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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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141282423564 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for posterior sampling

Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling unifies stochastic-process regression and PDE inverse problems.

problem Function-space posterior sampling for stochastic processes and inverse problems.
method Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling (FAPS) using pretrained function-space flow-matching priors.
result Coherent posterior samples with accurate uncertainty quantification.

Unified framework for model-based RL with sample complexity guarantees.

problem Designing efficient posterior sampling methods for model-based RL.
method Optimistic posterior sampling, Hellinger distance reduction, data likelihood measurement.
result Unified algorithms with state-of-the-art sample complexity guarantees.

Efficiently samples posterior distributions using Langevin dynamics.

problem Challenges in generating diverse posterior samples in high-dimensional spaces.
method Simulates Langevin dynamics in the noise space of a pre-trained generative model.
result Noise-space Langevin dynamics approximates the posterior without restarting the full sampling chain.

Improved sampling for high-dimensional posteriors with underdamped Langevin.

problem Scalability issues in high-dimensional problems with approximate Thompson sampling.
method Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo for accelerated posterior concentration.
result Logarithmic regret improvement from ildeO(d)\mathcal{ ilde O}(d) to ildeO(d)\mathcal{ ilde O}(\sqrt{d}).

A novel diffusion method for Bayesian posterior sampling with theoretical guarantees.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions in Bayesian inversion.
method Diffusion-based posterior sampling using Langevin dynamics and PnP framework.
result The method converges even for multi-modal posterior distributions with theoretical error bounds.

New method improves sample-efficiency in neural posterior estimation using simulator gradients.

problem High-fidelity posterior estimation with complex physical simulations is time-consuming.
method Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) with differentiable simulators and gradient information.
result Improves sample-efficiency in posterior density estimation.

New method optimizes Bayesian optimization for high-dimensional posterior samples.

problem Difficult inner-loop optimization of posterior sample paths in Bayesian optimization.
method Global rootfinding approach with carefully selected starting points.
result The method discovers the global optimum most of the time with just one starting point per set.

Develops a new method for sampling from Bayesian credible sets using deep generative quantile learning.

problem Sampling from posterior distributions in high-dimensional spaces with intractable likelihoods.
method Uses deep neural networks to implicitly sample from Bayesian credible sets via a push-forward mapping and Monge-Kantorovich depth.
result Demonstrates improved performance and theoretical consistency of the quantile learning framework.

Posterior refinement improves sample efficiency in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Bayesian neural networks suffer from poor predictive performance due to inaccurate posterior approximations.
method Propose refining Gaussian approximate posteriors with normalizing flows to improve predictive distributions.
result Posterior refinement yields competitive predictive performance with minimal computational overhead.

Proposes a method to sample from flat basins of posterior distributions in Bayesian deep learning.

problem Sampling from multi-modal posterior distributions leads to overfitting due to trapping in bad modes.
method Introduces an auxiliary guiding variable to bias MCMC sampling towards flat basins of the energy landscape.
result The method converges faster and outperforms existing methods in sampling from flat basins of the posterior.

We prove exact BNN posterior convergence to GP limit and provide sampling methods.

problem Theoretical and empirical challenges in obtaining exact posterior distributions of wide BNNs.
method Theoretical proof and rejection sampling for generating exact samples.
result Exact BNN posterior converges to GP limit as width increases.

PPT optimizes transformer behavior by steering its latent posterior using prior samples.

problem Eliciting desired behavior from transformers without backpropagation.
method Posterior Prefix Tuning (PPT) uses predictive Monte Carlo (PMC) samples and importance sampling to optimize the latent posterior.
result PPT optimizes transformer behavior without backpropagation, achieving high utility across different utility functions.

A new algorithm improves posterior sampling for linear inverse problems.

problem Efficiently sampling from posterior distributions in noisy linear inverse problems.
method Proposes \pddim, a DDIM-type sampler that separately samples along singular directions of the measurement operator.
result The method converges to the Bayesian posterior conditioned on the measurements.

Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution.

problem Characterizing measurement complexity for signals from any prior distribution, including the entire space.
method Characterization of measurement complexity using posterior sampling estimator for Gaussian measurements and any prior distribution.
result Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution, robust to model mismatch.

Learning latent variable models with stochastic variational inference is challenging when the approximate posterior is far from the true posterior, due to high variance in the gradient estimates. We propose a novel rejection sampling step that discards samples from the variational posterior which are assigned low likel…

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Sampling from posterior distributions using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can require an exhaustive number of iterations, particularly when the posterior is multi-modal as the MCMC sampler can become trapped in a local mode for a large number of iterations. In this paper, we introduce the pseudo-extended MCMC…

2017-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-learning improves Bayesian causal discovery by sampling from the posterior.

problem Difficulty in estimating the full posterior over causal structures due to large number of possible graphs and functional relationships.
method Proposes a Bayesian meta-learning model that encodes key properties of the posterior and allows for sampling causal structures.
result Meta-Bayesian causal discovery allows for reliable sampling from the posterior over causal structures.

New methods for tuning alpha in Gibbs posteriors improve speed and accuracy.

problem Inconsistency in Bayesian inference and lack of fast tuning methods for alpha.
method Proposed two data-driven methods: sample-splitting and bootstrapping. Formulated alpha-posteriors for three models.
result Sample-splitting outperforms SafeBayes in speed and accuracy, especially in complex models.

The cold posterior effect is explored through PAC-Bayes bounds for small sample sizes.

problem The cold posterior effect in approximate Bayesian inference for small datasets.
method Investigation through PAC-Bayes generalization bounds, focusing on temperature parameter λ.
result The temperature parameter λ in PAC-Bayes bounds captures the cold posterior effect.

Improved predictive posterior density estimation through optimized importance sampling.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in posterior predictive densities.
method Optimized importance sampling using a test-time variational proxy.
result Significantly improved estimates of predictive posterior densities.

New algorithms for fast online decision making using neural networks and martingale posteriors.

problem Online sequential decision making under uncertainty.
method Martingale posterior neural networks for fast online learning and decision making.
result Achieves competitive performance-speed trade-offs in non-stationary contextual bandits and Bayesian optimization.

A new method uses MCMC-assisted normalizing flows for efficient Bayesian sampling.

problem Sampling from complex posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics.
method Training a normalizing flow using direct KL divergence and MCMC assistance.
result The method improves sampling efficiency for complicated posterior distributions.

Improved diffusion sampling for inverse problems with faster and more robust inference.

problem High computational cost and lack of robustness in diffusion posterior sampling.
method Amortized variational inference with explicit likelihood guidance.
result Improved trade-off between inference speed and robustness to unseen degradations.

Bayesian neural networks approximate Gaussian, this method adapts to non-Gaussian posteriors.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with non-Gaussian posteriors, leading to poor performance.
method Proposes a Riemannian Laplace approximation to adapt to the shape of the true posterior.
result Consistently improves over conventional Laplace approximation across tasks.

Improves Bayesian optimization using Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Global optimization of Gaussian process posterior samples.
method Carefully selects starting points for gradient-based multi-start optimizers, identifies all local optima via univariate global rootfinding, and optimizes the posterior sample.
result Dramatic improvements in overall performance of Bayesian optimization.

Study adaptive sensing of Cox processes using posterior sampling and positive bases.

problem Adaptive sensing of Cox point processes with intensity function modeling.
method Model intensity function as truncated Gaussian process in positive basis, use Langevin dynamics and posterior sampling.
result Demonstrated improved sensing compared to classical Bayesian experimental design.

Gradient-guided nested sampling improves posterior inference efficiency.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Gradient-guided nested sampling combining differentiable programming, Hamiltonian slice sampling, clustering, mode separation, dynamic nested sampling, and parallelization.
result Significantly faster mode discovery and more accurate partition function estimates.

SDG uses optimal control to improve classifier guidance in low-density regions.

problem Inefficient guidance in low-density regions of posterior distributions.
method Integrates stochastic optimal control with Stein variational inference to compute the steepest descent direction.
result SDG improves guidance in low-density regions, outperforming standard methods.