ADD-THIN improves TPP forecasting by handling long-term data sequences.
arXiv research
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Develops methods to answer counterfactual questions in temporal point processes.
Paper introduces statistical learning for point processes.
A new method uses Transformers for efficient prediction of marked point processes.
New method reduces summary points for datasets while maintaining quality.
In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing models that scale cubically and have a squared memory requirement in the number of da…
Outlier detection has received special attention in various fields, mainly for those dealing with machine learning and artificial intelligence. As strong outliers, anomalies are divided into the point, contextual and collective outliers. The most important challenges in outlier detection include the thin boundary betwe…
Kernel thinning compresses distributions more effectively than i.i.d. sampling or standard thinning.
KSD Thinning uses KSD to thin MCMC samples efficiently.
Compactifies group representations into thin triangle spaces.
It is common to subsample Markov chain output to reduce the storage burden. Geyer (1992) shows that discarding out of every observations will not improve statistical efficiency, as quantified through variance in a given computational budget. That observation is often taken to mean that thinning MCMC output ca…
Regularized Stein thinning improves MCMC output approximations.
A clustering algorithm partitions a set of data points into smaller sets (clusters) such that each subset is more tightly packed than the whole. Many approaches to clustering translate the vector data into a graph with edges reflecting a distance or similarity metric on the points, then look for highly connected subgra…
Exact simulation method for market impact estimation under various execution strategies.
Enhances supervised learning speed with KT algorithm.
Determinantal point processes (DPPs) enable the modeling of repulsion: they provide diverse sets of points. The repulsion is encoded in a kernel that can be seen as a matrix storing the similarity between points. The diversity comes from the fact that the inclusion probability of a subset is equal to the determinan…
Compress++ speeds up distribution compression to near-linear time.
Paper derives formulas for surface variations in shell theory.
We introduce a novel stochastic version of the non-reversible, rejection-free Bouncy Particle Sampler (BPS), a Markov process whose sample trajectories are piecewise linear. The algorithm is based on simulating first arrival times in a doubly stochastic Poisson process using the thinning method, and allows efficient sa…
Accelerates TPP sampling with speculative decoding for faster sequence generation.
Estimates neuronal connectivity from spike times using flexible Hawkes processes.
New PDMP samplers improve BNN inference with accelerated computation.
The paper derives estimates for linear potentials and applies them to improve Hausdorff dimensions of singular sets in conformal geometry.
The paper examines rigidity of thin domains under specific boundary conditions.
Novel defects in hyperbolic sheets explain complex wrinkling patterns in nature.
If a tangle, K, in the 3-ball has no planar, meridional, essential surfaces in its exterior then thin position for K has no thin levels.
We define a new notion of thin position for a graph in a 3-manifold which combines the ideas of thin position for manifolds first originated by Scharlemann and Thompson with the idea of thin position for knots first originated by Gabai. This thin position has the property that connect summing annuli and pairs-of-pants …
We produce embeddings of knots in thin position that admit compressible thin levels. We also find the bridge number of tangle sums where each tangle is high distance.
New proof shows most thin knots satisfy Cabling Conjecture.
In this paper we explore the idea that Teichmüller space is hyperbolic "on average." Our approach focuses on studying the geometry of geodesics which spend a definite proportion of time in some thick part of Teichmüller space. We consider several different measures on Teichmüller space and find that this behavior for g…
We describe a natural decomposition of a normal complex surface singularity into its "thick" and "thin" parts. The former is essentially metrically conical, while the latter shrinks rapidly in thickness as it approaches the origin. The thin part is empty if and only if the singularity is metrically conical; the…
Let k be a knot in S3. In [8], H.N. Howards and J. Schultens introduced a method to construct a manifold decomposition of double branched cover of (S3, k) from a thin position of k. In this article, we will prove that if a thin position of k induces a thin decomposition of double branched cover of (S3,k) by Howards and…
Abby Thompson proved that if a link is in thin position but not in bridge position then the knot complement contains an essential meridional planar surface, and she asked whether some thin level surface must be essential. This note is to give a positive answer to this question, showing that the if a link is in thin…
This paper proposes learning to jump for generative modeling of sparse, skewed, heavy-tailed data.
New method characterizes thin links via Conway spheres and tangle decompositions.
Thin groups found in specific lattices.
Data thinning splits observations into independent parts for convolution-closed distributions.
Generalizes data thinning for various distributions.
Proposes efficient training method for deep thin networks.
Wu has shown that if a link or a knot in in thin position has thin spheres, then the thin sphere of lowest width is an essential surface in the link complement. In this paper we show that if we further assume that is prime, then the thin sphere of lowest width also does not have any vertical c…
A novel GP architecture, Thin and Deep GP, learns lower-dimensional representations without losing interpretability.
We give a method for searching for thin positions of a given link.
Arithmetic spaces' thin parts are negligible, impacting Betti numbers.
We show that every thin position for a connected sum of small knots is obtained in an obvious way: place each summand in thin position so that no two summands intersect the same level surface, then connect the lowest minimum of each summand to the highest maximum of the adjacent summand below.
Let L be a link in the 3-sphere that is in thin position but not in bridge position and let P be a thin level sphere. We generalize a result of Wu by giving a bound on the number of disjoint irreducible compressing disks that P can have, including identifying thin spheres with unique compressing disks. We also give con…
The episodic, irregular and asynchronous nature of medical data render them difficult substrates for standard machine learning algorithms. We would like to abstract away this difficulty for the class of time-stamped categorical variables (or events) by modeling them as a renewal process and inferring a probability dens…
In this paper, we give an algorithm to build all compact orientable atoroidal Haken 3-manifolds with tori boundary or closed orientable Haken 3-manifolds, so that in both cases, there are embedded closed orientable separating incompressible surfaces which are not tori. Next, such incompressible surfaces are related to …
Study thin hyperbolic reflection groups and their properties.