Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jan 199319922001200920172026
48 results for physics prediction

NNs accurately predict energy eigenvalues and other physical phenomena in 1D quantum mechanics.

problem Understanding how neural networks interpret physics.
method Training NNs to predict energy eigenvalues from potentials and testing their ability to generalize.
result NNs can predict physical phenomena not learned during training, indicating a new way of understanding physics.

Hybridizes physical and data-driven methods for predicting physicochemical properties.

problem Predicting physicochemical properties accurately using limited data.
method Distills physical method predictions into a prior model and combines with sparse experimental data using Bayesian inference.
result Significant improvements in predicting activity coefficients at infinite dilution compared to baselines and ensemble methods.

Physics-informed neural networks improve pathloss prediction accuracy.

problem Improving pathloss prediction accuracy in wireless communications.
method Physics-informed neural networks incorporating physical dependencies and measured values.
result Physics-informed neural networks achieve better generalization and prediction quality with fewer layers and parameters.

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their predictions do not violate physical laws. This is achieved by introducing an additional lo…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Forward-prediction models enhance physical reasoning, but only for specific tasks.

problem Improving physical reasoning in complex tasks involving many objects.
method Incorporated forward-prediction models into simple physical-reasoning agents and evaluated their performance on the PHYRE benchmark.
result Forward-prediction models improve physical-reasoning performance, especially on complex tasks, but generalization to new task templates is challenging.

PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.

problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.

Neural model predicts object states and physical parameters from visual observations.

problem Computational models struggle with physical reasoning and adapting to new environments.
method Visual prior predicts particle-based system from visual observations; inference module refines estimates subject to dynamics constraints.
result Model can infer physical properties within a few observations and adapt to unseen scenarios.

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

Adaptive vehicle trajectory prediction for safer autonomous driving.

problem Inability of current methods to guarantee physical feasibility and adapt to human driving policies.
method Bayesian recurrent neural network combining policy and physical models, with gradient-based training and parameter adaptation.
result The proposed method ensures physical feasibility and adaptability to human driving policies.

Paper develops a new model for predicting volatility surface.

problem Predicting volatility in financial markets is challenging due to its non-observable nature and complex dynamics.
method Physics-informed convolutional transformer architecture.
result The new model outperforms other deep-learning architectures in predicting volatility surface.

A hybrid physics-ML model predicts FO water flux with high accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

problem Challenges in accurately modeling Forward Osmosis water flux due to complex internal mass transfer phenomena.
method Robust Hybrid Physics-ML framework using Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for uncertainty-aware Jw prediction.
result Achieved a state-of-the-art MAPE of 0.26% and R2 of 0.999 on independent test data.

MPP trains a transformer to predict multiple physical systems, improving accuracy across various tasks.

problem Training models for specific physical systems is inefficient and requires fine-tuning.
method MPP trains a shared transformer on multiple heterogeneous physical systems, projecting fields into a shared embedding space.
result A single MPP-pretrained transformer outperforms task-specific models on all pretraining sub-tasks and downstream tasks.

While physics conveys knowledge of nature built from an interplay between observations and theory, it has been considered less importantly in deep neural networks. Especially, there are few works leveraging physics behaviors when the knowledge is given less explicitly. In this work, we propose a novel architecture call…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves machine learning models by incorporating physical laws into feature maps.

problem Lack of model interpretability in classical machine learning approaches.
method Physics-informed feature maps constructed from physical laws and dimensional analysis.
result Enhanced model interpretability and potential discovery of new physical equations.

Physics-informed DeepONets solve PDEs without paired data, predicting solutions quickly.

problem Lack of paired input-output data for solving PDEs.
method Physics-informed DeepONets use automatic differentiation to enforce physical laws as soft penalty constraints.
result Physics-informed DeepONets can solve PDEs without paired data, predicting solutions up to 3 orders of magnitude faster.

CP improves robustness against distribution shift using physics-informed structural causal models.

problem Uncertainty in machine learning predictions under distributional shift.
method Physics-informed structural causal model (PI-SCM) to upper bound coverage difference.
result PI-SCM improves coverage robustness across confidence levels and test domains.

This work uses scientific constraints to validate neural network predictions in fusion physics.

problem Verifying the scientific plausibility of neural network predictions in fusion physics.
method Using known scientific constraints as a validation tool.
result Validated neural network predictions in fusion physics using scientific constraints.

TelePiT improves S2S forecasting by integrating physics and teleconnections.

problem Challenges in subseasonal-to-seasonal climate forecasting due to chaotic dynamics and complex interactions.
method Integrates physics and teleconnections into a transformer architecture with spherical embedding and multi-scale physics-informed neural ODE.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods across all forecast horizons.

Framework uses physics knowledge to improve spatiotemporal prediction with limited data.

problem Challenges in modeling physical systems with limited real-world data.
method Physics-aware meta-learning with auxiliary tasks, incorporating PDE-independent spatial and temporal modules.
result Framework outperforms in spatiotemporal prediction tasks with limited data.

New ML methods improve physical system understanding by quantifying uncertainty across diverse regimes.

problem Capturing multi-regime physical systems with standard ML techniques.
method Coverage-oriented uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods.
result Coverage-oriented UQ models deliver physically consistent uncertainty estimates.

Deep learning improves solar energy forecasting using physical and data-driven models.

problem Improving short-term solar energy forecasting accuracy.
method Injecting physical knowledge into deep learning models for spatio-temporal forecasting.
result Improved solar energy forecasting models using deep learning and physical criteria.

Physics-informed neural networks improve baryonic predictions from dark matter simulations.

problem Recreating hydrodynamic simulations from dark matter requires expensive and time-consuming computations.
method Combining neural network architectures with physical constraints and using Kullback-Leibler divergence for prediction comparison.
result Improved accuracy of baryonic predictions based on dark matter halo properties, successful recovery of the metallicity relation, and preserved scatter.

PhyDNN uses physics knowledge to improve drag force prediction models.

problem Complex physical processes in fluid dynamics are hard to model accurately.
method Physics-guided structural priors and aggregate supervision for deep learning.
result PhyDNN achieves a significant 8.46% improvement in drag force prediction.

Neural Physicist learns physical dynamics from images.

problem Learning meaningful physical state representations and accurate state transitions from image sequences.
method Neural Physicist uses VAE for state extraction, NP for parameters, and SSM for dynamics.
result Achieves long-term predictions and identifies system degrees of freedom.

Improved aircraft structure prediction using derivative-enhanced sparse Cholesky GP method.

problem Accurate real-time prediction of aircraft structure performance.
method Combining derivative data with a modified dynamic sparse Cholesky linear system solver.
result Improved prediction accuracy of aircraft structure performance.

Physics-informed neural networks struggle with stiffness leading to gradient imbalance.

problem Gradient pathologies in physics-informed neural networks.
method Learning rate annealing and novel neural network architecture.
result Significant improvement in predictive accuracy (50-100x) across various physics problems.

Method reduces model bias in water temperature prediction using physics-guided GNNs.

problem Model bias in traditional physics-based models across different income and education levels.
method Physics-guided GNNs with refined neighbor selection and weights.
result Preserves equitable performance across different sensitive groups in the Delaware River Basin.

ML predicts alloy properties considering chemistry, processing, and data transformations.

problem Designing and predicting alloy properties in high-dimensional design space.
method Physics-informed machine learning with engineered features from chemistry and heat treatment.
result ML models accurately predict alloy properties, including hysteresis in shape memory alloys.

Novel method combines physics priors for energy-conserving dynamics.

problem Learning long-term dynamics of complex physical systems from noisy data.
method Variational Integrator Graph Networks integrating energy constraint, high-order symplectic integrators, and graph neural networks.
result Improves predictive performance across single and many-body problems.

Model uses statistical physics principles to predict financial market volatility and returns.

problem Predicting price volatility and expected returns in financial markets.
method Inspired by statistical physics, the study introduces a physical model using Level 3 order book data to measure kinetic energy and momentum.
result The model outperforms traditional and machine learning approaches in forecasting volatility and expected returns.

A machine learning framework predicts self-induced stochastic resonance in neurons.

problem Predicting coherent oscillations in slow-fast excitable systems driven by noise.
method Physics-informed machine learning with a Noise-Augmented State Predictor architecture and Kramers' escape theory constraints.
result Trained PINN accurately predicts spike-train coherence on noise intensity, excitability, and timescale separation.

Physics Informed Deep Kernel Learning improves prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

problem Limited performance of deep kernel learning due to scarce or insufficient data.
method Integrates physics knowledge represented by differential equations with latent sources into deep kernel learning.
result Advantages in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Paper proposes a dual-level approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems for automatic control and optimization.
method Hybrid input forecasting using LSTM-STMs and physics-informed neural networks (PINNs).
result Hybrid models achieve higher log-likelihood and lower MSE compared to conventional methods.

Intelligent agents need a physical understanding of the world to predict the impact of their actions in the future. While learning-based models of the environment dynamics have contributed to significant improvements in sample efficiency compared to model-free reinforcement learning algorithms, they typically fail to g…

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗