Most automation in machine learning focuses on model selection and hyper parameter tuning, and many overlook the challenge of automatically defining predictive tasks. We still heavily rely on human experts to define prediction tasks, and generate labels by aggregating raw data. In this paper, we tackle the challenge of…
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48 results for “prediction tasks”
Novel model improves clinical risk prediction by transferring knowledge between tasks over time.
problem Negative transfer in multi-task learning for clinical risk prediction.
method Temporal Probabilistic Asymmetric Multi-Task Learning (TPAMTL).
result Significantly outperforms various deep learning models for time-series prediction.
BrainSurfCNN predicts task contrasts from resting-state fingerprints, improving accuracy over baseline.
problem Predicting task-evoked activity from resting-state functional connectivity.
method Surface-based convolutional neural network (BrainSurfCNN) with reconstructive-contrastive loss.
result Significantly improved accuracy in predicting task contrasts over baseline.
Proposes Ada-Sit method for mortality prediction of rare diseases.
problem Data insufficiency and clinical diversity of rare diseases make mortality prediction hard.
method Initialization-sharing multi-task learning method (Ada-Sit) for fast adaptation to similar tasks.
result Experimental results show the proposed model is effective for mortality prediction of diverse rare diseases.
The two main tasks in the Recommender Systems domain are the ranking and rating prediction tasks. The rating prediction task aims at predicting to what extent a user would like any given item, which would enable to recommend the items with the highest predicted scores. The ranking task on the other hand directly aims a…
Jointly Modeling Heterogeneous Student Behaviors and Interactions Among Multiple Prediction Taskscs.LG
Modeling student behaviors and multiple predictions for early intervention.
problem Predicting student outcomes and interactions among multiple tasks.
method Proposes a variant of LSTM and soft-attention mechanism for heterogeneous behaviors, and co-attention mechanism for task interactions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in predicting student outcomes and interactions.
Non-experts have long made important contributions to machine learning (ML) by contributing training data, and recent work has shown that non-experts can also help with feature engineering by suggesting novel predictive features. However, non-experts have only contributed features to prediction tasks already posed by e…
Paper tackles multi-task learning for molecular property prediction with limited data.
problem Limited labeled data for each molecular property task in drug discovery.
method Proposes SGNN-EBM method to utilize relation graph between tasks and improve multi-task learning performance.
result Empirical results show the effectiveness of SGNN-EBM.
TaskMet learns a metric to improve model performance on unseen tasks.
problem Deep models trained on one task may struggle on another task due to conflicting objectives.
method TaskMet learns a metric in the prediction space to balance task and prediction losses.
result TaskMet achieves better performance on downstream tasks without altering the prediction model.
Self-supervised learning improves by predicting known information, reducing labeled data needs.
problem Efficiently learn useful semantic representations without labeled data.
method Develops a mechanism exploiting statistical connections between pretext tasks to learn representations that solve downstream tasks.
result Proves linear layer yields small approximation error and drastically reduces labeled sample complexity.
This work improves multi-task regression performance using approximations of full-conformal prediction.
problem Jointly solve multiple regression tasks with better performance than individual tasks.
method Design an approximating prediction region in RKHS for full-conformal multi-task regression.
result The approximating prediction region improves upon split-conformal prediction on synthetic data.
Mixture of multi-task GPs for clustering and prediction of functional data.
problem Handling multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for functional data.
method A mixture of multi-task Gaussian processes with a variational EM algorithm for hyper-parameter optimization.
result Enhanced predictive performance for group-structured data.
Enhanced rotation prediction improves SSL models by capturing both shape and texture information.
problem Rotation prediction misses texture information, limiting model performance.
method Introduces image enhanced rotation prediction (IE-Rot) that combines rotation and image enhancement tasks.
result IE-Rot models outperform Rotation on various benchmarks.
New findings on representation learning beyond linear functions.
problem Achieving diversity in representation learning beyond linear prediction functions.
method Analysis of eluder dimension and empirical risks.
result Diversity holds even with nonlinear prediction functions and multiple layers in neural networks.
New methods improve neural directed link prediction across all sub-tasks.
problem Directed link prediction requires handling edge directionality and bidirectionality, not just edge existence.
method Proposes three strategies: Multi-Class Framework, Multi-Objective, and Scalarized approaches.
result Improved performance across all three sub-tasks of directed link prediction.
Extends neural diffusion processes for multi-task regression.
problem Limited to single-task inference, existing formulations cannot capture dependencies across related tasks.
method Introduces a task encoder to condition diffusion model on low-dimensional representations of context observations.
result Improves predictive performance and uncertainty calibration across related functions.
Forward-prediction models enhance physical reasoning, but only for specific tasks.
problem Improving physical reasoning in complex tasks involving many objects.
method Incorporated forward-prediction models into simple physical-reasoning agents and evaluated their performance on the PHYRE benchmark.
result Forward-prediction models improve physical-reasoning performance, especially on complex tasks, but generalization to new task templates is challenging.
GRAPE uses graph representation to handle missing data in feature imputation and label prediction.
problem Handling missing data in machine learning tasks.
method GRAPE uses a bipartite graph where observations and features are nodes, and observed feature values are edges. It formulates feature imputation as edge-level prediction and label prediction as node-level prediction, solving these with Graph Neural Networks.
result GRAPE achieves 20% lower mean absolute error for imputation and 10% lower for label prediction compared to state-of-the-art methods.
The typical multi-task learning methods for spatio-temporal data prediction involve low-rank tensor computation. However, such a method have relatively weak performance when the task number is small, and we cannot integrate it into non-linear models. In this paper, we propose a two-step suboptimal unitary method (SUM) …
Multi-task learning (MTL) has recently contributed to learning better representations in service of various NLP tasks. MTL aims at improving the performance of a primary task, by jointly training on a secondary task. This paper introduces automated tasks, which exploit the sequential nature of the input data, as second…
Bayesian meta-learning improves health prediction models across similar diseases.
problem Inter- and intra-task variability in healthcare predictions due to disease heterogeneity and patient differences.
method Bayesian meta-learning approach that models task similarity to mitigate negative transfer and improve generalizability.
result Significant generalizability improvements in stroke prediction tasks using electronic health record data.
Paper integrates predictive and prescriptive tasks using bilevel optimization.
problem Combining prediction and decision-making in machine learning.
method Bilevel optimization for integrating predictive and prescriptive tasks.
result Improved decision-making through direct integration of predictions.
New CV method reduces bias in spatial prediction models.
problem Bias in standard cross-validation due to uneven sampling.
method Target-Weighted Cross-Validation (TWCV) framework.
result Weighted CV approaches reduce bias in prediction error.
Paper introduces MTGP for engineering tasks with sparse data.
problem Challenges of data sparsity and varying task correlations in engineering.
method Multi-Task Gaussian Processes (MTGP) framework.
result Improves predictive performance and reduces computational costs.
DANCE improves prediction set efficiency for deep learning models.
problem Inefficient, overly conservative prediction sets for pre-trained models.
method DANCE combines adaptive kernel regression and nearest-neighbor approach.
result DANCE produces more efficient and robust prediction sets.
We explore machine learning methods for AC Optimal Powerflow (ACOPF) - the task of optimizing power generation in a transmission network according while respecting physical and engineering constraints. We present two formulations of ACOPF as a machine learning problem: 1) an end-to-end prediction task where we directly…
New unsupervised transfer learning method for spatiotemporal tasks.
problem Transfer knowledge from unsupervised models to new predictive tasks.
method Differentiable framework with Transferable Memory Unit (TMU).
result Significant improvements on spatiotemporal prediction benchmarks.
RTE enables extrapolation to new tasks by learning task transformations.
problem Learning systems struggle to generalize to unseen tasks.
method Relational Task Extrapolator (RTE) learns task transformations to enable extrapolation.
result RTE substantially outperforms existing approaches on extrapolation tasks.
Theory explains how AI models can predict unseen tasks without labeled data.
problem Understanding how AI models can generalize to unseen tasks.
method Developed a theoretical framework to analyze zero-shot prediction.
result Identified key quantities and independence relationships for generalization.
StageNet improves health risk prediction by integrating disease stage information.
problem Improving health risk prediction for patients with chronic conditions.
method StageNet uses a stage-aware LSTM and stage-adaptive convolutional modules to extract and integrate disease stage information.
result StageNet achieves up to 12% higher AUPRC for risk prediction and over 58% higher Calinski-Harabasz score for patient subtyping compared to state-of-the-art models.
Conversion prediction plays an important role in online advertising since Cost-Per-Action (CPA) has become one of the primary campaign performance objectives in the industry. Unlike click prediction, conversions have different types in nature, and each type may be associated with different decisive factors. In this pap…
One of the key challenges in predictive maintenance is to predict the impending downtime of an equipment with a reasonable prediction horizon so that countermeasures can be put in place. Classically, this problem has been posed in two different ways which are typically solved independently: (1) Remaining useful life (R…
New method selects relevant dimensions for better prediction in mixtures.
problem Learning mixtures with limited components for prediction tasks.
method Prediction-focused modeling for mixtures.
result Improves prediction performance compared to non-focused models.
Language models help text classification tasks by predicting next words.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of why language models perform well on downstream tasks.
method Mathematical study of the connection between next word prediction and text classification, formalizing it and quantifying the benefit.
result Language models that are ε-optimal in cross-entropy learn features that can solve classification tasks with linear approximation.
Bi-GAN model for imputing and predicting irregular time-series data.
problem Irregularly observed, varying length time-series data with missing entries.
method Bi-GAN model using a bidirectional recurrent network in a generative adversarial setting.
result Bi-GAN model can impute and predict missing values for time-series of varying length.
Proposes a new method to learn representations directly optimized for a task.
problem Learning representations optimized for unrelated tasks.
method Jointly learns representation and prediction function for a specific task.
result Learned representations outperform pre-trained ones and are more sample-efficient.
This study tackles mutual fund portfolio prediction, focusing on novel items.
problem Predicting novel items in mutual fund portfolios is challenging and less explored.
method Created a comprehensive benchmark dataset and evaluated various recommender system models.
result Autoencoder-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art models in predicting novel items.
Deep learning models predict postoperative complications more accurately than random forests.
problem Predicting postoperative complications to inform patient care decisions.
method Multi-task deep neural networks integrating intraoperative physiological data.
result Deep learning models improved prediction accuracy and provided interpretable risk factors.
New method improves meta-learning performance by task-specific initialization.
problem Difficulties in generalizing and achieving theoretical guarantees in conditional meta-learning.
method Structured prediction approach for task-specific initialization.
result TASML improves performance of existing meta-learning models.
Method predicts spatial values with few data using GP framework.
problem Few data limit predictive performance in spatial regression.
method Trains neural network to infer task representation from small data, uses GP framework to predict spatial values.
result Proposed method achieves better predictive performance than meta-learning methods.
TPG-DNN predicts user intent using GRU loss and multi-task learning.
problem Improving user experience and shopping efficiency in e-commerce.
method Adaptive GRU loss function with multi-task learning.
result TPG-DNN outperforms existing CTR models on Taobao datasets.
Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover, their relative accuracy is highly sensitive to the dataset at hand, thus requiring…
FakeEdge tackles dataset shift in link prediction tasks.
problem Dataset shift between training and testing sets in link prediction.
method Model-agnostic technique to mitigate graph topological gap.
result Extensive experiments show FakeEdge's superiority on multiple datasets.
We observe standard transfer learning can improve prediction accuracies of target tasks at the cost of lowering their prediction fairness -- a phenomenon we named discriminatory transfer. We examine prediction fairness of a standard hypothesis transfer algorithm and a standard multi-task learning algorithm, and show th…
MAGMA uses a common mean process to improve multi-step-ahead time series forecasting.
problem Improving multiple-step-ahead predictions for time series data.
method Proposes a novel multi-task Gaussian process framework with a common mean process for sharing information across tasks.
result Significantly improves predictive performances, even far from observations, and reduces computational complexity.
New measures for prediction validity and consonant plausibility introduced.
problem Challenges in predicting future observations and quantifying prediction uncertainty.
method Introducing Type-2 validity and using consonant plausibility measures and conformal prediction.
result Achieving both Type-1 and Type-2 validity through consonant plausibility measures and conformal prediction.
Conformal prediction fails under severe feature turnover in COVID-19 supply chain tasks.
problem Dealing with distribution shift in conformal prediction models.
method Using COVID-19 as a natural experiment across 8 supply chain tasks, analyzing SHAP explanations.
result Coverage drops vary widely (0% to 86.7%) and correlate with single-feature dependence.
Accurate house prediction is of great significance to various real estate stakeholders such as house owners, buyers, investors, and agents. We propose a location-centered prediction framework that differs from existing work in terms of data profiling and prediction model. Regarding data profiling, we define and capture…