ARFs generate plausible counterfactuals for models, improving model understanding.
problem Creating realistic counterfactuals for model analysis.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARFs) for generating plausible counterfactuals.
result ARFs efficiently generate plausible counterfactuals in a model-agnostic way.
The increasing deployment of machine learning as well as legal regulations such as EU's GDPR cause a need for user-friendly explanations of decisions proposed by machine learning models. Counterfactual explanations are considered as one of the most popular techniques to explain a specific decision of a model. While the…
New method generates plausible counterfactuals for time series classification.
problem Generating realistic counterfactuals for time series data.
method Gradient-based optimization with soft-DTW alignment and multi-faceted loss function.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in temporal realism and distributional alignment.
EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.
problem Conflicting explanations from different attribution methods limit the adoption of machine learning models in safety-critical domains.
method EXAGREE is a two-stage framework that selects a Stakeholder-Aligned Explanation Model (SAEM) from a set of similar-performing models, maximizing Stakeholder-Machine Agreement (SMA).
result EXAGREE achieves simultaneous gains in faithfulness, plausibility, and fairness over baselines while preserving task accuracy.
Multi-SpaCE generates valid counterfactual explanations for multivariate time series data.
problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series data.
method Multi-objective counterfactual explanation method using NSGA-II for multivariate time series data.
result Ensures perfect validity and superior performance compared to existing methods.
Stock markets show unusual overnight and intraday returns.
problem Unusual patterns of overnight and intraday returns in stock markets.
method Analyzed features of the returns to deduce the cause.
result The only plausible explanation for these returns is that they are due to market manipulation.
δ-CLUE generates diverse explanations for model uncertainty.
problem Lack of constraints in generating explanations for uncertainty estimates.
method Augmenting CLUE approach to provide a set of plausible explanations.
result Returns a set of diverse inputs that yield confident predictions.
The paper proposes a method to generate diverse counterfactual explanations for anomaly detection in time series data.
problem Lack of helpful explanations for anomaly detection models in time series data.
method Model-agnostic algorithm that generates diverse counterfactual examples for anomaly detection models.
result The method produces counterfactual examples that are not considered anomalous by the detection model and satisfy validity, plausibility, and closeness criteria.
Survey of counterfactual explanations for time series classification.
problem Generating plausible and actionable counterfactuals for time series data.
method Review of various counterfactual generation methods for time series classification.
result Highlight unique challenges and strengths of existing methods.
Paper introduces Native Guide for generating time series counterfactual explanations.
problem Lack of explainability for time series data in AI systems.
method Model-agnostic, instance-based counterfactual generation for time series classification.
result Native Guide produces better counterfactual explanations than benchmarks.
Wide and shallow networks approximate convex functions well.
problem Understanding why wide and shallow neural networks perform well.
method Analyzing the epigraph of the input-output map of shallow and wide neural networks.
result The epigraph of the input-output map approximates a convex function.
Measures faithfulness of LLM explanations to reveal hidden biases and misleading claims.
problem LLM explanations can misrepresent the model's reasoning process, leading to over-trust and misuse.
method Defines faithfulness in terms of concept influence and uses counterfactuals and Bayesian models to estimate it.
result Can quantify and discover interpretable patterns of unfaithfulness in LLM explanations.
Generative adversarial approach for satellite image time series land cover classification.
problem Enhance interpretability of land cover classification models.
method Generative adversarial counterfactual approach for multi-class land cover classification.
result Discovery of interesting information on land cover class relationships and sparser, interpretable solutions.
PatternLocal improves XAI for non-linear models by suppressing suppressor variables.
problem Suppressor variables cause false-positive feature attributions in non-linear models.
method PatternLocal uses locally linear surrogate models and transforms weights into a generative representation.
result PatternLocal reduces false-positive attributions and provides more reliable explanations.
Despite outstanding contribution to the significant progress of Artificial Intelligence (AI), deep learning models remain mostly black boxes, which are extremely weak in explainability of the reasoning process and prediction results. Explainability is not only a gateway between AI and society but also a powerful tool t…
From self-driving vehicles and back-flipping robots to virtual assistants who book our next appointment at the hair salon or at that restaurant for dinner - machine learning systems are becoming increasingly ubiquitous. The main reason for this is that these methods boast remarkable predictive capabilities. However, mo…
Silence on suspicious stock market patterns persists despite lack of plausible explanations.
problem Suspicious patterns in stock market returns not explained or warned about.
method Analysis of correspondence and market data over five years.
result People aware of suspicious patterns chose not to alert the public.
Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide explanations that help the affected individuals not only to understand why a predictio…
Quant firms manipulate stock markets overnight and intraday.
problem Unexplained consistent overnight and intraday returns in stock markets.
method Analysis of trading patterns and market movements.
result Large quant firms expand and contract portfolios to create mark-to-market gains.
Proposes counterfactual explanations for deep two-sample tests on high-dimensional data.
problem Limited interpretability of deep two-sample tests on high-dimensional data.
method Combines diffusion autoencoder and pretrained deep two-sample test model to generate counterfactuals.
result Counterfactual transformations increase p-values, indicating closer distribution similarity.
Perturbation-based explanation methods often measure the contribution of an input feature to an image classifier's outputs by heuristically removing it via e.g. blurring, adding noise, or graying out, which often produce unrealistic, out-of-samples. Instead, we propose to integrate a generative inpainter into three rep…
Proposes sparse local and regional counterfactual rules for robust recourses.
problem Challenges in counterfactual explanations, especially stability, synthesis, and implementation.
method Probabilistic framework using Random Forest to derive sparse local and regional counterfactual rules.
result Effective recourses derived from high-density regions, providing sparse and robust counterfactual rules.
Interpretable ML methods for better decision-making with explanations.
problem Lack of transparency in black-box ML models.
method Use of Formal Concept Analysis and cooperative game theory to assess attribute importance and reduce attribute count.
result Developed methods to assess attribute importance and reduce attribute count in ML models.
Study on rapid policy changes in reinforcement learning.
problem Rapid change of greedy policy in reinforcement learning.
method Empirical study and ablation analysis.
result Policy churn is a beneficial form of implicit exploration.
Many recent methods for unsupervised or self-supervised representation learning train feature extractors by maximizing an estimate of the mutual information (MI) between different views of the data. This comes with several immediate problems: For example, MI is notoriously hard to estimate, and using it as an objective…
We investigate the dynamics of a trust game on a mixed population where individuals with the role of buyers are forced to play against a predetermined number of sellers, whom they choose dynamically. Agents with the role of sellers are also allowed to adapt the level of value for money of their products, based on payof…
Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.
problem Misleading risk management by overlooking or overemphasizing implausible scenarios.
method Exploits large-deviations principle to concentrate risk factors near most likely stress configurations.
result Can generate informative stress scenarios even with limited historical data.
Optimism about the poorly understood states and actions is the main driving force of exploration for many provably-efficient reinforcement learning algorithms. We propose optimism in the face of sensible value functions (OFVF)- a novel data-driven Bayesian algorithm to constructing Plausibility sets for MDPs to explore…
AR algorithm simplifies backpropagation with improved scalability and biological plausibility.
problem Improving backpropagation algorithms for complex neural networks and biological plausibility.
method Introducing learnable backwards weights and avoiding nonlinear derivative computations; relaxing frozen feedforward pass assumption.
result Simplified AR algorithm maintains performance on complex CNN architectures and challenging datasets.
ITF improves DSR but inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood reduces it, affecting QoIs.
problem Curvature mismatch between teacher forcing and marginal likelihood in chaotic dynamical systems.
method Comparing objective-induced curvatures of ITF and marginal likelihood in a probabilistic switching augmentation of AL-RNNs.
result Curvature inflation by ITF and reduction by marginal likelihood affect dynamical quantities of interest.
Generating datasets that "look like" given real ones is an interesting tasks for healthcare applications of ML and many other fields of science and engineering. In this paper we propose a new method of general application to binary datasets based on a method for learning the parameters of a latent variable moment that …
EviTrack improves sequential prediction in delayed disambiguation scenarios.
problem Challenges in sequential prediction with delayed disambiguation where early observations are ambiguous.
method EviTrack operates over latent trajectories, applying evidence- and likelihood-ratio-based selection to delay commitment until supported by data.
result EviTrack outperforms sampling-based baselines in a controlled synthetic benchmark, achieving faster post-disambiguation recovery.
Derives a biologically plausible neural network for Slow Feature Analysis.
problem Learning latent features from time series data.
method Starting from an SFA objective, derives Bio-SFA with a biologically plausible neural network implementation.
result Validates Bio-SFA on naturalistic stimuli, reproducing interesting properties of brain cells.
Many methods to explain black-box models, whether local or global, are additive. In this paper, we study global additive explanations for non-additive models, focusing on four explanation methods: partial dependence, Shapley explanations adapted to a global setting, distilled additive explanations, and gradient-based e…
A principled approach to understand network structures is to formulate generative models. Given a collection of models, however, an outstanding key task is to determine which one provides a more accurate description of the network at hand, discounting statistical fluctuations. This problem can be approached using two p…
GAIT-prop derives a biologically plausible learning rule from backpropagation.
problem Biological implausibility in traditional backpropagation for neural networks.
method GAIT-prop uses a top-down model to convert output error into plausible targets for weight updates.
result GAIT-prop and backpropagation give identical weight updates under certain conditions.
AXE evaluates explanations to avoid misleading Rashomon set model selection.
problem Evaluating explanations for Rashomon set models to avoid false selection.
method Proposed AXE method to evaluate explanation quality.
result AXE detects adversarial fairwashing with 100% success rate.
The paper proposes criteria and methods for evaluating and aggregating feature-based model explanations.
problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for feature-based model explanations.
method Developed quantitative evaluation criteria (low sensitivity, high faithfulness, low complexity), devised a framework for aggregation, and derived a new aggregate Shapley value explanation function.
result A new aggregate Shapley value explanation function that minimizes sensitivity.
New learning rules from information bottleneck improve deep learning without precise labels.
problem Training deep neural networks with backpropagation is biologically implausible.
method Kernelized information bottleneck principle with 3-factor Hebbian structure.
result The new learning rules perform nearly as well as backpropagation on image classification tasks.
New definition reveals encoding explanations that retain predictive power.
problem Challenges in evaluating and identifying encoding explanations.
method Developed a definition of encoding based on conditional dependence.
result Existing evaluation scores do not rank non-encoding explanations correctly, but STRIPE-X does.
By and large, Backpropagation (BP) is regarded as one of the most important neural computation algorithms at the basis of the progress in machine learning, including the recent advances in deep learning. However, its computational structure has been the source of many debates on its arguable biological plausibility. In…
GRANITE unifies feature-based explanation methods to reduce disagreement.
problem Disagreement among feature-based explanation methods.
method GRANITE partitions feature space into regions minimizing interaction and distribution influences.
result Unified and consistent feature explanations.
The causal compatibility question asks whether a given causal structure graph -- possibly involving latent variables -- constitutes a genuinely plausible causal explanation for a given probability distribution over the graph's observed variables. Algorithms predicated on merely necessary constraints for causal compatib…
Differentially private algorithms protect model explanations from leaking training data.
problem Model explanations can leak training data, compromising privacy.
method Adaptive differentially private gradient descent algorithm to produce accurate, private explanations.
result Privacy amplification and reduction of overall privacy loss on explanation data.
We consider objective evaluation measures of saliency explanations for complex black-box machine learning models. We propose simple robust variants of two notions that have been considered in recent literature: (in)fidelity, and sensitivity. We analyze optimal explanations with respect to both these measures, and while…
New method isolates epistemic uncertainty in diffusion models, improving plausibility scores.
problem Uncertainty quantification in diffusion models, especially epistemic uncertainty.
method Fisher information based approach using FLARE (Fisher-Laplace Randomized Estimator).
result FLARE improves uncertainty estimation in synthetic time-series generation tasks.
Improves global counterfactual explanations for model recourse.
problem Inability to provide explanations beyond local instances.
method Investigates and improves Actionable Recourse Summaries (AReS) for global counterfactual explanations.
result Develops more efficient and interactive explainability tools.
New framework evaluates model explanations based on decision task improvement.
problem Evaluation of model explanations often misses practical value.
method Decision-theoretic framework quantifying three key values.
result Provides benchmarks and interprets human-AI decision support.