The study analyzes convergence rates for sparse pivotal estimators in high-dimensional regression.
problem Sparse pivotal estimation in high-dimensional regression problems.
method Theoretical analysis and comparison of non-smooth + non-smooth optimization problems, including smoothing techniques.
result Minimax sup-norm convergence rates for square-root Lasso-type estimators are derived.
Estimates proportions of LLM-generated text in mixed documents.
problem Estimating the proportion of text generated by a pre-specified LLM in mixed documents.
method Developed estimators for two observation regimes: full observation and pivotal reduction, and established sample complexity bounds.
result Full observation estimators require fewer samples than pivotal reduction estimators.
Study on estimating Gumbel--Max watermark proportions in edited documents.
problem Estimating the proportion of a document generated from a watermarked LLM.
method Comparison of full observation and pivotal reduction observation regimes; development of estimators and information-theoretic lower bounds.
result Full observation yields a substantially smaller sample complexity compared to pivotal reduction.
Estimates watermarked content proportions in mixed-source texts.
problem Optimally estimating the proportion of watermarked content in texts with mixed sources.
method Casting the problem as estimating a proportion parameter in a mixture model based on pivotal statistics.
result Proposes efficient estimators for watermark proportion and shows their accuracy through evaluations.
Exact selective inference with randomization for Gaussian regression models.
problem Exact selective inference in Gaussian regression models.
method Introduces a pivot for exact selective inference with randomization, reducing the problem to a bivariate truncated Gaussian distribution.
result Our pivot leads to exact inference and produces narrower confidence intervals than related methods.
Adapts pivoting technique to circle homeomorphisms for proofs.
problem Probabilistic Tits alternative and exponential synchronization.
method Adapts Gou{ë}zel's pivoting technique.
result Different proofs of probabilistic Tits alternative and exponential synchronization.
New pivoting strategy improves trace norm contraction in low-rank approximation.
problem Finding good low-rank approximations of symmetric, positive-definite matrices.
method Choosing rows with likelihood proportional to Aii2 for randomly pivoted partial Cholesky algorithm. result Same trace norm contraction result in Frobenius norm for improved pivoting strategy.
PANDA improves linear discriminant analysis in high dimensions with minimal tuning.
problem Linear discriminant analysis in high-dimensional settings.
method PANDA: a tuning-insensitive method for linear discriminant analysis.
result PANDA achieves optimal convergence rates in estimation error and misclassification rate.
New quadrature method using randomly pivoted Cholesky outperforms existing techniques.
problem Efficiently approximating integrals of functions in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
method Nodes drawn by randomly pivoted Cholesky algorithm.
result Randomly pivoted Cholesky quadrature is fast and achieves comparable accuracy to more computationally intensive methods.
Novel framework uses synthetic data to quantify uncertainty in complex data.
problem Uncertainty quantification in complex, unstructured data.
method Perturbation-Assisted Sample Synthesis (PASS) and Perturbation-Assisted Inference (PAI) framework.
result Statistically guaranteed validity in inference, enhancing reliability of synthetic data.
Paper reinterprets ARP algorithm and improves its analysis and speed.
problem Column subset selection in data analysis.
method Volume sampling and active learning connections, new analysis, rejection sampling.
result Faster implementations and new analysis for ARP algorithm.
Develops graphical calculus for monoidal categories with twisted pivotal structures.
problem Constructing modules for surfaces with Morse functions or foliations.
method Graphical calculus and string nets for monoidal categories with twisted pivotal structures.
result Twisted string net modules assemble in an oriented categorified 2-TQFT.
This paper analyzes Local SGD for federated learning, achieving both statistical and communication efficiency.
problem Statistical estimation and inference in federated learning with decentralized data.
method Local SGD, a multi-round estimation procedure using intermittent communication.
result Local SGD achieves both statistical efficiency and communication efficiency.
New construction of Turaev-Viro invariants invariant under Morita equivalence.
problem Constructing Turaev-Viro invariants invariant under Morita equivalence.
method Pivotal bicategory construction of spherical module categories.
result The invariant recovers the standard Turaev-Viro invariant and is independent of the skeleton.
New algorithm improves plant breeding by clustering soybean genotypes more accurately and efficiently.
problem Low accuracy and high computational complexity in clustering plant genotypes.
method Spectral Clustering with Pivotal Sampling for phenotypic data.
result Our algorithm achieves substantially more accuracy than existing methods.
Estimates time-series drifts from i.i.d. data using a direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in method.
problem Nonparametric estimation of Schrödinger bridge drifts from single time interval data.
method Direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in estimator based on kernelized numerator and denominator terms.
result Uniform non-asymptotic bound, CLT under undersmoothing, and adaptive bandwidth selector.
We extend the notion of an ambidextrous trace on an ideal (developed by the first two authors) to the setting of a pivotal category. We show that under some conditions, these traces lead to invariants of colored spherical graphs (and so to modified 6j-symbols).
Proposes using Wasserstein barycenter for better multilingual alignment.
problem Finding word-to-word translations between multiple languages without parallel data.
method Uses Wasserstein barycenter as a more informative pivot language, minimizing pairwise transportation costs.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performances on standard benchmarks.
PiVoT improves real-time multi-object detection and tracking in clutter.
problem Challenges in multi-object detection and tracking from noisy point clouds.
method Variational inference for fast, clutter-resilient multi-object tracking.
result Substantial performance improvement over existing Bayesian trackers.
In many real-world scenarios, an autonomous agent often encounters various tasks within a single complex environment. We propose to build a graph abstraction over the environment structure to accelerate the learning of these tasks. Here, nodes are important points of interest (pivotal states) and edges represent feasib…
Methods for prediction and tolerance intervals in non-normal models.
problem Constructing prediction and tolerance intervals for non-normal data.
method Two approaches: pivotal quantity approximation and confidence interval for mean.
result Intuitive, simple, efficient methods with proper operating characteristics.
Generalizes string-net modular functors to non-spherical categories.
problem Extending string-net models to non-spherical categories.
method Using non-semisimple string-nets and Drinfeld centers.
result Equivalence between string-net and Lyubashenko modular functors.
A string-net model associates a vector space to a surface in terms of graphs decorated by objects and morphisms of a pivotal fusion category modulo local relations. String-net models are usually considered for spherical fusion categories, and in this case the vector spaces agree with the state spaces of the correspondi…
In the setting of high-dimensional linear regression models, we propose two frameworks for constructing pointwise and group confidence sets for penalized estimators which incorporate prior knowledge about the organization of the non-zero coefficients. This is done by desparsifying the estimator as in van de Geer et al.…
The Bieberbach estimate, a pivotal result in the classical theory of univalent functions, states that any injective holomorphic function f on the open unit disc D satisfies ∣f"(0)∣≤4∣f′(0)∣. We generalize the Bieberbach estimate by proving a version of the inequality that applies to all injective smooth conf…
Several techniques for domain adaptation have been proposed to account for differences in the distribution of the data used for training and testing. The majority of this work focuses on a binary domain label. Similar problems occur in a scientific context where there may be a continuous family of plausible data genera…
Study on knotting in very long polymer chains, finding Poisson distribution for prime knot types.
problem Understanding knotting in very long polymer chains.
method Generated and analyzed 243−k polygons of size n=2k using tree data structure and pivot algorithm. Used new knot diagram simplification and invariant-free classification. result Number of prime summands of knot type K in a random n-gon is well described by a Poisson distribution. We propose a new method of estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. It allows for very weak distributional assumptions including heteroscedasticity, and does not require the knowledge of the variance of random errors. The method is based on linear programming only, so that its numerical implementation is…
New 4-manifold invariant defined from trisection diagrams.
problem Defining a new 4-manifold invariant from trisection diagrams.
method Algebraic data from bimodule categories and spherical fusion categories, described diagrammatically.
result Includes Hopf algebraic invariants and modular fusion category invariants.
Study on statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation with Markovian data.
problem Statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
method Established a functional central limit theorem for the partial-sum process of the target parameter estimate, providing asymptotic pivotal statistics for constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid and efficient asymptotic inference method for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
PIVOT bridges Black-Scholes price and implied volatility spaces via a differentiable layer.
problem Lack of a differentiable interface between price and implied volatility spaces.
method Develops PIVOT, a differentiable layer that preserves LBR's forward pass and avoids backpropagation through branch logic, addressing singularity issues.
result PIVOT achieves high performance and accuracy, reducing price and implied volatility errors by up to 43.4% and 21.3% respectively.
Accelerated RPCholesky speeds up kernel matrix approximations.
problem Efficiently approximating large kernel matrices.
method Accelerated randomly pivoted Cholesky (RPCholesky) with block matrix computations and rejection sampling.
result Approximates kernel matrices up to 40 times faster.
Structural correspondence learning (SCL) is an effective method for cross-lingual sentiment classification. This approach uses unlabeled documents along with a word translation oracle to automatically induce task specific, cross-lingual correspondences. It transfers knowledge through identifying important features, i.e…
The paper addresses ill-conditioning in large spatial data, proposing solutions for prediction and likelihood estimation.
problem Ill-conditioning of the kernel matrix in large spatial data sets.
method Introduction of various optimality criteria and solutions for managing large spatial data.
result Solutions for managing large spatial data, addressing ill-conditioning and improving prediction and likelihood estimation.
Optimizes private statistics with noisy methods.
problem Private inference in statistical models.
method Noisy optimization for M-estimators and confidence regions.
result Private estimators converge to non-private ones with high probability.
The paper constructs semistrict monoidal 2-categories from foam evaluations.
problem Creating examples of semistrict monoidal 2-categories.
method Using a closed foam evaluation formula as input, the paper rigorously constructs semistrict monoidal 2-categories.
result The constructed monoidal 2-categories are semistrict, have duals and adjoints, and carry a spatial duality structure.
Online algorithm for probabilistic forecasting of conditional moments.
problem Probabilistic forecasting needs accurate learning of expected value and conditional heteroskedasticity.
method Combines online LASSO estimation with GAMLSS framework.
result Competitive performance in day-ahead electricity price forecasting.
Random walk speed on Teichmüller space is a proper function.
problem Understanding the speed of random walks on Teichmüller space.
method Adaptation of Gouëzel's pivoting techniques to Teichmüller space.
result Speed of random walk is a proper function on Teichmüller space.
Estimates non-parametric logistic model using case-control data and external summary info.
problem Imbalanced binary data in case-control studies.
method Two-step estimation procedure with deep neural network for functional approximation.
result Proposed estimator achieves optimal convergence rate in non-parametric regression.
Develops an empirical likelihood framework for random forests and ensembles.
problem Quantifying the statistical uncertainty of random forests and ensembles.
method Empirical likelihood framework exploiting the incomplete U-statistic structure of ensemble predictions. result Modified empirical likelihood statistic achieves accurate coverage and practical reliability.
Estimates calibration error under label shift without labels.
problem Ensuring model reliability in the face of dataset shift without access to labels.
method Importance re-weighting of the labeled source distribution to estimate calibration error under label shift.
result Effective and reliable CE estimation with respect to the shifted target distribution.
RPCholesky approximates kernel matrices with few evaluations.
problem Approximating kernel matrices efficiently.
method Randomly pivoted partial Cholesky factorization.
result RPCholesky provides nearly optimal low-rank approximations.
The paper examines Adaptive Lasso and Transfer Lasso, highlighting their differences and proposing a new method.
problem Comparing and contrasting Adaptive Lasso and Transfer Lasso.
method Theoretical analysis of asymptotic properties and introduction of a new method.
result The Transfer Lasso method reduces non-asymptotic estimation errors compared to Adaptive Lasso.
Proposes a probabilistic model to improve hydrology predictions and trust.
problem Noisy or missing basin characteristics impact streamflow prediction.
method Probabilistic inverse modeling framework to reconstruct basin characteristics.
result 6% improvement in R2 for streamflow prediction, 17% reduction in uncertainty. The paper proposes a method for distribution-free prediction sets that adapt to unknown temporal changes.
problem Distribution-free prediction sets require reliable calibration data, which is often unavailable in real-world settings with temporal changes.
method The method selects an adaptive window to construct prediction sets, optimizing a bias-variance tradeoff.
result The method provides sharp coverage guarantees and is shown to be adaptive to temporal drift through numerical experiments.
Paper develops minimax rates for non-exact sparse models in high dimensions.
problem Estimating non-exact sparse models in high-dimensional data.
method Formalizes approximate sparsity, derives minimax rates, proposes an estimator.
result Achieves minimax optimal rates for non-exact sparse models.
A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.
problem Estimating structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models using behavioral data.
method Two-stage approach: inverse reinforcement learning for Q-function estimation, state selection via clustering, and maximum likelihood estimation with nested fixed-point algorithm.
result The method mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample bounds on estimation error.
Paper proposes scalable algorithm to estimate intervention targets in linear models.
problem Estimating intervention targets in linear models from observational and interventional data.
method The paper proposes a scalable algorithm that estimates intervention sites from the difference between precision matrices of observational and interventional datasets.
result The algorithm consistently identifies all intervention targets and updates observational Markov equivalence classes to interventional ones.