for better financial market predictions.

problem Limited by predefined stock relationships and immediate effects, current financial market analysis methods need improvement.
method Jointly models investor expectations and automatically mines latent stock relationships.
result Annual return exceeds 10%, surpassing existing benchmarks.

New model predicts financial market abnormalities using stock index uncertainties.

problem Forecasting abnormal financial fluctuations in the market.
method Quantitative analysis of mean and volatility uncertainties, constructing early warning indicators.
result Established a new abnormal fluctuations warning model.

AutoAlpha efficiently discovers effective alpha factors for quantitative investment.

problem Mining effective alpha factors for successful quantitative investment models.
method Hierarchical evolutionary algorithm with PCA-QD search, warm start, and replacement methods.
result AutoAlpha discovers and generates effective formulaic alphas for portfolio optimization.

A new trading system learns to minimize risk and maximize returns in real markets.

problem Optimizing trading strategies under risk constraints in financial markets.
method Direct Reinforcement Learning with Conditional Value-at-Risk as the risk measure.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms traditional methods in real-world financial markets, demonstrating robustness and profitability.

RD-Agent(Q) automates quantitative finance research and development.

problem Challenges in asset return prediction due to high dimensionality and volatility.
method Data-centric multi-agent framework for automated research and development of quantitative strategies.
result Up to 2X higher annualized returns with 70% fewer factors.

QTNet uses deep reinforcement learning to automate trading strategies.

problem Handling noisy and high-frequency financial data, balancing exploration and exploitation.
method QTNet employs deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with imitative learning to autonomously formulate trading strategies.
result QTNet demonstrates proficiency in extracting robust market features and adaptability to diverse conditions.

Many independent studies on stocks and futures contracts have established that market impact is proportional to the square-root of the executed volume. Is market impact quantitatively similar for option markets as well? In order to answer this question, we have analyzed the impact of a large proprietary data set of opt…

2016-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study combines dynamic mode and wavelet decomposition for marketing time series analysis.

problem Insufficient quantitative studies in marketing literature.
method Dynamic mode decomposition and wavelet decomposition for marketing time series.
result Effect of time scale on brand sales persistence and forecasting.

This paper fine-tunes BERT for stock market sentiment analysis and improves trading performance.

problem Improving trading performance in non-strongly efficient markets.
method Fine-tuning BERT on annotated data, combining with Alpha191 model for regression and prediction.
result Emotional factors significantly improve trading performance, increasing return rates by 73.8% compared to baseline.

Modelling of contagion in interbank networks is discussed. A model taking into account bow-tie structure and dissasortativity of interbank networks is developed. The model is shown to provide a good quantitative description of the Russian interbank market. Detailed arguments favoring the non-percolative nature of conta…

2014-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce solvable stochastic dealer models, which can reproduce basic empirical laws of financial markets such as the power law of price change. Starting from the simplest model that is almost equivalent to a Poisson random noise generator, the model becomes fairly realistic by adding only two effects, the self-mod…

2008-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse portfolio strategy from mutual funds' favorite stocks in China A share market.

problem Building a sparse portfolio from mutual funds' favorite stocks in a market with limited fund information.
method Analyzed mutual fund favorite stocks, used portfolio optimizer with constraints, and compared different methods.
result Sparse portfolios consistently outperform the benchmark index 930950.CSI.

Pre-trained LLM adapted with LoRA improves offline RL for quantitative trading.

problem Challenges in offline RL for quantitative trading due to complex temporal dependencies and overfitting.
method Integrates pre-trained GPT-2 weights and LoRA for efficient fine-tuning of a Decision Transformer.
result Outperforms existing offline RL methods in certain trading scenarios.

Generative AI models enhance sector-based investment portfolios, but performance varies by market conditions.

problem Improving investment performance through better stock selection in volatile markets.
method Applied LLMs from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and xAI to select and weight stocks within S&P 500 sectors.
result LLM-weighted portfolios outperform sector indices in stable markets but underperform in volatile ones.

We discuss some methods to quantitatively investigate the properties of correlation matrices. Correlation matrices play an important role in portfolio optimization and in several other quantitative descriptions of asset price dynamics in financial markets. Specifically, we discuss how to define and obtain hierarchical …

2008-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗