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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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3557101,0641,419 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for personalized stress model

With the growing popularity of wearable devices, the ability to utilize physiological data collected from these devices to predict the wearer's mental state such as mood and stress suggests great clinical applications, yet such a task is extremely challenging. In this paper, we present a general platform for personaliz…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Personalized stress model using transfer learning from 20 participants.

problem Limited generalizability of machine learning models due to individual physiological differences.
method Transfer learning from a base model trained on 20 participants' physiological data collected in real-time.
result Improved model personalization and cross-domain performance.

In many mobile health interventions, treatments should only be delivered in a particular context, for example when a user is currently stressed, walking or sedentary. Even in an optimal context, concerns about user burden can restrict which treatments are sent. To diffuse the treatment delivery over times when a user i…

2018-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

PhysioMTL learns personalized HRV rhythms from wearable data, improving prediction and counterfactual analysis.

problem Challenges in interpreting HRV measurements due to variability and stressors.
method PhysioMTL combines Optimal Transport and MTL to learn personalized diurnal rhythms from heterogeneous data.
result PhysioMTL outperforms other methods in predicting unseen subjects and generating counterfactual effects.

Method generates plausible financial stress scenarios using large deviations.

problem Misleading risk management by overlooking or overemphasizing implausible scenarios.
method Exploits large-deviations principle to concentrate risk factors near most likely stress configurations.
result Can generate informative stress scenarios even with limited historical data.

A hybrid model combines diffusion and neural operator methods for stress prediction in hyperelastic materials.

problem Challenges in predicting stress fields in hyperelastic materials with complex microstructures.
method A hybrid surrogate framework combining a conditional denoising diffusion probabilistic model (cDDPM) and a modified DeepONet.
result The hybrid model consistently outperforms traditional methods by one to two orders of magnitude.

Credit risk stress tests can misrepresent default probabilities due to inconsistent parameterization.

problem Misleading default probability projections in credit risk stress tests.
method Analysis of credit risk stress testing models and their parameterization.
result Current portfolios tend to align with through-the-cycle portfolios, leading to spurious default rate projections.

Paper proposes MAST to identify stress conditions in forecasting models.

problem Improving reliability and transparency of univariate forecasting models under stress.
method Meta-learning and data augmentation approach to predict stress conditions.
result MAST identifies conditions leading to large errors in forecasting models.

The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.

problem Reducing household bankruptcy risk through effective financial planning.
method Mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis.
result The 1/3 Financial Rule emerges as a robust solution for supporting household financial stability.

Voice-enabled interactions provide more human-like experiences in many popular IoT systems. Cloud-based speech analysis services extract useful information from voice input using speech recognition techniques. The voice signal is a rich resource that discloses several possible states of a speaker, such as emotional sta…

2019-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.

problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.

Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.

problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.

Neural networks predict flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulence.

problem Predicting flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulent flows using limited experimental data.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on wall-normal velocity and pressure data.
result Neural networks accurately predict flow and elastic stresses, especially during low-drag events.

This paper proposes non-stationary factor models for financial stress in the UK.

problem Managing financial vulnerabilities in the UK's complex financial system.
method Creation of non-stationary factor models to capture financial stress.
result Non-stationary factor models can better capture financial stress, especially tail events.

Adaptive Stress Testing detects financial fraud by simulating potential failures.

problem Detecting and mitigating vulnerabilities in financial systems.
method Developed a simplified model using historical data and reinforcement learning.
result Identified the most likely path to system failure and improved fraud detection.

SYNTHONY selects tabular synthesizers based on stress profiling and user intent.

problem Non-uniform performance of tabular generative models across datasets.
method Stress profiling and intent-conditioned tabular synthesis selection.
result Meta-features predict synthesizer performance, improving selection accuracy.

One has not any conventional energy-momentum conservation law in Lagrangian field theory, but relations involving different stress-energy-momentum tensors associated with different connections. It is not obvious how to choose the true energy-momentum tensor. This problem is solved in the framework of the multimomentum …

1995-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method for reverse stress testing in multivariate scenarios.

problem Reconstructing a multivariate stress scenario from a single exogenous shock.
method Maximizing conditional density under three distributional assumptions.
result Simulated scenarios are economically coherent and reproduce risk-reward asymmetry.

Paper improves SVaR estimation for stress testing under macro scenarios using a hybrid GPR-HS framework.

problem Numerical instability in traditional SVaR estimation under extreme shocks.
method Extends GPR-HS framework to forward-looking stress scenarios with SACS for stable covariance.
result Stable SVaR ranges from -2.1020% to -2.2231%, preserving coherence property.

Adaptive personalized federated learning improves local model personalization.

problem Maximizing global model performance limits local model personalization.
method APFL algorithm trains local models while contributing to global model, with optimal mixing parameter and communication-efficient optimization.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of personalization schema and correctness of generalization theories.

EM-GAN uses GANs for fast stress analysis of multi-segment interconnects.

problem Fast and accurate stress analysis for EM failure assessment in multi-segment interconnects.
method Conditional GAN model trained on images of multi-segment wires and current densities.
result EM-GAN provides accurate stress distribution with 6.6% error and 8.3X speedup.

Analyzes how uncertainty in financial networks affects stability.

problem Understanding how uncertainty in financial networks impacts stability.
method Introduced a minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network with linear interactions. Derived the interaction correction to the stress expectation and studied it on the short-medium timescale.
result Interactions increase the stress expectation on average, highlighting the importance of disclosure.

Develops a method for stress testing correlations of financial portfolios.

problem Stress testing correlations in financial asset portfolios.
method Parametric representation of correlations, Bayesian variable selection, joint distribution of stress scenarios.
result Inference of worst-case correlation scenarios using stress tests.

New deep learning method improves financial stress testing accuracy.

problem Traditional stress testing methods are criticized for unrealistic assumptions and estimation errors.
method Proposes a novel Deep Learning approach for Dynamic Balance Sheet Stress Testing.
result Empirical results show significant improvement in accuracy over traditional methods.

Framework generates personalized insulin treatment strategies using deep models.

problem Developing optimal personalized treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
method Combines deep generative time series models with decision theory.
result Demonstrated improved personalized insulin treatment strategies for diabetes patients.

We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and correlations can be estimated robustly and that all distributions are approximately normal.…

2013-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗