Paper introduces balanced payment systems to improve liquidity and risk management.
problem Managing liquidity in payment systems and economy is a persistent challenge.
method Introduces interbank balancing method to private payment systems and others.
result Demonstrates effects of balancing on a small example and constructs a balanced subsystem.
The paper examines clearing payments in financial networks to prevent cascaded defaults.
problem Cascaded defaults in financial networks under the proportionality rule.
method Analysis of clearing model under pro-rated payments, derivation of necessary and sufficient conditions for clearing payments, convex optimization problems for computation.
result Clearing payments can be computed by solving convex optimization problems, reducing overall system loss by lifting the proportionality rule.
Game theory applied to financial networks, focusing on debt repayment strategies.
problem Understanding financial stability in interconnected systems.
method Modeling financial systems as networks, analyzing utility-maximizing strategies under priority-proportional payments.
result Existence and uniqueness of payment profiles are not guaranteed, even under fixed strategies.
Stablecoins offer efficient settlement but externalize costs and risks.
problem Comparing stablecoins to card networks in retail payments.
method Unified analytical framework (CLEAR) across five dimensions.
result Stablecoins are advantageous in closed-loop and high-friction contexts but structurally disadvantaged as open-loop instruments.
A new method streamlines digital payment programming using smart contracts.
problem High costs and security challenges in programming smart contracts for digital payments.
method Transforming digital currencies into token streams and using configurable templates to generate specialized smart contracts.
result Reduces payment programming costs and enhances security, self-enforcement, adaptability, and controllability.
Blockchain helps secure payments between AI agents.
problem Ensuring secure payments between untrusted AI agents.
method Systematized four-stage lifecycle for A2A payments on blockchain.
result Challenges remain in weak intent binding, misuse, and limited accountability.
We propose a model in which dividend payments occur at regular, deterministic intervals in an otherwise continuous model. This contrasts traditional models where either the payment of continuous dividends is controlled or the dynamics are given by discrete time processes. Moreover, between two dividend payments, the st…
Interleaved RNNs detect fraud without costly features.
problem Real-time fraud detection in payment cards.
method Use interleaved sequence RNNs for fraud detection.
result Interleaved RNNs outperform state-of-the-art models in fraud detection.
Paper proposes a decentralized payment clearing system using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.
problem Default contagion in a network of smart contracts cleared through blockchain.
method Constructs a decentralized clearing mechanism using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of equilibrium clearing condition for terminal net worths.
This paper provides a framework for modeling the financial system with multiple illiquid assets during a crisis. This work generalizes the paper by Amini, Filipovic and Minca (2016) by allowing for differing liquidation strategies. The main result is a proof of sufficient conditions for the existence of an equilibrium …
AI task delegation faces incentive collapse with unbounded payments as AI accuracy rises.
problem Incentive collapse in AI-assisted task delegation schemes.
method General impossibility result and sentinel-auditing payment mechanism.
result Sentinel-auditing mechanism enforces positive human effort at finite cost, independent of AI accuracy.
Proposes a multi-stream RNN model for predicting merchant transactions.
problem Predicting future transaction statistics of merchants.
method Multi-stream RNN model tailored for multivariate time series and multi-step predictions.
result Outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in merchant transaction predictions.
This paper models financial contagion with endogenously determined market liquidity.
problem Financial contagion and its impact on market liquidity during price drops.
method Developed a joint clearing system for interbank payments, asset prices, and market liquidity, with endogenous market capacity.
result Endogenous market liquidity significantly affects system risk during financial contagion.
Analyzes how financial network dependencies can lead to multiple equilibrium outcomes and optimal bailout strategies.
problem Multiple equilibrium outcomes in financial networks due to dependency cycles.
method Characterized necessary and sufficient conditions for bank solvency, and provided upper bounds on optimal bailout payments.
result Minimum bailout payments needed to ensure systemic solvency and prevent cascading defaults.
Develops a framework to analyze financial structures.
problem Difficulty in systematic analysis, comparison, and verification of financial structures.
method Formalizes financial structures as structured allocation systems with explicit allocation operators.
result Specifies inputs, structural requirements, and feasibility restrictions for financial structures.
Motivated by Kyprianou and Zhou (2009), Wang and Hu (2012), Avram et al. (2017), Li et al. (2017) and Wang and Zhou (2018), we consider in this paper the problem of maximizing the expected accumulated discounted tax payments of an insurance company, whose reserve process (before taxes are deducted) evolves as a spectra…
This paper considers the optimal dividend payment problem in piecewise-deterministic compound Poisson risk models. The objective is to maximize the expected discounted dividend payout up to the time of ruin. We provide a comparative study in this general framework of both restricted and unrestricted payment schemes, wh…
Research examines motivations and factors influencing retailers' payment method choices.
problem Understanding motivations and factors affecting retailers' payment method choices.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis of various factors including regulatory constraints, merchant service providers, and demographic variables.
result Lower interchange fees and regulatory constraints make card payment adoption financially feasible for merchants.
Optimizes cash management in ATM networks to reduce costs and increase revenue.
problem Minimizing cash costs while ensuring adequate funds in a network of ATMs.
method Developed a discrete optimal control model using forecasting techniques and control theory.
result The proposed model outperforms classical inventory management models, earning 30% more revenue.
Study claims trading to rescue banks in distress.
problem Rescue a bank in distress using claims trading.
method Formalize claims trading in financial networks, study decision and optimization problems, provide efficient algorithms for creditor-positive trades.
result No trade can strictly improve both banks' assets; provide efficient algorithms for creditor-positive trades.
In this paper we study the implications of contingent payments on the clearing wealth in a network model of financial contagion. We consider an extension of the Eisenberg-Noe financial contagion model in which the nominal interbank obligations depend on the wealth of the firms in the network. We first consider the prob…
Paper introduces PHI to identify structurally distinct payment patterns in UK municipal procurement.
problem Vulnerability of public procurement to error, fraud, and corruption in high-volume transactions.
method Introduces Payment Heterogeneity Index (PHI) using Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and non-parametric statistics.
result Identifies a significant cohort with structurally distinct payment patterns, improving procurement oversight.
This paper provides a framework for modeling the financial system with multiple illiquid assets when liquidation of illiquid assets is caused by failure to meet a leverage requirement. This extends the network model of Cifuentes, Shin & Ferrucci (2005) which incorporates a single asset with fire sales and capital adequ…
A new model calculates optimal clearing payments in dynamic financial networks.
problem Determining fair clearing payments in networks with potential defaults.
method Extends Eisenberg-Noe model to multiple time periods, solving linear programs for optimal payments.
result Proves the model satisfies the priority of debt claims requirement and finds unique optimal payments.
Payments data and machine learning improve nowcasting accuracy for macroeconomic indicators.
problem Lagged indicators in linear models are insufficient during crisis periods.
method Non-traditional payments data, nonlinear machine learning, and tailored cross-validation.
result Improved macroeconomic nowcasting accuracy up to 40% during crises.
Optimal student loan repayment strategies vary based on loan size.
problem Finding the most cost-effective repayment strategy for federal student loans.
method Analyzing the impact of different repayment strategies on total cost for varying loan sizes.
result Optimal repayment strategies depend on the loan balance, with different approaches for small, large, and intermediate balances.
New MAB model incentivizes user arm-pulling with self-reinforcing preferences.
problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in recommender systems with incentivized user preferences.
method Proposes a new MAB model with random arm selection and two policies: At-Least-n Explore-Then-Commit and UCB-List. result Achieves O(logT) expected regret and O(logT) expected payment over a time horizon T. Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
Aggregate and systemic risk in complex systems are emergent phenomena depending on two properties: the idiosyncratic risks of the elements and the topology of the network of interactions among them. While a significant attention has been given to aggregate risk assessment and risk propagation once the above two propert…
Credit networks represent a way of modeling trust between entities in a network. Nodes in the network print their own currency and trust each other for a certain amount of each other's currency. This allows the network to serve as a decentralized payment infrastructure---arbitrary payments can be routed through the net…
Optimizes dividend payments to balance risk and reward.
problem Maximizing mean-variance of accumulated discounted dividends up to ruin.
method Develops a time-consistent equilibrium strategy using a verification lemma.
result Equilibrium strategy is a barrier strategy for low risk aversion.
The paper analyzes multivariate payments in multi-state life insurance using Markovian state processes.
problem Analyzing joint effects of life annuities and death benefits in a multi-state framework.
method Introduces multivariate present value of future payments, derives differential equations and moment generating functions, and focuses on pair-wise covariances.
result Derives Hattendorff type results for pair-wise covariances in a disability model.
The study reveals fundamental limits of fraud detection in card payment networks.
problem Fraud detection in card payment networks is challenging due to structural information impairments.
method Formalized card authorization as a sequential decision problem with delayed feedback, derived minimax regret lower bound.
result Improving issuer reporting quality or reducing censorship can yield larger reductions in the regret floor than increasing model complexity.
We study the problem of determining risk-minimizing investment strategies for insurance payment processes in the presence of taxes and expenses. We consider the situation where taxes and expenses are paid continuously and symmetrically and introduce the concept of tax- and expense-modified risk-minimization. Risk-minim…
Mobile payment incentives optimized using merchant transaction networks.
problem Optimizing marketing campaigns with limited budgets.
method Graph representation learning on transaction networks.
result Effective modeling of merchant sensitivity to incentives.
Analyzes incentives and strategies in financial networks.
problem Deciding default status and liabilities in a network of banks.
method Refined model of financial systems with priority assignments.
result Actions by banks can influence their own outcomes.
With the explosive growth of e-commerce and the booming of e-payment, detecting online transaction fraud in real time has become increasingly important to Fintech business. To tackle this problem, we introduce the TitAnt, a transaction fraud detection system deployed in Ant Financial, one of the largest Fintech compani…
Study designs steering rewards for MFGs with unknown dynamics and model uncertainty.
problem Designing incentives for large populations of agents in MFGs with uncertain model details.
method Developed optimistic exploration algorithms for agents with no-adaptive regret behaviors.
result Sub-linear regret guarantees for cumulative gaps between agent behaviors and desired outcomes.
This paper concerns an optimal dividend distribution problem for an insurance company with surplus-dependent premium. In the absence of dividend payments, such a risk process is a particular case of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov processes. The control mechanism chooses the size of dividend payments. The obje…
Standard economic theory, starting with Adam Smith's invisible hand, holds that those who trade for their own selfish motives of maximizing their private preferences may contribute more to the public wealth than those who claim altruistic motives. Under restrictive conditions, this has been shown to result from a self-…
We develop an axiomatic theory of balance functions (future value functions) in the theory of interest that is derived from financial considerations and which applies to general regulated payment streams, including continuous payment streams. Balance functions exist and are unique up to an initial choice of deposit and…
This Chapter reviews statistical models for the probability distribution of money developed in the econophysics literature since the late 1990s. In these models, economic transactions are modeled as random transfers of money between the agents in payment for goods and services. Starting from the initially equal distrib…
This paper considers an optimal dividend distribution problem for an insurance company where the dividends are paid in a foreign currency. In the absence of dividend payments, our risk process follows a spectrally negative Lévy process. We assume that the exchange rate is described by a an exponentially Lévy process, p…
FedCoin uses blockchain to fairly distribute incentives in federated learning.
problem Fairly incentivizing data owners in federated learning with privacy concerns.
method FedCoin uses a blockchain-based peer-to-peer payment system with a proof of Shapley (PoSap) protocol to calculate and distribute Shapley Values.
result FedCoin accurately computes Shapley Values and promotes high-quality data contributions.
Study on incentivizing truthfulness in federated learning with heterogeneous data.
problem Manipulated updates in federated learning due to data heterogeneity.
method Formulated a game-theoretic approach to prevent clients from misreporting their gradient updates.
result Developed a payment rule that provably disincentivizes sending modified updates in federated learning.
New option type preserves fungibility by amortizing payments over time.
problem Traditional installment options destroy fungibility and lapse when payments stop.
method Introduces amortizing perpetual options (AmPOs) with an implicit payment scheme.
result Valuation of AmPOs reduces to vanilla perpetual American options.
Optimizes loan recovery timing across various portfolios.
problem Comparing and evaluating bank's loan recovery decision rules.
method Simulation-based expert system considering time value of money and costs.
result Threshold optima exist across different risk scenarios and portfolio compositions.
This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized loans. The main results of this work are providing sufficient conditions for exis…