A new neural network improves sentiment quantification accuracy.
problem Quantifying sentiment prevalence from unlabelled text.
method Recurrent neural network (QuaNet) that learns quantification embeddings from classification predictions.
result QuaNet outperforms state-of-the-art sentiment quantification methods.
Bayesian neural networks struggle with accuracy and uncertainty quantification in complex models.
problem Challenges in achieving high predictive performance and reliable uncertainty estimates in Bayesian neural networks.
method Investigates computational costs, accuracy, and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks with different inference techniques.
result Variational inference provides better uncertainty quantification than Markov chain Monte Carlo, and stacking/ensembling variational approximations can achieve similar accuracy at reduced cost.
Proposes a new method for localized uncertainty quantification in random forests using proximity measures.
problem Localized uncertainty quantification in random forests for improved reliability of predictions.
method Forming localized distributions of Out-Of-Bag (OOB) errors around nearby points defined by similarity measures (proximities) to create prediction intervals for regression and trust scores for classification.
result Localized prediction intervals and trust scores enhance model accuracy and provide higher accuracy-rejection AUC scores than competing methods.
Fortuna simplifies uncertainty quantification in deep learning.
problem Improving uncertainty estimates in deep learning models.
method Supports various calibration techniques including conformal prediction and scalable Bayesian inference.
result Simplifies benchmarking and builds robust AI systems.
DP-BNNs improve accuracy, privacy, and reliability in neural networks.
problem Balancing privacy and accuracy in neural networks.
method Proposed three DP-BNNs: DP-SGLD, DP-BBP, and DP-MC Dropout.
result DP-SGLD achieves high accuracy under strong privacy guarantees.
CP-ROC bands improve graph classification accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distributional shifts in graph classification.
method Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands for graph classification, developed for TGNNs and adaptable to GNNs.
result Statistically guaranteed coverage for CP-ROC under local exchangeability condition, improving prediction reliability.
This paper evaluates quantification methods and proposes new evaluation measures.
problem Developing accurate evaluation measures for quantification tasks.
method Identifies desirable properties for evaluation measures and surveys existing ones.
result No existing evaluation measure satisfies all desirable properties, necessitating further research.
Enhances activity recognition in wearable computing with context awareness and uncertainty quantification.
problem Context-dependent activity recognition and unknown contexts in wearable computing.
method Developed the α-{eta} network coupled with uncertainty quantification (UQ) based on maximum entropy.
result Improved accuracy and F-score by 10% through high-level context identification.
Method quantifies sentiment across languages without labeled data.
problem Performing sentiment analysis across multiple languages without labeled data.
method Combining quantification methods with cross-lingual vectorial representations.
result Cross-lingual sentiment quantification achieved surprising accuracy.
New method quantifies uncertainty in imaging problems.
problem Uncertainty quantification in imaging inverse problems.
method Equivariant bootstrapping based on parametric bootstrap algorithm.
result Delivers accurate high-dimensional confidence regions.
Study compares data-driven vs model-based MRS quantification strategies, focusing on resilience to out-of-distribution effects.
problem Resilience to out-of-distribution effects in data-driven MRS quantification.
method Compared three data-driven strategies (supervised regression, self-supervised learning, test-time adaptation) against model-based fitting tools.
result Test-time adaptation proved most resilient to out-of-distribution effects, while self-supervised learning achieved intermediate performance.
NE-GMM uses ES and GMM to improve uncertainty quantification.
problem Challenges in estimating mean and variance of complex distributions.
method Integrates Gaussian Mixture Model with Energy Score.
result NE-GMM outperforms in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Bayesian Deep Noise Neural Network (B-DeepNoise) estimates predictive densities and uncertainty.
problem Estimating predictive densities and uncertainty in deep neural networks.
method Extends random noise to all hidden layers, using Gibbs sampling for posterior computation.
result Superior performance in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
A new deep learning method improves weather forecasting accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Improper initial states in NWP lead to unsatisfactory weather forecasting performance.
method Data-driven approach with negative log-likelihood error (NLE) loss function and deep ensemble strategies.
result The proposed method significantly improves accuracy by 47.76% compared to NWP.
GPR improves ambulance demand prediction accuracy.
problem Accurately predicting ambulance call-outs to reduce response times.
method Gaussian process regression in spatiotemporal contexts.
result GPR outperforms MEDIC in ambulance demand prediction.
Physics Informed Deep Kernel Learning improves prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Limited performance of deep kernel learning due to scarce or insufficient data.
method Integrates physics knowledge represented by differential equations with latent sources into deep kernel learning.
result Advantages in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Study evaluates ensemble methods for zero-shot uncertainty quantification with diffusion models.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in zero-shot regression problems using diffusion models.
method Used diffusion probabilistic models for ensemble prediction and evaluated their effectiveness on various regression tasks.
result Ensemble methods consistently improve model prediction accuracy across different regression tasks.
Bayesian inference improves neural network predictions by separating aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
problem Improving prediction accuracy of neural networks by quantifying and separating uncertainties.
method Approximated posterior distributions using deep ensembles for various neural network architectures.
result Prediction accuracy depends on both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, not just marginalized uncertainty.
Quantile deep learning improves time series prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in multi-step time series prediction.
method Developed a novel quantile regression deep learning framework for multi-step time series prediction.
result Integrating quantile loss function with deep learning provides additional predictions for selected quantiles without loss in accuracy.
BBNN improves neural network accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Overfitting and lack of interpretability in probabilistic neural networks.
method Boosted Bayesian Neural Networks (BBNN) using Boosting Variational Inference (BVI).
result BBNN achieves ~5% higher accuracy and superior uncertainty quantification.
Gradient Boosted Mixed Models estimate mean and variance components for clustered data.
problem Limited flexibility in linear mixed models for complex settings.
method Gradient Boosting extended to mixed models with likelihood-based gradients and flexible base learners.
result Accurate recovery of variance components and improved predictive accuracy.
CDM models counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data with improved accuracy.
problem Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data with complex time-dependent confounding.
method Causal Diffusion Model (CDM) using denoising diffusion architecture with relational self-attention.
result CDM outperforms state-of-the-art methods in generating full probabilistic distributions of counterfactual outcomes.
Polynomial chaos expansion improves machine learning regression accuracy.
problem Improving pointwise prediction accuracy in machine learning regression.
method Data-driven polynomial chaos expansion trained on input-output data.
result PCE metamodels achieve comparable accuracy to ML models on benchmark datasets.
Proposes PQ, a more precise Bayesian quantifier for prevalence estimation.
problem Uncertainty quantification in prevalence estimation.
method Bayesian quantification methods, focusing on precision and coverage.
result PQ provides more precise and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification.
Single neural networks can match deep ensembles' benefits without the complexity.
problem The effectiveness and necessity of deep ensembles in neural network models.
method Demonstrated limitations of ensemble diversity and OOD performance in deep ensembles compared to a single larger model.
result A single neural network can replicate deep ensembles' benefits in uncertainty quantification and robustness.
SMURF-THP improves Transformer Hawkes process models by providing uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification for Transformer Hawkes process predictions.
method Score matching for learning the score function of event arrival times.
result SMURF-THP outperforms likelihood-based methods in confidence calibration.
This study evaluates uncertainty quantification methods for deep learning in predictive maintenance.
problem Uncertainty quantification for reliable decision-making in predictive maintenance.
method State-of-the-art variational inference algorithms for Bayesian neural networks (BNN), Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD), deep ensembles (DE), and heteroscedastic neural networks (HNN) were tested.
result No method clearly outperforms others in all situations, but DE and MCD provide more conservative uncertainty estimates.
This work uses Sylvester normalizing flows for more accurate metabolite quantification in MRS.
problem Challenges in accurate metabolite quantification in MRS due to spectral overlap, low SNR, and artifacts.
method Bayesian inference framework with physics-informed Sylvester normalizing flows.
result Accurate metabolite quantification, well-calibrated uncertainties, and insights into parameter correlations and multi-modal distributions.
ConfEviSurrogate improves surrogate model accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in surrogate models hinders reliable analysis.
method Introduces ConfEviSurrogate, a novel model that learns evidential distributions, separates uncertainty sources, and provides reliable prediction intervals.
result Demonstrates accurate predictions and robust uncertainty estimates in various simulations.
Unified framework for causal inference with reliable uncertainty quantification.
problem Causal inference under unobserved confounding with unreliable uncertainty quantification.
method Deconditional Gaussian Process (DGP) framework for uncertainty-aware causal learning.
result Strong predictive performance and informative uncertainty quantification.
Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.
problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.
Paper detects adversarial speech inputs with high accuracy.
problem Adversarial attacks on ASR systems.
method Uncertainty quantification using neural networks.
result Detection accuracy of adversarial inputs over 0.99.
E-QRGMM accelerates uncertainty quantification in simulations.
problem Challenges in covariate-dependent uncertainty quantification.
method Integrates cubic Hermite interpolation with gradient estimation.
result Substantially improves computational efficiency and accuracy.
PDE-DKL combines NNs and GPs for high-dimensional PDE problems.
problem High-dimensional PDE problems with scarce data.
method PDE-constrained Deep Kernel Learning (PDE-DKL) framework.
result High accuracy with reduced data requirements.
Bayesian autoencoders quantify anomaly uncertainty for safer machine learning.
problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in autoencoders for anomaly detection.
method Formulated Bayesian autoencoders to quantify epistemic and aleatoric anomalies.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of BAEs on benchmark and real datasets.
The paper develops a method to discover causal relations and predict material laws with uncertainty quantification.
problem Discovering causal relations and predicting material laws with uncertainty in civil engineering applications.
method The paper develops a causal discovery algorithm to infer causal relations among time-history data. It uses a deep neural network with dropout layers for uncertainty quantification and propagates predictions through a causal graph.
result The method accurately predicts material laws and quantifies uncertainty, as demonstrated in two numerical examples.
Study evaluates machine learning methods for uncertainty quantification in complex systems.
problem Accurately quantify epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties in complex dynamical systems.
method Examined Gaussian processes, UQ-augmented neural networks (ENN, BNN, D-NN, G-NN) on two model data sets.
result Concluded on model architecture and hyperparameter tuning for improved UQ accuracy.
PE-GQNN improves spatial data prediction and uncertainty quantification.
problem Poor calibration of predictive distributions in spatial data models.
method Combines PE-GNNs with Quantile Neural Networks and recalibration techniques.
result PE-GQNN outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
COMPASS improves uncertainty quantification for medical segmentation metrics.
problem Uncertainty quantification for medical segmentation metrics is crucial for clinical decision-making.
method COMPASS leverages deep neural network inductive biases to generate efficient, metric-based conformal prediction intervals.
result COMPASS produces significantly tighter intervals than traditional conformal prediction methods on medical image segmentation tasks.
A Gaussian Process Ordinary Differential Equation framework for large continuous dynamical systems
problem Forecasting complex dynamical systems
method Kernel autonomous ODE approach based on Gaussian Processes and Quadratic Order Model Reduction
result Full model outperforms ROM methods in terms of accuracy or computational costs
The article improves GP interpolation calibration using conformal prediction.
problem GP interpolation often produces poorly calibrated prediction intervals.
method Integrates conformal prediction with Gaussian process models.
result CP methods enhance prediction interval calibration without sacrificing accuracy.
Bayesian CNN improves MRI stroke diagnosis accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis for medical decision-making.
method Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with aggregation methods for patient-level diagnoses.
result Bayesian CNN achieved 95.33% accuracy on 511 patients, 2% higher than non-Bayesian.
Enhances clinical trial predictions by quantifying uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in medical diagnosis and drug discovery predictions.
method Selective classification integrated with Hierarchical Interaction Network (HINT).
result Significant improvement in PR-AUC, F1, ROC-AUC, and overall accuracy.
Machine learning combines high- and low-fidelity models for efficient uncertainty quantification and optimization.
problem Efficiently combining high- and low-fidelity models for uncertainty quantification and optimization.
method Machine learning-based multi-fidelity methods for uncertainty quantification and optimization.
result Unified perspective on multi-fidelity priors for optimization.
This paper tackles high-dimensional uncertainty quantification with semi-supervised learning.
problem High-dimensional uncertainty quantification due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Autoencoder for dimension reduction, DFN for mapping and reconstruction, GP for surrogate modeling, semi-supervised learning for accuracy.
result The framework effectively reduces uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis for high-dimensional problems.
Study compares deterministic and probabilistic ML for precise AM component dimensions.
problem Accurately estimate dimensions of additively manufactured parts with variability.
method Employed models integrating continuous and categorical factors, tested deterministic and probabilistic ML methods.
result Gaussian Process Regression and Bayesian Neural Networks provide strong predictive performance and uncertainty quantification.
Proposes a method to quantify and explain deep learning model uncertainties.
problem Deep learning model predictions are sensitive to perturbations and adversarial attacks.
method Gradient-based uncertainty attribution method to identify problematic regions and propose mitigation strategies.
result Proposed UA-Backprop method achieves competitive accuracy and efficiency compared to existing methods.
ProDAG uses variational inference to learn DAGs with uncertainty quantification.
problem Statistical and computational challenges in learning a single DAG from data.
method Bayesian variational inference framework with novel distributions.
result ProDAG outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives in accuracy and uncertainty quantification.